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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES1705, MEDIA REACTION; ANTONINI WILSON; EVO MORALES; 08/29/07

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES1705 2007-08-29 16:39 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0000
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #1705/01 2411639
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 291639Z AUG 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9062
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 001705 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; ANTONINI WILSON; EVO MORALES; 08/29/07 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Leading international stories today are related to the FBI finding 
Antonini Wilson in Miami; the relationships among Argentina, 
Venezuela and the US; and internal Bolivian politics. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "The FBI finds Wilson in Miami and now expects an arrest order" 
 
Ana Baron, Washington-based correspondent for leading "Clarn," 
writes (08/29) "... The FBI officially notified the Argentine 
Federal Police that Antonini Wilson was at his home in Key 
Biscayne... 
 
"However, an FBI agent in Miami told 'Clarn' that Antonini is an 
American citizen and that, therefore, he cannot be arrested or 
prevented from leaving the country, and much less compelled to stay 
at home unless there is a warrant from an American judge.' 
 
"According to the Extradition Treaty signed between Argentina and 
the US, Antonini Wilson's capture should be requested via the 
diplomatic way. Sources from the Argentine Embassy to Washington, 
DC, told 'Clarn' that the request for Antonini's extradition had 
not arrived yet. A US diplomat told 'Clarn' referred to a lack of 
confidence that the Argentine Government would act swiftly... 
 
"'We suspect it is a money laundering case. It is just like in Menem 
times with the Juarez Cartel - Mexican drug dealers purchased 
everything in Argentina to launder drug-trafficking money. Now, the 
same can be said regarding the Venezuelan mafia's use of 
petrodollars, which obtains protection because of the bonds 
purchase.' 
 
"Asked whether they have evidence, the source answered: 'What we 
know is that there are mechanisms. Many security agencies (CIA, DEA) 
are dealing with the investigation...' 
 
"In this scenario, Antonini would only be one element of a huge 
illegal business machinery. The source said he did not believe that 
the money Antonini was carrying in his suitcase was aimed at funding 
Cristina's election campaign... 
 
"The truth is that for the moment no one has real evidence of 
anything... Antonini's suitcase only seems to be the tip of an 
iceberg, although no one really knows what is under the water." 
 
- "The Ball is in Bush's Court" 
 
Luis Bruchstein, columnist of left-of-center "Pgina 12," writes 
(08/29) "Regardless of what Guido Antonini Wilson 'is,' what he has 
become is more important because his public emergence was the peak 
of the difficult relations among Argentina, Venezuela and the US... 
The trade relationship between Argentina and Venezuela has been 
fruitful for the two countries and has increased a lot under the 
Kirchner administration. There is also agreement on regional issues 
regarding Mercosur and Latin American integration. Argentina 
recognizes differences on other issues related to the domestic 
political process of both countries, but the diversity of 
relationships is fervently defended. However, the US and some 
European powers are determined to isolate Chvez. And they generally 
agree with right-wing opponents from all Mercosur countries... One 
pivot of this campaign has been Chvez's alleged interference in the 
domestic policies of his allies and neighbors... 
 
"... Whatever Antonini Wilson is, he has become a piece in US 
politics and his fate will be related to US interests. 
 
"Whether it was planned or not, the ball (this means Antonini) is in 
George W. Bush and Condoleezza Rice's court. It does not look like a 
move that could have been planned or much less wanted by the 
governments of Argentina and Venezuela. Regardless of what US courts 
may decide, the Venezuelan Government is unlikely to have ordered or 
advised Antonini Wilson... to take refuge in the US. Rather, it 
would have found a way to hide him in Venezuela or send him to Saudi 
Arabia, the end of the world, Iran or Afghanistan... This 
circumstance reveals that Antonini moved freely and that he did not 
have so much protection from Venezuela as was taken for granted in 
most of the stories written." 
 
- "At a dead-end ally" 
 
Pablo Gaggero, international columnist of daily-of-record "La 
Nacisn," writes (08/29) "In contrast to his Venezuelan friend and 
ally, President Hugo Chvez, who faces no obstacles to successful 
obtaining constitutional amendment, Evo Morales finds only 
difficulties in completing his Constitutional project, which is a 
vital instrument to imposing his governmental program. 
 
"... Yesterday, the painfully concerned political opposition moved 
towards the regions or departments, and staged a demonstration 
unprecedented in the history of Bolivia. 
 
"... Political analyst Cayetano Llobet, from La Paz, 
opined 'Morales missed an extraordinary opportunity to consolidate a 
state that was crumbling into pieces and instead he launched a 
confrontational government with an ethno-centered, Andean, 
indigenous perspective that disdains the productive sector.' 
 
"The Constituent Assembly, which has been paralyzed for months..., 
is La Paz's Achilles heel. 'It is a Venezuelan copy and serves the 
same purpose - the establishment of some sort of lifetime 
presidency, but it did not work here, we can say it failed.' 
 
"... However, analysts agree that Morales' strength to mobilize has 
not diminished. Jorge Lazarte, former judge of the National Election 
Court said 'If elections were held today, Morales would win again, 
although he should start fearing the increasingly stronger and more 
creative regional opposition.' 
 
"Economist Gonzalo Chvez defined the situation as a 'catastrophic 
connection,' which prevents a new social and political pact from 
putting the social and economic stability on track. 
 
"In this confrontation, Bolivia's alliance with Venezuela and Cuba 
has started to gain impetus, but is still a secondary factor. Llobet 
warned 'it is at minimum irritating that the Bolivian president's 
transportation and safety is in the hands of the Venezuelan military 
... Bolivia's domestication (rather than subordination) to 
Venezuelan military command is unacceptable.'" 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
KELLY