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### Viewing cable 05SANJOSE2037, ANOTHER POLL SHOWS MAJORITY OF COSTA RICANS SUPPORT

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05SANJOSE2037 | 2005-08-31 14:57 | 2011-03-03 16:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy San Jose

Appears in these articles:
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/NotasDestacadas/Investigacion2697430.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/NotaPrincipal/Investigacion2697496.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/NotasSecundarias/Investigacion2697489.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/NotasSecundarias/Investigacion2697532.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/NotasSecundarias/Investigacion2697535.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/NotasSecundarias/Investigacion2701964.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-03-03/Investigacion/Relacionados/Investigacion2701965.aspx

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 SAN JOSE 002037

    SIPDIS

    WHA/CEN
    EB FOR WCRAFT, BMANOGUE
    E FOR DEDWARDS
    WHA FOR WMIELE
    WHA/EPSC FOR KURS, LGUMBINER
    INR/R/AA FOR SBIRD
    H FOR JHAGAN
    STATE PASS TO USTR FOR RVARGO, AMALITO

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ETRD ECPS ECON PREL PGOV SOCI CS
    SUBJECT: ANOTHER POLL SHOWS MAJORITY OF COSTA RICANS SUPPORT
    CAFTA-DR

    REF: (A) SAN JOSE 01787

         (B) SAN JOSE 01875

    ¶1.  According to a poll conducted in August 2005 by UNIMER
    for the daily "La Nacion," 54 percent of the 1,413 persons
    polled supported the U.S.-Central American-Dominican
    Republic Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR), up from 43
    percent in a similar poll conducted for "La Nacion" in
    November 2004.  Twenty-six percent of those polled believe
    that the agreement should be rejected, down from 38 percent
    in November.  Seventy-six percent of those polled said that
    they were aware that the U.S. Congress already had ratified
    CAFTA-DR.

    ¶2.  The poll also revealed that men support CAFTA-DR more
    than women (61.2, and 45.2 percent in favor, 21.1, and 31.1
    opposed, respectively), and a larger percentage of men
    claimed to have knowledge of the CAFTA-DR ratification
    process (80 percent for men versus 71.8 percent for women).
    Those not expressing support for or opposition to CAFTA-DR
    either had no opinion or did not believe that CAFTA-DR
    would have much of an effect.  Those respondents who live
    in the rural zones of the greater metropolitan San Jose
    area had the highest support for CAFTA-DR (66.3 percent in
    favor, and 21.0 percent against).  There are many
    agriculture-related industries in these areas, such as
    ornamental plant, coffee, and flower growers, that rely
    heavily on exports to the U.S.

    ¶3.  In the urban greater metropolitan San Jose area, which
    is the most populated area and was the most represented in
    the poll with 508 total respondents, 57.1 percent expressed
    support for CAFTA-DR, and 27.7 percent expressed
    opposition.  The geographical area that showed the highest
    opposition to CAFTA-DR at approximately 30 percent was the
    Central Valley area outside of the greater metro San Jose
    area.  Forty-one percent of respondents who live in this
    area expressed support for CAFTA-DR.  The other 30 percent
    either had no opinion or did not think CAFTA-DR would make
    much of a difference.

    ¶4.  Support for the agreement also varied with the
    education level of the respondent.  The higher level of
    education achieved, the stronger the support for CAFTA-DR.
    University-educated respondents showed a 58.9 percent level
    of support (27.1 percent opposed); high school graduates
    52.6 percent (26.6 percent opposed); primary school
    graduates 51 percent (24.6 percent opposed); and lower
    education levels 38.2 percent (21.5 percent opposed).

    ¶5.  Also, the poll revealed that respondents from higher
    socio-economic levels were more likely to support the
    agreement than were respondents from lower socio-economic
    levels.  The poll identified that 66.4 percent of those
    respondents from a high socio-economic level favored CAFTA-
    DR (16.4 percent opposed); 52.9 percent from the medium
    socio-economic level (28.8 percent opposed); and 50.9
    percent from the low socio-economic level (22.5 percent
    opposed).

    ¶6.  With regard to age groups, the under 18-year-old group
    showed the weakest support (47 percent in favor and 31.3
    percent opposed), while support was strongest among those
    between 18 and 29 years of age (59.5 percent in favor, 26.3
    percent opposed), followed by the 30-to-39 year-olds (55.9
    percent in favor, 22 percent opposed), 50-to 69-year-olds
    (47.0 percent in favor, 26.4 percent opposed), and the 40-
    to-49 (47 percent in favor, 29.4, percent opposed).

    ¶7.  "La Nacion's" report on the UNIMER poll also revealed
    that one third of those polled said that a presidential
    candidate's stance on CAFTA-DR would affect how they vote in
    the next election in February 2006.  Of this third, 62
    percent said that they would be more likely to support a
    candidate who is in favor of CAFTA-DR while 34 percent said
    they would be more likely to support a candidate opposed to
    CAFTA-DR.

    -------
    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶8.  The results from this poll are consistent with other
    polls conducted recently (Refs A and B).  A majority of
    Costa Ricans polled expressed support for CAFTA-DR, which
    has grown over the last nine months as the citizenry has
    become more informed.  This most recent poll also revealed
    that the highest level of support was from 18-29-year-old
    Costa Ricans and those who live in heavily agricultural
    areas that rely on trade with the U.S.  This is notable
    because some CAFTA-DR opponents have said that farmers
    oppose the agreement because it will hurt them and that
    young Costa Ricans, especially University students, are
    opposed to the agreement.  The results from this most recent
    poll do not support these contentions.
    FRISBIE

`