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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES1875, MEDIA REACTION; ARGENTINA IN HAITI; IRAQ; US INTEREST RATE;

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES1875 2007-09-20 12:01 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0000
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #1875/01 2631201
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 201201Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9283
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 001875 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; ARGENTINA IN HAITI; IRAQ; US INTEREST RATE; 
09/19/07 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Key international stories today include Argentina's participation in 
the international peace keeping mission in Haiti; the US policy on 
Iran; and the US Federal Reserve's decision to lower US interest 
rates. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "Why should we stay in Haiti?" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacisn" carries an opinion piece by Juan Gabriel 
Tokatlian, Professor of International Relations at Universidad San 
Andrs, writes (09/19) "Pursuant to Resolution 1743 (February, 15, 
207), the UN Security Council extended the UN Stabilization Mission 
in Haiti (MINUTASH) until October 15, 2007. However, this mission is 
very likely to continue because a 561-million-dollar budget was 
approved for July 2007- June 2008. Now... we should reassess 
Argentina's intervention on the island. 
 
"First and foremost, the mission remains an essentially military 
operation... 
 
"In addition, the idea that the military is building democracy in 
Haiti is at minimum untrue. Neither is it apparent how much progress 
has been made on civilian control of the military through this kind 
of mission or how the formation of a more democratic, modern and 
efficient Haitian police force will contribute to this confusion of 
roles. 
 
"Secondly, the frequently used idea that this has been a 
Mercosur-led operation has faded... Venezuela sells oil to Haiti at 
preferential prices and favorable terms of payment..., while last 
March, Cuba, Venezuela and Haiti created a one-billion-dollar fund 
for equipment, building of houses and social and sanitary projects. 
It would be absurd now to say that the main reason to stay on the 
island is the containment of the 'Havana-Caracas' axis on the 
Caribbean. 
 
"Third, given that most of Haiti's serious problems (human rights, 
institutional crisis, poverty, drug trafficking) remain unsolved in 
spite of an intervention of over three years..., the extension of 
the current operation is aimed at perpetuating itself and becoming a 
neo-protectorate model sooner rather than later. This is the 
strategic core of the issue that has not been made explicit in the 
recurring requests for extension of troop deployment... 
 
"In parallel, as long as the mission is extended, its originally 
benign purpose becomes more opaque and the intervention becomes an 
instrumental- meaning that it is serving humanitarian purposes much 
less than it is achieving an international presence for the purpose 
of joining the UN Security Council (the Brazilian case) or not 
overly irritating the US (the Argentine case)... 
 
"In brief, the time has come to define why we should stay in Haiti 
and justify why staying indefinitely is better than withdrawing in a 
timely manner. (Argentina's entry) into a presidential campaign is a 
decisive time that could give us the opportunity to discuss the 
issue and reach a consensus between the government and the 
opposition - either staying in Haiti with a concrete strategy, 
measurable goals and specific deadlines, or being part of a regional 
coalition that promotes an appropriate way out of the island." 
 
 
- "Adventures" 
 
Marcelo Cantelmi, international editor of leading "Clarn," opines 
(09/19) "Last month, the governments of Afghanistan and Iraq, 
allegedly Washington's puppets, surprisingly rebelled by telling 
George W. Bush that there is no such thing as an Iranian enemy but 
an ally against adversaries in common. 
 
"... The episode served to explain the growing contradictions about 
the Persian theocracy and the idea of multiplier effects of a war 
against the (Iranian) regime. Just as in Iraq, it is not the nuclear 
danger that is behind the recent wave of rumors and war-like 
attitudes. The issue is the political importance of the Persian 
structure in the region and that some fanatics understand that it 
can and should be neutralized with consistent bombing. However, we 
should see the dilemma with some perspective. Let's see: Iran is a 
commercial, military and political ally of Turkey, which is a 
privileged partner of Israel. Meanwhile, the governments of Iran and 
Afghanistan have a common enemy - the Taliban, which Shiites 
despise. The Taliban have spread in Pakistan, a country with which 
the Iranian theocracy has good ties, and both of them have good ties 
to China. However, Islamabad is also Washington's best partner, 
which it needs to help put the Taliban at bay. The situation is 
 
similar with Iraq... In this complicated scenario, simplicity cannot 
determine how to plan missions." 
 
- "The US cuts (interest) rates by half a point and alleviates 
markets" 
 
Javier Blanco, economic columnist of daily-of-record "La Nacisn," 
writes (09/19) "Last night, the US Federal Reserve announced a half 
a percentage point cut in interest rates (4.75 percent per year) in 
an attempt to prevent the real estate crisis from taking the economy 
into a recession. 
 
"... The decision made by the (US) Federal Reserve surprised the 
markets positively and encouraged investors to repurchase risky 
assets, after two months of having massively chosen to get rid of 
them and seek refuge in 'cover' options, such as US Treasury bonds 
and gold. 
 
"While almost no one expects this initiative to put an end to the 
period of financial turbulence started last July, expectations are 
that it could ease conditions for markets and the economy in 
general. 
 
"This was apparent in the positive reaction of stock exchange 
indexes around the world... as well as in the reduction of emerging 
country risk... 
 
"Nonetheless, in Argentina's case, analysts warn that the recovery 
of the market could be circumstantial given that factors feeding 
investors' mistrust ... continue, such as claims of tampering with 
the prices... or doubts sparked by a deterioration of the 
government's fiscal accounts..." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE