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Viewing cable 07TOKYO4397, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 09/20/07

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07TOKYO4397 2007-09-20 22:46 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO3588
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #4397/01 2632246
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 202246Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7766
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RUALSFJ/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA//J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 5673
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 3259
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 6909
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 2220
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 3984
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 9060
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 5117
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 6014
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 13 TOKYO 004397 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 09/20/07 
 
Index: 
 
(1) Government: UN antiterrorism resolution clearly reflects UN 
wishes for continued refueling operation 
 
(2) Foreign Minister Machimura welcomes adoption of UNSC resolution, 
refers to maritime interdiction component 
 
(3) LDP presidential race: Eight faction heads secretly coordinating 
formation of new cabinet and party leadership 
 
(4) Poll on LDP presidential election, political parties 
 
(5) Poll on Abe cabinet, political parties, LDP race, MSDF refueling 
mission 
 
(6) DPJ set to continue opposing Indian Ocean mission even if new UN 
resolution adopted 
 
(7) Seiron (Opinion) column: DPJ President Ozawa's cosmopolitan 
sensibility questionable 
 
(8) New Komeito calls for postponing goal to bring primary balance 
into black: Putting on show of attaching importance to regional 
districts with eye on next Lower House election; Prevailing view in 
LDP is negative 
 
(9) International fraud groups likely to be behind suspects for 
allegedly opening bank accounts in Saitama, Chiba for money 
laundering 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) Government: UN antiterrorism resolution clearly reflects UN 
wishes for continued refueling operation 
 
NIKKEI ONLINE (Full) 
13:51, September 20, 2007 
 
The UN Security Council has adopted a resolution that includes words 
of appreciation for the multinational maritime interdiction 
operations (MIO). The government has taken this as indicating that 
the international community clearly welcomes the continuation of the 
Maritime Self-Defense Force's refueling operations on the Indian 
Ocean. Chief Cabinet Secretary Kaoru Yosano in this morning's press 
conference said: "It is significant that Japan's refueling 
operations have gained extremely high praise from the UN Security 
Council members. The United Nation's desire that operations continue 
is now clear." 
 
Referring to the Democratic Party of Japan's (Minshuto or DPJ) 
adamant opposition to continuing such operations, Yosano stated: "I 
think DPJ President Ichiro Ozawa believes in a UN-centered 
diplomacy. (Such thinking) must be practiced by respecting the UN's 
wishes, while operating within our constitutional restrictions." He 
thus expressed hopes for the DPJ to turn around its opposition to 
continuing the refueling mission based on the new UN resolution. 
 
Foreign Minister Nobutaka Machimura also told the press this 
morning: "I would like to see (the DPJ) become more sensitive to 
international efforts and wishes." Defense Minister Masahiko Komura 
took this view: "No member voted against the resolution, with all 
 
TOKYO 00004397  002 OF 013 
 
 
valid votes approving it. If this is not international opinion, what 
is?" 
 
(2) Foreign Minister Machimura welcomes adoption of UNSC resolution, 
refers to maritime interdiction component 
 
ASAHI ONLINE NEWS (Full) 
September 20, 2007, 12:27 p.m. 
 
Speaking to reporters at the Foreign Ministry this morning about the 
United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopting a resolution making 
mention of the maritime interdiction operation (MIO), Foreign 
Minister Machimura said: "Japan welcomes the adoption of the 
resolution. The judgment has again been made that it is necessary 
for Japan as a responsible member of the international community to 
continue its mission." Machimura revealed that in the recent 
Japan-Australia foreign ministerial held on the sidelines of the 
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) conference in Australia 
early this month, Japan asked the US' cooperation on the adoption of 
a new resolution. 
 
Russia abstained from voting. In this regard Machimura noted: "The 
important thing is that the resolution has been adopted. This fact 
does not reduce any aspect of the significance of the resolution." 
Defense Minister Komura, as well, stressed the effectiveness of the 
resolution at a press briefing this morning, saying: "(The 
effectiveness of the resolution) has not been lost in any way. No 
member voted against the resolution. The valid votes numbered 14, 
and all votes were in favor of the resolution. If that doesn't speak 
for the will of the international community, what does?" 
 
Chief Cabinet Secretary Yosano sought to check the DPJ's opposition 
at a press briefing this morning when he said: "The UNSC resolution 
has recognized the importance of the past refueling operations, 
praised the activities of foreign countries, and declared the need 
for the operations to be continued. It reflects the UN's desire." 
 
(3) LDP presidential race: Eight faction heads secretly coordinating 
formation of new cabinet and party leadership 
 
YOMIURI (Page 4) (Full) 
September 20, 2007 
 
While former Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda taking the lead in 
the ongoing campaign for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 
presidential election, many LDP lawmakers are now interested in the 
roster of the party's new executives, as well as the lineup of the 
new cabinet ministers, which will be picked after the Sept. 23 
presidential race. Fukuda has taken a cautious stance toward a 
large-scale change of the current cabinet, citing the Diet being in 
session. However, each faction has high hopes for a large-scale 
change in the cabinet lineup. Faction heads have begin to hold 
discussions behind closed doors. 
 
Fukuda indicated on Sept. 16 that in case he became prime minister, 
it would be difficult to drastically reshuffle the cabinet members. 
He stated: "Since the Diet is in session, new ministers will have to 
take the floor to answer questions. So I won't be able to make big 
changes." 
 
After the new cabinet is inaugurated on the 25th, the new prime 
minister is expected to deliver a policy speech on the 28th. The new 
 
TOKYO 00004397  003 OF 013 
 
 
cabinet ministers will be besieged with questions. With the issue of 
the "politics and money" scandals still alive, the new prime 
minister will not have sufficient time to carry out a thorough 
background check on the members of his cabinet. 
 
Many in the LDP think that Chief Cabinet Secretary Yosano should be 
replaced by a person close to Fukuda. Machimura faction members have 
rumored that Hiroyuki Hosoda or Nariaki Nakayama should be named 
chief cabinet secretary. 
 
A senior LDP member with close ties to Fukuda proposed retaining 
most ministers of the Abe cabinet and reshuffling the cabinet after 
the current extraordinary Diet session ends or before next year's 
regular Diet session is convened. Fukuda appears to be inclined to 
accept such a view. 
 
However, it remains to be seen if the tide will turn as Fukuda 
hopes. 
 
"Secretary General Koga, congratulations," a House of Councillors 
member said in a Koga faction meeting last night to Makoto Koga. 
Many in the faction seemed to be expecting Koga to become secretary 
general. 
 
The Koga faction's position is that the secretary general's post 
should be given to the faction since the thinking is that it created 
the trend of backing Fukuda in the party leadership race. 
 
The Tanigaki faction, which proactively worked to set up a support 
system for Fukuda in cooperation with Koga and other members, 
predicts that this is a good chance for it to get one of the three 
key LDP posts. 
 
Each faction's desire for cabinet posts is strong. In order to play 
up its desire for cabinet posts, one faction included its members 
waiting to enter the cabinet in a list of LDP lawmakers recommending 
Fukuda to run in the presidency. 
 
A person close to Fukuda is concerned that if he accepts the 
requests from various factions, he will inevitably be criticized by 
the media for granting rewards. 
 
Former Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori, honorary chairman of the 
Machimura faction, and former Secretary General Hidenao Nakagawa has 
begun coming into contact with faction heads and senor members. They 
seem to be trying to find a middle ground, while listening to their 
requests, but coordination seems likely to stall. 
 
(4) Poll on LDP presidential election, political parties 
 
ASAHI (Page 3) (Full) 
September 17, 2007 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage, rounded off. Bracketed figures denote 
proportions to all respondents.) 
 
Q: Which political party do you support now? (Figures in parentheses 
denote the results of a survey taken Sept. 13.) 
 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 32 (30) 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 24 (28) 
 
TOKYO 00004397  004 OF 013 
 
 
New Komeito (NK) 1 (3) 
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 2 (2) 
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1 (1) 
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0 (0) 
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0 (0) 
Other political parties 0 (0) 
None 35 (30) 
No answer (N/A) + don't know (D/K) 5 (6) 
 
Q: Are you interested in the LDP presidential election? (Figures in 
parentheses denote the results of a survey taken Sept. 8-9, 2006.) 
 
Yes 69 (63) 
No 29 (35) 
 
Q: Yasuo Fukuda and Taro Aso have announced their candidacies for 
the LDP presidential election. Which one do you think is appropriate 
for the next prime minister? (One choice only) 
 
Yasuo Fukuda 53 
Taro Aso 21 
 
Q: (For those who picked Fukuda) Why? 
 
Because his policies and ideals are good 17 (9) 
Because he's stable 62 (33) 
Because he's friendly 17 (9) 
 
Q: (For those who picked Aso) Why? 
 
Because his policies and ideals are good 36 (8) 
Because he's stable 22 (5) 
Because he's friendly 34 (7) 
 
Q: Which type do you think is better for the next prime minister? 
(One choice only) 
 
Decisive type to push ahead 31 
Coordinative type to listen well to others 62 
 
Q: What would you like the next prime minister to pursue first? (One 
choice only) 
 
Pensions 32 
Social divide 30 
Foreign, security policies 16 
Fiscal reconstruction 19 
 
Q: Prime Minister Abe has been positive about constitutional 
revision. Would you like the next prime minister to take over this 
stance? 
 
Yes 45 
No 45 
 
Q: Would you like the next prime minister to take over Prime 
Minister Abe's education reform policy? 
 
Yes 63 
No 28 
 
 
 
TOKYO 00004397  005 OF 013 
 
 
Q: Prime Minister Abe has taken over Prime Minister Koizumi's reform 
drive. This weighs economic growth and competition. Would you like 
the next prime minister to take over this reform drive? 
 
Yes 54 
No 36 
 
Polling methodology: The survey was conducted from the afternoon of 
Sept. 15 through the evening of Sept. 16 over the telephone on a 
computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. Respondents were 
chosen from among the nation's voting population on a three-stage 
random-sampling basis. Valid answers were obtained from 1,152 
persons (65 PERCENT ). 
 
(5) Poll on Abe cabinet, political parties, LDP race, MSDF refueling 
mission 
 
SANKEI (Page 5) (Abridged) 
September 18, 2007 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage, rounded off.) 
 
Q: Do you support the new Abe cabinet? 
 
Yes 20.0 (38.0) 
No 68.7 (42.9) 
Don't know (D/K) + Can't say which (CSW) 11.3 (19.1) 
 
Q: Which political party do you support? 
 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 30.5 (28.2) 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 25.9 (30.9) 
New Komeito (NK) 4.9 (5.6) 
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 3.1 (2.3) 
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.6 (1.1) 
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.5 (0.2) 
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0.5 (0.6) 
Other answers (O/A) 1.0 (1.6) 
None 30.5 (28.3) 
D/K + Can't say (C/S) 1.5 (1.2) 
 
Q: How do you evaluate Prime Minister Abe and his cabinet on the 
items listed below? 
 
His cabinet's performance 
Yes 21.5 
No 69.5 
D/K+CSW 9.0 
 
His cabinet's personal character 
Yes 60.0 
No 31.8 
D/K+CSW 8.2 
 
His leadership 
Yes 7.5 
No 85.1 
D/K+CSW 7.4 
 
Foreign policy 
Yes 40.2 
 
TOKYO 00004397  006 OF 013 
 
 
No 45.1 
D/K+CSW 14.7 
 
Education reform 
Yes 25.3 
No 58.6 
D/K+CSW 16.1 
 
Economic policy 
Yes 14.3 
No 69.8 
D/K+CSW 15.9 
 
Efforts for constitutional revision 
Yes 26.7 
No 58.3 
D/K+CSW 15.0 
 
Response to pension issues 
Yes 26.9 
No 65.7 
D/K+CSW 7.4 
 
Response to politics-and-money issues 
Yes 12.0 
No 80.3 
D/K+CSW 7.7 
 
His political approach 
Yes 10.1 
No 76.3 
D/K+CSW 13.6 
 
Timing for his resignation 
Yes 11.0 
No 82.1 
D/K+CSW 6.9 
 
Reason for his resignation 
Yes 18.7 
No 66.7 
D/K+CSW 14.6 
 
Q: Which candidate do you support in the LDP presidential election? 
 
Yasuo Fukuda 55.9 
Taro Aso 28.1 
D/K+CSW 16.0 
 
Q: What do you think is important for the post-Abe leader? 
 
Confidence 
Yes 69.1 
No 22.1 
D/K+CSW 8.8 
 
Experience, actual results 
Yes 64.1 
No 29.5 
D/K+CSW 6.4 
 
 
 
TOKYO 00004397  007 OF 013 
 
 
Friendliness 
Yes 54.2 
No 38.1 
D/K+CSW 7.7 
 
Leadership ability 
Yes 74.1 
No 19.2 
D/K+CSW 6.7 
 
Freshness 
Yes 33.0 
No 57.1 
D/K+CSW 9.9 
 
Policy expertise 
Yes 68.4 
No 19.5 
D/K+CSW 12.1 
 
Public mindset 
Yes 66.0 
No 25.2 
D/K+CSW 8.8 
 
Q: Who do you think is most appropriate for the next prime 
minister? 
 
Yasuo Fukuda 27.7 
Junichiro Koizumi 15.0 
Yoichi Masuzoe 13.2 
Taro Aso 10.3 
Yuriko Koike 0.9 
Kaoru Yosano 0.3 
Other ruling party lawmakers 2.0 
Ichiro Ozawa 12.2 
Other opposition party lawmakers 3.9 
None 12.1 
D/K+CSW 2.4 
 
Q: What would you like the next prime minister to pursue first? 
 
Pensions 27.7 
Social divide 27.2 
Tax reform, including consumption tax 10.2 
Politics and money 10.1 
Education reform 8.3 
Global warming 5.9 
Constitutional revision 3.3 
Security 2.8 
North Korea 2.5 
D/K+C/S 2.0 
 
Q: When would you like the House of Representatives to hold its next 
election? 
 
Within the year 28.3 (28.3) 
Next year 46.0 (46.2) 
The year after next 22.5 (22.3) 
D/K+C/S 3.2 (3.2) 
 
Q: Do you support continuing the Maritime Self-Defense Force's 
 
TOKYO 00004397  008 OF 013 
 
 
refueling activities in the Indian Ocean? 
 
Yes 48.7 
No 39.1 
D/K+CSW 12.2 
 
Q: Do you think you are a floating voter with no party in particular 
to support? 
 
Yes 57.5 (52.0) 
No 38.6 (44.6) 
D/K+CSW 3.9 (3.4) 
 
(Note) Figures in parentheses denote the results of the last survey 
conducted in August. 
 
Polling methodology: The survey was conducted Sept. 15-16 by the 
Sankei Shimbun and Fuji News Network (FNN) over the telephone on a 
computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. For the survey, a 
total of 1,000 persons were sampled from among males and females, 
aged 20 and over, across the nation. 
 
(6) DPJ set to continue opposing Indian Ocean mission even if new UN 
resolution adopted 
 
SANKEI (Page 1) (Abridged slightly) 
September 20, 2007 
 
The government used to always be on the defensive in dealing with 
the Democratic Party of Japan (Minshuto or DPJ) on the propriety of 
the Maritime Self-Defense Force's refueling operations in the Indian 
Ocean, but yesterday, it finally switched to an offensive posture. 
The government is specifically trying to continue the refueling 
operations by taking advantage of a yet-to-be-adopted new UN 
Security Council resolution on Afghanistan (TN: adopted on Sept. 20, 
Japan time). The resolution includes words of appreciation for the 
US-led Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF), including the MSDF 
operations. A senior Foreign Ministry indicated that the new 
resolution is intended to weaken the DPJ's logic behind its 
opposition to an extension of the refueling mission. 
 
The government began making serious efforts in late August, 
immediately after Prime Minister Abe reshuffled his cabinet. Foreign 
Minister Nobutaka Machimura telephoned the foreign ministers of 13 
countries, including such permanent UNSC members as the United 
States, Britain, and France, and asked for their support and 
cooperation for an extension of the Antiterrorism Special Measures 
Law to let the MSDF continue their refueling operations. 
 
But the DPJ has no intention of changing its opposition to a 
continued MSDF mission. 
 
Upon being briefed yesterday by a senior DPJ lawmaker on the new 
resolution, President Ichiro Ozawa said: "We are talking about a 
violation of the Constitution here. They cannot deceive us with a 
thank-you resolution." In other words, he does not recognize a UN 
resolution of appreciation as an official UN resolution! Ozawa and 
the DPJ's official view is that an explicit UN resolution is 
necessary for engaging in refueling services. Ozawa thinks that 
Japan is militarily supporting America's war. Diet Affairs Committee 
Chair Kenji Yamaoka also indicated that a resolution expressing 
appreciation would not be enough to change the DPJ's standpoint. 
 
TOKYO 00004397  009 OF 013 
 
 
 
The DPJ's persistent opposition is attributable to Ozawa's security 
beliefs and the decision that the general public shares his view. In 
fact, in opinion polls until late August, the majority of 
respondents voiced opposition to an extension. But "approval" has 
been increasing in recent polls. This spells trouble for the DPJ, 
which has been sensitive about public trends. 
 
Asked about changing public opinion at a press conference on Sept. 
18, Ozawa said: "We must keep a watchful eye on public trends. We 
also publicly pledged in our manifesto to (oppose the MSDF mission), 
and that will not change." 
 
This was followed by the UN resolution of appreciation. As seen in 
Policy Research Committee Chair Masayuki Naoshima's comment, "I 
didn't know about the resolution until just recently," the DPJ did 
not expect the new UN resolution. The UN resolution designed to 
benefit those who favor the extension of the anti-terror law would 
naturally affect public opinion. 
 
The DPJ is unlikely to turn around its policy course, however. There 
seems no one in the DPJ willing to confront Ozawa, who led the party 
to a landslide victory in the July House of Councillors election. 
Even Deputy President Seiji Maehara, who has been keeping himself at 
arms' length from Ozawa, indicated at a Sept. 11 meeting that he 
would ultimately follow the party's decision. 
 
Meanwhile, former Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda and LDP 
Secretary General Taro Aso, who are vying for the LDP presidency, 
 
SIPDIS 
held their joint press conference at the Foreign Correspondents' 
Club of Japan yesterday. In the session, both Fukuda and Aso 
indicated that they would seek the DPJ's support for continuing the 
refueling operations. But specific steps remain unclear, such as 
whether to introduce new antiterrorism legislation to the current 
extraordinary Diet session. The Diet would effectively be out of 
session until the nation's 91st prime minister is determined after 
the LDP presidential election. 
 
The LDP is tied up in its presidential race, while the DPJ is 
adamantly refusing to budge even an inch. And meanwhile, the clock 
is ticking toward the Antiterrorism Law's deadline of Nov. 1, when 
the SDF would have to leave the Indian Ocean. 
 
(7) Seiron (Opinion) column: DPJ President Ozawa's cosmopolitan 
sensibility questionable 
 
SANKEI (Page 13) (Abridged) 
September 20, 2007 
 
Tadashi Nishihara, president of the Research Institute for Peace and 
Security 
 
Southwest Eurasia now center of post-Cold War political changes 
 
Prime Minister Abe's abrupt announcement on Sept. 12 of his 
intention to step down has caused a significant political vacuum in 
Japanese politics. Whether Japan can set a course for the Maritime 
Self-Defense Force (MSDF) to continue its refueling mission in the 
Indian Ocean has become doubtful. Continuing the refueling mission 
is not necessarily an "international commitment," but the 
international community strongly hopes that Japan will continue 
refueling. The MSDF's refueling operation is part of the 
 
TOKYO 00004397  010 OF 013 
 
 
international mission aimed at interdicting terrorism. If Japan puts 
a halt to the refueling service, it will be taken to mean that Japan 
has failied to honor its responsibilities to the international 
community. The major opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) and 
particularly its president, Ichiro Ozawa, must be keenly aware of 
the seriousness of the matter. 
 
With the end of the Cold War, the perception of many governments and 
scholars was that the major wave of political change had shifted 
from Europe, where the United States and the Soviet Union had long 
confronted each other, to East Asia. In actuality, however, changes 
occurred in the Middle East, Southwest Asia, Central Asia, the 
southern part of Russia and Islamic nations. After the end of the 
Cold War, major military conflicts have occurred in those regions, 
as seen in the Gulf War, the campaigns against al-Qaeda and the 
Taliban, the Iraq war, terrorism by Islamic radicals in Chechnya 
against the Russian government, and conflicts between Israeli forces 
and the Hezbollah in Lebanon. 
 
In South Asia, India and Pakistan have declared they possess nuclear 
weapons. In fact, nuclear technology was passed on by Dr. Khan of 
Pakistan to Libya, Iran, and North Korea via international 
underground organizations. There is also the likelihood that Iran's 
nuclear technology will spread to other Islamic nations. 
 
The security environment in Southwest Eurasia has been increasingly 
deteriorating. There is no prospect in sight for security to improve 
in the region because of the expanded armed conflicts in Afghanistan 
and Iraq. 
 
Worsened security environment 
 
A worst-case scenario for the region is that with the national 
border between Afghanistan and Pakistan in effect vanishing. The 
Taliban will eventually control both countries and establish a kind 
of a "Taliban" state. Given the recent administrative mismanagement 
and corruption of the Musharraf government in Pakistan, we cannot 
rule out the possibility of Islamic radicals coming to power in that 
country. 
 
Ozawa needs to inspect refueling 
 
Sea lanes are important for Japan. Japan's concern about sea lanes 
is that Iran may intimidate foreign vessels passing through the 
Strait of Hormuz by launching missiles. Should an Islamic extremist 
government be established in Pakistan, maritime safety in the Indian 
Ocean would be further threatened. 
 
In the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Sea, terrorist elements, 
weapons, munitions, narcotics, and secret caches of money are 
carried by small boats. Some of them may be carried to Afghanistan 
or Pakistan, from which they may next be transported to Somalia in 
Africa. Some may go to Afghanistan via Iran. Given this situation, 
it is important for the MSDF to play the role of providing 
information about suspicious boats navigating in nearby seas in 
addition to refueling vessels from friendly countries. The DPJ has 
charged the MSDF with its refueling vessels from friendly countries 
taking part in the Iraq War. Although those vessels' major mission 
would be to crack down on the flow of weapons, munitions, narcotics, 
and terrorist elements to Afghanistan via Pakistan, but in doing so, 
they should have spotted suspicious boats heading for Iraq. But the 
DPJ is insisting that a clear distinction should be made between 
 
TOKYO 00004397  011 OF 013 
 
 
vessels engaged in operations in Afghanistan and those for the Iraq 
war. Those who can make this kind of claim are only those who do not 
know actual situations there. 
 
Ozawa has driven Prime Minister Abe, an advocate for the war on 
terror, into resigning. If Ozawa is going to call for a halt to the 
MSDF's refueling mission, he should first inspect the scenes of the 
refueling. Next, he should visit NATO headquarters in Belgium and 
meet with representatives of the multinational force (namely, the 
International Security Assistance Force composed of troops from 37 
countries) fighting against terrorists, and suffering a number of 
casualties in so doing. Can Ozawa have the courage to declare before 
them that Japan will put a halt to the MSDF's refueling mission for 
the sake of Japan's national interests and for the sake of the 
international community? 
 
(8) New Komeito calls for postponing goal to bring primary balance 
into black: Putting on show of attaching importance to regional 
districts with eye on next Lower House election; Prevailing view in 
LDP is negative 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full) 
September 20, 2007 
 
The New Komeito yesterday called for the postponement of the 
government goal of bringing the primary balance of the central and 
local governments into the black by fiscal 2011, creating a great 
sensation in the government and the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). 
With an eye on the next Lower House election, the New Komeito wants 
to give the impression that it is attaching importance to regional 
districts. It is motivated by the desire to use this policy shift as 
a bargaining chip in talks with the LDP. The prevailing view in the 
LDP is negative toward a postponement. However, with some positive 
toward the idea, a settlement line on the issue has yet to be 
found. 
 
Card for power-sharing talks 
 
The New Komeito strongly feels that the public has rejected the 
structural reform policy. It is increasingly alert to the prospect 
that if it faces the next Lower House election without correcting 
that policy, it could become an opposition party. The Finance 
Ministry has decided to compile a budget on a single-year basis with 
the aim of turning the primary balance into the black. The New 
Komeito's idea is that if the goal to bring the primary balance into 
the black is put off, it would be possible to deal with budgetary 
funds in a flexibly manner, including boosting funds for public 
work-related expenses. 
 
Another aim is to set higher barriers against power-sharing talks 
with the LDP on Sept 24. Former Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda 
and Secretary General Taro Aso, both are running in the LDP 
presidential race, are calling for talks with the DPJ, but they have 
never referred to the coalition relationship with the New Komeito. 
The New Komeito is apparently motivated by the desire to obtain 
fruit for other policies, while playing the card of postponing the 
goal to bring the primary balance into the black. 
 
The New Komeito's strategy is to secure the consent of the LDP 
regarding the postponement of  an increase in the elderly's share of 
medical expenses due to be implemented in Apr. 2008 and the 
equalization of the distribution of revenues from two corporate 
 
TOKYO 00004397  012 OF 013 
 
 
taxes (residence tax and enterprise tax), which are concentrated in 
urban areas. 
 
Chief cabinet secretary expresses displeasure 
 
However, there are no opinions overtly welcoming the New Komeito's 
request coming from the government and the LDP. Chief Cabinet 
Secretary Kaoru Yosano expressed displeasure during a press 
 
SIPDIS 
conference on Sept. 19, noting, "We have set the goal of restoring 
fiscal health. The government is not in a position of commenting on 
that." Internal Affairs Minister Hiroya Masuda also told reporters: 
"The government is promoting measures to bring the primary balance 
into the black. We must abide by that policy." 
 
Many LDP members are also negative toward the New Komeito's request 
with one noting, "Putting off the goal would mean breaking our 
pledge to the public," Since Fukuda and Aso advocate the 
continuation of Koizumi reform, they cannot afford to indicate a 
flexible stance to the New Komeito's request in their LDP 
presidential election campaigns. 
 
However, some said, "The proposal is effective as a trial balloon." 
Despite the crushing defeat suffered by the ruling camp, the 
government has firmly maintained the spending restraint policy in 
budget request guidelines for the fiscal 2008 draft budget, 
following this fiscal year, by cutting public work-related 
appropriations by 3 PERCENT . Makoto Koga, chairman of the Koga 
faction, pointed out, "We should look into the possibility of 
revising budget request guidelines as well." 
 
Curveball for DPJ 
 
The New Komeito's call for putting off the goal to bring the primary 
balance into the black came as a curveball for the DPJ, which has 
come up with a proposal for putting on hold a consumption tax hike. 
Policy Research Committee Chair Masayuki Naoshima during a press 
conference the same day made a brief comment, "Our goal of bringing 
the primary balance into the black in fiscal 2011 remains 
unchanged." He steered clear of making any in-depth statement. His 
comment indicates that the DPJ has judged that it would not be wise 
to get involved in the funding issue concerning achieving fiscal 
soundness. 
 
(9) International fraud groups likely to be behind suspects for 
allegedly opening bank accounts in Saitama, Chiba for money 
laundering 
 
ASAHI (Page 39) (Full) 
September 20, 2007 
 
Authorities have unearthed members of two groups for allegedly 
opening bank accounts that were used for money laundering by 
overseas criminal gangs. In this case, it has been found that the 
money remitted from abroad was money involved in "case number 419," 
a well-known international fraud case. Japanese banks were used for 
laundering large sums of money fraudulently obtained overseas. It is 
highly likely that one or more overseas crime groups are behind the 
groups unmasked by the Saitama and Chiba prefectural police 
departments. 
 
The two unearthed domestic groups - composed of Nigerians and 
Japanese - have been found to be connected to each other. The two 
 
TOKYO 00004397  013 OF 013 
 
 
police departments intend to prosecute this as a criminal case under 
the Organized Crime Punishment Law. 
 
It has been revealed that the two groups opened about 140 accounts 
at city banks, regional banks, and credit cooperatives in Tokyo, 
Chiba, and Saitama since late 2004 under false company names or 
personal names. Approximately 2 billion yen was remitted from the 
US, Canada, Britain, Germany, Australia, and Switzerland. There 
reportedly was a case in which 60 million yen was remitted at a 
time. 
 
According to an investigation by the US Federal Bureau of 
Investigation (FBI), rich persons abroad were deceived and sent 
money to such Japanese banks as fees for lawyers in connection 
succession to property. Wealthy persons were found to have been 
victims in the 419 fraud case. 
 
Promptly after money was transferred from overseas, the two groups 
drew out it at banks or convenience stores and then sent the money 
to other bank accounts in the US, Canada, Britain, or China. 
Authorities suspect that they drew out money upon receiving 
notification on the phone from fraudulent groups in the US, Canada 
and other countries. 
 
The investigation was launched in response to a financial 
institution in the US asking a bank in Saitama Prefecture in the 
spring 2005 to freeze an account, saying that the account was 
suspected of being used in a fraud case. Last November, there was a 
contact to the Chiba Prefectural Police Headquarters from a 
petroleum company in South Africa saying: "The company was about to 
be the victim of a fraud. The bank designated as the payee is in 
Chiba." 
 
As a result of investigation based on the information, the Saitama 
Prefectural Police arrested Asabor Felix Steve, 40, a Nigerian, and 
the Chiba Prefectural Police arrested Christopher Ariri Noguchi, 39, 
a Nigerian who obtained Japanese citizenship last year. 
 
The two suspects for alleged involvement in a money laundering 
scheme came from the same region in Nigeria and are executives at 
the same travel agency in Toyoshima Ward, Tokyo. Both reportedly got 
in touch with each other by cell phone. Since their modus operandi 
were very much like, the two police headquarters suspect that the 
two groups were moving under the instruction of the same fraud 
group. 
 
SCHIEFFER