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Viewing cable 09COLOMBO22, SRI LANKA: GOVERNMENT UNVEILS ECONOMIC STIMULUS PACKAGE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09COLOMBO22 2009-01-07 11:11 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Colombo
VZCZCXRO1235
RR RUEHBI RUEHLMC
DE RUEHLM #0022/01 0071111
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 071111Z JAN 09
FM AMEMBASSY COLOMBO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 9127
INFO RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 2494
RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1213
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 8214
RUEHKT/AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU 6428
RUEHKP/AMCONSUL KARACHI 2422
RUEHCG/AMCONSUL CHENNAI 8856
RUEHBI/AMCONSUL MUMBAI 6240
RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORPORATION
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 COLOMBO 000022 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR SCA/INS AND EEB/IFD/OMA 
STATE PASS USTR FOR ADINA ADLER AND VICKY KADER 
TREASURY FOR ANNE ALIKONIS 
 
E.O 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ECON EFIN PGOV KMCA CE
SUBJECT:  SRI LANKA: GOVERNMENT UNVEILS ECONOMIC STIMULUS PACKAGE 
 
Ref: (a) 08 STATE 134459 
(b) 08 COLOMBO 1133 
(c) 08 COLOMBO 1123 
(d) 08 COLOMBO 922 
 
1. (SBU) Summary:  On December 30, the government announced a 16 
billion rupee (USD 140 million) economic stimulus package intended 
to aid various ailing economic sectors and ensure 6% GDP growth in 
2009.  Actual implementation mechanisms for the plan remain unclear, 
and certain components of the package must still be approved by 
Parliament.  While export industries in particular can use the help, 
the move is likely timed to bolster support for the government in 
advance of provincial council elections.   End Summary. 
 
2. (U) On December 30, President Rajapaksa announced a 16 billion 
rupee (USD 140 million) stimulus package to help various ailing 
economic sectors.  The package was approved earlier in the week at a 
special cabinet meeting.  Certain proposals, such as changes in tax 
regulations and subsidies, will require Parliamentary approval. 
Details of the package remain vague; no formal text of the plan has 
been released.  However, in a memorandum to the Cabinet, the 
President underscored that the stimulus offers a reduction in fuel 
prices, soft loans and a moratorium on repayments of existing loans 
and price support to selected industries hard hit by the global 
recession, such as tea, rubber and tourism.  The package will be 
funded through spending cuts and new import taxes.  According to 
Sarath Amunugama, former Minister of Enterprise Development and 
Investment Promotions, and Nivard Cabraal, Central Bank Governor, 
the main objective of the package is to ensure a six percent growth 
rate in 2009.  Amunugama stated the package is a proactive strategy 
to guarantee the government's 2009 budget forecasts are achieved. 
 
 
Salient features 
---------------- 
 
3. (U) Key components of the stimulus package: 
 
--Fuel prices:  Diesel, kerosene and furnace oil reduced by Rs 10 
per liter to Rs 70 (USD .61) per liter.  Gasoline reduced by Rs 2 
per liter to Rs 120 (USD 1.05).  Three-wheeler, or auto rickshaw, 
drivers who install meters in their vehicles will be given gasoline 
at a lower price. 
 
--Electricity:  Removal of a 15% surcharge on electricity bills for 
industries and tourist hotels. 
 
--Credit facilities:  Reduction of interest rates to companies in 
specific sectors that maintained employment and export levels in 
2008, namely construction, tea and rubber factories, garment and 
porcelain producers, hotels, and small and medium enterprises. 
 
--Tea:  Loans amounting to one month's working capital for tea 
factories with a government guarantee; a moratorium on loan 
repayments for companies undergoing factory modernization projects; 
a new state trading institution to buy tea leaves at a floor price 
of Rs 40 per kg; and a new fertilizer subsidy for tea producers 
until the price of tea leaves reach Rs 45 per kg.  Tea imports will 
also be restricted. 
 
--Rubber:  A floor price of Rs 150 per kg for rubber; interest rates 
will be reduced and repayment periods extended; financial aid will 
be provided to new manufactures of rubber based products; a tax on 
rubber exports will be lifted; and new taxes on rubber and rubber 
product imports will be implemented. 
 
--Tourism sector:  Concessionary loans and rescheduling of loans to 
hotels that maintain current employment levels. 
 
--A temporary stop of legal action against loan defaulters and 
cancellation of fines for late payment of loans for a period of one 
year for various (unspecified) industries. 
 
--Lifting of the Economic Service Charge (ESC) - 0.25% - for export 
manufacturing companies with a to-be-determined level of local value 
addition. 
 
COLOMBO 00000022  002 OF 002 
 
 
 
--New trade opportunities to be explored with Russia and Iran (for 
tea) and India and China (for rubber). 
 
--Apparel and leather product exporters that do not lay off workers 
and maintain export income in 2009 at 2008 levels will receive a 5% 
subsidy of export income. 
 
4. (U) According to a memorandum signed by the President detailing 
the package and published in a leading Sunday Newspaper, the 
government expects to finance the package through various measures. 
These include reducing expenditures of the president, ministers and 
members of parliament (Rs 2 billion), increased import taxes (Rs 6 
billion), improved revenue from loss-making state institutions (Rs 3 
billion) and deferrals of capital spending (Rs 3 billion). 
 
5. (U) Although fuel prices have already been reduced in accordance 
with the package, further details and implementation mechanisms are 
expected to be finalized in the next few weeks, after the Cabinet 
confirms the minutes of the December 30 cabinet meeting.  Meanwhile, 
there are mixed reactions.  Industrialists are skeptical about the 
success of the package, believing that the problems they face are 
too severe for the package to make a significant positive 
difference.  For instance, tea smallholders, noting significant 
difficulties in the last quarter of 2008, say the government 
intervention is not adequate and has come too late.  The price 
offered by the government is inadequate to meet production costs, 
including plantation wages.  Rubber industrialists also say that the 
industry needs a better price from the government.  Newspapers 
quoted President of the National Chamber of Exporters Rohan Fernando 
as saying relief measures are not adequate and alleges that these 
are populist measures probably done for political gain.  Conversely, 
a leading tourism industry official did state that the package 
offered to the tourist industry is good and in line with what the 
industry needs; however, the government has yet to inform the 
industry officially, and questions as to how and when the package 
would be implemented remain unanswered. 
 
Comment 
-------- 
 
6. (SBU) Despite months of touting that Sri Lanka is immune to the 
global economic downtown, the package is the government's first real 
public acknowledgement that export and other sectors are suffering. 
Nevertheless, although industries can use all the help they can get, 
this action -- and the government's lack of ability to provide 
concrete informatio on its proposal -- is more likely a move to 
garer support in advance of provincial elections in Fbruary and to 
draw attention away from criticismof the high cost of retail fuel. 
Further, the government will face significant difficulty in raising 
commercial loans in 2009 to help finance its deficit and is 
therefore is a poor position to spend additional money it does not 
have. 
 
BLAKE