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Viewing cable 08ADDISABABA1746, FORUM FOR DEMOCRATIC DIALOGUE IN ETHIOPIA": A NEW

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08ADDISABABA1746 2008-06-26 14:17 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Addis Ababa
VZCZCXRO3918
PP RUEHROV
DE RUEHDS #1746 1781417
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 261417Z JUN 08
FM AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1115
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
UNCLAS ADDIS ABABA 001746 
 
UNCLASS 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM PHUM ET
SUBJECT: "FORUM FOR DEMOCRATIC DIALOGUE IN ETHIOPIA": A NEW 
OPPOSITION COALITION 
 
1. (U) On June 24, 2008, representatives from the United Ethiopian 
Democratic Forces (UEDF), Oromo Federalist Democratic Movement 
(OFDM), Somali Democratic Alliance Forces (SDAF), Arena Tigray for 
Democracy and Sovereignty (Arena), former President of Ethiopia Dr. 
Negasso Gidada, and former Defense Minister and ruling party Central 
Committee member Seeye Abraha formed the "Forum For Democratic 
Dialogue in Ethiopia". Participants report creating the Forum in 
response to the failure of the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary 
Democratic Front (EPRDF) to deliver promised human and democratic 
rights to the people. Citing the high levels of poverty, widespread 
hunger, and continuous ethnic clashes, the Forum argued for the need 
for new political leadership.  Unlike Ethiopia's tradition of 
fractured opposition movements, the Forum is a diverse group of 
opposition parties united by a common political agenda to exert 
pressure on the ruling party and government to create a conducive 
political environment for free and fair elections and plan a common 
strategy for the forthcoming local and national elections of 2010. 
 
 
 
2. (U) The primary goal of the Forum is to present a unified and 
significant challenge to the EPDRF in the 2010 elections.  In 
accordance with this goal, the Forum plans to organize discussions 
and debates around fundamental issues to identify common political 
platforms on which all parties in the Forum can adopt.  It seeks to 
mobilize the people of Ethiopia to seek solutions to pressing 
national and local issues through peaceful and legal means of 
recourse. 
 
COMMENT 
------- 
 
3. (SBU) The formation of such a diverse and viable opposition 
movement within Ethiopia is unprecedented and highly significant. 
The coalition's members are very influential leaders within their 
communities, and their coming together could mark an opportunity to 
move beyond the tradition of splintered opposition groups unable to 
dislodge the EPDRF.  Like the still-born Alliance for Freedom and 
Democracy established by diaspora opposition groups, including 
insurgent groups in May 2006, the Forum's inclusion of Oromos and 
Amharas together with Somalis and former ruling party Central 
Committee members will certainly be viewed by the GoE as a threat. 
The fact that domestically operational, legal opposition groups have 
established this group within Ethiopia is particularly notable. 
Post will follow the development of the Forum closely in coming 
weeks and months. 
 
YAMAMOTO