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Viewing cable 09CHIANGMAI173, NORTHERN RED-YELLOW DIALOGUE EXPANDS TO INCLUDE GOVERNMENT,

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09CHIANGMAI173 2009-11-19 08:08 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Consulate Chiang Mai
VZCZCXRO2322
PP RUEHCN RUEHDT RUEHHM
DE RUEHCHI #0173/01 3230808
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P R 190808Z NOV 09
FM AMCONSUL CHIANG MAI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1212
INFO RUEHZS/ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHEAST ASIAN NATIONS
RUEHCHI/AMCONSUL CHIANG MAI 1303
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 CHIANG MAI 000173 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM KDEM TH
SUBJECT: NORTHERN RED-YELLOW DIALOGUE EXPANDS TO INCLUDE GOVERNMENT, 
BUSINESS LEADERS 
 
REF: A. CHIANG MAI 160 (DIALOGUE AT SLOWER PACE) 
     B. CHIANG MAI 138 (BEGIN DIALOGUE) 
     C. CHIANG MAI 132 (DOWNPLAY RECONCILIATION CALL) 
     D. CHIANG MAI 3 (RED-SHIRTS FLEX) 
 
CHIANG MAI 00000173  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
Sensitive but unclassified; please handle accordingly. 
 
------------------------------- 
Summary and Comment 
------------------------------- 
 
1.  (SBU)  The low-key dialogue launched in recent months by 
local red-shirt and yellow-shirt groups, aimed at lowering the 
political temperature in Chiang Mai, continues to gain legs. 
Spurred on by positive media coverage and the constructive roles 
in the process played by academics and business leaders, the 
Provincial Government is now involved, providing the dialogue 
some new momentum.    Progress is tentative, however, as the 
participants have backed away from plans to publicly launch a 
"Coalition for a Peaceful and Livable Chiang Mai" to coincide 
with the onset of the tourist high season (Ref C). 
 
2.  (SBU) Comment:  The Provincial Government has a vested 
interest in seeing this process succeed, and its involvement at 
this time is no coincidence.  PM Abhisit Vejjajiva is scheduled 
to be in Chiang Mai on November 29 for a national gathering of 
Thai Chambers of Commerce.  A rude reception by red-shirts, 
similar to their harassment of Democrat Party Advisor Chuan 
Leekpai and other politicians earlier this year (Ref D), is an 
optic that local officials hope can be avoided through the 
dialogue process.  We are encouraged by the fact that the 
dialogue is gaining momentum despite opposition by Chiang Mai's 
most  hard-core red-shirt group, and little evident support from 
national red-shirt and yellow-shirt leaders in Bangkok.  End 
Summary and Comment. 
 
--------------------------------------------- - 
Provincial Government Gets Involved 
--------------------------------------------- - 
 
3.  (SBU) Representatives of local yellow-shirt and red-shirt 
camps, along with business leaders and academics, have been 
working on an initiative to reduce the political temperature in 
Chiang Mai , seeking to create the conditions that will allow 
the city to reap the full economic benefits of the high tourist 
season, which runs from November through February (Refs A-C). 
The loose grouping, which calls itself the Coalition for a 
Peaceful and Livable Chiang Mai, last met on November 10 at the 
request of Chiang Mai's Vice Governor, who presided over the 
gathering.  This meeting marked the first time that the 
government played a direct mediating role.  Others in attendance 
included key local businessmen, and a university Vice President. 
 
4.  (SBU) The two-hour long meeting  reaffirmed that although 
the red-shirt and yellow-shirt camps are not prepared to put 
their political differences aside, they, along with local 
community representatives, are willing to work together to 
convince tourists that Chiang Mai is ready to receive them 
peacefully and with open arms as in the past.  The two sides 
have reportedly agreed on three critical ground rules for 
achieving this goal: observe the rule of law; respect the right 
of freedom of expression and peaceful political activity; and 
refrain from intimidation or using violence.  The parties 
realize this can be accomplished without compromising political 
ideology, and that if successful, their efforts could help 
revive Chiang Mai's economy, which still lags from the global 
economic downturn. 
 
--------------------- 
Obstacles Ahead 
--------------------- 
 
5.  (SBU) Despite the progress made to date, and the involvement 
of the Provincial Government, all sides realize that the road 
ahead will not be entirely smooth.  The region's most hardcore 
red-shirt group, Rak Chiang Mai 51, has already lashed out 
publicly at the coalition, and its leader said that he would not 
be seen on the same stage as the yellow-shirt figures involved 
in the effort. (Comment: Rak Chiang Mai 51 has the most violent 
tendencies of any of Chiang Mai's red-shirt groups.  See Ref D 
and previous.)  Concerned over this type of backlash, 
participants at the November 10 red-yellow meeting agreed it was 
premature to publicly announce some sort of joint activity in 
which both red-shirts and yellow-shirts would participate. 
Attendees therefore concluded that the Coalition should keep its 
low profile for now, with an eye toward ultimately attracting 
greater support from the general public and isolating extremists 
who would prefer to see the process scuttled. 
 
-------------------------------------- 
So What Can the Coalition Do? 
-------------------------------------- 
 
CHIANG MAI 00000173  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
 
6.  (SBU) For now, Coalition participants are pursuing a more 
modest and less politically loaded  goal of organizing joint 
cultural activities as a confidence-building measure.  The 
Provincial Government expressed its willingness to support this 
effort by securing a venue, coordinating participants, and 
financing the activity.  Chiang Mai's Vice Governor told us he 
sees as indispensible the participation of both red-shirt and 
yellow-shirt leaders (without their colored shirts) for such an 
event to succeed.  However, with arrangements for PM Abhisit's 
upcoming visit preoccupying the Provincial Government and 
business leaders, the attendees agreed to put off planning the 
cultural activity until after November 29. 
 
7.  (U) This cable was coordinated with Embassy Bangkok. 
MORROW