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### Viewing cable 01HARARE2871, UNDP RESREP ON ABUJA AGREEMENT, UN ENGAGEMENT

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
01HARARE2871 | 2001-09-28 07:38 | 2011-08-24 16:30 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Harare

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

                               UNCLASSIFIED     PTO0177

    PAGE 01        HARARE  02871  01 OF 03  280802Z
    ACTION AF-00

    INFO  LOG-00   NP-00    AID-00   ACQ-00   CIAE-00  USNW-00  DODE-00
          SRPP-00  DS-00    UTED-00  VC-00    TEDE-00  INR-00   IO-00
          LAB-01   L-00     VCE-00   DCP-01   NSAE-00  IRM-00   TEST-00
          DSCC-00  PRM-01   DRL-02   NFAT-00  SAS-00     /005W
                      ------------------2693B7  280803Z /38
    FM AMEMBASSY HARARE
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9846
    NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
    INFO SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 HARARE 002871

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: EAID PREL PGOV ZI
    SUBJECT: UNDP RESREP ON ABUJA AGREEMENT, UN ENGAGEMENT
    WITH GOZ

    -------
    SUMMARY
    -------

    ¶1.  (U) VICTOR ANGELO, THE UNDP RESIDENT REPRESENTATIVE
    HOSTED A SEPTEMBER 26 BRIEFING FOR AMBASSADORS OF WESTERN
    DIPLOMATS TO UPDATE ON THE PROGRESS CONCERNING THE ABUJA
    ACCORDS (AA).  HE HAD HOSTED EARLIER IN THE DAY A MEETING
    WITH THE G-77 TO DISCUSS THE SAME TOPIC.  HE DESCRIBED
    SIX CONCERNS AND THE STEPS THAT UN HAD TAKEN IN
    NEGOTIATING WITH THE GOZ.  IN A FOLLOWING QUESTION AND
    ANSWER SESSION, ANGELO SAID THAT HE EXPECTS THE GOZ TO
    WELCOME INTERNATIONAL ELECTION OBSERVERS ONLY IN A BRIEF
    WINDOW PRECEDING THE ELECTIONS.  BOTH THE UN AND THE
    DIPLOMATS PRESENT EXPRESSED CONCERN OVER THE LACK OF
    PROGRESS IN IMPLEMENTING THE ABUJA ACCORDS.  IF FIGURES
    BACKING SOME OF ANGELO'S CONCERNS ARE CORRECT, ZIMBABWE'S
    FOREX SITUATION AND ECONOMIC CRISIS COULD DEEPEN
    DRAMATICALLY IN 2002.

    -------------------------------------
    SPEED-UP ABUJA ACCORDS IMPLEMENTATION
    -------------------------------------

    ¶2.  (U) THE UNDP'S FIRST CONCERN IS SPEEDING UP
    IMPLEMENTATION OF THE AA.  ANGELO EXPLAINED THAT HE HAD
    MET WITH THE GOZ AT MANY LEVELS, INCLUDING MEMBERS OF THE
    POLITBURO, THE MINISTER OF JUSTICE, THE SPEAKER OF
    PARLIAMENT, TO URGE PROGRESS ON SEVERAL CONFIDENCE
    BUILDING MEASURES (CBMS).  THESE INCLUDE NO FURTHER
    OCCUPATIONS (THERE HAVE BEEN SOME 50 REPORTED NEW
    OCCUPATIONS SINCE THE AA); A DEMONSTRATED RESPECT FOR THE
    RULE OF LAW (ROL) BY MOVING ILLEGAL OCCUPIERS TO FARMS
    LEGALLY DESIGNATED FOR ACQUISITION OR THOSE
    FARMS ON OFFER; APPROVAL FOR DEPLOYMENT OF A UNDP
    ASSESSMENT TEAM WHOSE TERMS OF REFERENCE WOULD BE TO
    DETERMINE WHAT IS OCCURRING ON THE GROUND; AND
    CLARIFICATION OF IMMEDIATE STEPS THE GOZ WILL TAKE AS
    PART OF THE PROCESS.  UNDP ALSO WANTS TO KNOW WHAT ROLE
    THEY WILL BE EXPECTED TO PLAY.   ANGELO GAVE AN EXAMPLE
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 03        HARARE  02871  01 OF 03  280802Z
    OF THE DILEMMA THAT THE GOZ FACES: IF THE GOZ NUMBER OF
    7,889 FAMILIES OF ILLEGAL OCCUPIERS IS USED, THERE ARE A
    TREMENDOUS NUMBER OF PEOPLE TO BE MOVED.  HOWEVER, TO
    DATE ONLY FIVE FARMS HAVE GONE THROUGH THE ADMINISTRATIVE
    COURTS AND ACTUALLY BEEN LEGALLY ACQUIRED.

    ¶3.  (U) ANGELO SAID THAT THE SYG DETERMINED THAT THE UN
    HAS WAITED LONG ENOUGH FOR A RESPONSE FROM THE GOZ, AND
    AS A RESULT MARK MALLOCH-BROWN SENT A LETTER TO FOREIGN
    MINISTER MUDENGE (DELIVERED IN NEW YORK ON SEPTEMBER 21
    AND SEPTEMBER 23 IN ZIMBABWE--COPY NOT SHARED) THAT
    REPORTEDLY ADDRESSED (1) HOW THE UN SEES ITS ROLE,
    (APPARENTLY ALONG THE LINES OF THE DECEMBER 2000 MALLOCH-
    BROWN LETTER); (2) PROPOSED POTENTIAL NEXT STEPS; (3) THE
    FOREIGN MINISTER'S BRIEFING OF THE DIPLOMATIC CORPS ON
    SEPTEMBER 20 AND APPRECIATION FOR THE PUBLIC GOZ
    ENDORSEMENT OF THE AA; (4) THE GOZ'S DECEMBER 2000
    PROPOSALS; (5) THE UN'S READINESS TO WORK WITH THE GOZ ON
    IMPLEMENTATION OF THE AA; (6) UNDP'S NEED FOR PERMISSION
    TO SEND IN AN ASSESSMENT TEAM HEADED BY A DEPUTY UNDER
    SECRETARY ON SEPTEMBER 25 TO IDENTIFY CAPACITY

    SIPDIS
    CONSTRAINTS IN IMPLEMENTING THE AA, TO IDENTIFY
    HUMANITARIAN NEEDS, AND TO OUTLINE WHAT COULD BE AN
    ACCEPTABLE LAND REFORM PROGRAM; AND (7) A REPLY FROM THE
    FOREIGN MINISTER BEFORE HE COMMENCED HIS EXTENDED TRAVEL
    TO SOUTH EAST ASIA AND THEN BRISBANE.  THE FOREIGN
    MINISTER DEPARTED SEPTEMBER 26 WITHOUT REPLYING, ALTHOUGH
    THE RESREP WAS TOLD THE PRESIDENCY HAD APPROVED THE
    LETTER AND UN EXPECTS A RESPONSE.

    ¶4.  (U) THE RESREP ALSO REPORTED THAT VICE PRESIDENT
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 04        HARARE  02871  01 OF 03  280802Z
    MSIKA, CHAIRMAN OF THE GOZ LAND COMMITTEE, HELD A MEETING
    ON 9/19 WITH GOVERNORS, PROVINCIAL ADMINISTRATORS, THE
    ZRP, AND REPRESENTATIVES OF THE WAR VETERANS.  THE
    POLICIES ANNOUNCED INCLUDED (1) AN IMMEDIATE RETURN TO
    THE ROL; (2) SUSPENSION OF THE A-2 RESETTLEMENT SCHEMES
    FOR SMALL SCALE COMMERCIAL FARMERS THAT HAD BEEN DUE TO
    BE LAUNCHED BY THE MINISTER OF AG; (3) REMOVAL OF ILLEGAL
    SETTLERS BY THE ZRP; AND (5) EMPHASIS THAT NO CRIMINAL OR
    ILLEGAL ACTS WOULD BE TOLERATED.  IMPLEMENTATION WAS DUE
    TO BEGIN ON 9/25, BUT NOTHING CONCRETE HAS OCCURRED ON
    THE GROUND.

    ---------------
    DOMESTIC DIALOG
    ---------------

    ¶5.  (U) THE RESREP NEXT DISCUSSED THE ISSUE OF A DOMESTIC
    DIALOG AS RECOMMENDED BY THE SADC HEADS OF STATE.  HE
    INDICATED THAT HE WAS INITIALLY ENCOURAGED BY THE CFU AND
    AGS AGREEMENT TO SUSPEND THE SUPREME COURT HEARING ON THE
    LEGALITY OF THE LAND REFORM PROGRAM PENDING DIALOG.
    HOWEVER, A SEPTEMBER 24 MEETING BETWEEN THE CFU AND THE

                           UNCLASSIFIED

                               UNCLASSIFIED     PTO0178

    PAGE 01        HARARE  02871  02 OF 03  280802Z
    ACTION AF-00

    INFO  LOG-00   NP-00    AID-00   ACQ-00   CIAE-00  USNW-00  DODE-00
          SRPP-00  DS-00    UTED-00  VC-00    TEDE-00  INR-00   IO-00
          LAB-01   L-00     VCE-00   DCP-01   NSAE-00  IRM-00   TEST-00
          DSCC-00  PRM-01   DRL-02   NFAT-00  SAS-00     /005W
                      ------------------2693BF  280803Z /38
    O 280738Z SEP 01
    FM AMEMBASSY HARARE
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9847
    NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
    INFO SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY

    UNCLAS SECTION 02 OF 03 HARARE 002871

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: EAID PREL PGOV ZI
    SUBJECT: UNDP RESREP ON ABUJA AGREEMENT, UN ENGAGEMENT
    WITH GOZ

    GOZ WAS NOT FRUITFUL, AND THE PARTIES WENT BACK TO THE
    COURTS ON SEPTEMBER 26.  A RULING IS EXPECTED SHORTLY,
    ALTHOUGH EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT THE FINAL JUDGMENT WILL BE
    DELAYED UNTIL AFTER THE BRISBANE CHOGM MEETINGS.

    ¶6.  (U) LATER IN QUESTIONING, THE U.S. ASKED IF ANY
    PROGRESS HAD BEEN MADE CONCERNING THE SADC LEADERS'
    RECOMMENDATION THAT THE PARLIAMENT OF ZIMBABWE FORM A
    BIPARTISAN COMMITTEE TO EXAMINE THE ISSUE OF LAND REFORM.
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 02        HARARE  02871  02 OF 03  280802Z
    THE RESREP ADVISED THAT HE HAD MET WITH SPEAKER OF
    PARLIAMENT MNANGAGWA WHO INFORMED HIM THAT A BIPARTISAN
    PARLIAMENTARY LAND AND AGRICULTURE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE
    ALREADY EXISTS.  THE RESREP TOLD THE SPEAKER THAT BOTH
    UNDP AND USAID, THE PRINCIPAL DONORS WHO ASSIST
    PARLIAMENT, STAND READY TO HELP STRENGTHEN THIS COMMITTEE
    AS NEEDED.

    -----------------------------
    CREDIBLE REPORTING/MONITORING
    -----------------------------

    ¶7.  (U) AN FAO/WFP TEAM IS CURRENTLY IN-COUNTRY ASSESSING
    CAPACITY BUILDING NEEDS OF THE MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE TO
    ESTABLISH A CREDIBLE, INDEPENDENT MONITORING SYSTEMS.
    LATER IN QUESTIONING, THE EU SOUGHT CLARIFICATION OF THE
    FAO TEAM'S TERMS OF REFERENCE AND WHETHER IT WAS CAPACITY
    BUILDING WITH THE FOCUS OF LAND REFORM IMPLEMENTATION.
    ANGELO SAID THE TEAM WAS ASSESSING WHAT STEPS WERE NEEDED
    TO ESTABLISH A MONITORING SYSTEM FOR THE CBMS, AND
    IMPLEMENTATION OF THE AA.

    --------------------------------
    THE UP-COMING AGRICULTURE SEASON
    --------------------------------

    ¶8. (U) THE FOURTH UNDP CONCERN CENTERS ON THE UP-COMING
    AGRICULTURAL SEASON AND THE ABILITY OF COMMERCIAL AND
    RESETTLED FARMERS TO UNDERTAKE LAND PREPARATION AND
    PLANTING IN ADVANCE OF THE RAINS IN LATE
    OCTOBER/NOVEMBER.  THE RESREP EXUDED PESSIMISIAM ON THIS
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 03        HARARE  02871  02 OF 03  280802Z
    ISSUE.  HE SAID THAT EVEN IF THE GOZ FIGURE OF 120,000
    RESETTLED FARMERS IS ACCEPTED, AND ONE ASSUMES A MINIMUM
    OF ONE HECTARE PER FAMILY, ONLY 5,249 HECTARES HAVE BEEN
    PLOWED IN RESETTLEMENT AREAS AS OF LATE SEPTEMBER.  IN
    TERMS OF THE Z$6.0 BILLION BUDGET APPROVED FOR
    RESETTLEMENT SUPPORT, ONLY $200 MILLION HAS BEEN
    DISBURSED.  UN TECHNICAL EXPERTS ESTIMATE ON THE BASIS OF
    CURRENT LAND PREPARATION THAT THE 180,000 MT OF TOBACCO
    HARVESTED THIS SEASON WILL SHRINK TO LESS THAN 100,000 MT
    NEXT YEAR.

    ¶9.  (U) COMMENT:  ACCORDING TO THE TOBACCO INDUSTRY,
    INTERNATIONAL BUYERS REQUIRE A MINIMUM OF 150,000 MT FROM
    ZIMBABWE.  IF THIS AMOUNT IS NOT FORTHCOMING, BUYERS WILL
    SEEK OTHER MARKETS.  GIVEN THAT THEY MUST ALSO UNDERTAKE
    REMIXING/FORMULATION OF BLENDS, IT WILL BE YEARS BEFORE
    WORLD BUYERS RETURN TO ZIMBABWE EVEN IF THE TOBACCO
    INDUSTRY REBOUNDS.  WE ARE TOLD THAT AFTER THE SANCTIONS
    IN THE 1970S, IT TOOK TEN YEARS TO ATTRACT THE BUYERS TO
    THE ZIMBABWE MARKET.  END COMMENT.

    -----------------------
    HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE
    -----------------------

    ¶10.  (U) THE UN RELIEF AND REHABILITATION SECRETARIAT IS
    FUNCTIONING.  THREE WFP STAFF ARE ASSIGNED AND AN INTERIM
    COORDINATOR HIRED PENDING FINAL SELECTION OF A HA EXPERT
    AS THE COORDINATOR.  ANGELO REPORTED THAT BY NEXT WEEK A
    MATRIX OF NGO PROGRAMS BY REGION AND TYPE WOULD BE
    AVAILABLE.
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 04        HARARE  02871  02 OF 03  280802Z

    --------------------------------------
    THE UN IS ON CALL, BUT WHO IS CALLING?
    --------------------------------------

    ¶11.  (U) ANGELO SUMMARIZED BY SAYING THE UN SYSTEM IS ON
    CALL TO ASSIST THE GOZ IN IMPLEMENTING THE AA.  KEY TO
    THIS WILL BE THE GOZ RESPONSE TO THE MALLOCH-BROWN
    LETTER.  WHILE ANGELO EXPRESSED HOPE, HE ALSO RECALLED
    THE DECEMBER 2000 MALLOCH-BROWN LETTER, WHICH THE GOZ
    TOOK THREE MONTHS TO ANSWER.

    ¶12.  (U) SYG ANAN WROTE TO PRESIDENT MBEKI JUST PRIOR TO
    THE SEPTEMBER 10 SADC MEETING IN HARARE SAYING THAT THE
    UN HAD NOT RECEIVED A GOZ REQUEST FOR AN INDEPENDENT
    ASSESSMENT OF WHAT WAS OCCURRING ON THE GROUND.  HE NOTED
    THAT THE UN IS WILLING TO RESPOND, BUT STRESSED THE
    IMPORTANCE OF AN ASSESSMENT IN ESTABLISHING THE FACTS
    CONCERNING THE STATUS OF THE "FAST TRACK" PROGRAM.

    ¶13.  (U) THE UK ASKED ABOUT THE TERMS OF REFERENCE FOR
    THE ASSESSMENT.  THE RESREP RESPONDED THAT THERE WERE

                           UNCLASSIFIED

                               UNCLASSIFIED     PTO0179

    PAGE 01        HARARE  02871  03 OF 03  280803Z
    ACTION AF-00

    INFO  LOG-00   NP-00    AID-00   ACQ-00   CIAE-00  USNW-00  DODE-00
          SRPP-00  DS-00    UTED-00  VC-00    TEDE-00  INR-00   IO-00
          LAB-01   L-00     VCE-00   DCP-01   NSAE-00  IRM-00   TEST-00
          DSCC-00  PRM-01   DRL-02   NFAT-00  SAS-00     /005W
                      ------------------2693D2  280803Z /38
    O 280738Z SEP 01
    FM AMEMBASSY HARARE
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9848
    NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
    INFO SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY

    UNCLAS SECTION 03 OF 03 HARARE 002871

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: EAID PREL PGOV ZI
    SUBJECT: UNDP RESREP ON ABUJA AGREEMENT, UN ENGAGEMENT
    WITH GOZ

    ISSUES WITH THE TOR AND THAT SOME "REPACKAGING" MIGHT BE
    NEEDED.  HE OFFERED AN EXAMPLE, SAYING THE GOZ HAD
    OBJECTED TO THE TASK OF "ASSESSING LEGITIMACY OF CURRENT
    SETTLERS" WHICH, OF COURSE, IS CRITICAL TO ASSESSING
    WHETHER THE GOZ IS FOLLOWING THEIR OWN BENEFICIARY
    SELECTION CRITERIA.

    ------------------------
    OTHER COMMENTS/QUESTIONS
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 02        HARARE  02871  03 OF 03  280803Z
    ------------------------

    -- SWEDEN ASKED ABOUT PROGRESS ON OTHER ASPECTS OF THE
    AA, SPECIFICALLY ELECTION OBSERVATION/MONITORING.  THE
    RESREP SAID SARDONICALLY THAT HE EXPECTED THE GOZ TO
    WELCOME INTERNATIONAL OBSERVERS 15 DAYS BEFORE THE
    ELECTIONS, REMINDING THE GROUP THAT THE ABUJA AGREEMENT
    CALLED FOR "INTERNATIONAL PARTNERS TO RESPOND POSITIVELY
    TO ANY GOZ REQUEST IN SUPPORT OF THE ELECTORAL PROCESS."

    -- THE U.S. ASKED THE RESREP TO COMMENT ON GOZ
    WILLINGNESS TO CONSIDER THE BROADER ROL LAW ISSUES BEYOND
    THE QUESTION OF ROL CONCERNING LAND.  THE RESREP SAID
    THAT THIS WAS MORE "COMPLEX" BUT THAT THE ABUJA ACCORDS
    REFERRED TO THE ROL "THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY" AND
    SPECIFICALLY STATED THAT LAND CANNOT BE SEPARATED FROM
    DEMOCRACY, HUMAN RIGHTS, AND THE ECONOMY.

    -- GERMANY ASKED ABOUT THE SPEED AT WHICH DONOR FUNDS
    MIGHT BE MADE AVAILABLE FOR LAND REFORM, TO WHICH ANGELO
    RESPONDED THAT THE GOZ WOULD LIKE TO SEE A CBM FROM THE
    DONORS THAT ENTAILED DEPOSIT OF RESOURCES IN A TRUST FUND
    TO BE RELEASED UPON SATISFACTORY AGREEMENT ON THE LAND
    REFORM PROGRAM.  HE SAID THE GOZ UNDERSTOOD THAT SUCH
    FUNDS WOULD BE RETURNED TO THE DONORS IF THE LAND REFORM
    DID NOT SUCCEED.

    -- NORWAY ASKED ABOUT THE SADC/G-77 MEETING EARLIER IN
    THE DAY AND WHAT THE IMPRESSIONS OF THESE DIPLOMATS WERE.
    THE RESREP SAID THE SADC COUNTRIES WERE CONCERNED ABOUT
    THE LAGGARDLY IMPLEMENTATION OF THE AA, AND SEVERAL
                           UNCLASSIFIED

    PAGE 03        HARARE  02871  03 OF 03  280803Z
    PRESSED THE UN TO PROCEED WITH THE ASSESSMENT AT ONCE.
    THE RESREP EXPLAINED THAT IT WAS NOT POSSIBLE TO IMPOSE A
    TEAM WITHOUT GOZ AGREEMENT.

    -------
    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶14.  (SBU) ANGELO WAS AS UPBEAT AS POSSIBLE, WHICH WAS
    NOT MUCH.  IN SIDE CONVERSATIONS WITH OTHER DONORS,
    SKEPTICISM REIGNED.  WE DO NOT KNOW THE BASIS FOR
    ANGELO'S INFORMATION ON REDUCED TOBACCO CULTIVATION - GOZ
    STATISTICS, SITE VISITS, FLIGHT TRANSECTS - BUT IF HIS
    DATA IS CORRECT, ZIMBABWE IS IN FOR AN EVEN ROUGHER
    ECONOMIC RIDE TWELVE MONTHS FROM NOW.

    ROTH

                           UNCLASSIFIED

    >

`