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Viewing cable 08BUENOSAIRES395, MEDIA REACTION; WAR IN IRAQ; CUBA; LATIN AMERICA; CHINA;

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08BUENOSAIRES395 2008-03-31 15:33 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0001
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #0395/01 0911533
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 311533Z MAR 08
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0601
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 000395 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; WAR IN IRAQ; CUBA; LATIN AMERICA; CHINA; 
03/31/08 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
The main international topics during last weekend were the role 
played by the US in the war in Iraq; the Cuban Government 
authorizing the sale of cell phones; Latin American handling of the 
crisis between Ecuador and Colombia; and China's contribution to 
world economic growth. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "Evaluation of an 'asymmetrical war'" 
 
Leading "Clarin" (03/31) editorializes "The war in Iraq shows its 
main players trapped in a spiral of violence without a way out... 
 
"... The USG justified its presence in Iraq with two arguments - the 
struggle against international terrorism and the establishment of a 
democratic peace in the Persian Gulf region. The outcome of the 
military campaign (which carries the specter of the Vietnam War) is 
at odds with both motivations. 
 
"As the US reinforced its intervention in Iraq, the climate of civil 
war has deepened... The main military power in the world has not 
been able to establish order and terrorist attacks have increased. 
 
"The assessment of war has impacted on the US society during this 
election campaign, and even though one should not expect drastic 
changes, like a withdrawal that could also unveil the US failure in 
Iraq, one can hope that consensus will increase on the serious 
mistake of having started the war and the need to respond in a 
different way to its consequences." 
 
- "New Havana's talking" 
 
Liberal, English-language "Buenos Aires Herald" editorializes 
(03/31) "No technological innovation of recent times is more visible 
than the cell phone and less than six weeks after veteran leader 
Fidel Castro's departure from power, they have become the latest 
revolution in Cuba following a decree on Friday permitting their 
sale. 
 
"Until now mobile phones have been the privilege of Cuba's elite, 
foreigners and certain Cubans with foreign employees since their 
advent on the island in 1991... 
 
"With the average Cuban earning less than a dollar a day, there does 
not seem any scope for any rapid expansion but hundreds of thousands 
receive remittances from abroad and these could massively acquire 
the prized status symbol. 
 
"... Who will pick up the business? We have already seen Mexican 
tycoon Carlos Slim overtake Bill Gates in some estimates of the 
world's richest man... Slim's fortune is based on his firm grip on 
the cell phone market throughout the region - will Cuba be added to 
that empire (the last Latin American country to leave the Spanish 
empire also becoming the last to enter Slim's)? 
 
"But that, of course, presupposes a commercial revolution on a 
Communist island which runs on ration cards with free housing, 
education and health. The tiny cell phone might well end up 
spearheading that revolution..." 
 
- "The regional puzzle" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" carries an opinion piece by Natalio 
Botana, who writes (03/30) "... What seems to prevail in Latin 
America... is behavioral lack of proportion... 
 
"In Europe, it is quite clear that terrorist organizations, such as 
ETA, are outside of the EU. In Latin America, instead, this clarity 
is clouded and has unleashed two simultaneous storms - one took the 
war outside of Colombia to its jungle borders with Ecuador. The 
other one failed to implement the necessary guarantees to put 
terrorist insurgents at bay. 
 
"... Therefore, bewilderment is both political and social. What 
should one do vis-`-vis this scenario? There are several roads to 
take. The first is an overall confrontation leading to war beyond 
borders. In this regard, guerrillas who take refuge in another 
country to launch new attacks are as illegal as the armed actions 
from a Government in another sovereign territory, thereby violating 
the non-intervention principle. 
 
"The other roads are equally complex. At this point, it is obvious 
that Inter-American and regional institutions are not mere formal 
barriers that no one honors. This is the positive piece of 
information provided by the OAS mission on the border between 
 
Ecuador and Colombia... 
 
"The other possible road is taming Chavez by bringing Venezuela into 
Mercosur. Is this possible when the Venezuelan government rejects 
freedom of communication now that the SIP will hold its meeting in 
Caracas?" 
 
- "China, not the US, is the engine of the world" 
 
Jorge Castro, political analyst, writes an opinion piece for 
centrist "Perfil" newspaper (03/30) "The US economy accounts for 32% 
of world GDP while that of China accounts for 5.5%. However, the 
Chinese economy's contribution to world economic growth is 
significantly greater than that of the US (23% vis-`-vis 19% in 
2007). 
 
"The main reason for this difference is that China's burst into 
international commodities trade has changed the nature of the world 
commodity market. Today China is the largest consumer of 4 of 5 
major commodities, and, according to the International Energy 
Agency, regarding oil (in which it currently second to the US), 
China will be the largest consumer by 2010. 
 
"This means that all countries exporting commodities... are 
connected to the world economy and globalization mainly through the 
People's Republic, not the US." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE