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Viewing cable 08WINDHOEK303, NAMIBIA: SWAPO ASSERTS STRENGTH IN LOCAL VOTE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08WINDHOEK303 2008-09-30 11:01 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Windhoek
VZCZCXRO4845
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHWD #0303 2741101
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 301101Z SEP 08
FM AMEMBASSY WINDHOEK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0087
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY PRIORITY
UNCLAS WINDHOEK 000303 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PHUM WA
SUBJECT: NAMIBIA: SWAPO ASSERTS STRENGTH IN LOCAL VOTE 
 
1. (SBU)  The Rally for Democracy and Progress' (RDP) second 
electoral challenge to Namibia's ruling and dominant South 
West African Peoples Organization (SWAPO) fell considerably 
short of expectations on September 26.  RDP only managed to 
win 123 votes to SWAPO's 1299 votes in the election for seven 
town council members in the small northern town of Omuthiya. 
Two other opposition parties, the Congress of Democrats (COD) 
and Democratic Turnhalle Alliance (DTA) picked up 26 and 5 
votes respectively.  The election gives SWAPO six of the 
seven town council seats, while RDP will control one. 
 
2. (SBU)  Both SWAPO and RDP campaigned intensely in 
Omuthiya.  RDP leaders accused SWAPO supporters of using 
intimidation and violence in the run up to the election.  The 
elections were first slated for February, but postponed until 
May, and then postponed a second time to September 26.  The 
delays were mainly due to discrepancies in voter lists and 
the registration of both candidates and voters.  Despite the 
administrative problems 82 percent of voters turned out on 
election day.  While both parties made declarations of 
alleged irregularities on September 26, both seemed to be 
generally satisfied that the election had been free and fair. 
 
3. (SBU)  This was RDP's second election since long-time 
SWAPO insider Hidipo Hamutenya formed the party in November 
2007.  The party suffered a similar defeat in a March 
regional council by-election for the Eenhana Constituency in 
Ohangwena region.  RDP managed only 289 votes to SWAPO's 4193 
in that election.  RDP supporters also alleged that SWAPO 
used intimidation and violence in the Eenhana election.  The 
only other election since November 2007, which RDP did not 
contest, saw no allegations of politically motivated 
intimidation. 
 
- - - - 
Comment 
- - - - 
 
4. (SBU) Hamutenya's popularity and his ties to the Omuthiya 
region (where he owns property) were thought to give RDP a 
strong chance to pull votes from SWAPO in the September 26 
vote.  But voters in northern Namibia have a strong 
sentimental attachment to SWAPO.  Northerners (and even more 
specifically the Oshivambo region where Omuthiya is located) 
bore the brunt of the struggle for independence from South 
Africa, and SWAPO is widely viewed as their liberating party. 
Communities in northern Namibia are generally considered very 
conservative and traditionally intolerant of dissent, making 
it difficult even for someone of Hamutenya's stature to 
organize in the region.  Opposition party supporters in 
northern Namibia are generally stigmatized and ostracized 
from their communities.  It appears RDP simply pulled votes 
from the traditional opposition parties but few from SWAPO. 
 
5. (SBU) It now appears that RDP's challenge to SWAPO ) if 
it can mount an effective one - will have to come from the 
more urban areas around the country.  RDP will have its first 
chance at an "urban election" on October 31.  That is the 
date of the next scheduled election in Tobias Hainyeko 
constituency, an informal settlement outside Windhoek.  The 
RDP has its work cut out for it, as Tobias Hainyeko has 
tended to heavily favor SWAPO in the past.  End Comment. 
HARRINGTON