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Viewing cable 08NAIROBI417, KENYA - FEBRUARY 8 SITREP

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08NAIROBI417 2008-02-08 12:05 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Nairobi
VZCZCXYZ0011
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHNR #0417/01 0391205
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 081205Z FEB 08
FM AMEMBASSY NAIROBI
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4634
UNCLAS NAIROBI 000417 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR S/ES-O/CMS, AF/E, AF/EX, CA/OCS/ACS, DS/IP/AF 
 
E.O. 12958:  N/A 
TAGS: ASEC AMGT CASC PGOV EAID ECON PHUM PREL KE
SUBJECT: KENYA - FEBRUARY 8 SITREP 
 
REF: A. NAIROBI 379, B. NAIROBI 378, C. NAIROBI 370, D. NAIROBI 367 
 
SENSITIVE-BUT-UNCLASSIFIED.  NOT FOR RELEASE OUTSIDE USG CHANNELS. 
 
1.  (SBU) POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS:  As noted ref B, the Kofi 
Annan-led negotiations in Nairobi entered their most critical and 
difficult phase February 7, as the parties began talks on 
power-sharing.  We spoke with one ODM negotiator at their 1430 break 
and were told that the parties were making significant progress and 
that the ODM team was optimistic a deal might be reached soon. 
During the late afternoon session, however, PNU negotiator Martha 
Karua poured cold water on the day's progress by announcing a 
complete reversion to PNU's original position - that the parties 
must solve their differences in court.  Raila Odinga did not take 
the bait, but stated at an evening press conference, flanked by 
Louis Michel, the European Union Commissioner for Humanitarian 
Affairs: "Initially, our stand was that we won the elections and 
Kibaki did not, hence he should resign and we should be sworn in. 
But we have said we are not static on that point.  We are willing to 
yield some ground so that an acceptable solution can be found 
between us and the other side." 
 
Talks continued February 8, but will break for the weekend and 
resume on Monday, February 11.  Kofi Annan is scheduled to meet 
separately with Kibaki and Odinga at the Statehouse at 1600, sources 
tell us. 
 
Two Kibaki-side provocations fizzled over the last 48 hours. The 
East African Community Heads of State Summit and an IGAD ministerial 
meeting that were scheduled to take place in Nairobi from February 
7-8 were cancelled under pressure from nearly all sides, including 
Kofi Annan, the international community, and very robust protests 
from Kenyan civil society.  The IGAD ministers were already in town 
and so met informally with each other and both sides to the 
negotiations.  The heads of state never touched down. 
 
2.  (SBU) SECURITY SITUATION: Kenya has experienced a period of 
relative calm over the past few days, with no major reports of 
violence being received.  The inevitable and already present upsurge 
in opportunistic criminal activities is being closely monitored by 
the RSO and the Kenyan security services.  Loosely organized gangs 
of youths are taking advantage of the violence, threats of violence, 
abandoned properties, and the security forces diverted focus from 
crime, in order to loot, extort, and threaten the communities most 
affected by the recent violence.  To date, no American Embassy 
employee or private American citizen has reported being affected or 
threatened by this new trend.  Travel of all Mission employees 
continues to be monitored and approved by RSO and DCM, for the sake 
of accountability. 
 
3.  (SBU) U.S. MISSION POSTURE: There are no/no USDH personnel in 
the cities of Kisumu and Kericho.  USAID OFDA field assessment team 
of two USDH and two FSNs are in the southern Rift Valley town of 
Narok.  U.S. Peace Corps is completing its Close-of-Service workshop 
in Nairobi for their 58 Volunteers.  In Nairobi, USG offices at the 
Gigiri Chancery compound and CDC/KEMRI compound are operating 
normally.  International School of Kenya and Rosslyn Academy are 
open and buses are running without disruption.  Power, water, and 
communications are fully operational.  In-country travel policy is 
in effect and all personnel and family members are accounted for. 
 
4.  (SBU) HUMANITARIAN SITUATION:  The USAID Disaster Assistance 
Response Team (USAID/DART) reports growing humanitarian needs in 
Kenya's Central Province, where up to 30,000 people have recently 
become internally displaced.  These internally displaced persons 
(IDPs) consist of two groups: some are arriving from other provinces 
to seek shelter with relatives and host communities; others are 
fleeing the province out of fear or threats of additional violence. 
During a two-day assessment trip, the USAID/DART noted that few 
humanitarian organizations are present despite the deteriorating 
situation.  The team's Field Officer observed a lack of emergency 
relief supplies and confirmed with Kenya Red Cross Society (KRCS) 
staff that most relief supplies had previously been sent to 
conflict-affected areas of Rift Valley, Nyanza and Western provinces 
in the initial weeks of the emergency.  The USAID/DART's field 
officer has contacted WFP and KRCS to highlight the situation and 
advocate for an increased emergency response in Central Province. 
 
5.  (SBU) U.S. CITIZENS:  Consular wardens from Kisumu, Eldoret, 
Kitale, Nakuru and Naivasha (covering Rift Valley, Nyanza and 
Western provinces) report calm and quiet in their respective areas. 
All noted that life is getting back to normal and that businesses, 
banks, post offices and schools are open and functioning.  The 
warden in Eldoret mentioned that she heard of isolated incidents of 
violence - for example, a spear being thrown through a window - but 
stated that they have not heard about any major incidents like 
roadblocks or torched houses.  The warden in Kitale mentioned that 
he had visited a camp for IDPs near Kitale and that the camp was 
quiet.  The warden in Kisumu specifically noted that travel in and 
around Kisumu is operating normally, although many locals are still 
 
fearful of traveling to Nairobi overland for fear of being targeted. 
 The Nakuru warden noted that the burial of murdered MP David 
Kimutai Too will take place today in Kericho, which could prove to 
be a volatile event.  The Naivasha warden reported that the many 
flower farms located in Naivasha are open and operating, although 
she had no information about staffing levels on the farms.  Post 
revised its Situation Update as of February 6 and expects that a 
revised Travel Warning will be issued today. 
Rannenberger