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Viewing cable 08LUANDA732, FINAL RESULTS OF ANGOLA'S LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08LUANDA732 2008-09-18 18:13 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Luanda
VZCZCXRO6153
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHLU #0732/01 2621813
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 181813Z SEP 08
FM AMEMBASSY LUANDA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5036
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LUANDA 000732 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM AO
SUBJECT: FINAL RESULTS OF ANGOLA'S LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS 
CONFIRM MPLA LANDSLIDE 
 
REF: LUANDA 0723 
 
1. (U) SUMMARY: The ruling MPLA's sweeping victory of 81.6 
percent of the voters in the September 5-6 legislative 
elections was finalized with the announcement of the final 
results by the National Electoral Commission.  The MPLA now 
holds 191 out of 220 seat in Parliament; UNITA's total fell 
to 16; PRS increased to 8; FNLA fell to 3; and the surprise 
newcomer Nova Democracia won two seats.  UNITA's appeal of 
the Luanda results was rejected by the Constitution Court on 
September 15, clearing the path for the release of the final 
tally.  END SUMMARY. 
 
The Big Winner: MPLA 
--------------------- 
 
2. (U) In the final tally, the ruling MPLA received 81.6 
percent of the votes vast, earning it 191 of 220 seats in 
Parliament.  Turnout was high; 7.2 million votes were cast, 
representing 87.4 percent of registered voters.  The MPLA 
absolutely dominated the provincial circuit, winning 84 out 
of 90 available provincial seats in addition to 107 out of 
130 national seats.  Its victory included sweeping all 5 
provincial seats in provinces formerly seen as UNITA's 
traditional base, including Huambo, Kuando Kubango, Benguela, 
and Moxico.  The MPLA's victory gives it total control of not 
only the National Assembly, but in forming Angola's first 
post-war government and drafting a new constitution. 
 
The Biggest Loser: UNITA 
------------------------- 
 
3. (SBU) In a humbling loss, UNITA won only 10.5 percent of 
the vote, giving it 16 seats in comparison to the 70 seats it 
held in the last Assembly by 34 percent of the vote in the 
1992 elections.  UNITA won only 2 provincial seats, one in 
Bie and the other in Cabinda.  The party had appealed the 
vote tally in Luanda (reftel), but the Constitutional Court 
rejected their petition on September 15 due to lack of 
evidence; the appeal was hamstrung by the failure of party 
election monitors to note irregularities in the polling 
stations on the official station record as they occurred, as 
required by law.  The party now faces a myriad of challenges 
in defining its new, much-reduced profile - not the least of 
which is determining how best to tighten its belt due to the 
reduction in government subsidies that accompanies its loss 
of seats.  NOTE: The GRA subsidizes parties based on the 
number of seats held in Parliament; UNITA was estimated to 
have received 8 million USD per year when it held 70 seats. 
END NOTE 
 
The Little Winner: PRS 
----------------------- 
 
4. (SBU) Other than the MPLA, PRS is the only party with 
seats in the previous parliament to have bettered its 
standings.  The party took 3.2 percent of the vote and 
increased its seats in Parliament from 6 to 8 seats.  The PRS 
not only showed that has held on to its old electorate by 
maintaining its two provincial seats in Lunda Sul and one in 
Lunda Norte, but also showed that it managed to increased its 
support nationwide by winning an additional 2 seats from the 
national circle. 
 
The Slow Fade: FNLA 
-------------------- 
 
5. (SBU) Once the most powerful political force in Angola, 
the FNLA continues to fade from political prominence.  The 
party won 1.1 percent of the vote and 3 total seats, one from 
their traditional base in Zaire province and the other two 
from the national circuit.  This represents a lost of two 
seats for a party generally seen as aging and ineffective. 
 
The Cinderella Story: Nova Democracia 
--------------------------------------- 
 
6. (SBU) One big surprise in these elections was the 
emergence of Nova Democracia (ND), which won 1.2 percent of 
the vote and 2 seats from the national circle.  Theories 
abound as to how a fairly new, low-profile party that did 
very little visible campaigning fared better than so many 
other established political voices.  One theory states the 
party, which was positioned directly above the MPLA on the 
ballot, received an "MPLA Bounce" when a largely illiterate 
electorate simply marked the wrong box.  Another theory 
posits that voters, in looking at a ballot full of 
non-choices, shrugged and simply picked a name that sounded 
good - "New Democracy."  A more analytical notion is that the 
party may have, in fact, succeeded in drawing in young voters 
through grassroots campaigning.  One party founder, Jose 
 
LUANDA 00000732  002 OF 002 
 
 
Fula, is the former leader of FNLA's youth wing, and some 
analysts speculate that the root of the FNLA's poor 
performance lies in the defection of many youthful supporters 
when Fula left to form ND. 
 
Looking for Work: The Fate of the Eight 
--------------------------------------- 
 
7. (SBU) Of the other nine parties contesting the election, 
only PDP-ANA, with 0.51 percent of the vote, will survive to 
fight another day.  According to electoral law, the eight 
parties that did not achieve 0.5 percent of the vote will now 
be proscribed. 
 
8. (SBU) COMMENT:  As the election dust finally settles, 
Angola finds itself under even stronger one-party domination, 
albeit one chosen by the people.  Yet to be seen is how and 
whether meaningful democracy can take root in such a 
circumstance. END COMMENT 
MOZENA