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Viewing cable 07BUENOSAIRES1438, MEDIA REACTION; IRAQ; TURKEY; UPCOMING ARGENTINE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BUENOSAIRES1438 2007-07-25 15:21 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0017
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #1438 2061521
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 251521Z JUL 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8739
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 001438 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION; IRAQ; TURKEY; UPCOMING ARGENTINE 
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS; 07/25/07 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Key international stories include a US military report advising 
troop withdrawal from Iraq begin in the summer of 2009; implications 
of Turkish parliamentary elections; and speculation about the 
outcome of upcoming Argentine presidential elections. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND EDITORIALS 
 
- "The US is reported to withdraw its troops from Iraq by mid-2009" 
 
Hugo Alconada Mon, Washington-based correspondent for 
daily-of-record "La Nacion," comments (07/26) "While the White 
House, Democrats and Republicans are holding a tough political 
debate on the future of Iraq, the US military and diplomatic command 
in Baghdad concluded that troops should stay there for the next two 
years. 
 
"According to The New York Times, the conclusion is part of the 
Campaign Joint Plan drafted by General David Petraeus and Ambassador 
Ryan Crocker, which is intended to fight insurgents and train Iraqi 
security forces until the summer of 2009, when a gradual withdrawal 
could be ordered. 
 
"While the proposal was received with caution and pessimism by the 
Democratic opposition, it advanced the White House line that 
withdrawal be postponed to give time to the Iraqi government to 
improve the situation. 
 
"Yesterday, US President George W. Bush intended to strengthen 
Americans' fading support for the war and win time for Crocker and 
Petraeus, although he did this by making another disputed connection 
between the mastermind of the September 11 attacks, Osama bin Laden, 
Al Qaeda and the combat in Iraq." 
 
- Turkey confirms its direction" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" (07/25) editorializes "Turkey does not 
belong to the European Union, although its elections often have an 
impact on the continent both because of the possibility that it 
could become an EU member and because it is a Muslim country. This 
is why last Sunday's parliamentary elections took on special 
meaning, in which the government's political party had a landslide 
victory. 
 
"... During recent years, the country grew at a steady annual 
average rate of 7.4 percent, which lit up some hope for its 
difficult entry into the EU. However, this light of hope was clouded 
by the fact that the new French President, Nicolas Sarkozy, along 
with other European leaders, did not support the idea. 
 
"... The outcome of elections demonstrated that just a few believed 
that (PM) Erdogan could have a secret agenda and, even less that he 
would want to get rid of Atat|rk's legacy. Turning the country in 
favor of Islamic fundamentalism could imply some contradiction 
(rather than a retreat) with the current administration and it could 
jeopardize civil and political freedoms, particularly those of 
women." 
 
- "The future raises more uncertainty than the election process 
itself" 
 
Business-financial "El Cronista" carries an opinion piece by 
pollster Manuel Mora y Araujo, who opines (07/25) "... Even with a 
positive macroeconomic atmosphere and favorable international 
trends, and in spite of the extraordinary relief represented by the 
remarkable primary fiscal surplus achieved by the country during 
recent years, the years ahead will be difficult and socially 
conflictive. Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner will surely be elected 
president, although she will not take over in a honeymoon framework, 
as her husband enjoyed during the first three years of his term in 
office. 
 
"From now to October, the opposition will surely continue saying 
that everything is chaos and conditions are on the verge of 
collapse. The official party will possibly continue as though 
nothing is happening. And probably the current election trends will 
remain as they are. However, a new stage will start on December 11, 
which will compel both the ruling party and opponents to tune in to 
reality - otherwise, the public will probably turn against them." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
WAYNE