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Viewing cable 07MANILA2945, Energy Privatization Catapults Forward

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07MANILA2945 2007-08-30 22:09 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Manila
VZCZCXYZ0006
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHML #2945/01 2422209
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 302209Z AUG 07
FM AMEMBASSY MANILA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8062
INFO RHEBAAA/USDOE WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUCNNAF/NORTH AF NEA AND SOUTH ASIAN COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
UNCLAS MANILA 002945 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR EEB/IFD/OIA, EB/ESC AND EAP/PMBS 
STATE PASS USAID FOR AA/ANE, AA/G 
STATE PASS EXIM, OPIC AND USTR 
USAID FOR AA/ANE AND AA/EGAT 
DOE FOR TOM CUTLER 
TREASURY FOR LMOGHTADER 
TREASURY ALSO FOR OASIA 
USDOC FOR 4430 ITA/MAC/ASIA & PAC/KOREA & SE ASIA/ASEAN 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ENRG PREL EFIN EAID EINV RP
SUBJECT: Energy Privatization Catapults Forward 
 
REF: A) MANILA 00170 B) 06 MANILA 01411 C) 04 MANILA 06068 
 
------- 
Summary 
------- 
1.  Chances have improved that the Philippine Government will soon 
reach its legally mandated goal of privatizing 70% of its electric 
power generation capacity.  If the sales take place as scheduled, 
private ownership will reach 50% by the end of 2007 and the open 
access provisions of Philippine legislation can be implemented. 
Competition can be expected to increase and prices to fall.  The 
need to lower government debt and a shortfall in revenue collection 
are helping strengthen the political will necessary for the sales. 
End summary. 
 
--------------------- 
Pushing Privatization 
--------------------- 
 
2.  The Arroyo administration, bidders, and interested observers 
were crestfallen in February after the fourth failed attempt to sell 
the state transmission company, TransCo.  Arroyo then replaced the 
president of the Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management 
Corporation (PSALM - the entity in charge of the sell-off) with Jose 
Ibazeta, a no-nonsense, U.S. educated MBA with extensive business 
experience, and moved the results-oriented ex-general Angelo Reyes 
from the Department of Environment and Natural Resources to push 
privatization as the Energy Secretary. 
 
3.  In July, Arroyo urged Congress to amend the Electric Power 
Industry Reform Act of 2001 to lower the 70% power asset 
privatization threshold for the implementation of "open access" to 
30%.  Open access allows consumers using at least 1 MW of energy to 
negotiate their own contracts with power generation companies.  For 
several years the privatization level has hovered around 11%, but in 
July U.S. giant AES purchased a 600MW coal-fired plant, boosting the 
privately-owned power assets to 25%. 
 
4.  The President's son, newly elected House Energy Committee Chair 
Mikey Arroyo, filed an amendment to the law on August 22, lowering 
the open access threshold from 70% to 30%, a target which could 
easily be met this year.  Auctions are scheduled to sell a 600MW 
coal-fired plant and two hydroelectric plants with 250MW of capacity 
before year-end.  If these additional assets are sold on time, this 
will boost the amount of generation assets privatized to 50%. 
Ibazeta told Econoff he expects the 70% legal threshold will be 
reached before the Arroyo bill can be passed. 
 
--------------------------------------------- --- 
Transmission Company on the Block for Round Five 
--------------------------------------------- --- 
 
5.  The apparent government commitment to privatization and the 
credibility of Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management 
Corporation President Jose Ibazeta seem to be attracting more 
corporate interest in the fifth round of bidding on the 25-year 
transmission company (TransCo) concession.  In part as a result of 
Ibazeta's Singapore/London/Hong Kong road show in June 2007, nine 
consortia have submitted letters of intent, non-refundable fees, and 
executed confidentiality statements for bidding packets.  The 
prequalification deadline is September 21 and the bid submission 
date is December 12. 
 
------- 
Comment 
------- 
 
6.  The Arroyo government is showing increased seriousness about the 
privatization of the power sector.  While there will likely be 
further bumps on this road, we expect them to meet the 70% target in 
2008 and implement open access.  Together with the state of the art 
wholesale electricity market already implemented in the Philippines, 
this could result in a much more vibrant energy sector with 
increased competition and lower prices - crucial to improving 
Philippine competitiveness. 
 
7.  Post will continue to report on the privatization process of 
generating and transmission assets on a continuing basis on the 
Intellipedia.  The Intellipedia pages can be found at: 
www.intelink.sgov.gov/wiki/ Electric_Energy_Sector_Privatization 
_in_the_Philippines and 
 
www.intelink.sgov/wiki/TransCo_Privatization.  Numerous linking 
pages provide background on the energy sector.  Clicking the "Watch" 
link at the top of a page will sign users up for notification when 
the page is updated.