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### Viewing cable 09MEXICO131, MEXICO CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT MEETING BETWEEN

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09MEXICO131 | 2009-01-20 13:01 | 2011-03-02 12:12 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Mexico
Appears in these articles: http://wikileaks.jornada.com.mx/notas/encuentros-entre-obama-y-calderon

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    VZCZCXRO0707
    PP RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
    DE RUEHME #0131/01 0201343
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    P 201343Z JAN 09
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4648
    INFO RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUEAHLA/DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY PRIORITY
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RHMFIUU/HQ USNORTHCOM  PRIORITY
    RHMFISS/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL PRIORITY
    RHEHAAA/NSC WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY

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    187900
    2009-01-20 13:43:00
    09MEXICO131
    Embassy Mexico
    UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

    VZCZCXRO0707
    PP RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
    DE RUEHME #0131/01 0201343
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    P 201343Z JAN 09
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4648
    INFO RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUEAHLA/DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY PRIORITY
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RHMFIUU/HQ USNORTHCOM  PRIORITY
    RHMFISS/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL PRIORITY
    RHEHAAA/NSC WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 000131

    SENSITIVE
    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR WHA/MEX, INR

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV PREL ECON MX
    SUBJECT: MEXICO CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT MEETING BETWEEN
    CALDERON AND OBAMA

    ¶1. (SBU) SUMMARY:  The Mexican media reported extensively on
    the meeting between President-elect Barack Obama and Mexican
    President Felipe Calderon at the Cultural Institute of Mexico
    January 12 in Washington.  The press reported a positive,
    fluid dialogue between the two leaders on domestic and
    binational issues such as drugs and arms trafficking, the
    economic crisis and NAFTA, and immigration and other
    binational issues, even though many commentators mentioned
    that their encounter lacked concrete proposals.  Opinion
    pieces varied with some more critical than others but with
    most cautiously optimistic.  END SUMMARY.

    Searching for a Niche
    ----------------------

    ¶2. (SBU)  The Mexican media generally characterized the
    private lunch between Calderon and Obama at the Cultural
    Institute of Mexico January 12 as a positive step in the
    U.S.-Mexican relationship.  Columnist Froylan M. Lopez
    Narvaez (Reforma) opined that it was a difficult meeting for
    Calderon because Calderon had made the mistake of signaling
    his preference for McCain over Obama in the course of the
    campaign.  Lopez suggested the two got together out of
    tradition (Mexican Presidents have met with the U.S.
    president-elect going back to when Mexican President Lopez
    Portillo met with U.S. President-Elect Reagan in 1981) but
    described the exchange as "reserved" and focused on
    "generalities."  TV anchor and columnist Carlos Loret de Mola
    alluded to the relationship of former Mexican presidents with
    the U.S.  According to Loret de Mola, former president
    Salinas had wanted a trade agreement, Zedillo looked to the
    U.S. for financial rescue and Fox had hoped the U.S. would
    deliver on an immigration agreement.  The problem with
    Calderon, he suggested, was that he was not yet clear on his
    number one priority.  Loret also lamented that Mexico was not
    a priority for the U.S. compared to Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan,
    the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and even the European
    Union.

    Drugs and Arms Trafficking
    --------------------------

    ¶3. (SBU)  Press commentators welcomed reports that Obama had
    assured Calderon that the U.S. would not leave Mexico on its
    own in the fight against drug trafficking.  The press also
    reported on President-Elect Obama's commitment to address
    Mexican concerns about arms trafficking.  Salvador Garcia
    Soto (Universal) however, went off on a different tangent.
    He drew attention to the  DOD Joint Operating Environment
    2008 Report released last week which declared Mexico a
    "failed state."  He worried that the U.S. was starting to
    place Mexico in the same category as Pakistan and considering
    the potential to deploy troops to address an emerging crisis.
     He saw the U.S. sending mixed messages.  On the one hand,
    President-Elect Obama and USG officials praised Calderon as
    courageous.  At the same, it's evident they have serious
    concerns about Mexico's ability to face down the threat posed
    by organized crime.

    Financial Crisis, NAFTA and Immigration
    ---------------------------------------

    ¶4. (SBU)  Mexican columnists generally stressed the need for
    cooperation to mitigate the effects of the financial crisis
    on U.S. and Mexican businesses.  They contrasted the approach
    of the two presidents on the question of NAFTA.  Whereas
    Calderon wanted to build on NAFTA, some perceived Obama as
    wanting to revisit the current treaty to strengthen labor and
    environmental standards.  Congressional opinions were mixed.
    PRI Coordinator of Deputies Emilio Gamboa said that Mexico
    needed more details about possible next steps on NAFTA as a
    renegotiation of the treaty could hurt Mexico.  PAN Deputy
    Coordinator Hector Larios, however, suggested that
    renegotiation of the treaty on labor and environment issues
    was doable.  Several commentators believed Obama was
    committed to working with Congress on immigration but
    recognized it was premature to know what shape this work
    would take.

    Congress and Political Party Reaction
    -------------------------------------

    MEXICO 00000131  002 OF 002

    ¶5. (SBU) A number of Congresspersons and political party
    officials described the meeting between the two leaders  as
    positive and important.  Rejecting the suggestion that
    Calderon had the meeting just to get his picture taken with
    Obama, PAN Senator Humberto Aguilar maintained the meeting
    served to formalize a new era in Mexico's bilateral
    relationship with the U.S.  PAN Deputy Coordinator Hector
    Larios thought an emerging personal affinity between the two
    leaders could advance the U.S.-Mexico relationship.  Vania
    Avila Garcia, National Coordinator of International Affairs
    at Convergencia described the meeting as a good start, but
    insisted Mexico needed to keep in mind that notwithstanding
    his "good intentions," Obama was committed to advancing the
    national interests of the U.S.

    ¶6. (SBU) COMMENT:  Overall, media commentators and political
    leaders believed that Calderon's initial meeting with Obama
    had served to establish a personal connection between the
    two.  They were able to touch on important themes in the
    relationship including shared concern about the security
    challenges Mexico faces and the economic challenges that
    confront both of our countries.  Reassured by Obama's
    commitment to support Mexico and do more to fight arms
    trafficking, they remained ambiguous about what to expect on
    the question of NAFTA and immigration.  Calderon scored
    points for securing the meeting and receiving Obama's public
    support.  Some worried though that Mexico would not rank high
    as a priority for the new U.S. administration and hoped that
    future meetings between the leaders of our two countries
    would tackle our shared agenda in greater detail.  END
    COMMENT.

    Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at
    http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity and the North American
    Partnership Blog at http://www.intelink.gov/communities/state/nap /
    GARZA

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