Keep Us Strong WikiLeaks logo

Currently released so far... 97115 / 251,287

Articles

Browse latest releases

Browse by creation date

Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z

Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ETRD EAGR ETTC EAID ECON EFIN ECIN EINV ELAB EAIR ENRG EPET EWWT ECPS EIND EMIN ELTN EC ETMIN EUC EZ ET ELECTIONS ENVR EU EUN EG EINT ER ECONOMICS ES EMS ENIV EEB EN ECE ECOSOC EK ENVIRONMENT EFIS EI EWT ENGRD ECPSN EXIM EIAD ERIN ECPC EDEV ENGY ECTRD EPA ESTH ECCT EINVECON ENGR ERTD EUR EAP EWWC ELTD EL EXIMOPIC EXTERNAL ETRDEC ESCAP ECO EGAD ELNT ECONOMIC ENV ETRN EIAR EUMEM ENRGPARMOTRASENVKGHGPGOVECONTSPLEAID EREL ECOM ECONETRDEAGRJA ETCC ETRG ECONOMY EMED ETR ENERG EITC EFINOECD EURM EENG ERA EXPORT ENRD ECONEINVETRDEFINELABETRDKTDBPGOVOPIC EGEN EBRD EVIN ETRAD ECOWAS EFTA ECONETRDBESPAR EGOVSY EPIN EID ECONENRG EDRC ESENV ETT EB ENER ELTNSNAR ECHEVARRIA ETRC EPIT EDUC ESA EFI ENRGY ESCI EE EAIDXMXAXBXFFR EETC ECIP EIAID EIVN EBEXP ESTN EING EGOV ETRA EPETEIND ELAN ETRDGK EAIDRW ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS EPEC ENVI ELN EAG EPCS EPRT EPTED ETRB EUM EAIDS EFIC EFINECONEAIDUNGAGM EAIDAR ESF EIDN ELAM EDU EV EAIDAF ECN EDA EXBS EINTECPS ENRGTRGYETRDBEXPBTIOSZ EPREL EAC EINVEFIN ETA EAGER EINDIR ECA ECLAC ELAP EITI EUCOM ECONEFINETRDPGOVEAGRPTERKTFNKCRMEAID EARG ELDIN EINVKSCA ENNP EFINECONCS EFINTS ECCP ETC EAIRASECCASCID EINN ETRP EAIDNI EFQ ECOQKPKO EGPHUM EBUD ECONEINVEFINPGOVIZ ENERGY ELB EINDETRD EMI ECONEFIN EIB EURN ETRDEINVTINTCS EIN EFIM ETIO ELAINE EMN EATO EWTR EIPR EINVETC ETTD ETDR EIQ ECONCS EPPD ENRGIZ EISL ESPINOSA ELEC EAIG ESLCO EUREM ENTG ERD EINVECONSENVCSJA EEPET EUNCH ECINECONCS ETRO ETRDECONWTOCS ECUN EFND EPECO EAIRECONRP ERGR ETRDPGOV ECPN ENRGMO EPWR EET EAIS EAGRE EDUARDO EAGRRP EAIDPHUMPRELUG EICN ECONQH EVN EGHG ELBR EINF EAIDHO EENV ETEX ERNG ED
KMDR KPAO KPKO KJUS KCRM KGHG KFRD KWMN KDEM KTFN KHIV KGIC KIDE KSCA KNNP KHUM KIPR KSUM KISL KIRF KCOR KRCM KPAL KWBG KN KS KOMC KSEP KFLU KPWR KTIA KSEO KMPI KHLS KICC KSTH KMCA KVPR KPRM KE KU KZ KFLO KSAF KTIP KTEX KBCT KOCI KOLY KOR KAWC KACT KUNR KTDB KSTC KLIG KSKN KNN KCFE KCIP KGHA KHDP KPOW KUNC KDRL KV KPREL KCRS KPOL KRVC KRIM KGIT KWIR KT KIRC KOMO KRFD KUWAIT KG KFIN KSCI KTFIN KFTN KGOV KPRV KSAC KGIV KCRIM KPIR KSOC KBIO KW KGLB KMWN KPO KFSC KSEAO KSTCPL KSI KPRP KREC KFPC KUNH KCSA KMRS KNDP KR KICCPUR KPPAO KCSY KTBT KCIS KNEP KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KNNB KGCC KINR KPOP KMFO KENV KNAR KVIR KDRG KDMR KFCE KNAO KDEN KGCN KICA KIMMITT KMCC KLFU KMSG KSEC KUM KCUL KMNP KSMT KCOM KOMCSG KSPR KPMI KRAD KIND KCRP KAUST KWAWC KTER KCHG KRDP KPAS KITA KTSC KPAOPREL KWGB KIRP KJUST KMIG KLAB KTFR KSEI KSTT KAPO KSTS KLSO KWNN KPOA KHSA KNPP KPAONZ KBTS KWWW KY KJRE KPAOKMDRKE KCRCM KSCS KWMNCI KESO KWUN KPLS KIIP KEDEM KPAOY KRIF KGICKS KREF KTRD KFRDSOCIRO KTAO KJU KWMNPHUMPRELKPAOZW KEN KO KNEI KEMR KKIV KEAI KWAC KRCIM KWCI KFIU KWIC KCORR KOMS KNNO KPAI KBWG KTTB KTBD KTIALG KILS KFEM KTDM KESS KNUC KPA KOMCCO KCEM KRCS KWBGSY KNPPIS KNNPMNUC KWN KERG KLTN KALM KCCP KSUMPHUM KREL KGH KLIP KTLA KAWK KWMM KVRP KVRC KAID KSLG KDEMK KX KIF KNPR KCFC KFTFN KTFM KPDD KCERS KMOC KDEMAF KMEPI KEMS KDRM KEPREL KBTR KEDU KNP KIRL KNNR KMPT KISLPINR KTPN KA KJUSTH KPIN KDEV KTDD KAKA KFRP KWNM KTSD KINL KJUSKUNR KWWMN KECF KWBC KPRO KVBL KOM KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KEDM KFLD KLPM KRGY KNNF KICR KIFR KM KWMNCS KAWS KLAP KPAK KDDG KCGC KID KNSD KMPF KPFO KDP KCMR KRMS KNPT KNNNP KTIAPARM KDTB KNUP KPGOV KNAP KNNC KUK KSRE KREISLER KIVP KQ KTIAEUN KPALAOIS KRM KISLAO KWM KFLOA
PHUM PINR PTER PGOV PREL PREF PL PM PHSA PE PARM PINS PK PUNE PO PALESTINIAN PU PBTS PROP PTBS POL POLI PA PGOVZI POLMIL POLITICAL PARTIES POLM PD POLITICS POLICY PAS PMIL PINT PNAT PV PKO PPOL PERSONS PING PBIO PH PETR PARMS PRES PCON PETERS PRELBR PT PLAB PP PAK PDEM PKPA PSOCI PF PLO PTERM PJUS PSOE PELOSI PROPERTY PGOVPREL PARP PRL PNIR PHUMKPAL PG PREZ PGIC PBOV PAO PKK PROV PHSAK PHUMPREL PROTECTION PGOVBL PSI PRELPK PGOVENRG PUM PRELKPKO PATTY PSOC PRIVATIZATION PRELSP PGOVEAIDUKNOSWGMHUCANLLHFRSPITNZ PMIG PREC PAIGH PROG PSHA PARK PETER POG PHUS PPREL PS PTERPREL PRELPGOV POV PKPO PGOVECON POUS PGOVPRELPHUMPREFSMIGELABEAIDKCRMKWMN PWBG PMAR PREM PAR PNR PRELPGOVEAIDECONEINVBEXPSCULOIIPBTIO PARMIR PGOVGM PHUH PARTM PN PRE PTE PY POLUN PPEL PDOV PGOVSOCI PIRF PGOVPM PBST PRELEVU PGOR PBTSRU PRM PRELKPAOIZ PGVO PERL PGOC PAGR PMIN PHUMR PVIP PPD PGV PRAM PINL PKPAL PTERE PGOF PINO PHAS PODC PRHUM PHUMA PREO PPA PEPFAR PGO PRGOV PAC PRESL PORG PKFK PEPR PRELP PREFA PNG PGOVPHUMKPAO PRELECON PINOCHET PFOR PGOVLO PHUMBA PRELC PREK PHUME PHJM POLINT PGOVPZ PGOVKCRM PGOVE PHALANAGE PARTY PECON PEACE PROCESS PLN PRELSW PAHO PEDRO PRELA PASS PPAO PGPV PNUM PCUL PGGV PSA PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PGIV PRFE POGOV PEL PBT PAMQ PINF PSEPC POSTS PHUMPGOV PVOV PHSAPREL PROLIFERATION PENA PRELTBIOBA PIN PRELL PGOVPTER PHAM PHYTRP PTEL PTERPGOV PHARM PROTESTS PRELAF PKBL PRELKPAO PKNP PARMP PHUML PFOV PERM PUOS PRELGOV PHUMPTER PARAGRAPH PERURENA PBTSEWWT PCI PETROL PINSO PINSCE PQL PEREZ PBS

Browse by classification

Community resources

courage is contagious

Viewing cable 09CAPETOWN35, HOLOMISA CLAIMS UDM DOING WELL, REALISTIC ABOUT

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs

Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #09CAPETOWN35.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09CAPETOWN35 2009-02-17 09:54 2011-08-24 01:00 UNCLASSIFIED Consulate Cape Town
VZCZCXRO3977
RR RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHTN #0035/01 0480954
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 170954Z FEB 09
FM AMCONSUL CAPE TOWN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2962
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 CAPE TOWN 000035 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: SF PGOV
SUBJECT: HOLOMISA CLAIMS UDM DOING WELL, REALISTIC ABOUT 
CHANCES 
 
 1. (SBU)  Summary: United Democratic Movement (UDM) 
President Bantu Holomisa told members of the diplomatic corps 
that his party is poised to perform as well as it did in the 
2004 election, when it won 9 parliamentary seats.  Holomisa 
met with diplomats for breakfast on February 10 in Cape Town. 
 The UDM leader said the party,s support has not grown 
substantially during the past five years and that it has not 
faltered since the formation of the Congress of the People 
(COPE).  Assessing that the UDM would not pick up significant 
support shows the UDM leader is realistic about his party,s 
chances for success at the polls.  End Summary. 
 
------------------------- 
Holomisa in Election Mode 
------------------------- 
 
2. (SBU)  UDM President Bantu Holomisa and his top advisers 
met with the diplomatic corps on February 10 in Cape Town. 
Holomisa thanked the international community for its 
continued support for democracy in South Africa and noted 
that the upcoming election will be more important than any 
election since 1994.  He then turned to his projections for 
how each party would perform in the election.  He said a few 
months ago he would have projected COPE to win between 20 and 
30 percent of the vote.  He noted, "I see them now getting 
between 10 and 15 percent.  They are losing momentum because 
there is little difference between the ANC (African National 
Congress), UDM, and COPE."  He thought that COPE would do 
well in Eastern Cape, Western Cape, Northern Cape, and 
Limpopo, but was less convinced about the rest of the 
country.  He said several times throughout his remarks that 
he is hoping that COPE does well at the polls because he "has 
a soft spot for them." 
 
3. (SBU)  Holomisa said it is clear that the ANC will lose 
its two-thirds majority in Parliament.  However, he made it 
clear that the ruling party would not lose its hold on power 
completely.  He said, "Forty to fifty percent of the 
country,s population disapproves of (ANC President Jacob) 
Zuma becoming a national leader."  Yet, he noted that what 
helps the ANC is that as voters splinter to other parties or 
elect not to vote, all the ANC must do is turn out its core 
supporters.  He judged that the ANC would turn out its core 
supporters for this election.  Holomisa said, "The ANC will 
do well in Eastern Cape, Gauteng, and Mpumalanga.  They will 
keep many of their core supporters." 
 
4. (SBU)  The UDM leader assessed the Democratic Alliance 
(DA) would win the Western Cape based on the fact that Helen 
Zille is so popular.  He said that having her as a leader 
helps the DA even though many still view it as a "white 
party."  He thought the DA would do well in some metropolitan 
areas and largely retain its core support.  On the 
Independent Democrats (ID), Holomisa reflected that the party 
would have support in Western Cape and Northern Cape.  He 
said, "The ID and the UDM are on about equal footing." 
 
5. (SBU)  Holomisa proclaimed that the UDM's support appears 
to be holding steady from the previous national election.  He 
noted that "our membership is intact, which is a good sign." 
He assessed his party would perform well in Eastern Cape, but 
would have difficulty elsewhere in the country.  Holomisa 
said that funding was the primary reason why the UDM has been 
unable to grow in recent years and urged the international 
community to fund political parties across the board to help 
level the playing field in South Africa.  He said that the 
party would consider forming coalitions after the election 
results are announced "if forming an alliance makes sense." 
According to the UDM leadership, it makes most sense for the 
QAccording to the UDM leadership, it makes most sense for the 
party to seek a partnership with COPE.  However, presently 
there have not been talks about such a relationship. 
 
6. (SBU)  Holomisa closed the luncheon by again thanking the 
international community for all it has done in South Africa. 
He then requested that the diplomatic corps do its utmost to 
ensure free and fair voting at the polls.  He said, "We do 
not see violence being much of an issue for this election. 
What worries us is how the ANC may intimidate voters by not 
allowing the opposition to have space." 
 
------- 
Comment 
------- 
 
7. (SBU)  Holomisa's remarks underscore how the UDM leader is 
realistic about his party,s chances for success at the 
polls.  The UDM appears to have little chance of success 
beyond Eastern Cape, but Holimisa's sentiments about COPE 
suggest both parties may be willing to work toward a common 
future if such an arrangement is politically advantageous. 
 
 
 
CAPE TOWN 00000035  002 OF 002 
 
 
MAYBERRY