Cable Viewer

Currently released so far... 12532 / 251,287

### Browse latest releases

2010/11 2010/12 2011/01 2011/02 2011/03 2011/04 2011/05
2010/11/28 2010/11/29 2010/11/30
2010/12/01 2010/12/02 2010/12/03 2010/12/04 2010/12/05 2010/12/06 2010/12/07 2010/12/08 2010/12/09 2010/12/10 2010/12/11 2010/12/12 2010/12/13 2010/12/14 2010/12/15 2010/12/16 2010/12/17 2010/12/18 2010/12/19 2010/12/20 2010/12/21 2010/12/22 2010/12/23 2010/12/24 2010/12/25 2010/12/26 2010/12/27 2010/12/28 2010/12/29 2010/12/30
2011/01/01 2011/01/02 2011/01/04 2011/01/05 2011/01/07 2011/01/09 2011/01/10 2011/01/11 2011/01/12 2011/01/13 2011/01/14 2011/01/15 2011/01/16 2011/01/17 2011/01/18 2011/01/19 2011/01/20 2011/01/21 2011/01/22 2011/01/23 2011/01/24 2011/01/25 2011/01/26 2011/01/27 2011/01/28 2011/01/29 2011/01/30 2011/01/31
2011/02/01 2011/02/02 2011/02/03 2011/02/04 2011/02/05 2011/02/06 2011/02/07 2011/02/08 2011/02/09 2011/02/10 2011/02/11 2011/02/12 2011/02/13 2011/02/14 2011/02/15 2011/02/16 2011/02/17 2011/02/18 2011/02/19 2011/02/20 2011/02/21 2011/02/22 2011/02/23 2011/02/24 2011/02/25 2011/02/26 2011/02/27 2011/02/28
2011/03/01 2011/03/02 2011/03/03 2011/03/04 2011/03/05 2011/03/06 2011/03/07 2011/03/08 2011/03/09 2011/03/10 2011/03/11 2011/03/13 2011/03/14 2011/03/15 2011/03/16 2011/03/17 2011/03/18 2011/03/19 2011/03/20 2011/03/21 2011/03/22 2011/03/23 2011/03/24 2011/03/25 2011/03/26 2011/03/27 2011/03/28 2011/03/29 2011/03/30 2011/03/31
2011/04/01 2011/04/02 2011/04/03 2011/04/04 2011/04/05 2011/04/06 2011/04/07 2011/04/08 2011/04/09 2011/04/10 2011/04/11 2011/04/12 2011/04/13 2011/04/14 2011/04/15 2011/04/16 2011/04/17 2011/04/18 2011/04/19 2011/04/20 2011/04/21 2011/04/22 2011/04/23 2011/04/24 2011/04/25 2011/04/26 2011/04/27 2011/04/28 2011/04/29 2011/04/30
2011/05/01 2011/05/02 2011/05/03 2011/05/04 2011/05/05 2011/05/06 2011/05/07 2011/05/08 2011/05/09 2011/05/10 2011/05/11

### Browse by creation date

66 72 73 75 79 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 96 97 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
1966/12
1972/02 1972/08
1973/04
1975/03
1979/08
1985/03 1985/06
1986/05
1987/06
1988/01
1989/12
1990/01 1990/07 1990/08 1990/10
1991/05
1992/01 1992/06 1992/12
1993/10
1996/11
1997/12
2000/05 2000/06 2000/09 2000/11
2001/02 2001/03 2001/06 2001/07 2001/09 2001/10 2001/11
2002/01 2002/02 2002/03 2002/04 2002/07 2002/08 2002/09 2002/11
2003/01 2003/02 2003/03 2003/04 2003/05 2003/06 2003/07 2003/08 2003/09 2003/10 2003/11 2003/12
2004/01 2004/02 2004/03 2004/04 2004/05 2004/06 2004/07 2004/08 2004/09 2004/10 2004/11 2004/12
2005/01 2005/02 2005/03 2005/04 2005/05 2005/06 2005/07 2005/08 2005/09 2005/10 2005/11 2005/12
2006/01 2006/02 2006/03 2006/04 2006/05 2006/06 2006/07 2006/08 2006/09 2006/10 2006/11 2006/12
2007/01 2007/02 2007/03 2007/04 2007/05 2007/06 2007/07 2007/08 2007/09 2007/10 2007/11 2007/12
2008/01 2008/02 2008/03 2008/04 2008/05 2008/06 2008/07 2008/08 2008/09 2008/10 2008/11 2008/12
2009/01 2009/02 2009/03 2009/04 2009/05 2009/06 2009/07 2009/08 2009/09 2009/10 2009/11 2009/12
2010/01 2010/02

### Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
Embassy Athens Embassy Asuncion Embassy Astana Embassy Asmara Embassy Ashgabat Embassy Apia Embassy Ankara Embassy Amman Embassy Algiers Embassy Addis Ababa Embassy Accra Embassy Abuja Embassy Abu Dhabi Embassy Abidjan Consulate Auckland Consulate Amsterdam Consulate Adana American Institute Taiwan, Taipei
Embassy Bujumbura Embassy Buenos Aires Embassy Budapest Embassy Bucharest Embassy Brussels Embassy Bridgetown Embassy Bratislava Embassy Brasilia Embassy Bogota Embassy Bishkek Embassy Bern Embassy Berlin Embassy Belmopan Embassy Belgrade Embassy Beirut Embassy Beijing Embassy Banjul Embassy Bangkok Embassy Bandar Seri Begawan Embassy Bamako Embassy Baku Embassy Baghdad Consulate Barcelona
Embassy Copenhagen Embassy Conakry Embassy Colombo Embassy Chisinau Embassy Caracas Embassy Canberra Embassy Cairo Consulate Curacao Consulate Ciudad Juarez Consulate Chennai Consulate Casablanca Consulate Cape Town Consulate Calgary
Embassy Dushanbe Embassy Dublin Embassy Doha Embassy Djibouti Embassy Dili Embassy Dhaka Embassy Dar Es Salaam Embassy Damascus Embassy Dakar Consulate Dubai
Embassy Freetown Consulate Fukuoka
Embassy Guatemala Embassy Gaborone Consulate Guayaquil Consulate Guadalajara
Embassy Helsinki Embassy Harare Embassy Hanoi Consulate Ho Chi Minh City Consulate Hermosillo Consulate Hamilton Consulate Hamburg Consulate Halifax
Iran RPO Dubai Embassy Islamabad Consulate Istanbul
Embassy Jakarta Consulate Jerusalem Consulate Jeddah
Embassy Kyiv Embassy Kuwait Embassy Kuala Lumpur Embassy Kinshasa Embassy Kingston Embassy Kigali Embassy Khartoum Embassy Kathmandu Embassy Kampala Embassy Kabul Consulate Kolkata
Embassy Luxembourg Embassy Luanda Embassy London Embassy Ljubljana Embassy Lisbon Embassy Lima Embassy Lilongwe Embassy La Paz Consulate Lahore Consulate Lagos
Mission USOSCE Mission USNATO Mission UNESCO Embassy Muscat Embassy Moscow Embassy Montevideo Embassy Monrovia Embassy Minsk Embassy Mexico Embassy Mbabane Embassy Maputo Embassy Manila Embassy Manama Embassy Managua Embassy Malabo Embassy Madrid Consulate Munich Consulate Mumbai Consulate Montreal Consulate Monterrey Consulate Milan Consulate Melbourne
Embassy Nicosia Embassy Niamey Embassy New Delhi Embassy Ndjamena Embassy Nassau Embassy Nairobi Consulate Naples Consulate Naha
Embassy Ouagadougou Embassy Ottawa Embassy Oslo
Embassy Pristina Embassy Pretoria Embassy Prague Embassy Port Of Spain Embassy Port Louis Embassy Port Au Prince Embassy Phnom Penh Embassy Paris Embassy Paramaribo Embassy Panama Consulate Peshawar
Embassy Quito Consulate Quebec
REO Basrah Embassy Rome Embassy Riyadh Embassy Riga Embassy Reykjavik Embassy Rangoon Embassy Rabat Consulate Rio De Janeiro Consulate Recife
Secretary of State Embassy Suva Embassy Stockholm Embassy Sofia Embassy Skopje Embassy Singapore Embassy Seoul Embassy Sarajevo Embassy Santo Domingo Embassy Santiago Embassy Sanaa Embassy San Salvador Embassy San Jose Consulate Strasbourg Consulate St Petersburg Consulate Shenyang Consulate Shanghai Consulate Sapporo Consulate Sao Paulo
Embassy Tunis Embassy Tripoli Embassy Tokyo Embassy The Hague Embassy Tel Aviv Embassy Tehran Embassy Tegucigalpa Embassy Tbilisi Embassy Tashkent Embassy Tallinn Consulate Toronto Consulate Tijuana
USUN New York USEU Brussels US Office Almaty US Mission Geneva US Interests Section Havana US Delegation, Secretary UNVIE Embassy Ulaanbaatar
Embassy Vilnius Embassy Vienna Embassy Vatican Embassy Valletta Consulate Vladivostok Consulate Vancouver
Embassy Windhoek Embassy Wellington Embassy Warsaw
Embassy Yerevan Embassy Yaounde
Embassy Zagreb

### Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ASEC AF AR ARF AG AORC APER AS AU AJ AM ABLD APCS AID APECO AMGT AFFAIRS AMED AFIN ADANA AEMR AE ADCO AA AECL AADP ACAO ANET AY APEC AORG ASEAN ABUD AINF AFSI AFSN AGR AROC AO AODE AL ACABQ AGMT AORL AX AMEX ATRN ADM AFGHANISTAN AZ ASUP AND ARM AQ ATFN AMBASSADOR ACBAQ ADPM AC ASIG ASCH AGAO ACOA AUC ASEX AIT AMCHAMS AER AVERY AGRICULTURE AMG AFU AN ALOW ASECKFRDCVISKIRFPHUMSMIGEG ACS
BA BR BU BK BEXP BO BL BM BC BT BRUSSELS BX BIDEN BTIO BG BE BD BY BBSR BB BP BN BILAT BF BH BTIU BWC BMGT
CO CH CA CS CE CASC CU CI CDG CVIS CG CWC CIDA CM CICTE CMGT COUNTER CPAS COUNTRY CJAN CBW CBSA CEUDA CD CAC CODEL CW CBE CHR CT CDC CFED COM CIS CR CKGR CVR CIA CLINTON CY COUNTERTERRORISM CITEL CLEARANCE COE CN CARICOM CB CONDOLEEZZA CACS CSW CIC CITT CONS COPUOS CL CARSON CACM CDB CROS CLMT CTR CJUS CF CTM CAN CAPC CV CBC CNARC
DR DA DK DJ DHS DPRK DEPT DEA DISENGAGEMENT DE DOMESTIC DOD DOE DS DTRA DEFENSE DO DAO DCM DEAX
ETTC EFIN ECON EAIR EG EINV ETRD ENRG EC EFIS EAGR EUN EAID ELAB ER EPET EMIN EU ECPS EN EWWT ELN EIND ELTN EINT ECA EPA ENGR ETRC EXTERNAL ELECTIONS EZ ECIN EI ENVI ETRO ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS ETRN ET EK ES EINVEFIN ERD EUR ETC ENVR EAP ENIV ECONOMY EINN EFTA ECONOMIC EXBS ECUN ENGY ECONOMICS EIAR EINDETRD EREL EUC ESENV ECONEFIN EURN EDU ETRDEINVTINTCS ECIP ENERG EFIM EAIDS EAIG ECONCS EEPET ESA EXIM ENNP ECINECONCS EFINECONCS EUREM ETRDECONWTOCS EUNCH EINVETC EINVECONSENVCSJA EUMEM ETRA ERNG
FI FR FTA FARC FJ FTAA FAC FOREIGN FBI FAO FAS FM FINR FREEDOM FOR FINANCE FOI FMLN FDA FO FISO
GV GG GM GH GOV GOI GL GT GY GAERC GA GF GR GE GZ GAZA GANGS GCC GTIP GERARD GLOBAL GTMO
HR HA HO HU HUMAN HK HILLARY HI HURI HSTC HYMPSK HUMOR HEBRON
IR IC IN IAEA IT IBRD IS ITU ILO IZ ID ICRC IPR ISRAELI IIP ICAO IMO INMARSAT IWC INTERNAL IV INDO ITPHUM ITPGOV ITALIAN IO IBET INR ICJ ICTY IRS IA INTERPOL IRAQI IEA INRB IL IMF ITRA ISLAMISTS ITALY IQ IAHRC IZPREL IRAJ IDP ILC IRC IACI IDA ITF IF ISRAEL ICTR IGAD INRA INRO IEFIN INTELSAT
JA JUS JO JM JP JOSEPH JAMES JOHNNIE JOHN
KCRM KJUS KWMN KISL KIRF KDEM KTFN KTIP KFRD KPRV KCOR KNNP KAWC KUNR KGHG KV KIPR KFLU KSTH KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KSUM KTIA KTDB KPAO KMPI KZ KMIG KBCT KSCA KN KPKO KPAL KIDE KOMC KS KOLY KU KWBG KPAONZ KNUC KHLS KMDR KE KNNPMNUC KSTC KWAC KERG KACT KSCI KHDP KDRG KVPR KICC KPRP KBIO KFLO KCFE KCIP KTLA KTEX KSEP KHIV KCSY KTRD KID KGIC KRVC KNAR KSPR KMRS KNPP KJUST KMCA KPWR KG KTER KRCM KIRC KR KSEO KNEI KTBT KCFC KSAF KSAC KCHG KAWK KGCC KPLS KREL KMFO KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KFTFN KVRP KBTR KCOM KO KLIG KDEMAF KRAD KOCI KAID KNSD KGIT KFSC KWMM KPAI KICA KHUM KREC KRIM KSEC KCMR KPIN KESS KDEV KCGC KOM KRGY KPOA KBTS KHSA KMOC KCRS KVIR KX KWWMN KPAK KWNM KWMNCS KRFD KDDG KIFR KFIN KOMS KCRCM KNUP
LE LY LI LG LH LTTE LU LO LAB LOG LA LT LABOR
MARR MU MOPS MNUC MO MASS MCAP MX MY MZ MUCN MTCRE MIL ML MEDIA MPOS MA MP MERCOSUR MG MR MI MD MK MOPPS MASC MTS MLS MILI MAR MEPN MAPP MTCR MEPI MEETINGS MW MAS MRCRE MT MCC MIK MAPS MARAD MDC MQADHAFI MTRE MV MEPP MILITARY MASSMNUC MC
NZ NL NATO NO NI NU NS NASA NAFTA NP NDP NIPP NPT NG NEW NE NSF NZUS NR NH NA NSG NC NRR NATIONAL NT NGO NSC NPA NV NK NAR NORAD NSSP NATOPREL NW NPG NSFO
OVIP OPDC OTRA OREP OAS OPRC OPIC OECD OPCW OFDP OIIP OEXC ODIP OSCE OBSP OSCI OIE OTR OMIG OSAC OFFICIALS ON OFDA OES OVP OCII OHUM OPAD OIC OCS
PREL PGOV PHUM PINR PTER PARM PREF PK PINS PMIL PA PE PHSA PM PROP PALESTINIAN PBTS PARMS POL PO PROG PL PAK POLITICS PBIO PTBS POLICY PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PBT PTERE PRGOV PORG PP PS PGOF PKFK PSOE PEPR PPA PINT PMAR PRELP PREFA PINF PNG PFOR PUNE PDOV PGOVLO PAO PHUMBA PSEPC PCUL PNAT PREO PLN PNR POLINT PRL PGOC POGOV PU PF PY PGOVE PG PCI PINL POV PAHO PGGV PHALANAGE PARTY PHUS PDEM PECON PROV PAS PHUMPREL PGIV PRAM PHUH PSA PHUMPGOV PEL PSI PAIGH POLITICAL PARTIES POSTS
QA
RU RS RP REACTION REPORT RIGHTS RO RCMP RW RM REGION RSP RF RICE RFE RUPREL ROOD RIGHTSPOLMIL ROBERT RELATIONS RSO
SNAR SOCI SZ SENV SU SA SCUL SP SMIG SW SO SY SL SENVKGHG SR SF SYRIA SI SWE SARS SC SAN SN STEINBERG SG ST SPCE SIPDIS SYR SNARIZ SNARN SSA SHI SK SPCVIS SOFA SEVN SIPRS SNARCS SAARC SHUM SANC SEN SH SCRS
TRGY TBIO TU TS TSPA TSPL TT TPHY TK TI TERRORISM TH TIP TC TZ TNGD TW THPY TL TV TX TO TRSY TINT TN TURKEY TBID TD TF TFIN TP TAGS TR
UV UK UNGA US UY USTR UNSC UN UNHRC UP UG USUN UNEP UNESCO USPS UZ USEU UNCHR USAID UNMIK UNHCR UE UNVIE UAE UNO USOAS UNODC UNCHS UNFICYP UNIDROIT UNDESCO UNCHC UNDP UNAUS UNPUOS UNC UNCND UNICEF UNCSD UNDC USNC
VT VE VZ VTPREL VI VM VN VTIZ VAT VC VTEG
WTO WTRO WS WTRQ WI WZ WHO WWARD WBG WB WHA WITH WMD WIPO WMO WFP WHTI WEU WA
XG XT XZ XM XR XA XY XX XF XL XW XV XB XU XS XH XK XD XI XC XE XQ XTAG
YM YI YE YMCS
ZR ZB ZI ZU ZJ ZEALAND ZK ZF ZP ZN ZL ZA ZANU ZO ZOELLICK

### Browse by classification

CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN SECRET SECRET//NOFORN UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

### Community resources

Follow us on Twitter Check our Reddit Twitter this Digg this page Contact us on IRC

courage is contagious

### Viewing cable 09THEHAGUE731, NETHERLANDS/AFGHANISTAN: SWAYING THE DUTCH

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs
Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:

- The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
- The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
- The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.

To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.
Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #09THEHAGUE731.

Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09THEHAGUE731 | 2009-12-04 17:54 | 2011-01-17 00:00 | SECRET//NOFORN | Embassy The Hague

`

    VZCZCXRO8136
    PP RUEHDBU RUEHPW RUEHSL
    DE RUEHTC #0731/01 3381754
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 041754Z DEC 09
    FM AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3536
    INFO RUCNAFG/AFGHANISTAN COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/CJCS WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RHEHAAA/WHITE HOUSE WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 THE HAGUE 000731

    NOFORN
    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/03/2019
    TAGS: PREL NATO AF NL
    SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS/AFGHANISTAN: SWAYING THE DUTCH

    REF: A. STATE 124188
         ¶B. USNATO 563
         ¶C. THE HAGUE 726
         D...

    238255,12/4/2009 17:54,09THEHAGUE731,"Embassy The
    Hague",SECRET//NOFORN,09STATE124188|09THEHAGUE718|09THEHAGUE726|09USN
    ATO563,"VZCZCXRO8136
    PP RUEHDBU RUEHPW RUEHSL
    DE RUEHTC #0731/01 3381754
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 041754Z DEC 09
    FM AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3536
    INFO RUCNAFG/AFGHANISTAN COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/CJCS WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RHEHAAA/WHITE HOUSE WASHDC PRIORITY","S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02
    THE HAGUE 000731
    NOFORN
    SIPDIS
    E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/03/2019
    TAGS: PREL NATO AF NL
    SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS/AFGHANISTAN: SWAYING THE DUTCH
    REF: A. STATE 124188
    ¶B. USNATO 563
    ¶C. THE HAGUE 726
    ¶D. THE HAGUE 718
    Classified By: Pol Deputy Eric G. Falls for reasons 1.4(b,d)
    ¶1. (S/NF) SUMMARY: All evidence suggests the Dutch will
    not/not retain a significant number of troops in Uruzgan, and
    the coalition government could fall over this issue. Pushing
    the government to collapse on this matter is not in our
    interest. Accepting Dutch compromise proposals is to our
    advantage. END SUMMARY.
    DUTCH LEAVING URUZGAN
    ---------------------
    ¶2. (S/NF) Ambassador pressed Development Minister Bert
    Koenders (Labor Party) to retain a Dutch military
    contribution in Afghanistan in a meeting December 4. Koenders
    observed that the pressure after the President,s speech is
    logical. He gave no insights that have not been in his
    recent, public statements. Koenders repeated that there will
    be no Dutch troops in Uruzgan after 2010 and flatly stated
    the Dutch would also not lead the PRT in Uruzgan. However,
    he did acknowledge that it is important for the Netherlands
    to continue to do its part for NATO and said there were
    ""discussions"" within the cabinet on committing Dutch troops
    elsewhere in southern Afghanistan.
    ¶3. (S/NF) D/PM / Finance Minister / Labor Party leader Wouter
    Bos recently declined a requested meeting with Ambassador
    Levin to discuss Afghanistan. He referred the Ambassador
    instead to Koenders, Bos's primary adviser on Afghanistan.
    In all public statements during the past several months, and
    repeated publicly as recently as two days ago, just after
    President Obama's speech, Bos has consistently stated the
    Dutch will leave Uruzgan in 2010.
    ¶4. (S/NF) Even Ministers that support continued involvement
    in Afghanistan at the most aggressive level have been clear
    about this basic point. FM Verhagen stated ""the U.S. knows
    that we will hand over the lead in Uruzgan"" in 2010.
    ¶5. (S/NF) Comment: The Labor Party has left no room for their
    own maneuvering on pulling everyone out of Uruzgan except for
    a few (12) development personnel. We expect the Labor Party
    could well bring down the government rather than extend the
    Uruzgan mission. The Labor Party's ""bread and butter"" is the
    economy, but the party is looking for an out to rally their
    rank and file. The Labor Party's poll numbers have been low
    for months, suggesting a steep loss of seats in a near-term
    election. Accompanying this poor performance has been
    criticism of Bos's leadership and his willingness to flip
    flop. We expect that rather than reverse course again and
    support a robust Uruzgan mission, Bos would opt to pull out
    of the coalition and campaign on Afghanistan. End Comment.
    GOVERNMENT COLLAPSE NOT IN OUR INTEREST
    ---------------------------------------
    ¶6. (S/NF) A collapse of the government hurts our chances for
    Dutch contributions and would delay any prospective Dutch
    contributions.
    ¶7. (S/NF) A collapse hurts our chances for significant Dutch
    military contributions. If Labor pulls the plug on the
    governing coalition at this time, it would likely make
    Afghanistan one of the central campaign issues. Dutch public
    support for the mission continues at a low level (33% as of
    October 30), suggesting that advocates for a deployment will
    lose seats in parliament. On the other hand, Geert Wilders'
    Qlose seats in parliament. On the other hand, Geert Wilders'
    far-right, isolationist Freedom Party stands to gain
    significant seats in parliament. In turn, a new governing
    coalition will likely be forced to include more parties to
    reach a majority. It's likely the coalition could shift to
    the left and include parties who are likely to oppose
    deployment after the elections' ""referendum on Afghanistan.""
    ¶8. (S/NF) A collapse of the government will delay additional
    Dutch contributions. New elections and the formation of a
    new government will take 5-10 months, possibly longer due to
    Wilders' popularity and the corresponding difficulty in
    forming a new government. Until the new government is
    THE HAGUE 00000731 002 OF 002
    formed, the caretaker government would not be able to approve
    a new military mission. Considering that Dutch troops are
    scheduled to depart this summer, as well as the planning
    required for an extension, withdrawal from Uruzgan will
    proceed as scheduled and a new deployment could easily be
    delayed until 2011.
    ACCEPTING DUTCH PROPOSALS IS TO OUR ADVANTAGE
    ---------------------------------------------
    ¶9. (S/NF) The new Dutch proposal -- maintaining a civilian
    PRT with protection by another ally, plus troops elsewhere in
    southern Afghanistan -- is better than waiting for a new
    coalition government that might not give us anything more,
    and could well give us less. Embassy counsels patience,
    deference and openness with Dutch government's efforts to
    sustain their Afghanistan deployment. PM Balkenende's
    consistent support for the Afghanistan mission and his
    success in leading his party to four consecutive wins in
    national elections give us confidence. We recommend
    deferring to the advice of Balkenende's National Security
    Adviser on not publicly pressuring the Dutch on Afghanistan.
    LEVIN

`