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Viewing cable 08LAGOS356, NIGERIA: GOVERNOR IMOKE (PDP) WINS CROSS RIVER

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08LAGOS356 2008-09-08 11:35 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Consulate Lagos
VZCZCXRO7557
RR RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHOS #0356 2521135
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 081135Z SEP 08
FM AMCONSUL LAGOS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0154
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH AFB UK
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RHMCSUU/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEWMFD/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE
UNCLAS LAGOS 000356 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE PASS USTR FOR USTR AGAMA 
STATE PASS USAID FOR GWEYNAND AND SLAWAETZ 
DOE FOR GPERSON,CHAYLOCK 
TREASURY FOR DFIELDS, AIERONIMO, RHALL 
DOC FOR 3317/ITA/OA/KBURRESS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: GOVERNOR IMOKE (PDP) WINS CROSS RIVER 
STATE RE-RUN ELECTION 
 
 1.  (SBU) Summary: On August 23, Cross River State Governor 
Liyel Imoke of the People's Democratic Party (PDP) won the 
re-election ordered by a Federal Appeals Court on July 15. 
While the Independent National Election Commission (INEC) 
claimed the election was free and fair, opposition parties 
and election observers alleged massive election fraud.  Even 
without fraud, opposition parties are often too financially 
handicapped to be able to mount a serious challenge to 
sitting governors.  End Summary. 
 
2. (SBU) A new gubernatorial election in Cross River State 
was held on August 23, following a July 15 ruling by a 
Federal Appeals Court that voided the results of the 2007 
election.  Liyel Imoke of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), 
who was elected governor in the 2007 election, was again 
declared the winner by INEC.  According to INEC, Imoke won 
650,723 votes while his closest rival, Paul Ukpo of the All 
Nigerian Peoples Party (ANPP), polled only 15,732 votes. 
 
3. (SBU) Opposition politicians alleged that voter turnout 
for the new election was exceptionally low, reflecting voter 
apathy and making the figures published by INEC 
unsupportable.  Theo Onyuko, spokesman for a coalition of 
opposition parties, told PolSpec that there was massive 
electoral fraud in several local government areas outside the 
capital city of Calabar.  Onyuko also alleged that INEC 
officers connived with PDP agents to falsify election 
results.  He said due to lack of resources, opposition 
candidates were not represented in many polling stations in 
remote rural areas, paving the way for the massive inflation 
of election results. 
 
4. (SBU) Felicia Arikpo, head of the Calabar chapter of the 
independent election observation organization Transition 
Monitoring Group (TMG), likewise told PolSpec that voter 
turnout was very poor in all the polling stations she 
visited.  Arikpo said that due to insufficient funds, TMG 
could not recruit enough volunteers to cover the election 
state-wide, frustrating TMG's plan to have comprehensive 
coverage of the election and publish a full assessment of the 
process and results. 
 
5. (SBU) In an August 20 meeting prior to the election, the 
leading opposition candidate Paul Ukpo (ANPP) told Poloff and 
PolSpec that the ruling PDP government, aided by security 
agents and state officials, harassed and intimidated 
opposition candidates.  He claimed he was denied access to 
state television and given no media coverage by other 
state-owned media.  Ukpo complained further that security 
agents denied him the permission to hold campaign rallies. 
Ukpo stressed that while Imoke liberally drew on state 
resources, including official vehicles and police, to conduct 
his campaign, the opposition parties lacked the resources to 
effectively contest the election. 
 
6. (SBU) Comment:  As in similar elections, the re-run in 
Cross River State demonstrates a weakness in the current 
electoral review process.  Having expended huge amounts of 
capital on the main election and the legal dispute that 
followed, many opposition parties are financially unable to 
effectively contest new elections.  Thus even without 
election fraud, the ruling party candidate has an enormous 
advantage over all challengers, often rendering the results 
of re-elections a foregone conclusion.   The apparent outcome 
is that the electorate sees these re-run elections as a farce 
and will become increasingly disillusioned with the 
democratic process.  End Comment. 
BLAIR