Keep Us Strong WikiLeaks logo

Currently released so far... 97115 / 251,287

Articles

Browse latest releases

Browse by creation date

Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z

Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ETRD EAGR ETTC EAID ECON EFIN ECIN EINV ELAB EAIR ENRG EPET EWWT ECPS EIND EMIN ELTN EC ETMIN EUC EZ ET ELECTIONS ENVR EU EUN EG EINT ER ECONOMICS ES EMS ENIV EEB EN ECE ECOSOC EK ENVIRONMENT EFIS EI EWT ENGRD ECPSN EXIM EIAD ERIN ECPC EDEV ENGY ECTRD EPA ESTH ECCT EINVECON ENGR ERTD EUR EAP EWWC ELTD EL EXIMOPIC EXTERNAL ETRDEC ESCAP ECO EGAD ELNT ECONOMIC ENV ETRN EIAR EUMEM ENRGPARMOTRASENVKGHGPGOVECONTSPLEAID EREL ECOM ECONETRDEAGRJA ETCC ETRG ECONOMY EMED ETR ENERG EITC EFINOECD EURM EENG ERA EXPORT ENRD ECONEINVETRDEFINELABETRDKTDBPGOVOPIC EGEN EBRD EVIN ETRAD ECOWAS EFTA ECONETRDBESPAR EGOVSY EPIN EID ECONENRG EDRC ESENV ETT EB ENER ELTNSNAR ECHEVARRIA ETRC EPIT EDUC ESA EFI ENRGY ESCI EE EAIDXMXAXBXFFR EETC ECIP EIAID EIVN EBEXP ESTN EING EGOV ETRA EPETEIND ELAN ETRDGK EAIDRW ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS EPEC ENVI ELN EAG EPCS EPRT EPTED ETRB EUM EAIDS EFIC EFINECONEAIDUNGAGM EAIDAR ESF EIDN ELAM EDU EV EAIDAF ECN EDA EXBS EINTECPS ENRGTRGYETRDBEXPBTIOSZ EPREL EAC EINVEFIN ETA EAGER EINDIR ECA ECLAC ELAP EITI EUCOM ECONEFINETRDPGOVEAGRPTERKTFNKCRMEAID EARG ELDIN EINVKSCA ENNP EFINECONCS EFINTS ECCP ETC EAIRASECCASCID EINN ETRP EAIDNI EFQ ECOQKPKO EGPHUM EBUD ECONEINVEFINPGOVIZ ENERGY ELB EINDETRD EMI ECONEFIN EIB EURN ETRDEINVTINTCS EIN EFIM ETIO ELAINE EMN EATO EWTR EIPR EINVETC ETTD ETDR EIQ ECONCS EPPD ENRGIZ EISL ESPINOSA ELEC EAIG ESLCO EUREM ENTG ERD EINVECONSENVCSJA EEPET EUNCH ECINECONCS ETRO ETRDECONWTOCS ECUN EFND EPECO EAIRECONRP ERGR ETRDPGOV ECPN ENRGMO EPWR EET EAIS EAGRE EDUARDO EAGRRP EAIDPHUMPRELUG EICN ECONQH EVN EGHG ELBR EINF EAIDHO EENV ETEX ERNG ED
KMDR KPAO KPKO KJUS KCRM KGHG KFRD KWMN KDEM KTFN KHIV KGIC KIDE KSCA KNNP KHUM KIPR KSUM KISL KIRF KCOR KRCM KPAL KWBG KN KS KOMC KSEP KFLU KPWR KTIA KSEO KMPI KHLS KICC KSTH KMCA KVPR KPRM KE KU KZ KFLO KSAF KTIP KTEX KBCT KOCI KOLY KOR KAWC KACT KUNR KTDB KSTC KLIG KSKN KNN KCFE KCIP KGHA KHDP KPOW KUNC KDRL KV KPREL KCRS KPOL KRVC KRIM KGIT KWIR KT KIRC KOMO KRFD KUWAIT KG KFIN KSCI KTFIN KFTN KGOV KPRV KSAC KGIV KCRIM KPIR KSOC KBIO KW KGLB KMWN KPO KFSC KSEAO KSTCPL KSI KPRP KREC KFPC KUNH KCSA KMRS KNDP KR KICCPUR KPPAO KCSY KTBT KCIS KNEP KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KNNB KGCC KINR KPOP KMFO KENV KNAR KVIR KDRG KDMR KFCE KNAO KDEN KGCN KICA KIMMITT KMCC KLFU KMSG KSEC KUM KCUL KMNP KSMT KCOM KOMCSG KSPR KPMI KRAD KIND KCRP KAUST KWAWC KTER KCHG KRDP KPAS KITA KTSC KPAOPREL KWGB KIRP KJUST KMIG KLAB KTFR KSEI KSTT KAPO KSTS KLSO KWNN KPOA KHSA KNPP KPAONZ KBTS KWWW KY KJRE KPAOKMDRKE KCRCM KSCS KWMNCI KESO KWUN KPLS KIIP KEDEM KPAOY KRIF KGICKS KREF KTRD KFRDSOCIRO KTAO KJU KWMNPHUMPRELKPAOZW KEN KO KNEI KEMR KKIV KEAI KWAC KRCIM KWCI KFIU KWIC KCORR KOMS KNNO KPAI KBWG KTTB KTBD KTIALG KILS KFEM KTDM KESS KNUC KPA KOMCCO KCEM KRCS KWBGSY KNPPIS KNNPMNUC KWN KERG KLTN KALM KCCP KSUMPHUM KREL KGH KLIP KTLA KAWK KWMM KVRP KVRC KAID KSLG KDEMK KX KIF KNPR KCFC KFTFN KTFM KPDD KCERS KMOC KDEMAF KMEPI KEMS KDRM KEPREL KBTR KEDU KNP KIRL KNNR KMPT KISLPINR KTPN KA KJUSTH KPIN KDEV KTDD KAKA KFRP KWNM KTSD KINL KJUSKUNR KWWMN KECF KWBC KPRO KVBL KOM KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KEDM KFLD KLPM KRGY KNNF KICR KIFR KM KWMNCS KAWS KLAP KPAK KDDG KCGC KID KNSD KMPF KPFO KDP KCMR KRMS KNPT KNNNP KTIAPARM KDTB KNUP KPGOV KNAP KNNC KUK KSRE KREISLER KIVP KQ KTIAEUN KPALAOIS KRM KISLAO KWM KFLOA
PHUM PINR PTER PGOV PREL PREF PL PM PHSA PE PARM PINS PK PUNE PO PALESTINIAN PU PBTS PROP PTBS POL POLI PA PGOVZI POLMIL POLITICAL PARTIES POLM PD POLITICS POLICY PAS PMIL PINT PNAT PV PKO PPOL PERSONS PING PBIO PH PETR PARMS PRES PCON PETERS PRELBR PT PLAB PP PAK PDEM PKPA PSOCI PF PLO PTERM PJUS PSOE PELOSI PROPERTY PGOVPREL PARP PRL PNIR PHUMKPAL PG PREZ PGIC PBOV PAO PKK PROV PHSAK PHUMPREL PROTECTION PGOVBL PSI PRELPK PGOVENRG PUM PRELKPKO PATTY PSOC PRIVATIZATION PRELSP PGOVEAIDUKNOSWGMHUCANLLHFRSPITNZ PMIG PREC PAIGH PROG PSHA PARK PETER POG PHUS PPREL PS PTERPREL PRELPGOV POV PKPO PGOVECON POUS PGOVPRELPHUMPREFSMIGELABEAIDKCRMKWMN PWBG PMAR PREM PAR PNR PRELPGOVEAIDECONEINVBEXPSCULOIIPBTIO PARMIR PGOVGM PHUH PARTM PN PRE PTE PY POLUN PPEL PDOV PGOVSOCI PIRF PGOVPM PBST PRELEVU PGOR PBTSRU PRM PRELKPAOIZ PGVO PERL PGOC PAGR PMIN PHUMR PVIP PPD PGV PRAM PINL PKPAL PTERE PGOF PINO PHAS PODC PRHUM PHUMA PREO PPA PEPFAR PGO PRGOV PAC PRESL PORG PKFK PEPR PRELP PREFA PNG PGOVPHUMKPAO PRELECON PINOCHET PFOR PGOVLO PHUMBA PRELC PREK PHUME PHJM POLINT PGOVPZ PGOVKCRM PGOVE PHALANAGE PARTY PECON PEACE PROCESS PLN PRELSW PAHO PEDRO PRELA PASS PPAO PGPV PNUM PCUL PGGV PSA PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PGIV PRFE POGOV PEL PBT PAMQ PINF PSEPC POSTS PHUMPGOV PVOV PHSAPREL PROLIFERATION PENA PRELTBIOBA PIN PRELL PGOVPTER PHAM PHYTRP PTEL PTERPGOV PHARM PROTESTS PRELAF PKBL PRELKPAO PKNP PARMP PHUML PFOV PERM PUOS PRELGOV PHUMPTER PARAGRAPH PERURENA PBTSEWWT PCI PETROL PINSO PINSCE PQL PEREZ PBS

Browse by classification

Community resources

courage is contagious

Viewing cable 07KHARTOUM1403, IMF RESREP BRIEFS SUDAN DONOR COMMUNITY ON CURRENT

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs

Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #07KHARTOUM1403.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07KHARTOUM1403 2007-09-05 15:23 2011-08-24 16:30 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Khartoum
VZCZCXYZ0021
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHKH #1403/01 2481523
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 051523Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8420
UNCLAS KHARTOUM 001403 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPARTMENT FOR AF/SPG, EEB/IFD/OMA AND EEB/IFD/ODF 
DEPARTMENT PLEASE PASS TREASURY FOR OIA 
WORLD BANK FOR USED 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: EFIN ECON PGOV PREL IMF IBRD SU
SUBJECT: IMF RESREP BRIEFS SUDAN DONOR COMMUNITY ON CURRENT 
OUTLOOK AND 2007-2008 PROGRAM 
 
 1.  (SBU) Summary:  IMF ResRep described 2006 as a 
&challenging8 year for Sudan, as the government, with only 
limited success, wrestled with a combination of growing 
expenditure commitments and disappointing revenues.  As a 
whole the economy grew by a robust 12%.  A one-time, 300% 
jump in inflation significantly moderated by year end.  A 
surge in FDI and imports has eased upward pressure on the 
Sudanese pound.   The 2007-2008 Staff Monitored Program will 
seek to strengthen the GNU,s fiscal management and tax 
policy.  The IMF calculates that Sudan,s $27 billion foreign 
debt is unsustainable in the long term and the country will 
require debt relief at some point.  End summary. 
 
2.  (SBU) On August 30, IMF Resident Representative K. Wabel 
Abdullah briefed the Sudan Donors Group on the Fund,s 
recently completed discussions with the government on a 
follow-on Staff Monitored Program (SMP) for 2007-2008, in 
advance of Executive Board consideration of the program on 
September 7.  The new SMP covers the period July 
2007-December 2008.  Because of debt arrears to the IFIs, 
Sudan is not eligible now for IMF financing, but has engaged 
in a series of SMPs with the Fund, intended to pave the way 
for eventual debt relief. 
 
----------------------------------- 
Recent Performance: A Mixed Picture 
----------------------------------- 
 
3.  (SBU) Abdullah gave the Sudanese economy a mixed review 
for 2006.  On the one hand, GDP grew by 12% last year and is 
forecast to increase by 11% in 2007.  (Note:  While this 
economic boom is clearly evident in Khartoum and the 
surrounding Nile Valley, it does not extend to much of the 
rest of the country.  End note.)  The decontrol of many fuel 
prices in 2006 led to a one-time, 300% jump in overall prices 
levels, but inflation had stabilized at around eight percent 
in the first months of 2007, and is forecast to end the year 
in the single digits. 
 
4.  (SBU) At the same time, the Government of National Unity 
(GNU) confronted a serious fiscal crunch in 2006, caused by 
conflicting expenditure requirements and revenue constraints. 
 According to Abdullah, financial clauses in various peace 
agreements ending internal conflicts (e.g. the Comprehensive 
Peace Agreement and Darfur Peace Agreement) required sizable 
disbursements by the GNU. 
 
5.  (SBU) Simultaneously, government revenues fell 
significantly short of forecasts, due to delayed disbursals 
of donor commitments and oil revenue shortfalls, caused by 
technical problems in initiating exports of Dar Blend crude. 
As a result, the GNU ran up a four-percent-of-GDP fiscal 
deficit in 2006. Sudan,s Oil Stabilization Fund, intended to 
serve as a buffer in case of emergencies, also was largely 
spent over the course of the year.  Abdullah did note that 
the GNU had demonstrated better control of expenditures in 
the first trimester of 2007 and the Oil Fund is slowly being 
replenished. 
 
6.  (SBU) A significant surge in Foreign Direct Investment 
(FDI), along with rising oil revenues, has fueled an import 
boom.  This surge in imports has eased the appreciation of 
the Sudanese Pound since late 2006, but Sudan,s current 
account deficit is now 13% of GDP. 
 
------------------- 
Medium-Term Outlook 
------------------- 
 
7.  (SBU) Abdullah stated that the GNU,S response to its 
financial crunch had exposed major weaknesses in fiscal 
management, with the government unable to adjust its 
expenditures in the face of constrained revenues.  A major 
feature of the new SMP will be strengthening Khartoum,s 
financial controls.  A second feature will be to reduce 
Sudan,s dependence on growing, but volatile, oil revenues by 
strengthening tax policy.  The Fund also plans to assist 
Sudan in drafting a Poverty Reduction Strategy Program (PRSP) 
in 2008. 
 
8.  (SBU) While Abdullah characterized the GNU,s 2006 fiscal 
dilemma as beyond its control, this was challenged by the UK 
representative, who noted that significant expenditures had 
gone to discretionary budget items that had nothing to do 
with the peace agreements, including government salary 
increases, security spending, and capital investments in the 
Northern (GNU-controlled) part of the country, e.g., the 
Merowe Dam.  Abdullah did not disagree with this 
 
characterization and noted a lack of transparency in the GNU 
finances as a serious problem.  He also cited a critical need 
for institution building, noting that many key interagency 
relationships in Khartoum now are based solely on personal, 
rather than any institutional, ties. 
 
------------------------- 
Unsustainable Debt Burden 
------------------------- 
 
10. (SBU) As part of its SMP discussions, the IMF conducted a 
Debt Sustainability Analysis.  Sudan,s year end 2006 debt 
was US$27 billion in nominal terms, triple the year end 2000 
level.  Of this, US$6.3 billion is arrearages to official 
creditors.  Another US$520 million is new lending from China, 
India and from Arab lenders.  The IMF concluded that, even 
with its increased oil revenues, Sudan is not able to sustain 
this debt overhang and will require debt relief at some point. 
 
11.  (SBU) Comment:  Abdullah,s generally upbeat assessment 
is in tune with the IMF,s amicable relationship with the 
central government.  Khartoum values the technical assistance 
the Fund provides and the foundation it hopes it is laying 
for future debt relief and IMF financing.  Meanwhile, the IMF 
has avoided irritating the often prickly GoS by focusing 
strictly on technical-economic issues and avoiding sensitive 
political topics. 
FERNANDEZ