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Viewing cable 07BANGKOK5749, THAI POLITICAL PARTIES: ELECTION PLAYBILL

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BANGKOK5749 2007-11-09 08:31 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Bangkok
VZCZCXRO2636
RR RUEHCHI RUEHCN RUEHDT RUEHHM
DE RUEHBK #5749/01 3130831
ZNY EEEEE ZZH
R 090831Z NOV 07 ZES
FM AMEMBASSY BANGKOK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0594
INFO RUEHZS/ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHEAST ASIAN NATIONS
RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA 7926
RUEHWL/AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON 1967
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 1491
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3882
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 5134
RUEHCHI/AMCONSUL CHIANG MAI 4381
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHFJSCC/COMMARFORPAC
UNCLAS E F T O SECTION 01 OF 03 BANGKOK 005749 
 
SIPDIS 
C O R R E C T E D  C O P Y (DECL DELETED) 
 
SENSITIVE 
NOFORN 
SIPDIS 
 
NSC FOR PHU 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM TH
SUBJECT: THAI POLITICAL PARTIES: ELECTION PLAYBILL 
 
BANGKOK 00005749  001.4 OF 003 
 
 
Classified By: Ambassador Ralph L. Boyce, reason: 1.4 (b) and (d). 
 
1. (SBU/NF) As the December 23 election approaches, post 
provides the following brief profiles of the most prominent 
political parties in Thailand.  We caution that the seat 
projections are extremely unscientific, and the campaign 
season is just beginning.  They are provided to give a rough 
idea of the relative strengths of the parties, as assessed by 
a variety of contacts and media sources. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: People's Power Party. 
 
PARTY LEADER: Samak Sundaravej, former Bangkok Governor. 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): Likely to win a 
plurality with 200 seats, plus or minus a few dozen. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Northern and Northeastern Thailand. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: A previously obscure and insignificant 
party, PPP became the new home for scores of leading Thai Rak 
Thai (TRT) figures after the dissolution of TRT in May.  PPP 
currently is the sole party that has publicly shown its 
loyalty to deposed PM Thaksin (Samak said publicly he was 
Thaksin's "nominee").  It also advocates continuing TRT's 
hallmark populist policies. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: Democrat Party. 
 
PARTY LEADER: Abhisit Vejjajiva, former legislator with a PhD 
from Oxford. 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): Likely to place second 
to PPP with 120 seats, plus or minus 20. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Southern Thailand, where the DP is 
dominant, and Bangkok. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: The DP is Thailand's oldest party, with 
well established traditions.  When the DP last held the reins 
of government (from 1997-2001), a capable, technocratic team 
helped Thailand to recover from the Asian financial crisis. 
Some Thais view the DP as too rigid, bureaucratic, and 
elitist. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: Chart Thai (translates as "Thai Nation," but 
invariably referred to by its Thai name in the English press). 
 
PARTY LEADER: Banharn Silapa-Archa, former Prime Minister 
(1995-1996). 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): 45 seats, plus or 
minus 10. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Parts of central Thailand, with 
inroads into the North and Northeast. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: Chart Thai is known for reflecting the 
notorious pragmatism of its Party Leader, on whom the party 
depends for its continued viability.  Chart Thai is currently 
aligned with the Democrat Party and against PPP; Banharn has 
been publicly supportive of the coup and critical of Thaksin. 
 In recent months, Chart Thai has picked up momentum by 
absorbing the (very small) Mahachon Party and attracting some 
high profile former Thai Rak Thai figures. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: For the Motherland Party ("Peua Paendin"). 
 
 
BANGKOK 00005749  002.4 OF 003 
 
 
PARTY LEADER: Suwit Khunkitti, former Deputy Prime Minister 
in the Thaksin, Chuan, and Chavalit administrations. 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): 35 seats, plus or 
minus 15. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Principally in portions of the 
Northeast. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: The Motherland Party was formed with former 
Thai Rak Thai figures at its core; their network provides the 
bulk of the party's support in the Northeast.  The group also 
includes Bangkok-based former TRT celebrities, such as former 
Foreign Minister Surakiart Sathirathai and former spokesman 
Suranand Vejjajiva.  However, the figures associated with 
this party claim to represent neutrality in this coming 
election, neither pro- nor anti-Thaksin. Although just 
launched, the party is showing some momentum, and appears to 
be well-funded. Other figures associated with the party 
include: 
 
- Retired General Pallop Pinmanee, controversial hardliner on 
South issues.  His colorful past includes participation in 
several coups during the 1980's; 
 
- Waemahadi Waedaoh, respected doctor from the far South who 
was arrested in 2003 on suspicion of links to Jemaah 
Islamiyah; charges were dismissed in 2005. He is a member of 
the current interim legislature; 
 
- Vatana Asavahame, whose reputation was damaged by public 
revelations in the early 1990's that he was ineligible for a 
U.S. visa because he had profited from the drug trade. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: Matchima Thippathai. 
 
PARTY LEADER: Thanaporn Sriyakul, a close aide to former TRT 
Labor Minister Somsak Thepsutin. 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): 20 seats, plus or 
minus 10. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Principally in portions of the 
Northeast. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: Matchima Thippathai has at its core a 
faction of Thai Rak Thai politicians associated with Somsak 
Thepsutin, who was banned from politics for five years after 
the May 2007 dissolution of TRT.  Some Somsak loyalists 
appear to have deserted him to join the Motherland party, 
however.  Businessman Prachai Leophairatana, an ardent 
Thaksin foe and supporter of last year's anti-Thaksin 
demonstrations, has assumed a leading position in the party, 
although the Election Commission has not yet recognized his 
assumption of the formal position of Party Leader. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: Ruam Jai Thai Chart Pattana. 
 
PARTY LEADER: Former Army Commander Chettha Thanacharo. 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): 20 seats, plus or 
minus 10. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Principally in Nakhon Ratchasima 
(Khorat) province (in the Northeast), with inroads of 
undetermined strength elsewhere. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: Ruam Jai Thai Chart Pattana resulted from a 
merger of two political groups, both headed by former Thai 
Rak Thai figures banned from politics for five years after 
the May 2007 dissolution of TRT: The "Ruam Jai Thai" group of 
economic policymaker Somkid Jatusripitak, and the "Chart 
 
BANGKOK 00005749  003.4 OF 003 
 
 
Pattana" group of Suwat Liptapanlop.  (General Chettha also 
served a stint as Thaksin's Defense Minister.)  Somkid 
provides a public image that appeals to some Bangkok 
residents, while Suwat provides a strong group of former MPs 
in Nakhon Ratchasima.  Despite a stint as Thaksin's Defense 
Minister, Chettha does not have strong experience in party 
politics; he is assisted by his Secretary General, Pradit 
Phataraprasit, a wealthy businessman and former Democrat 
Party Secretary General. 
 
================================= 
 
PARTY NAME: Pracharaj Party. 
 
PARTY LEADER: Veteran politician Sanoh Thienthong. 
 
2007 PROJECTION (Conventional Wisdom): Five seats, plus or 
minus two. 
 
GEOGRAPHIC STRONGHOLDS: Sanoh's home province of Sa Kaeow, in 
eastern Thailand. 
 
PARTY BACKGROUND: Sanoh formed this party in 2006, prior to 
the coup, after he split from Thai Rak Thai.  He has been 
unable to draw significant figures to his party and has 
suffered from recent defections.  The party currently has few 
assets other than Sanoh's name and his family's prominence in 
Sa Kaeow; however, it receives attention because Sanoh is a 
longtime political deal-maker who credibly claims to have 
played a kingmaker role in the past. 
 
================================= 
 
2. (U) There are about 65 registered parties in Thailand, 
although many of these are inactive and will not field 
candidates in this election.  Eighteen parties registered on 
November 7, the first day to register party list candidates. 
The candidates will compete for 400 constituency seats, and 
80 party list seats, (eight regions each electing 10 MPs). 
BOYCE