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Viewing cable 09COLOMBO396, Northern Sri Lanka SitRep 47

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09COLOMBO396 2009-04-06 11:49 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Colombo
O 061149Z APR 09
FM AMEMBASSY COLOMBO
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9755
INFO AMEMBASSY ATHENS 
AMEMBASSY BANGKOK 
AMEMBASSY DHAKA 
AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 
AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU 
AMEMBASSY LONDON 
AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 
AMEMBASSY OSLO 
AMEMBASSY TOKYO 
AMCONSUL CHENNAI 
AMCONSUL MUMBAI 
AMCONSUL TORONTO 
USEU BRUSSELS
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 
USMISSION GENEVA 
HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
DIA WASHINGTON DC
NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
SECDEF WASHDC
CDRUSARPAC FT SHAFTER HI//APCW/APOP//
CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI//J3/J332/J52//
UNCLAS COLOMBO 000396 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
STATE FOR SCA (BOUCHER), SCA/INS AND PRM 
STATE ALSO PASS USAID 
AID/W FOR ANE/SCA, DCHA/FFP (DWORKEN, KSHEIN) 
AID/W FOR DCHA/OFDA (MORRISP, ACONVERY, RTHAYER, RKERR) 
ATHENS FOR PCARTER 
BANGKOK FOR USAID/DCHA/OFDA (WBERGER) 
KATHMANDU FOR USAID/DCHA/OFDA AND POL (SBERRY) 
GENEVA FOR RMA (NKYLOH, NHILGERT, MPITOTTI) 
USUN NEW YORK FOR ECOSOC (D MERCADO) 
SECDEF FOR OSD - POLICY 
PACOM ALSO FOR J-5 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREF MOPS PHUM PGOV PREL ASEC CE
SUBJECT: Northern Sri Lanka SitRep 47 
 
Ref:  A) Colombo 393  B) Colombo 384  C) Colombo 374  D) Colombo 368 
 E) Colombo 361  F) Colombo 360  G) Colombo 357  H) Colombo 351  I) 
Colombo 342  J) Colombo 329  K) Colombo 321 
 
1. (SBU) SUMMARY:  Army Commander Fonseka reported to Ambassador 
that the LTTE controls only 3 square kilometers outside the safe 
zone.  Fonseka also estimated that the LTTE only had 600-700 hard 
core cadres and 300 Sea Tigers left.  Defense Secretary Rajapaksa 
told Reuters that the military was in "no hurry" to reach the safe 
zone.  OCHA reports 58,378 arrivals to government territory in the 
first three months of 2009.  End Summary. 
 
Fonseka: LTTE Controls 3 sq km Outside Safe Zone 
--------------------------------------------- --- 
 
2. (SBU) Army Commander Sarath Fonseka reported to Ambassador on 
April 6 that an LTTE doctor, captured along with 50 other LTE 
members after the battle for PTK, East identiied the bodies of LTTE 
leaders killed during the31 Mar-05 Apr battle.  (Note: On April 5 
the govrnment announced the military had killed LTTE leader 
Prabhakaran's head security officer Gaddafi, the head of the LTTE's 
female fighters, Vidusha, and commanders Theepan and Nagesh.) 
Fonseka estimated the LTTE controls approximately 3 sq km outside 
the safe area, mostly open terrain west of the lagoon and southwest 
of the villages of Ampalavanpokkanai and Valayanmadam.  Fonseka 
estimated it would take no more than two weeks to clear the area 
outside the civilian safe zone, after which the army will exercise 
patience. 
 
Fonseka: 600-700 Cadres Left 
--------------------------- 
 
3. (SBU) Fonseka estimated the number of hardcore LTTE cadres at 
600-700 plus 300 Sea Tigers.  (Note: Military and government 
officials have consistently underestimated the LTTE's strength.) 
Fonseka estimated there were about another 800 forced recruits with 
two weeks' training or less.  He said 30-40 boats per month have 
been taking people from LTTE-controlled areas to southern India.  He 
believes Prabhakaran, Intelligence Chief Pottu Amman, Sea Tiger 
leader Soosai and other surviving senior LTTE leaders are still 
within the safe zone.  He said the rest of the senior LTTE 
leadership has been killed or wounded.  The LTTE continues to 
improve its fighting positions within the safe zone, building an 
extensive array of earthen berms, ditches, bunkers, and minefields, 
Fonseka stated.  He said the latest LTTE appeal to the civilians is 
to help the LTTE until the upcoming Indian elections, when a new, 
possibly more sympathetic Government might emerge. 
 
Defense Secretary: No Rush to Safe Zone 
--------------------------------------- 
 
4. (U) Echoing private assurances to Ambassador in February, Defense 
Secretary Gothabaya Rajapaksa told Reuters news agency that Sri 
Lankan troops were "in no hurry to proceed to the no-fire zone." 
Rajapaksa explained that the military would not be in a hurry, 
especially when intelligence reports show dissension against the 
LTTE brewing in the area.  "Time is not a factor here. Our major 
concern is to get these civilians out of the LTTE-controlled area. 
Very soon, you will see a lot of civilians coming out and making the 
 
task of the military easier," the Defense Secretary said.  On April 
6, President Mahinda Rajapaksa called on LTTE leader Velupillai 
Prabhakaran to surrender immediately or "face total annihilation 
within days if not hours." 
 
UN Secretary General's Statement 
-------------------------------- 
 
5. (U) On April 3 U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon issued a 
statement expressing his deep distress over the plight of civilians 
in northern Sri Lanka.  UNSYG's message stated that the LTTE was 
violating international law by forcibly preventing civilians from 
leaving the conflict zone.  UNSYG also "deplored the forced 
recruitment of children" by the LTTE.  At the same time the 
statement reminded the GSL to avoid the use of heavy weapons in 
areas where there are civilians and receive and treat IDPs according 
to international law. 
 
Kaelin Seeks Specific Benchmarks 
-------------------------------- 
 
6.  (SBU) The UN Special Rapporteur for the Human Rights of 
Displaced Persons, Walter Kaelin, told a group of Ambassadors on 
April 6 that his visit was part of a UN strategy to keep up a stream 
of visits and phone calls to maintain quiet pressure on the GSL to 
improve conditions for IDPs.  After a visit to the IDP camps in 
Vavuniya, Kaelin said there are clear challenges but conditions are 
slowly improving.  The major substantive outcome is that the GSL 
agreed that UNHCR will prepare a paper for GSL consideration setting 
out specific benchmarks for the GSL to meet on issues such as 
freedom of movement, return/resettlement of IDPs to their homes, and 
screening procedures in order to help build the confidence of the 
IDPs themselves, the donors and the wider Tamil community.  Kaelin 
will issue a public statement on his visit on April 7.  (Septel will 
provide more details.) 
 
Latest Arrival Numbers 
---------------------- 
 
7. (U) The U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs 
(OCHA) reported that 58,378 persons crossed from the conflict area 
during the first three months of 2009. (Note: The figures are 
slightly higher than UNHCR's report of 57,412 new arrivals to GSL 
territory since November 2008.  Ref C).  The government in turn 
claims 62,106 arrivals between October 2008 and the beginning of 
April 2009. 
 
Food Aid Delivery Complete 
-------------------------- 
 
8. (U) WFP completed delivery of food aid to the safe zone (Ref B) 
and the cargo ship "Dublin" would return to Trincomalee today (April 
6).  WFP will discuss with the government the next shipment of 
relief food to the conflict area this week. 
 
Civilian Casualties and IDP Outflow 
----------------------------------- 
 
9.  (SBU) Tamil sources from within the LTTE-controlled area report 
 
149 civilians were killed, including 30 children on April 5, and 225 
injured from April 3-5. Pro-LTTE website TamilNet reported 71 
civilians killed and 143 wounded in fighting on April 4 and 5. 
(Note: Such reports from Tamil sources cannot be confirmed and are 
frequently exaggerated.)  The Defense Ministry reported 2127 
civilians had reached government territory on April 5. 
 
BLAKE