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Viewing cable 07BANGKOK6089, FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE UPCOMING THAI ELECTION

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BANGKOK6089 2007-12-11 09:56 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Bangkok
VZCZCXRO8594
OO RUEHCHI RUEHCN RUEHDT RUEHHM
DE RUEHBK #6089/01 3450956
ZNY EEEEE ZZH
O 110956Z DEC 07
FM AMEMBASSY BANGKOK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1011
INFO RUEHZS/ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHEAST ASIAN NATIONS
RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA 8047
RUEHWL/AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON 2035
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 1533
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3999
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 5258
RUEHCHI/AMCONSUL CHIANG MAI 4510
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHFJSCC/COMMARFORPAC
UNCLAS E F T O SECTION 01 OF 04 BANGKOK 006089 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
NOFORN 
 
SIPDIS 
 
NSC FOR PHU 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM TH
SUBJECT: FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE UPCOMING THAI ELECTION 
 
REF: A. BANGKOK 5749 (ELECTION PLAYBILL) 
     ΒΆB. BANGKOK 5739 (ELECTION MONITORING) 
 
BANGKOK 00006089  001.2 OF 004 
 
 
(SBU/NOFORN) Following are post's responses to some of the 
frequently asked questions about the upcoming Thai election. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: Who will be up for election on December 23? 
 
A: The December 23 election is for the 480-member House of 
Representatives.  Of these, 400 will be elected to 
constituency-based seats, and 80 will be elected by votes for 
regional party lists.  Over 4,000 people are registered as 
candidates in this election. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: Which are the main political parties competing in this 
election? 
 
A: There are 39 political parties fielding candidates; the 
largest ones are: 
 
- The People's Power Party 
- The Democrat Party 
- The Chart Thai Party 
- The Motherland Party 
- The Ruam Chai Thai Chart Pattana Party 
- The Matchima Thippathai Party 
 
For more detail on these parties and their leading figures, 
please see ref A. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: How does this coming election differ from those of 
previous years? 
 
A: Under the 1997 Constitution, which was in effect until the 
2006 coup d'etat, the House of Representatives consisted of 
500 seats: 400 from constituencies (the same number as 
currently), and 100 from a party list. 
 
Under the 1997 Constitution, the 400 constituency MPs were 
elected as the sole representatives from their 
constituencies.  Now, under the 2007 Constitution, 
constituencies are larger, and there will be three MPs from a 
typical constituency.  This change, which marks a return to 
pre-1997 practices, was intended to hinder vote-buying, and 
to reduce the advantages of large political parties. 
 
Under the 1997 constitution, the 100 party list MPs were 
elected off of a national party list.  Now, the 80 party list 
MPs will be elected from eight separate regional party lists. 
 This change was intended to ensure that party list MPs 
represent a more diverse group with stronger ties to voters 
in different regions. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: What are expectations for voter turnout? 
 
A: We expect high turnout, as voting in elections is 
mandatory under Thai law.  In 2005, voter turnout was over 72 
percent.  Academic opinion polling institutes predict roughly 
the same turnout in the coming election. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: When will the election results be known? 
 
A: Unofficial, incomplete election results will be known 
within hours of the polls' closing (at 3:00 p.m. on election 
 
BANGKOK 00006089  002.2 OF 004 
 
 
day).  At least one major media organization is conducting a 
quick count that will shape initial public impressions. 
Political parties will quickly receive data from their 
witnesses at the polling stations (where the votes will be 
counted), who should report figures up their chains of 
command. 
 
The Election Commission must announce official results within 
seven days of the election, unless it is investigating 
alleged improprieties.  In case of such investigations, the 
Election Commission has up to 30 days to announce official 
results. 
 
The Constitution specifies that the House is to hold its 
first session within 30 days of the election.  The 
Constitution also specifies that the House may meet so long 
as 95 percent of the House members are filled.  The 
Constitution does not indicate how to proceed if more than 
five percent of the House seats remain vacant more than 30 
days after the election. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: When will the next government be formed? 
 
A: Within 30 days of the House's first session (which, as 
stated above, must be within 30 days of the election), 
members of the House must elect from among their ranks a 
Prime Minister.  If this does not happen during that time 
frame, the President of the House has 15 days to submit a 
name of a Prime Minister to the King for appointment.   Thus, 
the Prime Minister must be chosen no later than 75 days after 
the election. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: How is the Prime Minister selected? 
 
A: The Prime Minister is selected by a majority vote in the 
House in favor of a resolution designating that person as 
Prime Minister.  No less than one-fifth of the current 
members of the House (96 members, when the House is at full 
strength) must endorse such a resolution in order for it to 
proceed to a vote.  The Constitution specifies that such 
votes are open, and that political parties cannot require 
their members to vote according to party lines. 
 
The Constitution directs that, if no person receives majority 
support for his candidacy as Prime Minister, the President of 
the House is to submit to the King the name of the person who 
received the most votes after being put forward for House 
consideration. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: Has there ever been a case in Thailand where a party wins 
a plurality but does not form a government? 
 
A: Yes, although rarely.  In 1997 and 1975, parties that did 
not hold a plurality in the parliament were able to form a 
government with one of their own members as Prime Minister. 
 
There also have been exceptional occasions when parties 
supported military figures who did not have seats in 
parliament to become Prime Minister.  The last such 
experience was sufficiently negative that the current 
Constitution prohibits such a practice, requiring that the 
Prime Minister be an elected member of the House. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: To whom can people report electoral improprieties? 
 
A: Any voter can petition the Election Commission if he/she 
 
BANGKOK 00006089  003.2 OF 004 
 
 
believes that an election was unfair. 
 
The Election Commission is charged with investigating 
allegations and applying appropriate remedies.  If the 
Election Commission reaches its conclusion in the matter 
prior to its announcement of the election results, the 
Election Commission's determination is final.  If the 
complaints arise after the Election Commission has already 
announced the election results, the Election Commission is to 
turn the matter over to the Supreme Court, which will conduct 
its own investigation and determination of the matter. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: What other powers does the Election Commission have? 
 
A: The Constitution grants the Election Commission enormous 
power to do whatever is necessary to ensure an honest and 
fair election.  This includes (but is not limited to): 
 
- Establishing the rules for the election; 
- Issuing orders to national and local government officials 
to ensure their cooperation with election-related efforts; 
- Investigating complaints, and searching premises without 
warrants if necessary; 
- Seizing assets of persons who are implicated in vote-buying; 
- Ordering new elections when necessary; 
- Disqualifying candidates or applying other sanctions to 
them when warranted; and 
- Filing a motion with the Constitutional Court to dissolve a 
political party whose leadership promotes unfair or dishonest 
election practices through acts of commission or omission. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: Who are the Election Commission members, and who appointed 
them? 
 
A: There are five Election Commissioners.  They were selected 
by the Senate in early September 2006, prior to the military 
coup d'etat.  Prior to becoming Election Commissioners, four 
were judges and one was a state attorney. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: Which independent organizations will observe the election? 
 
A: Various independent organizations are mounting observation 
efforts, although it remains unclear whether any one of them 
will provide thorough coverage nationwide.  Multiple Thai 
NGOs, including the Lawyer's Council of Thailand, the Thai 
Election Network, and the Institute for Democracy (ref B), 
plan to field thousands of volunteer observers, covering 
every province, with financial assistance from the Election 
Commission.  Pollwatch, an independent Thai election 
watchdog, plans to field at least 1,000 observers in southern 
provinces, as well as an undetermined number of observers 
elsewhere.  The international organization ANFREL, with 
partial funding from the Canadian government and the Asia 
Foundation, will deploy at least 32 international observers 
in 17 provinces.  Political parties also plan to have 
representatives monitor election day activities.  The U.S. 
Embassy and Consulate General in Chiang Mai will field 
approximately 20 observer teams in various provinces. 
 
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 
 
Q: What roles do deposed Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra 
and the 2006 coup leaders have in this election? 
 
A: Thaksin has no formal role in the coming election, 
although PPP, one of the major parties, has made clear its 
allegiance to him and his policies. 
 
 
BANGKOK 00006089  004.2 OF 004 
 
 
Of the six leaders of the security forces who composed the 
initial coup council, only Sonthi Boonyaratglin, who headed 
the coup council, has a formal role relating to the election. 
 He currently serves as Deputy Prime Minister and head of a 
"National Committee to Prevent Vote-Buying."  The precise 
scope of this committee's duties is unclear. 
 
Another member of the original coup council, General (ret) 
Ruengroj Mahasaranond, has become a Deputy Leader of the 
(pro-Thaksin) PPP, but he is not running for election. 
 
BOYCE