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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES2284, MEDIA REACTION; VENEZUELAN REFERENDUM; BOLIVIA; ARGENTINE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES2284 2007-12-04 08:49 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0005
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #2284/01 3380849
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 040849Z DEC 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9823
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 002284 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; VENEZUELAN REFERENDUM; BOLIVIA; ARGENTINE 
FUTURE FOREIGN POLICY; 12/03/07 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Weekend international stories include the outcome of the Venezuelan 
referendum; the chaos in Bolivia; and the Cristina Kirchner's 
administration future foreign policy. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "A Myth" 
 
Paula Lugones, international columnist of leading "Clarin," writes 
(12/03) "In almost nine years of Hugo Chavez in power, this is the 
first time the president's proposal is not a clear front-runner in 
an election. 
 
"Yesterday's outcome shows a clear declination in the votes Chavez 
obtained and an encouraging message for the opposition. 
 
"So far, anti-Chavists had taken refuge in a senseless diatribe and 
they had never been able to form a consolidated and reliable front 
vis-`-vis a president that opened the doors of his project to the 
poor while his authoritarian air irritated well-off sectors. 
 
"Now, the opposition sees a light - it was quite clear in Manuel 
Rosales' rare conciliating message for the Venezuelan people. For 
the first time, they felt that the myth of Chavez invincibility 
could be demolished." 
 
- "The US urges Venezuelans to vote and has doubts about 
transparency" 
 
Hugo Alconada Mon, daily-of-record "La Nacion's" Washington-based 
correspondent, comments (12/02) "The US wants Venezuelans to vote in 
a massive way. However, it is also mistrustful about the 
transparency of the process and the vote count, just like about 
everything related to Venezuelan Hugo Chavez or his 'regime,' which 
the White House, Republicans and Democrats alike see increasingly 
further from democracy. 
 
"The US Department of State... asked Venezuelans to exercise their 
'inalienable right to express their will in a democratic way in a 
climate of tolerance, without intimidation or violence,' instead of 
abstaining from voting. 
 
"... The reasons for mistrust towards Chavez are several in 
Washington - among others, his ties to Iran, his negotiations with 
the FARC... and his influence in Bolivia, as well as his ties to 
Cuba,  Nicaragua and Ecuador, his threats to foreign investment and 
his use of oil as a political weapon. 
 
"Nonetheless, Chavez has also become a political tool for the White 
House, which invokes him to promote its own agenda in an excluding 
way - you are either with Bush or with Caracas. In this way, number 
two at the Department of State, John Negroponte, asked 
Democratic-controlled Congress to approve FTAs with Colombia, Peru 
and Panama." 
 
- "Violence in Bolivia" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" (12/03) "Since Evo Morales took over the 
Bolivian presidency, the country's social peace has gradually 
deteriorated until reaching its current situation of high-tension, 
which ended up in a wave of violent confrontation. 
 
"... The truth is that Bolivia is today going through a true limit 
situation, which is on the verge of the rupture of democracy, with a 
highly polarized population in two postures that seem 
irreconcilable... 
 
"Following the swift approval of the misleading new Constitution..., 
six of the nine departments of the country staged a 24-hour protest 
demonstration and called to civil disobedience. 
 
"... Given his arrogance, Morales seems to have lost credibility, 
and this is why the opposition is asking for the participation of 
the Catholic Church in negotiations. The church is one of the few 
institutions that still enjoy the respect of most Bolivians... 
 
"... The risk posed to the peace of the region seems to have 
substantially increased. Argentina should at least offer its 
mediation for a re-encounter." 
 
- "Will (Argentina's) foreign policy change?" 
 
Leading "Clarin" (12/03) carries an op-ed piece by Fabian Calle and 
Federico Merke, professors of international relations (UCA, UTDT and 
USAL universities), who write "Nestor Kirchner's foreign policy was 
 
focused on four main points... - the restructuring of the country's 
foreign debt and the payment of the debt to the IMF..., its ties to 
Bolivia, its ideological rapprochement to Venezuela..., and its 
distancing from Uruguay due to the conflict over Botnia 
establishment... 
 
"The Cristina Kirchner administration will have to be more creative 
in order to rethink Argentina's international insertion. The global 
scenario's main feature will be the US withdrawal from Iraq and a 
less unilateral policy that will be closer to some realistic 
multilateralism... 
 
"A crucial point in this regard is that the Democratic Party, the 
front-runner to access the presidency, does not seem against the 
verbal escalation with the Bolivarian project. Washington's critical 
assessment of the Venezuelan leader's project is well-known... 
 
"In this regard, one of the main challenges of this new stage will 
be to take advantage of constructive and useful ties to Brasilia, 
Washington and Caracas in a climate of confrontation between Chavez 
and the US, Spain and, to a lesser extent, to Brazil. 
 
"... In the context of the spat between Hugo Chavez and King Juan 
Carlos from Spain, Cristina Kirchner will likely downplay her 
ideological ties to Caracas, although reinforcing the pragmatic and 
realistic side of Argentina's ties to Venezuela. This realistic 
strategy will likely repeat itself towards Mexico as a way to 
balance Itamaraty's leading role..." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE