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Viewing cable 07ABUJA2203, NIGERIA'S LEADERSHIP INCUBATOR FALLS ON HARD TIMES

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07ABUJA2203 2007-10-18 13:38 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Abuja
VZCZCXRO3044
OO RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHUJA #2203 2911338
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 181338Z OCT 07
FM AMEMBASSY ABUJA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1206
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHOS/AMCONSUL LAGOS 8085
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS ABUJA 002203 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KPAO NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA'S LEADERSHIP INCUBATOR FALLS ON HARD TIMES 
 
1. (U) Summary: Nigeria's National Institute for Policy and 
Strategic Studies (NIPSS) has produced three former Nigerian 
rulers, and scores of ministers, flag-grade officers, and 
high-level civil servants.  Described in past USG reporting 
as the "cradle of the elite of the elite," NIPSS has played a 
key policy planning and advisory role over its 28-year 
existence; recent evidence, however, shows an institution 
whose influence is in decline.  END SUMMARY. 
 
Nigeria's "High-Level Center for Reflection" 
-------------------------------------------- 
 
2. (U) Located in a pleasant rural setting with on-campus 
bungalow housing for its students, NIPPS was created after 
the end of the Nigerian civil war as a way to offer policy 
recommendations via a more deliberative, academic process. 
Created and funded by the President's Office, the Institute 
reports directly to him and each year presents the Executive 
with a substantive paper containing specific policy 
recommendations.  Its main program, however, is a ten-month 
course of study that includes public speaking training, group 
research projects, domestic and foreign travel, and a final 
policy-oriented thesis paper.  Enrolling 60 students from the 
upper levels of the military, Federal civil service, and 
state governments, it is envisioned as "the nation's foremost 
policy think tank" and alumni are privileged to use the 
honorific "MNI" (Member of the National Institute) after 
their names for life. 
 
3. (U) Per former NIPSS director and current enrollee Dr. 
Sokoto Mohammed, a NIPSS course is one of the required routes 
for military personnel to reach general/flag rank, with 
Nigeria's War College or a foreign equivalent being equally 
acceptable.  NIPSS has produced a long list of Nigerian 
political notables, including at least three former heads of 
state (Babangida, Abacha, and Abubakar), as well as key 
advisors, senators, ministers, and local leaders (including 
the Sultan of Sokoto, scheduled to meet with U/S Hughes in 
early November, Acting Inspector General of Police Mike 
Okiro, and the Secretary General of the Nigerian Labor 
Congress, John Odah).  Obasanjo supported it to the extent 
that there is a plaque at the entrance honoring him, and the 
library complex has been named after him (no other former 
heads of state have been so honored). 
 
A School in Decline 
------------------- 
 
4. (SBU) Despite an illustrious list of alumni, evidence 
shows an organization losing its ability to shape Nigerian 
government policy.  The NIPSS website (http://nipsskuru.org) 
frankly admits that it "has not lived up to the high 
expectations of its founding fathers", and, when asked which 
of NIPSS' recent policy recommendations have been 
implemented, Mohammed was only able to lamely offer some 
vague mention of "ecological" ones.  While Obasanjo may have 
increased the school's budget (and its former director, 
General Garba, was part of the Obasanjo patronage network), 
he also used the school as a place to get out-of-favor 
officers out of the way (e.g. Chief of Army Staff General 
Ajibade in May 2003).  In addition, both under Obasanjo and 
Yar'Adua, fewer of Nigeria's power elite seem to be "MNIs" 
and more are products of foreign universities, Nigeria's War 
College, and U.S., Indian, and European training. 
 
5. (SBU) COMMENT: Like many other things in Nigeria, NIPSS' 
future fortunes depend entirely on its ability to curry favor 
and patronage from the right people.  Dr. Mohammed admits 
that President Yar'Adua's disposition toward it is still 
unknown.  Capital upgrades from Obasanjo's largesse may have 
improved NIPSS' library and on-campus housing, but it's 
possible that TOO close of an association with the former 
President may mean marginalization under the new 
administration.  Despite a good curriculum, NIPSS may become 
the realm of the have-beens, the almost-weres, and the 
mid-grade civil servant. 
PIASCIK