Keep Us Strong WikiLeaks logo

Currently released so far... 97115 / 251,287

Articles

Browse latest releases

Browse by creation date

Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z

Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ETRD EAGR ETTC EAID ECON EFIN ECIN EINV ELAB EAIR ENRG EPET EWWT ECPS EIND EMIN ELTN EC ETMIN EUC EZ ET ELECTIONS ENVR EU EUN EG EINT ER ECONOMICS ES EMS ENIV EEB EN ECE ECOSOC EK ENVIRONMENT EFIS EI EWT ENGRD ECPSN EXIM EIAD ERIN ECPC EDEV ENGY ECTRD EPA ESTH ECCT EINVECON ENGR ERTD EUR EAP EWWC ELTD EL EXIMOPIC EXTERNAL ETRDEC ESCAP ECO EGAD ELNT ECONOMIC ENV ETRN EIAR EUMEM ENRGPARMOTRASENVKGHGPGOVECONTSPLEAID EREL ECOM ECONETRDEAGRJA ETCC ETRG ECONOMY EMED ETR ENERG EITC EFINOECD EURM EENG ERA EXPORT ENRD ECONEINVETRDEFINELABETRDKTDBPGOVOPIC EGEN EBRD EVIN ETRAD ECOWAS EFTA ECONETRDBESPAR EGOVSY EPIN EID ECONENRG EDRC ESENV ETT EB ENER ELTNSNAR ECHEVARRIA ETRC EPIT EDUC ESA EFI ENRGY ESCI EE EAIDXMXAXBXFFR EETC ECIP EIAID EIVN EBEXP ESTN EING EGOV ETRA EPETEIND ELAN ETRDGK EAIDRW ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS EPEC ENVI ELN EAG EPCS EPRT EPTED ETRB EUM EAIDS EFIC EFINECONEAIDUNGAGM EAIDAR ESF EIDN ELAM EDU EV EAIDAF ECN EDA EXBS EINTECPS ENRGTRGYETRDBEXPBTIOSZ EPREL EAC EINVEFIN ETA EAGER EINDIR ECA ECLAC ELAP EITI EUCOM ECONEFINETRDPGOVEAGRPTERKTFNKCRMEAID EARG ELDIN EINVKSCA ENNP EFINECONCS EFINTS ECCP ETC EAIRASECCASCID EINN ETRP EAIDNI EFQ ECOQKPKO EGPHUM EBUD ECONEINVEFINPGOVIZ ENERGY ELB EINDETRD EMI ECONEFIN EIB EURN ETRDEINVTINTCS EIN EFIM ETIO ELAINE EMN EATO EWTR EIPR EINVETC ETTD ETDR EIQ ECONCS EPPD ENRGIZ EISL ESPINOSA ELEC EAIG ESLCO EUREM ENTG ERD EINVECONSENVCSJA EEPET EUNCH ECINECONCS ETRO ETRDECONWTOCS ECUN EFND EPECO EAIRECONRP ERGR ETRDPGOV ECPN ENRGMO EPWR EET EAIS EAGRE EDUARDO EAGRRP EAIDPHUMPRELUG EICN ECONQH EVN EGHG ELBR EINF EAIDHO EENV ETEX ERNG ED
KMDR KPAO KPKO KJUS KCRM KGHG KFRD KWMN KDEM KTFN KHIV KGIC KIDE KSCA KNNP KHUM KIPR KSUM KISL KIRF KCOR KRCM KPAL KWBG KN KS KOMC KSEP KFLU KPWR KTIA KSEO KMPI KHLS KICC KSTH KMCA KVPR KPRM KE KU KZ KFLO KSAF KTIP KTEX KBCT KOCI KOLY KOR KAWC KACT KUNR KTDB KSTC KLIG KSKN KNN KCFE KCIP KGHA KHDP KPOW KUNC KDRL KV KPREL KCRS KPOL KRVC KRIM KGIT KWIR KT KIRC KOMO KRFD KUWAIT KG KFIN KSCI KTFIN KFTN KGOV KPRV KSAC KGIV KCRIM KPIR KSOC KBIO KW KGLB KMWN KPO KFSC KSEAO KSTCPL KSI KPRP KREC KFPC KUNH KCSA KMRS KNDP KR KICCPUR KPPAO KCSY KTBT KCIS KNEP KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KNNB KGCC KINR KPOP KMFO KENV KNAR KVIR KDRG KDMR KFCE KNAO KDEN KGCN KICA KIMMITT KMCC KLFU KMSG KSEC KUM KCUL KMNP KSMT KCOM KOMCSG KSPR KPMI KRAD KIND KCRP KAUST KWAWC KTER KCHG KRDP KPAS KITA KTSC KPAOPREL KWGB KIRP KJUST KMIG KLAB KTFR KSEI KSTT KAPO KSTS KLSO KWNN KPOA KHSA KNPP KPAONZ KBTS KWWW KY KJRE KPAOKMDRKE KCRCM KSCS KWMNCI KESO KWUN KPLS KIIP KEDEM KPAOY KRIF KGICKS KREF KTRD KFRDSOCIRO KTAO KJU KWMNPHUMPRELKPAOZW KEN KO KNEI KEMR KKIV KEAI KWAC KRCIM KWCI KFIU KWIC KCORR KOMS KNNO KPAI KBWG KTTB KTBD KTIALG KILS KFEM KTDM KESS KNUC KPA KOMCCO KCEM KRCS KWBGSY KNPPIS KNNPMNUC KWN KERG KLTN KALM KCCP KSUMPHUM KREL KGH KLIP KTLA KAWK KWMM KVRP KVRC KAID KSLG KDEMK KX KIF KNPR KCFC KFTFN KTFM KPDD KCERS KMOC KDEMAF KMEPI KEMS KDRM KEPREL KBTR KEDU KNP KIRL KNNR KMPT KISLPINR KTPN KA KJUSTH KPIN KDEV KTDD KAKA KFRP KWNM KTSD KINL KJUSKUNR KWWMN KECF KWBC KPRO KVBL KOM KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KEDM KFLD KLPM KRGY KNNF KICR KIFR KM KWMNCS KAWS KLAP KPAK KDDG KCGC KID KNSD KMPF KPFO KDP KCMR KRMS KNPT KNNNP KTIAPARM KDTB KNUP KPGOV KNAP KNNC KUK KSRE KREISLER KIVP KQ KTIAEUN KPALAOIS KRM KISLAO KWM KFLOA
PHUM PINR PTER PGOV PREL PREF PL PM PHSA PE PARM PINS PK PUNE PO PALESTINIAN PU PBTS PROP PTBS POL POLI PA PGOVZI POLMIL POLITICAL PARTIES POLM PD POLITICS POLICY PAS PMIL PINT PNAT PV PKO PPOL PERSONS PING PBIO PH PETR PARMS PRES PCON PETERS PRELBR PT PLAB PP PAK PDEM PKPA PSOCI PF PLO PTERM PJUS PSOE PELOSI PROPERTY PGOVPREL PARP PRL PNIR PHUMKPAL PG PREZ PGIC PBOV PAO PKK PROV PHSAK PHUMPREL PROTECTION PGOVBL PSI PRELPK PGOVENRG PUM PRELKPKO PATTY PSOC PRIVATIZATION PRELSP PGOVEAIDUKNOSWGMHUCANLLHFRSPITNZ PMIG PREC PAIGH PROG PSHA PARK PETER POG PHUS PPREL PS PTERPREL PRELPGOV POV PKPO PGOVECON POUS PGOVPRELPHUMPREFSMIGELABEAIDKCRMKWMN PWBG PMAR PREM PAR PNR PRELPGOVEAIDECONEINVBEXPSCULOIIPBTIO PARMIR PGOVGM PHUH PARTM PN PRE PTE PY POLUN PPEL PDOV PGOVSOCI PIRF PGOVPM PBST PRELEVU PGOR PBTSRU PRM PRELKPAOIZ PGVO PERL PGOC PAGR PMIN PHUMR PVIP PPD PGV PRAM PINL PKPAL PTERE PGOF PINO PHAS PODC PRHUM PHUMA PREO PPA PEPFAR PGO PRGOV PAC PRESL PORG PKFK PEPR PRELP PREFA PNG PGOVPHUMKPAO PRELECON PINOCHET PFOR PGOVLO PHUMBA PRELC PREK PHUME PHJM POLINT PGOVPZ PGOVKCRM PGOVE PHALANAGE PARTY PECON PEACE PROCESS PLN PRELSW PAHO PEDRO PRELA PASS PPAO PGPV PNUM PCUL PGGV PSA PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PGIV PRFE POGOV PEL PBT PAMQ PINF PSEPC POSTS PHUMPGOV PVOV PHSAPREL PROLIFERATION PENA PRELTBIOBA PIN PRELL PGOVPTER PHAM PHYTRP PTEL PTERPGOV PHARM PROTESTS PRELAF PKBL PRELKPAO PKNP PARMP PHUML PFOV PERM PUOS PRELGOV PHUMPTER PARAGRAPH PERURENA PBTSEWWT PCI PETROL PINSO PINSCE PQL PEREZ PBS

Browse by classification

Community resources

courage is contagious

Viewing cable 08BRASILIA813, Brazil: Local elections: Lots of Heat, Little Light

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs

Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #08BRASILIA813.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08BRASILIA813 2008-06-13 18:32 2011-07-11 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Brasilia
VZCZCXRO9085
RR RUEHRG
DE RUEHBR #0813/01 1651832
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 131832Z JUN 08
FM AMEMBASSY BRASILIA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1877
INFO RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE 8138
RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 2217
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO 6263
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 5578
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 7396
RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 6858
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 0377
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRASILIA 000813 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV BR
SUBJECT:  Brazil: Local elections: Lots of Heat, Little Light 
 
REF: A) Sao Paulo 285, B) Brasilia 674 
 
1. (SBU) Summary.  Campaigning for October 5 municipal elections is 
getting underway with much media attention and political jockeying 
but the results will have almost no bearing on national politics. 
About a fifth of the 513 federal deputies are running for mayor, and 
the Chamber of Deputies will get much less than usual business done 
from July through election day on October 5.  Over 5000 towns and 
cities across Brazil will elect mayors and city councils but only 
two races are nationally significant: Sao Paulo (ref A) and Belo 
Horizonte.  The Sao Paulo race could propel one candidate, Marta 
Suplicy, toward a 2010 presidential bid, and the Belo Horizonte race 
could strengthen the presidential chances of Aecio Neves, the 
governor of Minas Gerais state.  End summary. 
 
Congressional Slowdown 
 
2.  (SBU) So many congressmen, about a fifth of the 513 federal 
deputies, run for mayor every four years that the three months 
before local elections are called a "white recess," that is, a long, 
unofficial recess in which little work is done even though Congress 
is in session.  Those who win will be replaced by their alternates, 
many of whom will be completely inexperienced in legislative work. 
The result could be an increase in congressional inefficiency, 
possibly worsening congress's already poor public image.  In some 
cases the outgoing members of congress are prominent leaders.  In 
Porto Alegre, for example, four federal deputies are running for 
mayor, including Onyx Lorenzoni, chairman of the agriculture 
committee and an influential leader of the opposition Democrats 
Party. 
 
Sao Paulo 
 
3.  (SBU) Tourism Minister Marta Suplicy resigned on June 5 to run 
for mayor of Sao Paulo (ref A) and if she wins, she could decide to 
run for president.  She would have to defeat Dilma Rousseff, chief 
of the Civilian Household and President Lula's current favorite, for 
the Workers' Party (PT) presidential nomination (ref B).  The Sao 
Paulo race could also poison the national alliance between Social 
Democrats (PSDB, opposition) and Democrats (DEM, opposition).  A 
PSDB faction led by Governor Jose Serra, a leading 2010 presidential 
contender, supports the reelection of the incumbent DEM mayor, who 
was Serra's deputy when he was mayor and has faithfully implemented 
Serra's policies.  Another faction supports the party's own 
candidate, Geraldo Alckmin.  The Alckmin-Serra split in the PSDB 
could cause significant fallout both within the party and in its 
alliance with the DEM, whose support is important in 2010. 
 
Belo Horizonte 
 
4.  (SBU) In Belo Horizonte, capital of Minas Gerais, the second 
most populous state, Mayor Fernando Pimentel (PT) has tried to ally 
his party with the PSDB of Governor Aecio Neves in support of a 
candidate from another party, but has been repeatedly blocked by the 
PT's national leadership.  A successful PSDB-PT alliance could help 
both the governor and the mayor in 2010: Neves may run for president 
and Pimentel for governor, but the PT leadership is trying to 
prevent anything that would strengthen Neves because as a 
presidential candidate he would run against the PT.  The issue is 
still unresolved. 
 
Rio de Janeiro 
 
5.  (SBU) Interestingly, the local elections in Rio de Janeiro, 
Brazil's second largest city, have little national importance.  Rio 
de Janeiro state governor Sergio Cabral (Brazilian Democratic 
Movement Party, PMDB, government coalition) has consolidated his 
power base in the state and marginalized current city mayor Cesar 
Maia (DEM).  Cabral was seen to be building a coalition to support 
his expected bid for the presidency in either 2010 or 2014, but he 
recently backtracked on his support for the local PT candidate 
(after pressure from his own PMDB and threats of a split within the 
party) and is now pressing the PMDB to support his former secretary 
for sports and tourism as the party's candidate. Of interest to the 
USG is that Federal Deputy Fernando Gabeira (Green Party), currently 
polling third in the mayoral race, participated in the 1969 
kidnapping of U.S. Ambassador Charles Elbrick.  (Note: Gabeira has 
publicly reversed his position and now condemns kidnapping.  End 
note.) 
 
Marriages of Convenience 
 
6.  (SBU) Local alliances different from the national 
 
BRASILIA 00000813  002 OF 002 
 
 
government-opposition fault line are normal and, according to Andre 
Miranda of the PATRI consulting firm, they have nothing to do with 
future national alliances.  They are formed for political 
convenience, and demonstrate the insignificance of ideology in local 
alliances.  Often a party or candidate may seek support from another 
party because of the vote-getting power of a locally powerful 
politician who can get out the vote.  There is always a quid pro 
quo, sometimes overt, sometimes hidden. 
 
Comment 
 
7. (SBU)  Municipal elections generate a lot of heat but little 
light: they are not a good predictor of outcomes of the next 
national elections, and they do not bring voter concerns or grand 
themes into relief the way national elections do.  The elections may 
indicate whether Marta Suplicy has a chance to run for president in 
2010, whether Aecio Neves can increase his national appeal and 
presidential chances by allying locally with adversaries, and 
whether Jose Serra will find himself weakened as a result of the 
rebuff from within his own party, which could affect his current 
2010 front-runner status.  Local elections also provide an 
opportunity for young talent to emerge, and Mission will report 
significant developments.  But despite the cacophony of thousands of 
electoral campaigns, they tell us little else. 
 
SOBEL