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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES1751, MEDIA REACTION; PRESIDENT CHAVEZ AND COLOMBIA; PRESIDENT

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES1751 2007-09-04 19:43 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0013
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #1751/01 2471943
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 041943Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9133
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 001751 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; PRESIDENT CHAVEZ AND COLOMBIA; PRESIDENT 
GEORGE W. BUSH; 09/04/07 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Weekend international stories include implications of Venezuelan 
President Hugo Chvez' attempts to mediate between FARC and the 
Colombian Government; and the possible reasons for US President 
Bush's visit to Iraq. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "Chvez to the rescue?" 
 
Paul Scheltus, liberal, English-language "Buenos Aires Herald's" 
international columnist, writes (09/04) "... About a fortnight ago, 
Hugo Chvez offered to mediate in Colombia, the scene of Latin 
America's longest running guerrilla insurgency. That offer was 
welcomed by the FARC guerrillas... 
 
"... The aim of the negotiations is clear. The release of 45 
hostages being held by FARC... will be in return for the release of 
hundreds of its troops. 
 
"Should Chvez manage to broker a deal, it would make him something 
of a Latin American Kofi Annan. He would be succeeding where the 
French, the Spanish, the Swiss and the Catholic Church have failed. 
That's because dealing with FARC is a tricky business. 
 
"... Hostage brokering is not the only difficult piece of 
negotiating that Chvez is applying his newfound diplomatic skills 
to. Fearing Venezuela may eventually be blackballed from Latin 
America's most prosperous trade group, Mercosur, the former colonel 
has said he wants to rejoin the Andean Pact or CAN, made of Peru, 
Bolivia, Colombia and Ecuador. That same Chvez left the CAN in a 
huff in May last year, claiming the organization was 'dead.' Soon 
after that, he showed up at the front door of Mercosur. He was 
initially welcomed... but since then his popularity has taken a turn 
for the worse... 
 
"... So now Hugo Chvez is forced into and about face and rejoin the 
old CAN... Venezuela's look to joining the Andean Pact is positive. 
Ecuador and Bolivia are ideological allies in the common cause of 
reaching out to Latin America's disenfranchised. Peru, which had its 
feathers ruffled by Chvez during its presidential elections, has 
welcomed Venezuela... Finally, Colombia is not an obstacle, 
especially now that the Bolivarian has assumed the role of peace 
broker. Despite the good omens through, Chvez may still feel 
cheated in the end. 
 
"... For Colombia, getting the deal approved hinges on Uribe's 
ability to convince the Democrat majority in the US Congress that he 
can be trusted on human rights issues. 
 
"The irony of the situation is that, should Chvez manage to broker 
a deal between FARC and the Uribe government, in doing so he would 
be greatly increasing the chances of that free trade deal - which he 
despises - coming about." 
 
- "The gesture of a president that seeks to put an end to his 
deterioration" 
 
Oscar Ral Cardoso, international analyst of leading "Clarn," 
opines (09/04) "Was it an audacious political gesture or a public 
affairs response? This seems to be the real meaning of George W. 
Bush's surprising visit to Al Asad military headquarters in Northern 
Iraq. 
 
"The truth is that both possibilities are not mutually exclusive. 
President Bush needs to generate situations aimed at putting a brake 
on the deterioration of his second major announcement on Iraq... 
that sending additional troops could contribute to improving the 
situation and stop the incipient civil war between the Shiite 
majority and the Sunni minority. 
 
"... Bush even made a nice 'quasi-announcement.' In the event the 
situation continues to improve, he said, it will be possible to 
start thinking of a future reduction in the number of soldiers 
trapped in the Iraqi sands... His spokespersons attempted to 
downplay the impact of his words by saying that it is still too soon 
to interpret his comments as a formal announcement. 
 
"The other problem is that the validity of General Petraeus' report 
is being questioned even before its content is made public. 
 
"... Additionally, George W. Bush's task in Iraq is becoming 
increasingly complicated. Not only Democrats are pressuring the 
White House but also some Republicans, who have been loyal up to 
now, and now fear that the problem could impair their performance in 
presidential elections. 
 
 
"Perhaps, one does not need to overanalyze the symbols of this new 
Bush trip to Iraq. Perhaps it is advisable to interpret it as the 
beginning of a new stage in the debate on a war that many in the US 
consider they can no longer win." 
 
- "Bush's 'soldiers'" 
 
Santiago O'Donnell, international analyst of left-of-center "Pgina 
12," opines (09/02) "... (Albert) Gonzales fell precisely due to the 
(federal) prosecutors scandal and the pressure of a Democrat 
controlled Congress. (Both Rove and Gonzalez worked towards the 
degeneration of the US judiciary by politically moving it through 
blacklists and layoffs)... 
 
"The US election map is divided into the Democratic North and the 
Republican South as never before, and Capitol Hill has not reached a 
bipartisan deal in a very long time. This is Bush's legacy on the US 
domestic agenda and Rove is the best symbol. 
 
"When the world's superpower legalizes torture and creates a 
subhuman category to deal with combatant enemies, it loses moral 
authority and when this happens it loses leadership... 
 
"... Rove, Gonzales, Rumsfeld and Cheney were influential and 
powerful men with radical ideas and agendas that led the US to a 
military defeat, an economy with a mega-deficit, a major political 
crisis and international isolation. One after the other fell under 
the weight of history; all of them were Bush soldiers down to the 
last minute." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE