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Viewing cable 08MEXICO1433, NARCO-VIOLENCE SPIKES, TOP COPS TARGETED

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08MEXICO1433 2008-05-13 16:28 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Mexico
VZCZCXRO3240
RR RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
DE RUEHME #1433/01 1341628
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 131628Z MAY 08
FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1828
INFO RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE
RUEAHLA/DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY
RHMFIUU/CDR USNORTHCOM
RHMFIUU/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 MEXICO 001433 
 
SIPDIS 
SENSITIVE 
 
DEPARTMENT FOR INL 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM SNAR KCRM MX
SUBJECT: NARCO-VIOLENCE SPIKES, TOP COPS TARGETED 
 
REF: A. TIJUANA 408 
     B. TIJUANA438 
     C. TIJUANA 438 
     D. CIUDAD JUAREZ 204 
 
Summary 
------- 
 
1. (SBU)  Organized crime killings in 2008 are up over record 
numbers last year.  Large scale shootouts around the country 
over the last two weeks have left dozens dead.  And the 
cartels are not only killing each other but going after the 
police as well.  Over the last ten days, assassins have 
killed high-ranking police officials in Tijuana, Ciudad 
Juarez and Mexico City, several of whom were close DEA 
contacts.  Much of the violence can be attributed directly to 
GOM success in disrupting the cartels. While President 
Calderon is insistent the GOM is undeterred in its efforts, 
the attacks on police are taking a toll as they struggle to 
meet recruiting targets.  End Summary. 
 
2.(SBU)  Mexican newspapers tally between 900 and 1100 
organized crime homicides so far this year.  Chihuahua, Baja 
California, and the State of Mexico each account for more 
than 10% of these homicides. The states of Sinaloa, 
Michoacan, and Guerrero also figure prominently in the murder 
count.  The last two weeks have been particularly bloody with 
a major shootout in Tijuana (April 26), which left 13 people 
dead, two back-to-back massacres in Guerrero (May 3 and 4) 
which left 17 ranchers dead, and a shootout in Zacatecas (May 
6) which left 3 dead.  The first 10 days of May registered 
over 100 drug-related homicides, almost 20 percent of which 
were law enforcement officials. 
 
 
 
Month       Police/Military         Total 
------------------------------------------ 
Jan               23                248 
Feb               19                245 
Mar               20                232 
Apr               11                107 
May 1-10          20                108 
----------------------------------------- 
Total             93                940 
 
 
 
OK Corral from Coast to Coast 
----------------------------- 
 
3. (SBU) Mexico has been hit by a wave of violence across the 
country over the last two weeks. 
 
-- Tijuana: The April 26 shootout among members of the 
Arrellano Felix Organization (AFO) left thirteen drug 
traffickers dead.  Media speculate the violence resulted from 
a meeting of the rival factions which turned sour or the 
consequence of a kidnapping of members of opposing groups. 
 
-- Guerrero:  In two separate attacks in the southern state 
of Guerrero, 17 ranchers were killed by suspected drug 
hitmen.  On May 4 at least 10 ranchers were killed in an 
attack by 40 armed men on the estate of a well-known and 
politically connected rancher, Rogaciano Alba Alvarez.  The 
attack followed an attack on May 3 in which seven ranchers, 
who were on their way back from a meeting with Alba, were 
killed. The attack may have been an attempt to settle a score 
with Alba, whose two sons were killed in the attack and whose 
daughter was kidnapped. He had survived an earlier attempted 
assassination in Michoacan in 2006. 
 
-- Zacatecas: On May 7, a clash between army soldiers and 
presumed cartel enforcers leaving an illegal horse race 
resulted in three deaths, including a young boy caught in the 
cross-fire. 
 
-- Ciudad Juarez:  Two-thousand troops and 500 federal police 
deployed to Chihuahua in late March may have resulted in 
restoring a semblance of order ) media report that killings 
in the state appear to have declined from 25 per week to 26 
in over the first three weeks of the operation. 
 
Police Taking Major Hits 
 
MEXICO 00001433  002 OF 003 
 
 
------------------------ 
 
4. (SBU) Law enforcement and military officials continue to 
be targeted with just under 100 drug-related homicides 
through early May.  In the first 10 days of May, police 
became a prime target, with the killings in this short time 
frame making up over 20 percent of police homicides committed 
during the prior four months. High-profile police killings 
include: 
 
-- On May 1, unknown gunmen assassinated Robert Velasco 
Bravo, head of the Organized Crime Department at the 
Secretariat of Public Security (SSP). Velasco was a trusted 
and respected colleague of the DEA, a leader in the DEA's 
Sensitive Investigative Unit (SIU) Program. Although initial 
reports indicated that he died during an attempted robbery, 
the discovery of a murder weapon with a silencer and multiple 
head wounds suggest that it was a professional hit. 
 
-- On May 3, apparent car-jackers murdered Aristeo Gomez, a 
senior administrative officer within the SSP.  (Ironically, 
the Embassy had been meeting with Gomez just days prior, 
discussing the provision of armored cars and other protective 
gear for USG-supported vetted units.) 
 
-- On May 3, SSP Secretary Garcia Luna eulogized Velasco, as 
well as Gomez, four other PFP officials killed April 17 in 
Tijuana, and four PFP officials were killed May 2 in a 
confrontation in Culiacan, Sinaloa. 
 
-- On May 7, assassins killed Saul Pena, a senior Ciudad 
Juarez (CJ) municipal police officer.  He was the third 
policeman to be killed in CJ in a 24-hour period and the 20th 
police official killed in the city this year.  Pena was due 
to be named one of CJ's five police commanders. 
 
-- On May 8, a lone gunman shot and killed Edgar Eusebio 
Millan Gomez, the Federal Police's General Coordinator for 
Regional Security.  Police captured the shooter (a recent 
prison releasee) told police he had been paid by an unknown 
man $10,000 to kill Millan.  A close confidant of SSP's 
Garcia Luna, Millan coordinated state Federal Police 
delegates and was deeply in mixed police-military surges 
against the cartels.  DEA had warned Millan that the Arturo 
BELTRAN-Leyva (ABL) organization reportedly had targeted him 
and two other high-ranking Federal Police officials because 
of the arrest of ABL's brother. 
 
-- On May 9, Esteban Robles Espinoza (aka "El Lobo"), a top 
Mexico City police commander was shot seven times in his car 
by four attackers in a minivan near his home in the San Juan 
de Aragon neighborhood. Robles headed the Honor and Justice 
Commission, an internal affairs unit of the city's Attorney 
General's Office. 
 
-- On May 10, deputy police chief of Ciudad Juarez, Juan 
Antonio Ramon Garcia, was shot dead.  Garcia's name recently 
appeared on the top of a hit list found at a monument to dead 
officers. 
 
Cause and Effect 
---------------- 
 
5. (SBU) GOM success in disrupting the cartels )- in the 
form of pressure applied through massive military/police 
surges along with more targeted arrests based on improved 
intelligence -- lies at the heart of the much of the violence 
both within and between cartel organizations.  Arrests and 
killings create power vacuums that criminals seek to fill, 
often with guns.  While violence is always present in these 
organizations, its spread and nature is constantly changing, 
always ratcheting upwards in brutality ) from heads rolling 
across dance floors, to the assassination of El Chapo 
Gunman's 22-year-old son on May 9 (someone we are not even 
sure was directly involved in the "family business"). 
 
6. (SBU) President Calderon insists the GOM is more 
determined than ever to win its war against organized crime. 
The violence against police is inevitably intimidating, 
however, and top police officials within DEA's Special 
Intelligence Unit (SIU) repeatedly have asked to be 
reassigned out from the SSP's elite anti-drug unit to "safer" 
areas of police work. In 2007, the SSP sought to hire 8,000 
new college-educated recruits, but have received applications 
 
MEXICO 00001433  003 OF 003 
 
 
from barely half that number; the supposition is that 
well-educated grads are unwilling to join, for one reason 
(the endemic violence) or another (e.g., the continuing low 
stature of police in Mexican society). 
 
7. (SBU) For now we have no reason to expect a major shift in 
terms of the violence.  As long as the GOM keeps the pressure 
on the cartels, we can expect continued outbreaks of violence 
within and between the cartels as well as in the form of 
striking out against authorities. 
Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at 
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity and the North American 
Partnership Blog at http://www.intelink.gov/communities/state/nap / 
GARZA