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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES2070, MEDIA REACTION; THE ARMENIAN GENOCIDE; IMF-ARGENTINA;

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES2070 2007-10-19 18:35 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0014
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #2070/01 2921835
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 191835Z OCT 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9516
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 002070 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; THE ARMENIAN GENOCIDE; IMF-ARGENTINA; 
UPCOMING ARGENTINE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS; 10/19/07 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Today's major international opinion pieces are related to the 
Armenian genocide; the status of IMF-Argentine ties; and doubts 
about governance in a future government of Argentine First 
Lady/Senator and Presidential Candidate Cristina Kirchner. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "The Armenian issue" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacisn" (10/19) carries an op-ed piece by Juan 
Gabriel Tokatlin, professor of International Relations at San 
Andrs University, who opines "In early October, US President Bush 
announced he was against the House Foreign Relations Committee 
passing a draft resolution in acknowledgment that Turkey's 
premeditated and systematic murder of over 1,500,000 Armenians 
between 1915 and 1923 was genocide. Just a few days later, the 
resolution was endorsed by the Committee for 27-21 votes... Whether 
the resolution will finally be grappled with and approved by Capitol 
Hill still remains to be seen. 
 
"Even though the non-binding legislative step is reported to have no 
impact on foreign policy, it would be mistaken to suppose that it 
lacks important symbolic value. There will always be 'reasons of 
State' to explain a position such as that of the US President. In 
this case, it is the importance of Ankara-Washington military ties 
ever since the Cold War and Turkey's geo-political value vis-`-vis 
the current war in Iraq. However, the fact that something can be 
explained does not imply that it is justifiable... 
 
"We should not accept either the argument used by several 
Republicans or the White House that the issue should be focused on 
by historians and not subject to a statement from any legislative 
body... 
In 2005, the main authorities of the International Association of 
Genocide Scholars... stated in a letter addressed to Turkish PM 
Recep T. Erdogan that historic evidence confirms the genocide 
committed against Armenians. 
 
"President Bush has lost a new opportunity for his statements to be 
validated with facts... His action proves that today the US 
Executive Branch has gradually abandoned the defense of human rights 
and subdued peoples. Instead of defending memory, it opts to join 
those who deny it... 
 
"Of course, the US goes beyond its current president. The impulse of 
its civil society, cosmopolitan sectors, progressive movements and 
committed political leaders hope that, in spite of President Bush, 
some day Washington acknowledges the Armenian genocide. This will be 
a step against barbarism." 
 
- "In search of a new stage in Argentina's ties to the IMF" 
 
Marcelo Bonelli, economic columnist for leading "Clarn," comments 
(10/19) "Last night,(Argentine) Economy Minister Miguel Peirano 
traveled to Washington in a low profile-visit although he has made a 
political decision - he will return every IMF criticism of the 
Argentine economic situation in a tough and conclusive way. He has 
already implemented this strategy by criticizing the recessive 
proposal included in an IMF report that suggests 'cooling down the 
economy.' 
 
"... Peirano and Martin Redrado's strategy in Washington has three 
pillars. First, the toughness with outgoing IMF authorities is aimed 
at making a division between outgoing authorities and incoming IMF 
(Managing Director) Dominique Strauss-Kahn. The purpose is blaming 
Rato and his staff for all the evils the IMF has represented for the 
Argentine economy during recent years. Second, (Peirano) will 
attempt to open a new stage starting with new IMF authorities. 
Third, under these circumstances, he would reportedly ask for a wink 
from Strauss-Kahn in favor of Argentine Paris Club debt 
negotiations. 
 
"The Paris Club matters. If Cristina Kirchner wins the presidential 
elections, she knows that in the event she agrees on that debt, she 
would immediately convey positive signs to businessmen who need 
international funding as well as a wink of rapprochement with 
industrialized countries. 
 
"The US will send a secret delegation to Buenos Aires in November. 
Washington's envoy will want to know what the next government will 
do and also he will want to clearly explain the White House's 
posture in terms of putting the bilateral relationship on a sound 
track... 
 
"... While the Argentine Government relies on Strauss-Kahn, doubts 
 
still prevail that he could disregard the past of confrontations and 
make more flexible the G7's tough posture towards Argentina. No one 
can overlook that the IMF new managing director is finally a 
representative of industrialized nations and receives orders from 
their governments. 
 
"... In other words, Strauss-Kahn will hardly honor his promise to 
help Argentina if there is no prior G7 support... 
 
"In the Argentine Government's view, the current IMF offensive goes 
beyond a Washington internal dispute. The President insists that it 
is due to more profound reasons. 
 
"Kirchner confessed that there is a clear attempt to internationally 
condition a future government of Cristina Kirchner... The strategy 
is reportedly aimed at deepening the implementation of 'cooling 
down' measures from the government." 
 
- "First doubts over Cristina Kirchner's governance" 
 
Alejandro Bercovich, on special assignment in Washington DC for 
business-financial "El Cronista," writes (10/19) "A US political 
think tank related to the Democratic Party (the Woodrow Wilson 
Center) organized a debate in Washington about Argentina's upcoming 
presidential elections. 
 
"What captured the attention... were the questions made by 
attendants, mostly analysts focusing on the Southern Cone and 
related to the US Department of State. First, they wondered why 
Kirchner declined to stand for re-election himself and how the 
country will receive a female president... 
 
"Nonetheless, the thorniest questions were related to the governance 
guaranteed by Cristina Fernndez in a year with a reinforced 
distributive struggle, record business profits and an average real 
salary slightly over its 2001 level. Political analyst Graciela 
Rmer attempted to dismiss doubts and she opined that only the PJ is 
in a position to keep the distributive struggle in check. However, 
she also warned that the PJ could well go from being a supporter to 
an eventual cradle of destabilization after the first half of a 
future term in office of Cristina." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE