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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES1622, MEDIA REACTION; ARGENTINE COUNTRY-RISK; IMPACT OF THE WORLD

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES1622 2007-08-17 14:55 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0014
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #1622/01 2291455
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 171455Z AUG 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8958
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 001622 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; ARGENTINE COUNTRY-RISK; IMPACT OF THE WORLD 
FINANCIAL CRISIS ON ARGENTINE ECONOMY; 08/17/07 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Key international stories today are related to the impact of 
Argentine-Venezuelan ties on Argentina's country-risk ratings; and 
business expectations about the next Argentine Government's economic 
policy. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "(Argentina's) country-risk and corruption" 
 
Fernando Laborda, chief editorialist of daily-of-record "La Nacisn," 
comments (08/17) "From the moment the suitcase scandal was made 
public, the Argentine Government decided to convince the public that 
the Argentine authorities were betrayed in their good faith. In 
other words, that there are no thieves in the Argentine Government, 
but at most clumsy people. 
 
"With Hugo Chvez's expected decision to fire PDVSA VP..., Argentine 
authorities believe they have made progress on their strategy. 
Cabinet Chief Alberto Fernndez said: 'This resignation is the most 
 
conclusive evidence that we told the truth.' 
 
"Whether Fernndez likes it or not, the case will not end up here. 
No one believes it is enough that the Argentine Government distanced 
itself from the alleged person responsible for having let the 
'suitcase Mr.' board and that the Argentine Venezuelans followed 
suit with the PDVSA official... 
 
"The final destination of the almost 800,000 dollars Antonini 
brought remains uncertain, as well as how many other dollar-filled 
suitcases he brought on previous trips to Argentina and why a state 
company without any profits, such as Enarsa, wastes our money in 
luxurious chartered flights for two government officials and their 
invitees. 
 
"There is something as serious as the facts already mentioned - the 
awareness of the close partnership between Chavism and Kirchnerism 
has started to spread around the world. Now, that international 
financial panic prevails and capitals are scared away from emerging 
markets, the image of the Kirchner-Chvez partnership only help to 
scare away investors from Argentina even further. 
 
"Most of Argentine society, particularly after the suitcase scandal, 
does not fully understand the benefits of this relationship. It is 
true that the Chvez administration lends money to Argentina, but at 
an annual rate of 10.6 per cent in dollars, which is twice as much 
as the IMF rate. To make matters worse, today our country risk is 
greater than the one we had during the first months of the de la Ra 
administration." 
 
- "In face of the crisis, the (Argentine) Government confirms its 
economic model" 
 
 
Marcelo Bonelli, economic columnist of leading "Clarn," writes 
(08/17) "Kirchner made the decision on Tuesday night - in view of 
the international (financial) crisis, that Argentina will deepen its 
current economic model. The President has also confirmed that the 
Central Bank's monetary-exchange policy will aim to put a brake on 
the impact of the financial 'earthquake' on the local economy. 
 
"... Now, the Government believes that the USG considers the crisis 
will last between three to six months at most. In other words, that 
there will be another negative international financial scenario 
during the pre-election period and the beginning of the new 
(Argentine) Government... The Argentine Government opines that the 
crisis is larger due to lack of G7 leadership, which has been a 
recurrent problem. Kirchner has been working with an internal report 
which anticipates possible disagreement within the G7 about the way 
central banks are intervening. 
 
"Europe and Japan are convinced that the intervention should be 
strong in order to tame the crisis and as a matter of fact they have 
acted accordingly for several days. Instead, the White House wants 
banks and investors to pay the costs of their speculation with major 
losses and it wants to use the crisis to adjust the international 
economy... 
 
"... Businessmen insist that the international economic climate will 
be different when the next Argentine Government takes power and that 
the future president will have to immediately solve a series of 
issues. A document circulating among top-ranking bankers conveys 
that in the event Cristina Kirchner is elected president, she will 
be made to face and immediately solve the following issues: 
increased public service rates...; put the National Statistics 
Institute (INDEC) on a sound track; acknowledge the country's energy 
 
crisis and implement a contingency plan; renegotiate the country's 
debt to the Paris Club and rationalize the debt with holdout 
bondholders." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE