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Viewing cable 07ABUJA1638, NIGERIA: PRESIDENT YAR'ADUA HOLDS ENERGY PORTFOLIO

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07ABUJA1638 2007-07-30 15:11 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Abuja
VZCZCXRO6067
PP RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHUJA #1638/01 2111511
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 301511Z JUL 07
FM AMEMBASSY ABUJA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0451
INFO RUEHOS/AMCONSUL LAGOS PRIORITY 7522
RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0488
RUEHCD/AMCONSUL CIUDAD JUAREZ 0483
RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ABUJA 001638 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPARTMENT PASS TO USTR (AGAMA) 
DEPT OF ENERGY FOR CAROLYN GAY 
 
E.O. 12598: N/A 
TAGS: ENRG ECON PGOV NI
SUBJECT:  NIGERIA: PRESIDENT YAR'ADUA HOLDS ENERGY PORTFOLIO 
 
REF:  A. ABUJA 1614 
 B. ABUJA 1607 
       C. ABUJA 1582 
  D. ABUJA 1575 
  E. LAGOS 494 
  F. ABUJA 1376 
 
ABUJA 00001638  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
1.  Summary.  (U) President Yar'adua will act as Minister of Energy, 
following the footsteps of his predecessor.  To assist managing the 
portfolio three deputy ministers have been appointed to oversee 
Power, Petroleum, and Gas.  This decision is connected to the 
president's campaign promise that he would declare a state of 
emergency in the energy sector.  Yar'adua believes that the energy 
sector is vital to solving Nigeria's economic problems.  End 
summary. 
. 
------------ 
Is This New? 
------------ 
. 
2.  (U) On July 26, President Yar'adua inaugurated his cabinet and 
announced portfolios for 39 ministers.  Like his predecessor 
Olusegun Obasanjo, Yar'adua will supervise the energy ministry.  He 
named three deputy ministers -- for power - Fatima Ibrahim; for 
petroleum -Odein Ajumogobia; and for gas - Odusina Olatunde 
Emmanuel. 
 
3.  (U) Former President Obasanjo held the portfolio of Minister for 
Petroleum Resources during the first four years of his 
administration, and did not appoint a deputy minister until 2005. 
Appointing three deputy ministers to manage the power, petroleum and 
gas portfolios is in line with Yar'adua's vision to tackle Nigeria's 
energy problems, and focusing on each of the problems individually. 
. 
-------------- 
Power Problems 
-------------- 
. 
4.  (U) During the election campaign, Yar'adua announced that he 
would declare a state of emergency in the energy sector to solve the 
nation's energy problems.  The GON has set ambitious targets to 
generate 10,000 MW of electricity by the first quarter of 2008, and 
27,000 MW by 2011.  The unreliable supply of electricity is a main 
cause in the collapse and non-profitability of many businesses in 
the country.  Owners are forced to provide power using generators 
with its attendant high fuel costs.  Nigeria has an installed 
generation capacity of 6,000 MW, but rarely generates over 2,000 MW 
despite the GON spending 396 billion naira ($3.1 billion) to 
refurbish power generation plants and distribution systems as well 
as to construct new power stations and transmission lines in the 
last eight years. 
. 
------------ 
Gas Problems 
------------ 
. 
5.  (U) Much of Nigeria's gas is flared and a large quantity of gas 
that is gathered is exported through the various liquefied natural 
gas projects.  The GON's drive to increase the nation's power 
generation capacity relies heavily on building gas-fired power 
plants, and the current gas production will not be sufficient for 
both exports and domestic use.  Yar'adua wants concerted efforts to 
increase gas production to serve both exports and domestic use, 
which accounts for appointing a deputy minister responsible for 
gas. 
. 
------------------ 
Petroleum Problems 
------------------ 
. 
6.  (U) Nigeria is the eleventh largest producer of crude oil in the 
world, however, imports all its domestic refined petroleum product 
needs.  Its four state-owned refineries are in disrepair.  The GON's 
policy of deregulation in the downstream petroleum sector and the 
reduction of subsidies on petroleum products during a time of rising 
oil prices has resulted in continuous increases in the domestic 
price of petroleum products in line with the international market. 
Rising fuel prices regularly has triggered industrial action by the 
labor unions. 
 
7.  (U) Yar'adua faced this problem during the first week of his 
administration when labor unions called a general strike to protest 
 
ABUJA 00001638  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
price hikes in petroleum products and the sale of the refineries 
towards the tail end of Obasanjo's administration.  When the strike 
was called off, Yar'adua made a commitment to review the sale of the 
refineries and effected a marginal reduction in the pump price of 
fuel. 
 
8.  (U) The refinery sales were cancelled after July 21, and 
Yar'adua ordered the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation to 
ensure that the refineries worked at between 70 to 80 percent 
capacity by the end of the year.  The appointment of a deputy 
minister for petroleum is connected with Yar'adua's desire to ensure 
the refineries work efficiently and to coordinate policies in the 
downstream petroleum sector. 
. 
------- 
Comment 
------- 
. 
9.  (SBU) Keeping the reins of the Energy Ministry in his own hands 
probably is a move by Yar'adua to consolidate his power, as energy 
is the fountain of money and power in Nigeria.  Nigeria has major 
issues that need resolving in each of the three sectors of power, 
gas and oil, so giving each of them a high level overseer is 
probably wise.  On the other hand, forcing every issue to go through 
the President could slow action.  None of the three deputy ministers 
has experience or expertise in energy issues, which is another 
concern; even if capable they may have significant learning curves. 
While it is clear that the President recognizes the importance of 
energy issues, it is not clear that he has team in place or specific 
solutions to tackle the problems.  It is not at all clear, for 
example, how a state of emergency could improve the power 
situation. 
 
QUAST