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Viewing cable 09BRASILIA1254, BRAZIL: SCENESETTER FOR VISIT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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| Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09BRASILIA1254 | 2009-10-22 18:57 | 2011-07-11 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Brasilia |
VZCZCXRO7510
RR RUEHRG
DE RUEHBR #1254/01 2951857
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 221857Z OCT 09
FM AMEMBASSY BRASILIA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5257
INFO RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 4671
RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE 0035
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO 8302
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 08 BRASILIA 001254
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KSCA EAGR EAID SENV TBIO BR
SUBJECT: BRAZIL: SCENESETTER FOR VISIT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
ADVISER TO THE SECRETARY AND USAID - DR. FEDOROFF, OCTOBER 25-29
REF: A) BRASILIA 1105, B) BRASILIA 1120, C) BRASILIA 1175
¶1. (SBU) SUMMARY: The relationship between the United States and
Brazil is productive and broad-based. There exists a solid
foundation of scientific and technological (S&T) ties, which offers
excellent opportunities for increasing bilateral - and possible
trilateral - cooperation. The bilateral S&T relationship is most
advanced in the area of agriculture research, though medical and
other areas of research have been growing significantly. Moreover,
thousands of Brazilians scientists, engineers and technicians have
studied in the United States. The Fulbright Commission in Brazil
puts a high priority on offering science and technology programs and
many Brazilians in recent years have been selected for some of the
most prestigious Fulbright programs in these areas.
¶2. (SBU) Your visit is propitious as it comes before the
ministerial-level Joint Commission Meeting (JCM) on Science and
Technology, which will take place in Washington, November 19-20.
The JCM will review the many aspects of the bilateral S&T
relationship and will include a focus in the areas of food security,
climate change science, and innovation. Furthermore, the U.S.
Government (USG) and the Government of Brazil (GOB) have shown
interest in using their S&T skills to assist third countries, such
as Haiti and Lusophone Africa. This "trilateral cooperation" is
likely to increase, especially in the areas of food security and
health. The GOB recently has expressed great interest in working
with the USG to better support innovation in Brazil. Your visit
provides an important opportunity to highlight the potential for
increased bilateral and trilateral S&T cooperation. END SUMMARY
POLITICAL OVERVIEW
¶3. (SBU) With democracy re-established in 1988 after decades of
military dictatorship, Brazil's democratic institutions are
generally strong and stable. President Luiz Inacio "Lula" da Silva
remains a popular president -- one of the most popular in Brazil's
history and indeed in the world today, with recent approval ratings
still as high as 68 percent nearly seven years into his presidency.
This sustained popularity is based on a combination of his personal
connection with the country's lower classes, disciplined economic
policies, and expanded social programs. Ongoing public scandals
involving the leadership of the Senate and various members of
congress have further eroded the legislature's power vis-a-vis the
executive and its ratings among the Brazilian public. The court
system remains cumbersome and unreliable, but has recently taken
limited steps to curb impunity among public officials, which have
been well received by a public accustomed to abuses by authorities.
The Brazilian political elite and media are already focused on the
October 2010 national elections for president, all 26 state
governors, two-thirds of the senate, and all federal deputies. Lula
is constitutionally barred from seeking a third term and has
designated Civil Household (Prime) Minister Dilma Rousseff as his
party's candidate to succeed him. At this point, Rousseff is a
distant second in the polls to likely opposition candidate Sao Paulo
Governor Jose Serra, but with a year to go, the race remains
unpredictable. The evolving political situation will likely
increasingly impinge on the ability to launch new bilateral
initiatives. Summer/Christmas/Carnival break, which extends from
mid-December through mid-February, will slow progress on most
issues. Shortly afterward, as the campaign season enters full
swing, there will be a significant exodus of senior officials as
they leave to run for office and many ministries and agencies will
prefer to wait for the new government to be installed in January
2011 before starting significant new activities.
¶4. (SBU) The United States and Brazil share the basic goals of
fostering hemispheric stability and integration, promoting democracy
and human rights, and preventing transnational illicit activity.
The attainment of a permanent seat on the UN Security Council has
been a central goal of Brazil's foreign policy under President
Lula's government, and Brazil was just elected to a tenth two-year
non-permanent UN Security Council seat, a record matched only by
Japan. Regionally, Lula has maintained Brazil's historic focus on
stability, seeing good relations with all parties as the best way to
achieve this goal. As a result, Brazil maintains an active dialogue
with Venezuela and Cuba, has worked to foster good relations with
Bolivia and Ecuador, and has stood firmly on the principle of
respect for sovereignty in the region.
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
¶5. (SBU) Brazil is the tenth largest economy in the world and
received investment grade status from Standard and Poor's and Fitch
in 2008, and from Moody's in 2009. Annual Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) grew 5.1 percent in 2008, and inflation was 5.8 percent. The
global economic crisis eroded previous predictions for annual GDP
growth for 2009 from four per cent to essentially flat or slightly
negative. Despite this decline in immediate prospects, Brazil has
BRASILIA 00001254 002 OF 008
thus far weathered the crisis better than most major economies and
appears to be entering into a solid recovery position, led by strong
domestic demand. Conservative macroeconomic policies in the years
prior to the crisis, and targeted responses during the crisis --
including credit injections in the financial system, a reduction in
interest rates, and tax cuts on automobiles and consumer durables --
played a role in lessening the impact of the global crisis on
Brazil. Brazil is projected to return to a 4 to 5 percent GDP
growth rate in 2010.
¶6. (SBU) Brazil's relatively successful management of the crisis
has encouraged the GOB to engage proactively and constructively in
the debate over how to handle the economic crisis including through
the G20 process. Brazil has called for increased regulation of the
global financial system, increased global access to trade finance,
and an expanded voice and vote for large emerging countries like
Brazil in the international financial institutions.
¶7. (SBU) Brazil is a major producer and exporter. Agriculture
makes up 36 percent of exports, and the agribusiness sector accounts
for 25 percent of Brazil's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Brazil is
a leading exporter of soybeans, beef, sugar, coffee, and orange
juice. Brazil also distinguishes itself as a major exporter of
civilian aircraft, steel, and petrochemicals. The United States is
Brazil's top trading partner overall, and China as of March of this
year moved into first position as Brazil's primary export
destination. Prior to the current financial crisis, U.S.-Brazil
trade experienced significant annual growth surpassing USD 50
billion in 2008 -- Brazil typically experiences a slight positive
balance in the trade relationship.
¶8. (SBU) Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Brazil is increasing,
with inflows of USD 44 billion in 2008; USD 6.9 billion came from
the United States. Brazilian investment in the United States almost
tripled between 2001 (USD 1.4 billion) and 2006 (USD 3.9 billion).
President Lula has been actively selling Brazil as a solid
investment destination during the financial crisis due to its sound
macroeconomic policies and relatively strong economy. Brazil is
Latin America's biggest recipient of FDI, and in 2008 received
roughly twice the volume of inflow that Mexico received.
¶9. (SBU) Despite progress in recent years, income distribution in
Brazil remains grossly unequal, with 10 percent of the population
holding over 50 percent of the nation's wealth. With a total
population near 200 million, Brazil is also home to 50 percent of
the people who live in extreme povrty in Latin America. President
Lula's social pograms, combined with formal sector job growth and
real increases in the minimum wage, have reduced income inequalities
each year since 2004.
OVERVIEW ON BRAZILIAN MEDIA AND PUBLIC ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE USA
¶10. (SBU) In terms of general public opinion, the election of
Barack Obama as president seems to have influenced views of the
United States in a positive way. An Office of Research Opinion
Analysis released in March 2009 found that seven-in-10 Brazilians
believe the Obama presidency will be positive for Brazil and the
world. Economically, Brazilians say their future lies with the
United States and China. Majorities held a favorable view of the
United States (57 percent) and saw bilateral relations as being good
(65 percent). Howevr, Brazilians have often seen the United States
as an impediment to Brazil's aspirations for regional leadership.
Pluralities said last year that politically and economically, the
United States was as much a competitor as it was an ally and
partner. As of January, half lack confidence in the United States'
ability to deal responsibly with world problems.
¶11. (SBU) Brazilian journalists, generally speaking, are
professional, balanced, and strive for objectivity. Many are
evenhanded in their treatment of the United States, even if they do
not personally agree with U.S. policies. Some mainstream Brazilian
opinion writers demonstrate biases against U.S. policies, though the
trend has started to change with the election of President Obama. A
small segment of the Brazilian public accepts the notion that the
United States has a campaign to subjugate Brazil economically,
undermine it culturally, and occupy with troops at least part of its
territory. Such attitudes and beliefs have influenced Brazilian
reporting and commentary on issues such as the reestablishment of
the U.S. Navy's Fourth Fleet (which has been characterized as a
threat to Brazil), supposed U.S. nefarious intentions toward the
Amazon and the "Blue Amazon" (seas where new oil discoveries were
found) and most recently, the announcement on U.S. access to
Colombian military bases. That said, the Brazilian media have
reported favorably on U.S. efforts at the recent meeting of the
General Assembly of the Organization of American States and the
Summit of the Americas, and the Obama Administration overall,
portending a change in perspective with regards to U.S. intentions
in Brazil and the region at large.
BRASILIA 00001254 003 OF 008
SPECIFIC ISSUES: JOINT COMMISSION MEETING ON SCIENCE &TECHNOLOGY
¶12. (SBU) The next Joint Commission Meeting (JCM) on Science and
Technology will take place in Washington, November 19-20. This will
be the first JCM since 2006 and the first one during the Obama
Administration. The Brazilian delegation will be headed by the
Minister of Science and Technology, Dr. Sergio Rezende (MIT Ph.D,
Fulbright alumnus), who will be accompanied by the Ministry of
External Relations' Under Secretary for Energy and High Technology,
Ambassador Andre Amado. Dr. John Holdren, Science Adviser to the
President and Director of the Office of Science and Technology
Policy, will head the U.S. delegation. The JCM will review the wide
gamut of the bilateral S&T relationship. This meeting will include
a focus on three key areas: food security; climate change science;
and innovation. (SEE REFTEL A.)
¶13. (SBU) The JCM takes place in accordance with the 1984 Agreement
on Science and Technology between the United States and Brazil (the
"S&T Framework Agreement"). A wide variety of USG agencies have
used this Framework Agreement as the basis for an on-going and
robust cooperation with their Brazilian counterparts. Some of the
most active USG agencies in Brazil include the National Institutes
of Health, the National Science Foundation, the Smithsonian
Institution, the U.S. Geologic Survey, the U.S. Department of
Agriculture's Agricultural Research Service (USDA/ARS), the U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers, the National Aeronautical and Space
Administration (NASA), and the National Institute of Standards and
Technology. The activities undertaken by these agencies range the
gamut from climate science, to medical research and everything in
between.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: BIOTECHNOLOGY
¶13. (SBU) Biotechnology and genetic resources are issues that have
divided the Brazilian ministries, with the Agriculture Ministry
vigorously supporting increased use of biotechnology and freer flow
of genetic resources, and until recently, the Environment Ministry
expressing skepticism and caution on the matter. (SEE REFTEL B.)
The growing use of agricultural biotechnology, including genetic
engineering (GE), by Brazilian farmers and the arrival of a more
pragmatic Environment Minister present an opportunity for the USG to
encourage the GOB to work more closely with the USG on these key
issues. Brazil has come a long way in making use of biotechnology.
Post estimates that for the upcoming 2009/2010 season GE seeds will
account for 65 percent of soybean plantings, 20 percent of corn
plantings, and 10 percent of cotton plantings. Earlier in October
2009, the Ministry of Science and Technology together with the
National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq)
announced an initiative to promote biotechnology research with small
grants of up to 50,000 Reais (about US$25,000).
¶14. (SBU) You will have opportunities during this visit to meet
with the Minister of Agriculture, Reinhold Stephanes, and
researchers from Brazil's Agricultural Research Service (EMBRAPA),
an agency similar to the USDA/ARS. In fact, EMBRAPA and USDA/ARS
have a well-established cooperation and exchange program called
LABEX. EMBRAPA is a leader in agriculture biotechnology. In 1986,
EMBRAPA began its agricultural biotech research at the Center for
Genetics and Biotechnology Research (CENARGEN), which you will have
an opportunity to see. Further, you will meet with the private
sector engaged in agriculture biotechnology such as Monsanto and
DOW, as well as agriculture multinationals, such as ADM and Cargill
and Brazil's National Agriculture Confederation (CNA).
SPECIFIC ISSUES: ASSISTANCE AND TRILATERAL COOPERATION
¶15. (SBU) Bilateral development assistance in Brazil is diminishing
as Brazil's economy advances, notwithstanding areas of continued
extreme poverty and sharp regional disparities. Germany and the
European Union lead assistance efforts, much of it dedicated to
forest conservation and sustainable development, while the United
Kingdom is devoting its assistance efforts almost entirely to
climate change mitigation and carbon-free economic growth. USAID
has modest assistance programs in Brazil directed to health and
youth employability in the poor Northeast and to sustainable
development in the Amazon, channeled almost entirely through
non-governmental organizations. But while the GOB accepts limited
development aid, it does not actively seek assistance, even during
periods of evident disaster assistance needs such as the recent
flooding in the Northeast and in the Amazon.
¶16. (SBU) Brazil is evolving toward a new role as a provider of
development cooperation, rather than a recipient. Together with
Brazil's Ministry of External Relations, USAID is developing an MOU
that will establish triangular development assistance relationships
with Haiti and with Portuguese-speaking African countries in the
areas of food security and health. The GOB is confident that it is
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in an advantageous position to showcase its agricultural expertise
and experience in HIV/AIDS treatment and actively seeks a
partnership of equals with the USG and other developed countries to
extend this success to developing countries. The USG and GOB have
already commenced a project in Sao Tome to address the problem of
malaria there. Further, the USG has repeatedly called on Brazilian
medical specialists to assist its health assistance programs in
Africa.
¶17. (SBU) Possible areas of trilateral cooperation extend beyond
food security and health. Since signing the Biofuels Cooperation
Memorandum of Understanding in March 2007, the USG and the GOB have
been working together to assist developing countries in the
Caribbean, Central America, and now in Africa in making scientific
based decisions about biofuel policies. Moreover, the USG and GOB
are conducting joint research on advanced and next generation
biofuels. We are also discussing possible joint cooperation on
hydropower in Haiti. Now, there is initial interest in how the USG
and the GOB might utilize their impressive assets and skills in
remote sensing and earth observation to benefit other tropical
forest countries.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: INNOVATION
¶18. (SBU) Brazilian officials continue to point to innovation as
one of their highest priorities and have indicated interest in
cooperation in this area. (SEE REFTEL C.) Continuing bilateral
discussions on innovation would provide the USG with an excellent
opportunity to highlight the importance of intellectual property
rights (IPR) as a pillar of innovation. While innovation has
occasionally served as a hook for positive discussion of IPR with
the GOB, there is also some resistance (principally from the
Ministry of External Relations) to linking conversations on
innovation, economic development, and intellectual property
protection. This resistance seems to be motivated by the Ministry
of External Relations' political desire for Brazil to take a leading
role among developing nations and a policy belief (led by Ministry
of Health) that pharmaceutical patents contradict the public
interest by limiting access to medications. While some Brazilian
officials acknowledge the importance of IPR to innovation, the GOB
writ large does not consistently draw a link between IPR and the
development and commercialization of new technology and invention.
Furthermore, the Ministry of External Relations' consideration of
cross-retaliation on IPR (in the World Trade Organization cotton
dispute) could be perceived as a lack of commitment to the long-term
value of IPR to attracting and promoting innovation as a key element
of economic growth. The Ministry of External Relations and Casa
Civil interlocutors will not eagerly seize on the theme of
innovation's ties to IPR protection. However, those officials and
ministries dealing with industry and trade are well aware of IPR's
importance to economic development and growth, and the powerful Sao
Paulo Industry Federation (FIESP) as well as other Brazilian private
sector representative have indicated concerns regarding proposals to
cross-retaliate on IPR in the cotton case.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: FULBRIGHT AND HIGHER EDUCATION COOPERATION
¶19. (SBU) The Fulbright Program offers grants for graduate and
post-doctoral studies in all fields of knowledge. The Fulbright
Program in Brazil, begun in 1957, has awarded grants for 3,000
Brazilians for educational programs in the United States. and for
2,500 Americans for educational programs in Brazil. Of the
Brazilians who have gone to the United States, 286 participated in
science or technology programs, and 83 Brazilians are currently
studying in the United States in scientific or technical fields.
Since its inception in 2007, four Brazilians have been selected for
the International Fulbright Science and Technology Award for
Outstanding Foreign Students, which provides winners the opportunity
to pursue a Ph.D. at top U.S. universities. This award is designed
to be the most prestigious international scholarship in science and
technology. In addition, two Brazilian scholars were selected to
take part in the 2010 Fulbright New Century Scholars Program, the
theme of which is "The University as Innovation Driver and Knowledge
Center." Now in its sixth year, this program provides a platform
for a group of outstanding scholars from around the world to focus
on a single issue of concern to people, institutions and governments
worldwide. The selected scholars, one-third of whom are from the
United States and the rest from other countries - spend a year
conducting research, both individually and collaboratively, to
advance understanding on the year's chosen topic. It is very
unusual to have two scholars from the same country participate in
this program, which speaks to the quality of the Brazilian
applicants.
¶20. (SBU) The Fulbright Commission in Brazil works in cooperation
on many of its programs with CAPES, the Brazilian federal agency
under the Ministry of Education that supports scholarships abroad
for Brazilian students and scholars. You will be meeting with the
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President of CAPES during your visit. This year Fulbright and CAPES
will phase out the four-year PhD program as a result of the
consolidation of graduate programs in Brazil. They will launch in
its place the Fulbright Doctoral Dissertation Research Award
Program, which will provide a nine-month research grant for
Brazilian doctoral students enrolled in Brazilian universities who
wish to study or do research at U.S. institutions to complement
their studies and research in Brazil. The priority areas for these
grants will be science and technology fields. In the first year, 40
grants will be offered, and the goal is to increase the number to 50
in the coming years. A call for applications for this program will
begin in November of 2009 and the first students will depart in the
fall of 2010.
¶21. (SBU) Since February of 2008, the Fulbright Commission in Brazil
has coordinated the Brazil-U.S. Higher Education Council Bio-Fuels
Network, which aims to create a framework to enhance information
exchange and facilitate research collaboration and partnerships
between scientists, universities and research institutions in Brazil
and the U.S. in the area of biofuels. The Network has established
an active website that includes an international database to connect
researchers from United States and Brazilian institutions that
currently includes 140 Brazilian and U.S. researchers and
professionals working in the area of biofuels. The Network has
organized a an annual short course on biofuels, the first of which
was held at the University of Sao Paulo from July 27-August 7 of
this year. The course aimed at providing interdisciplinary
education in bio-energy and biofuels technologies and to improve
communication among institutions of higher education, science, and
other public and private organizations in Brazil and the U.S.
Participants included Brazilian and U.S. graduate students, as well
as private sector professionals. The Network plans to seek funding
for joint proposals developed by Network members, to start webinars
and a bi-monthly e-newsletter, and is currently planning the second
annual biofuels short course. However, this project has funding for
two years only from the Bureau of Educational and Cultural Affairs
(ECA). ECA is currently evaluation the program to determine if it
will continue funding, currently scheduled to terminate in December
of 2009.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: CLIMATE CHANGE
¶22. (SBU) After intensive lobbying from senior USG officials and
pressure from other countries and domestic constituencies, President
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva announced a major shift in Brazil's
position in the international climate change negotiations. He has
announced a target of reducing the rate of deforestation of the
Amazon Forest by 80% by 2020, which would amount to about 20%
reduction in country-wide emissions. This represents a significant
advance over Brazil's previous position that only the developed
countries should have emissions reductions targets and the
developing ones needed to preserve room for growth. Brazil,
however, insists that developed countries provide substantial
technology transfer and financial assistance to developing countries
so that they can take mitigation and adaptation measures.
¶23. (SBU) There is a long history of cooperation in the science of
climate change and biodiversity. NASA supported a massive project
called the Large-scale Biosphere Atmosphere (LBA) Project in the
Amazon, which continues with funding from other sources. The
Smithsonian Institution and the National Science Foundation operate
programs on climate change in Brazil. NASA provides the satellite
imagery to help Brazil monitor the Amazon. This is a potential area
for greater cooperation as USG agencies place a greater emphasis on
this area.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: THREATS TO PATENTS FOR PHARMACEUTICALS
¶24. (SBU) Patent protection for pharmaceuticals is a sensitive
matter for the GOB. In July, the Brazilian National Institute of
Industrial Property (INPI) rejected a patent application by
California-based Gilead Sciences for its HIV drug Viread (scientific
name: tenofovir). The patent rejection (which INPI told Gilead was
"purely technical" but accompanied by "lots of pressure" from the
Ministry of Health) could be the final step in allowing generic
production of tenofovir, since the Ministry of Health has already
declared in April 2008 that tenofovir was a drug of public interest
and in May 2009 established an inter-ministerial group to oversee
the development of domestic production capacity.
¶25. (SBU) Compulsory licensing has been a topic of much discussion
since Brazil's 2007 decision to issue a compulsory license for
Merck's HIV drug Stocrin (scientific name: efavirenz) and will
continue to be so. However, the GOB's current stance against
patents for incremental innovation in pharmaceuticals could have
equally damaging results. Political pressure to reject patent
applications for legitimately innovative drugs could be a new front
in Brazil's push to cut health costs and bolster its generic drug
BRASILIA 00001254 006 OF 008
industry, but will ultimately damage innovation and competitiveness.
The USG has opportunities to engage on these issues with the GOB
through the Economic Partnership Dialogue, the Bilateral
Consultative Mechanism, the Commercial Dialogue, and the JCM.
Continuing to press innovation/competitiveness themes and raise
their profile within the spectrum of stake-holder agencies will
remain an important part of the strategy to affect progress on
intellectual property protection in Brazil.
¶26. (SBU) These issues are of particular note because you may be
meeting with one or more representatives of the Oswaldo Cruz
Insitute (Fio Cruz) which in addition to being the country's premier
medical research institution, is also the center of its generic
pharmaceutical industry. In addition to impressive medical research
facilities, like Fio Cruz, Brazil has a large cadre of first class
researchers. In fact, the National Institutes of Health conduct
more joint research with Brazilian researchers and institutions than
in any other country in the Western Hemisphere.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: ENERGY
¶27. (SBU) For Brazil, turning ethanol into a world commodity is a
key aspect of increasing energy security. Though Brazilian ethanol
is produced from sugar cane, Brazil sees expansion of the global
ethanol market, regardless of feed stock, as a key interest. The
USG and the GOB are working together in various multilateral fora
and the bilateral Commercial Dialogue to develop international
biofuels standards and sustainability criteria. By making it easier
to treat biofuels as a tradable commodity, these standards should
foster the emergence of a vibrant global biofuels market. One
irritant in the biofuels relationship is the 54 cents per gallon
surcharge charged to imported biofuels. The Brazilians view the
tariff as a measure which supports the corn ethanol industry to the
detriment of more efficient sugar ethanol and regularly question why
there should be a trade barrier to a clean fuel when there is no
such barrier for petroleum. The Brazilian Sugar Growers'
Association (UNICA) may raise their concern about the tariff in your
Sao Paulo meeting with them. Another issue of concern is the
proposed U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) rule making for
a federal renewable fuel standard, which the Brazilians view as a
non-tariff trade barrier. The Brazilians contest the modeling that
was done to assess the greenhouse gas effects of fuel lifecycles and
fear that such assessments could be used to unfairly impede exports
of sugar cane based biofuels from Brazil and the third countries
where we are working together to establish domestic ethanol
capabilities. In a welcome and well-received outreach effort, the
EPA sent a team to Brazil in August to share their modeling
methodology and hear the suggestions and concerns of the
Brazilians.
¶28. (SBU) The discovery in 2007 of potentially massive offshore
("pre-salt") reserves of oil and gas estimated to contain between
30-80 billion barrels of oil equivalent could put Brazil within the
top ten oil countries in terms of reserves. Though the discoveries
have generated a great deal of excitement, industry observers
caution that development will probably be slow in coming due to the
expensive technological challenges involved with ultra-deepwater
drilling, including a worldwide shortage of equipment such as
drilling rigs. One particular challenge they face is how to handle
the likely significant quantities of natural gas in the reserves at
such depths and such great distances from land. There has been some
discussion of bilateral cooperation generally in this area and could
perhaps be a means of heading off a potential gas flaring problem.
¶29. (SBU) On August 31, the GOB unveiled its long-awaited proposal
for a new oil regime to administer its ultra deepwater pre-salt
reserves. The proposal, which has been submitted to Congress for
consideration, is destined to be highly politicized in this
pre-election year and will likely undergo significant changes. The
proposed legislation would replace the old concessions model and
make state-owned Petrobras, with a required minimum of 30 percent
participation, the operator on each block, responsible for choosing
the contractors, technology, and personnel. It also creates a new
government entity known as Petrosal to represent the government to
manage the service contracts, and establishes a Social Fund to
direct anticipated new oil state revenues against poverty
alleviation, education, and scientific and technological innovation.
Finally, the legislation provides for up to USD 50 billion to
increase Petrobras' capacity to serve its designated role in the
pre-salt exploration. U.S. oil companies operating in Brazil are
concerned about the new nationalistic model and warn that it could
make their future operations in Brazil commercially non-viable.
They are particularly concerned about the potential for Petrobras'
designation as sole operator to relegate them to essentially a
financing role, and they cite a high degree of uncertainty regarding
the model's potential impact on their investments in Brazil.
ExImBank has extended a USD 2 billion line of credit to support U.S.
equipment and services in development of these reserves.
BRASILIA 00001254 007 OF 008
SPECIFIC ISSUES: U.S. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT S&T INTERESTS IN BRAZIL
¶30. (SBU) The United States was a direct contributor to the birth
of the Brazilian Aerospace Industry. In 1945, Brazilian Air Force
Col Montenegro visited Wright Patterson AFB and MIT. These visits
resulted in Col Montenegro and MIT Professor Richard Smith
establishing what is today known as the Aerospace Technical
Institute (ITA), the Department of Aerospace Technology (DCTA) and
the successful aircraft manufacturer EMBRAER, which today is a
private company. Very intense cooperation throughout the 1960s
transitioned to a decline in military S&T cooperation during periods
of human rights violations and military dictatorship in Brazil. The
Brazilian military and the U.S. military continue to work to
increase collaborative efforts after a long lull in cooperation.
The Brazilian military has emphasized that they have been faithful
custodians of U.S. sensitive technologies, while at the same time
expressing resentment over what they label as embargoes on
technology transfer. In response to the misuse of the term
embargoes or implied restrictions technology transfer, DTSA had a
briefing team clarify with the Ministry of Defense that most of the
issues presented were commercial contractual issues with private
companies and not USG trade control issues, and definitely not an
embargo. S&T dialogues are held at the General Officer Level on an
annual basis, alternating between Brazil and the United States.
These meetings are referred to as National Executive Agent Meetings.
The Brazilian Air Force Executive Agent, Brigadier General Venancio
will be participating in the November JCM. While at the same time
desiring a return to the cooperation of the 1950's and 1960's and a
man who has great respect for the United States, he is an officer
who has made charges of U.S. "embargoes" of transferring
technologies to Brazil.
¶31. (SBU) The Air Force Office of Scientific Research (AFOSR) has
collaborative efforts with military and civilian universities.
Extensive interest in Brazil led to a proposal to open a regional
office in Brazil, however, due to Brazilian political resistance,
this regional office had to be established elsewhere, in Santiago,
Chile, despite the most significant collaborative work occurring in
Brazil. The Brazilian Air Force is most proud of ongoing hypersonic
collaborative research with the U.S. Air Force which is leading edge
relative to global hypersonic research efforts. If the Super Hornet
is selected in the F-X2 competition the Brazilian Air Force will
receive a Tri-sonic wind tunnel as a Boeing offset which will
significantly improve their aerospace research and development
capabilities.
¶32. (SBU) One of the most significant visits in the area of S&T was
a visit by former DARPA Director Dr. Tether in September of 2008.
Dr. Tether visited CENPES (Petrobras Research Center), COPPE
(Federal University of Rio Research Center) and PUC (Catholic
University Research Center). In Brasilia he met with the S&T
Minister and with the Brazilian Army. In Sao Jose dos Campos, which
contains the greatest concentration of Brazilian Aerospace research,
he visited, INPE (National Aerospace Research Center) and CTA (Air
Force R&D Center) followed by the University of Sco Paulo. The
intent was to discover collaborative opportunities and hopefully
generate interest in submitting White Papers to DARPA with
collaborative project proposals. Great interest was expressed
during Dr. Tether's visit, but no DARPA collaborative projects with
Brazil have yet emerged.
¶33. (SBU) The GOB has a high regard for the scientific know-how and
technical prowess of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). The
USACE has a robust engagement plan with the Brazilian Army
Engineers. The USACE has worked closely with the GOB on potential
cooperation on ports management, dredging and transmodal cargo
operations as well as waterway navigation and management. The GOB
requested assistance from the USACE on the transposition of the Sao
Francisco River, in the Northeast of Brazil, but due to internal
Brazilian controversies surrounding the transposition, the USACE has
refrained from cooperating on anything other than the waterway
management of the river. Areas covered were: revitalization of
river banks, dredging, and navigation training works (structures
such as chevrons, dikes, locks, etc.). The USACE is currently
working on the possibility of cooperating with the GOB on design and
development of a hydroelectric project in Haiti. In September 2009,
USACE sent a team to assist the Brazilian Waterways Agency (ANA)
with an assessment of the Navigability of the Teles Pires - Tapajos
river. USACE is currently looking at forming a formal cooperation
agreement with ANA. An important annual event between USACE and the
Brazilian Army engineers is the annual Chief of Engineers visits,
alternating host countries every year.
SPECIFIC ISSUES: FIGHTER AIRCRAFT PURCHASE & TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
¶34. (SBU) An important watershed in achieving a more robust defense
relationship with Brazil will be the decision on a next generation
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fighter aircraft. This is a $4 billion sale that would create an
estimated 30,000 jobs in the United States and 5,000 in Brazil.
Boeing's F-18 Super Hornet is a finalist along with the French
Rafale and Swedish Gripen. After hosting French President Sarkozy
in Brasilia for Brazilian Independence Day celebrations, President
Lula announced on September 7 that Brazil is entering advanced
negotiations to purchase 36 French-made Rafale fighters. The
following day Brazil's Defense Ministry confirmed that the selection
process was not closed and the U.S. contender is still under
consideration. With a lower cost and stronger offset program,
Boeing is well-positioned to win on the merits of its bid, but faces
a presumption in the Brazilian political community that doing
business with the United States is negative for Brazil. While many
Brazilian businesses would prefer to build a relationship with
Boeing, they have not yet made this view known to the political
leadership.
¶35. (SBU) Despite significant USG efforts over the past year to
allay Brazilian concerns, the GOB expresses doubts about the USG's
willingness to transfer technology. The USG has, however, completed
approval for all components of the Boeing offer.
SECURITY SITUATION IN BRAZIL
¶36. (SBU) Political and labor strikes and demonstrations occur
sporadically in urban areas and may cause temporary disruption to
public transportation. Naturally, protests anywhere in the world
have the potential to become violent. While it is unlikely that
U.S. citizens would be targeted during such events, U.S. citizens
traveling or residing in Brazil are advised to take common-sense
precautions and avoid any large gatherings or any other event where
crowds have congregated to demonstrate or protest.
¶37. (SBU) Crime throughout Brazil (especially Rio de Janeiro) has
reached very high levels. The Brazilian police and the Brazilian
press report that the rate of crime continues to rise, especially in
the major urban centers - though it is also spreading in rural
areas. Brazil's murder rate is more than four times higher than
that of the United States. Rates for other crimes are similarly
high. The majority of crimes are not solved.
¶38. (SBU) Street crime remains a problem for visitors and local
residents alike, especially in the evenings and late at night.
Foreign tourists are often targets of crime and Americans are not
exempt. This targeting occurs in all tourist areas but is
especially problematic in Rio de Janeiro, Salvador and Recife.
¶39. (SBU) The incidence of crime against tourists is greater in
areas surrounding beaches, hotels, discotheques, bars, nightclubs,
and other similar establishments that cater to visitors. This type
of crime is especially prevalent during Carnaval (Brazilian Mardi
Gras), but takes place throughout the year. While the risk is
greater at dusk and during the evening hours, street crime can occur
both day and night, and even safer areas of cities are not immune.
¶40. (SBU) At airports, hotel lobbies, bus stations and other public
places, incidents of pick pocketing, theft of hand carried luggage,
and laptop computers are common. Travelers should "dress down" when
outside and avoid carrying valuables or wearing jewelry or expensive
watches. "Good Samaritan" scams are common. If a tourist looks
lost or seems to be having trouble communicating, a seemingly
innocent bystander offering help may victimize them. Care should be
taken at and around banks and internationally connected automatic
teller machines that take U.S. credit or debit cards.
¶41. (SBU) Travelers using personal ATMs or credit cards sometimes
receive billing statements with non-authorized charges after
returning from a visit to Brazil. The Embassy and Consulates have
received numerous reports from both official Americans and tourists
who have had their cards cloned or duplicated without their
knowledge. Those using such payment methods should carefully
monitor their banking online for the duration of their visit.
¶42. (SBU) While the ability of Brazilian police to help recover
stolen property is limited, it is nevertheless strongly advised to
obtain a "boletim de ocorrencia" (police report) at a "delegacia"
(police station) whenever any possessions are lost or stolen. This
will facilitate the traveler's exit from Brazil and insurance
claims.
KUBISKE