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### Viewing cable 05TORONTO2737, Ontario Signs Deal to Refurbish Two Nuclear

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05TORONTO2737 | 2005-10-18 11:53 | 2011-04-28 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Consulate Toronto

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

    181153Z Oct 05

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 TORONTO 002737

    SIPDIS

    USDOE FOR PI (Pumphrey, Ward and Deutsch)
    STATE FOR EB/ESC/IEC/EPC (Erviti and McManus)
    DEPT PASS FERC (Longenecker)

    SENSITIVE

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ENRG ELAB PGOV SENV CA
    SUBJECT: Ontario Signs Deal to Refurbish Two Nuclear
    Reactors on Lake Huron

    Ref: Toronto 1901

    Sensitive But Unclassified - Protect Accordingly.

    ¶1.  (SBU) Summary: On October 17, the Ontario
    government announced an agreement with the private
    Bruce Power consortium to refurbish two nuclear
    reactors at a capital cost of C$4.2 billion dollars.
    The resulting 1,500 megawatts (MW) of additional
    electricity will alleviate Ontario's tight power
    supply.  The deal was sealed when Bruce Power (the
    private consortium operating the Bruce nuclear
    facility) agreed to shoulder the capital cost and to
    accept the risk for cost overruns - which, with past
    nuclear refurbishing, have been substantial - leaving
    no financial risk with Ontario's taxpayers.  In return,
    the province of Ontario agreed to guarantee a floor
    price of C$63 per MW of electricity - slightly below
    this year's average electricity cost of C$67.65 per MW.
    This deal is widely seen among analysts and industry
    insiders as a model for the future - both in terms of
    the financing model and in terms of greater reliance on
    nuclear power.  The province must replace 25,000 MW of
    electricity supply over the coming 15 years while
    making drastic cuts to emissions in order to live up to
    Canada's Kyoto commitments.  End summary.

    Ontario Signs Nuclear Deal
    --------------------------

    ¶2.  (U) On October 17, the Ontario government announced
    an agreement with the private Bruce Power consortium to
    refurbish Bruce A's nuclear units 1 and 2, which have
    been out of service since 1997.  This deal will secure
    some additional 1,500 MW of electricity and somewhat
    alleviate the province's tight supply.  Bruce A's
    nuclear units 3 and 4, also taken out of service in
    1997, were refurbished in 2003.  Four reactors at the
    Bruce B power station were never taken out of
    operation.  Ontario's Bruce Power facility is owned by
    the province of Ontario and operated by the private
    Bruce Power consortium under a long-term lease
    arrangement.  Partners in this consortium include
    Canada's largest uranium miner, Cameco Corp., energy
    infrastructure giant, TransCanada Corp., and a unit of
    the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement Board.

    A Finance Model Takes Shape
    ---------------------------

    ¶3.  (SBU) Critical to the success of this nuclear
    refurbishing deal was Bruce Power's willingness to
    shoulder the full projected capital cost of C$4.2
    billion.  In addition, Bruce Power accepted full
    liability for any cost overruns.  These two elements
    were critical in light of Ontario's history of racking
    up over C$20 billion in nuclear cost overruns to date.
    Recent refurbishing at both the Bruce and Pickering
    nuclear stations turned to cost billions more than
    estimated.  Under the current financing deal, the
    province's taxpayers face no financial risk at all.  In
    August 2005, the government scrapped plans to have
    government-owned Ontario Power Generation (OPG)
    refurbish two laid-up nuclear units at the Pickering A
    station as economically not viable.

    ¶4.  (SBU) In return, the province of Ontario agreed to
    offer the Bruce Power Consortium a guaranteed floor
    price of C$63 per MW generated - slightly below this
    year's average electricity wholesale price of C$67.65
    per MW.  In essence, the Bruce consortium will sell
    electricity into the wholesale market and qualify for
    public support payments if the average annual wholesale
    price of electricity drops below C$63 per MW for a
    contractually fixed annual sales volume.  For its part,
    the government of Ontario would, if such support
    payments become necessary, adjust the fixed retail
    price for consumers upward.  According to the Ministry
    of Energy, the province will ensure that consumers pay
    the "full cost" of generating electricity in Ontario.

    Comment: More Nuclear Expected
    ------------------------------

    ¶5.  (SBU) Ontario's move to refurbish the remaining two
    nuclear reactors at the Bruce generating station is
    indicative of things to come.  Analysts and industry
    insiders agree more nuclear power is the only way in
    which Ontario can replace 25,000 MW of a total of
    30,000 MW of generating capacity over the coming 15
    years while making drastic cuts to emissions in
    accordance with Canada's Kyoto commitments by shutting
    down all of its coal-fired generators by 2009.
    Insiders also believe that the financing model agreed
    upon between Bruce Power and the province - already
    used in various smaller Requests for Proposals (RFPs)
    for green energy - is here to stay: the province will
    guarantee a floor price for generators willing to
    assume all market risk and invest in Ontario.

    LECROY

`