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Viewing cable 07RIGA515, REFERENDUM ON SECURITY LAWS FAILS TO RECEIVE NEEDED TURNOUT

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07RIGA515 2007-07-11 05:11 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Riga
VZCZCXRO8793
PP RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDBU RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA
RUEHLN RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHRA #0515 1920511
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 110511Z JUL 07
FM AMEMBASSY RIGA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4170
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS RIGA 000515 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV LG
SUBJECT: REFERENDUM ON SECURITY LAWS FAILS TO RECEIVE NEEDED TURNOUT 
 
 
Ref: Riga 344, Riga 192 
 
1.  The national referendum held July 7 on two controversial 
amendments to Latvia's security laws failed to receive the required 
voter turnout and will not be valid, though legally this was a mute 
point.  The vote was set in motion when President Vaira 
Vike-Freiberga suspended promulgation of two Saeima 
(Parliament)-approved amendments in March, arguing that adoption of 
the amendments could result in abuse of power by the government and 
political forces over national security agencies, and initiated a 
signature drive that successfully called for the national referendum 
(see reftels for further background).  The Saeima subsequently 
revoked the two amendments, but the Constitution contains no 
mechanism for the cancellation of a referendum once put in motion. 
The referendum received 338,231 votes (roughly 40% of voters who 
participated in the last election), 115,499 shy of the 
Constitutionally-required votes needed for validity.  However, as a 
moral-victory for referendum proponents, 96% of the votes cast were 
in favour of reversing the security law changes. 
 
2.  Opposition parties, namely New Era (JL), had hoped that strong 
passage of the referendum would be seen as a vote of no confidence 
against the ruling coalition, and New Era leaders have called for 
the resignation of the government.  The Prime Minister and ruling 
parties discount interpreting the vote in such a manner and state 
that they maintain the trust of the people. 
 
3. Comment: The referendum was held at a time when many Latvians 
were on summer holiday, away on weekends in the country, or 
celebrating 7/7/07 weddings.  In that light, it is significant, and 
should put the government on notice, that over 300,000 people would 
turn out to vote.  But in the end, a feeling that the vote did not 
matter after parliament revoked the amendments and the lack of a 
significant "get out the vote" effort, combined with a great summer 
day, meant that not enough people saw the need to vote.  Although 
the government will not fall over the referendum, the entire course 
of action on the security laws over the past six months has sent a 
clear message that the people of Latvia are watching and will speak 
up when there are issues that concern them.  A calculation by the 
coalition that no one would notice or care about their actions in 
amending rather obscure and technical regulations for managing the 
security services was proven wrong.  And that, at least, is a step 
forward on behalf of the health of Latvia's democracy.