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Viewing cable 07BOGOTA6668, ELECTORAL VIOLENCE DOWN, BUT STILL AN ISSUE IN

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BOGOTA6668 2007-09-12 21:09 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Bogota
VZCZCXYZ0030
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBO #6668/01 2552109
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 122109Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY BOGOTA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8739
INFO RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS PRIORITY 9304
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ SEP 8910
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA PRIORITY 5383
RUEHZP/AMEMBASSY PANAMA PRIORITY 0617
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO PRIORITY 5988
RUEHGL/AMCONSUL GUAYAQUIL PRIORITY 4061
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCNDTA/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 1847
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
UNCLAS BOGOTA 006668 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PINR CO
SUBJECT: ELECTORAL VIOLENCE DOWN, BUT STILL AN ISSUE IN 
SOME AREAS 
 
REF: A. BOGOTA 6013 B. BOGOTA 5431 C. BOGOTA 5116 
 
1. Summary: As the October 28 local elections draw near, 
violence against candidates continues in specific 
regions--though at lower levels than in previous elections. 
Contacts from political parties across the spectrum expect 
free and fair elections in spite of the limited violence. 
The FARC and new criminal groups have reportedly murdered 
forty-four candidates and kidnapped eight more this year, 
with all parties affected.  Colombian media and human rights 
groups (including the US-funded Electoral Observation Mission 
(MOE)) are highlighting the threats in specific regions, as 
well as the GOC response.  End Summary. 
 
FREE AND FAIR ELECTIONS, DESPITE VIOLENCE 
----------------------------------------- 
2.  Colombian politicians from across the political spectrum 
tell us violence is a problem in specific regions, 
particularly in rural areas, but they expect the October 
elections to be generally free and fair.  Over 70% of voters 
live in urban areas where violence is not a significant 
issue.  Andreas Mejia-Vergnaud, director for the Institute of 
Liberty and Progress, voiced concern over the violence, but 
told us the integrity of the elections will not suffer.  Polo 
Democratico Party President Carlos Gaviria pointed out the 
significance of Polo candidates running in areas numerous 
areas previously dominated by ex-paramilitaries (Cordoba, 
Sucre, Cesar).  An advance team from the OAS election 
observation mission is expected in Bogota September 11. We 
will meet with the team on September 13. 
 
VIOLENCE INCREASES AS ELECTIONS APPROACH 
---------------------------------------- 
3. News magazine "Semana" reported August 27 that forty-four 
candidates have been assassinated and another eight have been 
kidnapped in the run-up to the October 28 local elections. 
The politically motivated attacks were mostly attributed to 
the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and new 
criminal groups.  In Aguachica in southern Cesar department, 
threats have forced candidates to travel with body guards and 
wear bullet-proof vests.  Some candidates considered 
withdrawing after the assassination of local Liberal Party 
leader Anuar Yaver Cortes on August 16 at a town festival. 
On August 18, Minister of Defense Santos visited Aguachica to 
reassure candidates, leading them to continue their 
campaigns.  From March-June in Aguachica, sixty people were 
injured in politically motivated attacks.  The FARC and new 
criminal groups were reportedly responsible. 
 
4. In April-July, the FARC focused attacks in parts of 
Antioquia, Meta, Valle and Caqueta.  The FARC assassinated a 
Cambio Radical candidate in Itagui, Antioquia department, 
while new criminal groups threatened Polo Democratico 
candidates in Bello, Antioquia.  In Meta, the Conservative 
party said it might withdraw its candidates after one was 
killed in June.  The FARC also murdered a mayor in Valle, and 
four councilmen in Caqueta in the same period (ref C). 
 
RISKS AND REMEDIES 
------------------ 
5. Colombian daily "El Tiempo" highlighted potential threats 
to the integrity of the upcoming elections and suggested 
measures to mitigate them.  "El Tiempo" said a lack of 
transparency, possible voter intimidation, vote buying, drug 
money influence, and electoral manipulation are problems in 
many areas.  New criminal groups are a concern in Catatumbo, 
Narino and Meta.  The editorial also raised concerns that 
some politicians jailed in the para-political scandal were 
trying to influence local elections in their home regions. 
 
6. El Tiempo urged the GOC and international community to 
prevent the threats from materializing.  The paper recognized 
the GOC has already taken strong actions to protect the 
elections, including GOC civilian and security services 
meeting weekly to address threats and an inter-agency group 
established to respond to election issues as they arise (ref 
A).  El Tiempo recommended including new voting machines and 
campaign finance reform for future elections.  The paper also 
highlighted the GOC's request for an OAS observation mission, 
as well as civil society initiatives--including the US-funded 
Electoral Observation Mission (MOE) and other groups--to 
ensure free and fair elections. 
 
 
WHO,S AT RISK? 
-------------- 
7.  MOE detailed the areas of the country most at risk for 
possible problems (ref B) in an August 22 briefing, 
identifying municipalities in Meta, Choc, Antioquia, 
Bolivar, Arauca, Santander and Magdalena departments. 
Potential problems included voter irregularities, voter fraud 
and and violence.  MOE also stressed the need for both 
international and domestic election observers.  MOE will 
focus on voter education prior to elections and will also 
mount a major observation effort, including 10,000 trained 
observers, on election day. 
Brownfield