Keep Us Strong WikiLeaks logo

Currently released so far... 97115 / 251,287

Articles

Browse latest releases

Browse by creation date

Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z

Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ETRD EAGR ETTC EAID ECON EFIN ECIN EINV ELAB EAIR ENRG EPET EWWT ECPS EIND EMIN ELTN EC ETMIN EUC EZ ET ELECTIONS ENVR EU EUN EG EINT ER ECONOMICS ES EMS ENIV EEB EN ECE ECOSOC EK ENVIRONMENT EFIS EI EWT ENGRD ECPSN EXIM EIAD ERIN ECPC EDEV ENGY ECTRD EPA ESTH ECCT EINVECON ENGR ERTD EUR EAP EWWC ELTD EL EXIMOPIC EXTERNAL ETRDEC ESCAP ECO EGAD ELNT ECONOMIC ENV ETRN EIAR EUMEM ENRGPARMOTRASENVKGHGPGOVECONTSPLEAID EREL ECOM ECONETRDEAGRJA ETCC ETRG ECONOMY EMED ETR ENERG EITC EFINOECD EURM EENG ERA EXPORT ENRD ECONEINVETRDEFINELABETRDKTDBPGOVOPIC EGEN EBRD EVIN ETRAD ECOWAS EFTA ECONETRDBESPAR EGOVSY EPIN EID ECONENRG EDRC ESENV ETT EB ENER ELTNSNAR ECHEVARRIA ETRC EPIT EDUC ESA EFI ENRGY ESCI EE EAIDXMXAXBXFFR EETC ECIP EIAID EIVN EBEXP ESTN EING EGOV ETRA EPETEIND ELAN ETRDGK EAIDRW ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS EPEC ENVI ELN EAG EPCS EPRT EPTED ETRB EUM EAIDS EFIC EFINECONEAIDUNGAGM EAIDAR ESF EIDN ELAM EDU EV EAIDAF ECN EDA EXBS EINTECPS ENRGTRGYETRDBEXPBTIOSZ EPREL EAC EINVEFIN ETA EAGER EINDIR ECA ECLAC ELAP EITI EUCOM ECONEFINETRDPGOVEAGRPTERKTFNKCRMEAID EARG ELDIN EINVKSCA ENNP EFINECONCS EFINTS ECCP ETC EAIRASECCASCID EINN ETRP EAIDNI EFQ ECOQKPKO EGPHUM EBUD ECONEINVEFINPGOVIZ ENERGY ELB EINDETRD EMI ECONEFIN EIB EURN ETRDEINVTINTCS EIN EFIM ETIO ELAINE EMN EATO EWTR EIPR EINVETC ETTD ETDR EIQ ECONCS EPPD ENRGIZ EISL ESPINOSA ELEC EAIG ESLCO EUREM ENTG ERD EINVECONSENVCSJA EEPET EUNCH ECINECONCS ETRO ETRDECONWTOCS ECUN EFND EPECO EAIRECONRP ERGR ETRDPGOV ECPN ENRGMO EPWR EET EAIS EAGRE EDUARDO EAGRRP EAIDPHUMPRELUG EICN ECONQH EVN EGHG ELBR EINF EAIDHO EENV ETEX ERNG ED
KMDR KPAO KPKO KJUS KCRM KGHG KFRD KWMN KDEM KTFN KHIV KGIC KIDE KSCA KNNP KHUM KIPR KSUM KISL KIRF KCOR KRCM KPAL KWBG KN KS KOMC KSEP KFLU KPWR KTIA KSEO KMPI KHLS KICC KSTH KMCA KVPR KPRM KE KU KZ KFLO KSAF KTIP KTEX KBCT KOCI KOLY KOR KAWC KACT KUNR KTDB KSTC KLIG KSKN KNN KCFE KCIP KGHA KHDP KPOW KUNC KDRL KV KPREL KCRS KPOL KRVC KRIM KGIT KWIR KT KIRC KOMO KRFD KUWAIT KG KFIN KSCI KTFIN KFTN KGOV KPRV KSAC KGIV KCRIM KPIR KSOC KBIO KW KGLB KMWN KPO KFSC KSEAO KSTCPL KSI KPRP KREC KFPC KUNH KCSA KMRS KNDP KR KICCPUR KPPAO KCSY KTBT KCIS KNEP KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KNNB KGCC KINR KPOP KMFO KENV KNAR KVIR KDRG KDMR KFCE KNAO KDEN KGCN KICA KIMMITT KMCC KLFU KMSG KSEC KUM KCUL KMNP KSMT KCOM KOMCSG KSPR KPMI KRAD KIND KCRP KAUST KWAWC KTER KCHG KRDP KPAS KITA KTSC KPAOPREL KWGB KIRP KJUST KMIG KLAB KTFR KSEI KSTT KAPO KSTS KLSO KWNN KPOA KHSA KNPP KPAONZ KBTS KWWW KY KJRE KPAOKMDRKE KCRCM KSCS KWMNCI KESO KWUN KPLS KIIP KEDEM KPAOY KRIF KGICKS KREF KTRD KFRDSOCIRO KTAO KJU KWMNPHUMPRELKPAOZW KEN KO KNEI KEMR KKIV KEAI KWAC KRCIM KWCI KFIU KWIC KCORR KOMS KNNO KPAI KBWG KTTB KTBD KTIALG KILS KFEM KTDM KESS KNUC KPA KOMCCO KCEM KRCS KWBGSY KNPPIS KNNPMNUC KWN KERG KLTN KALM KCCP KSUMPHUM KREL KGH KLIP KTLA KAWK KWMM KVRP KVRC KAID KSLG KDEMK KX KIF KNPR KCFC KFTFN KTFM KPDD KCERS KMOC KDEMAF KMEPI KEMS KDRM KEPREL KBTR KEDU KNP KIRL KNNR KMPT KISLPINR KTPN KA KJUSTH KPIN KDEV KTDD KAKA KFRP KWNM KTSD KINL KJUSKUNR KWWMN KECF KWBC KPRO KVBL KOM KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KEDM KFLD KLPM KRGY KNNF KICR KIFR KM KWMNCS KAWS KLAP KPAK KDDG KCGC KID KNSD KMPF KPFO KDP KCMR KRMS KNPT KNNNP KTIAPARM KDTB KNUP KPGOV KNAP KNNC KUK KSRE KREISLER KIVP KQ KTIAEUN KPALAOIS KRM KISLAO KWM KFLOA
PHUM PINR PTER PGOV PREL PREF PL PM PHSA PE PARM PINS PK PUNE PO PALESTINIAN PU PBTS PROP PTBS POL POLI PA PGOVZI POLMIL POLITICAL PARTIES POLM PD POLITICS POLICY PAS PMIL PINT PNAT PV PKO PPOL PERSONS PING PBIO PH PETR PARMS PRES PCON PETERS PRELBR PT PLAB PP PAK PDEM PKPA PSOCI PF PLO PTERM PJUS PSOE PELOSI PROPERTY PGOVPREL PARP PRL PNIR PHUMKPAL PG PREZ PGIC PBOV PAO PKK PROV PHSAK PHUMPREL PROTECTION PGOVBL PSI PRELPK PGOVENRG PUM PRELKPKO PATTY PSOC PRIVATIZATION PRELSP PGOVEAIDUKNOSWGMHUCANLLHFRSPITNZ PMIG PREC PAIGH PROG PSHA PARK PETER POG PHUS PPREL PS PTERPREL PRELPGOV POV PKPO PGOVECON POUS PGOVPRELPHUMPREFSMIGELABEAIDKCRMKWMN PWBG PMAR PREM PAR PNR PRELPGOVEAIDECONEINVBEXPSCULOIIPBTIO PARMIR PGOVGM PHUH PARTM PN PRE PTE PY POLUN PPEL PDOV PGOVSOCI PIRF PGOVPM PBST PRELEVU PGOR PBTSRU PRM PRELKPAOIZ PGVO PERL PGOC PAGR PMIN PHUMR PVIP PPD PGV PRAM PINL PKPAL PTERE PGOF PINO PHAS PODC PRHUM PHUMA PREO PPA PEPFAR PGO PRGOV PAC PRESL PORG PKFK PEPR PRELP PREFA PNG PGOVPHUMKPAO PRELECON PINOCHET PFOR PGOVLO PHUMBA PRELC PREK PHUME PHJM POLINT PGOVPZ PGOVKCRM PGOVE PHALANAGE PARTY PECON PEACE PROCESS PLN PRELSW PAHO PEDRO PRELA PASS PPAO PGPV PNUM PCUL PGGV PSA PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PGIV PRFE POGOV PEL PBT PAMQ PINF PSEPC POSTS PHUMPGOV PVOV PHSAPREL PROLIFERATION PENA PRELTBIOBA PIN PRELL PGOVPTER PHAM PHYTRP PTEL PTERPGOV PHARM PROTESTS PRELAF PKBL PRELKPAO PKNP PARMP PHUML PFOV PERM PUOS PRELGOV PHUMPTER PARAGRAPH PERURENA PBTSEWWT PCI PETROL PINSO PINSCE PQL PEREZ PBS

Browse by classification

Community resources

courage is contagious

Viewing cable 08MOSCOW3597, SENIOR ANALYST WARNS OF THE DANGER OF IGNORING

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs

Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #08MOSCOW3597.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08MOSCOW3597 2008-12-12 11:55 2011-08-24 01:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Moscow
VZCZCXRO4781
PP RUEHIK RUEHLN RUEHPOD RUEHSK RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHMO #3597/01 3471155
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 121155Z DEC 08
FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1127
INFO RUEHXD/MOSCOW POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MOSCOW 003597 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O.  12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREL PGOV OREP RS
SUBJECT:  SENIOR ANALYST WARNS OF THE DANGER OF IGNORING 
RUSSIAN CONCERNS ON NATO AND UKRAINE - MEETING WITH CODEL 
DELAHUNT 
 
1. (SBU) Summary:  Moscow Carnegie Center Director Dmitri 
Trenin provided an overview of Russia-U.S. relations for 
visiting Representatives Bill Delahunt and Dana Rohrabacher, 
explaining that Moscow was troubled by U.S. indifference 
toward Russian security concerns, and that Washington failed 
to grasp the problems that would come with pursuing NATO 
membership for Ukraine.  Trenin advised the U.S. to 
recognize Russian red lines in Ukraine, Georgia, and Central 
Asia, and hoped that after the Georgian war the West 
realized that crossing these lines could bring an armed 
response.  He conveyed Moscow's shock over the outbreak of 
fighting in Georgia, which was seen as an attack made "on 
behalf of the U.S.;" Russia's response was intended to deter 
similar U.S. support for future clients.  Trenin cautioned 
that NATO expansion would bring political instability, both 
in a divided Ukraine and in the West's relations with 
Russia.  He reminded the Congressmen that Russians believed 
the U.S. promised that NATO expansion would end with East 
Germany, and advised the West to integrate Ukraine through 
EU membership.  Trenin thought President-Elect Obama would 
be well served to appoint a "Russia tsar" to engage 
comprehensively with Moscow.  End summary. 
 
U.S. Indifference toward Russia 
------------------------------- 
 
2. (SBU) Moscow Carnegie Center Director Dmitri Trenin told 
Representatives Bill Delahunt (D, MA) and Dana Rohrabacher 
(R, CA) on December 8 that the rift between Russia and the 
U.S. stemmed, in large part, from U.S. indifference towards 
Russian interests.  He told the Congressmen that it was a 
"sad comment" on the state of bilateral ties when Moscow had 
to send strategic bombers and naval vessels to the Western 
Hemisphere in order to send a message to Washington, which 
did not appear to understand any other language.  Trenin 
advised that the "key to a normal relationship" with Russia 
was for the U.S. to maintain a "proper attitude" toward the 
former Soviet space.  This required understanding that 
Russia no longer sought to control its former empire but 
wanted to "wield influence" in areas considered key to 
national interests.  Russia's priority interests were in 
Ukraine and Georgia, with secondary interests in Central 
Asia. 
 
Red Lines Will Trigger an Armed Response 
---------------------------------------- 
 
3. (SBU) Trenin explained that the war in Georgia "made 
clear" that Russia's declared red lines were "real" and, if 
crossed, an armed response could be expected.  He warned 
that Georgia would seem a "sandbox exercise" compared to 
what could occur should Russia see a threat emanating from 
Ukraine.  The current situation was not similar to the Cold 
War, but more like 1914 when a minor miscalculation by one 
side could lead to a serious provocation.  Trenin was 
extremely worried in August, when American warships entered 
the Black Sea, which could have led to shooting between the 
U.S. and Russia.  Such a scenario must be avoided in the 
future. 
 
Georgia:  American Client Strikes Russia 
---------------------------------------- 
 
4. (SBU) Trenin said that the low point in Russia-U.S. 
relations came on the morning of August 8, when the Russian 
leadership realized that Georgia had attacked South Ossetia. 
Both Putin and Medvedev, who were out of Moscow and not 
expecting a war, "were clearly shocked" by events as they 
unfolded.  While the rest of the world was asking "where 
will Russia strike next," Trenin maintained that the Russian 
leadership was asking "who will be the next Saakashvili to 
strike Russia on behalf of the U.S.?"  In attacking Georgia, 
the Kremlin was "trying to hit at an American client" and 
deter the U.S. from backing another troublesome regime in 
the former Soviet Union. 
 
5. (SBU) Trenin thought that the danger of a "major war" 
over Ukraine had been averted for now, thanks, in part, to 
the international financial crisis, which appeared to have 
"transported" the Russian leadership's way of thinking from 
the nineteenth century Great Game back to a twenty-first 
century focus on economic interconnectedness. 
 
NATO Expansion Brings Instability 
--------------------------------- 
 
6. (SBU) Trenin warned that NATO had come to the point where 
any further movement eastward would not increase security, 
 
MOSCOW 00003597  002 OF 002 
 
 
but cause instead political instability.  He advised the 
West to start thinking seriously about how to include Russia 
in a European security architecture not based upon NATO. 
Medvedev's proposed European security treaty was Russia's 
attempt to get a guarantee that its interests would be taken 
into account by Europe and the U.S. 
 
7. (SBU) Trenin explained that Russians believed that the 
U.S. promised that NATO would not expand after Gorbachev 
agreed to German unification.  Whether or not this promise 
was actually made, it was important for the West to 
understand that Russians believed in it and saw continued 
NATO expansion as testimony to "bad intentions" toward 
Russia.  He stressed that there was a "very wide perception" 
in Russia of Western "unfaithfulness," which was used by 
Russian hardliners to demonize the U.S. in order to further 
their views of how to pursue parochial (and their personal) 
interests. 
 
8. (SBU) Trenin thought that if the West wanted to integrate 
Ukraine more closQy without causing trouble, it should do 
so through the EU and not NATO.  He reiterated that Ukraine 
was divided on NATO membership, and pursuing this course 
could cause serious domestic problems for Kyiv.  Trenin 
described Ukraine's relationship with Russia as that of an 
extended family, in which many Ukrainians "do not want to be 
a part of Russia, but do not want to part with Russia 
either." 
 
Advice for President-Elect Obama 
-------------------------------- 
 
9. (SBU) Trenin advised the new administration to have a 
"Russia tsar," someone who had the ear of the President and 
could engage Moscow in a comprehensive manner.  He explained 
that "despite all the bluster," Russia's top echelon "craved 
respect" and would see the appointment of such a person as a 
positive step. 
 
10. (U) The delegation has not cleared this cable. 
RUBIN