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Viewing cable 07LAGOS457, SUPREME COURT UPENDS ANAMBRA STATE POLITICS BY

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07LAGOS457 2007-06-19 07:16 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Consulate Lagos
VZCZCXRO9054
RR RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHOS #0457/01 1700716
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 190716Z JUN 07
FM AMCONSUL LAGOS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 9123
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHUJA/AMEMBASSY ABUJA 8932
RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0430
RUEHCD/AMCONSUL CIUDAD JUAREZ 0409
RUEHIT/AMCONSUL ISTANBUL 0408
RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 0398
RHMCSUU/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LAGOS 000457 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR AF/W 
STATE FOR INR/AA 
STATE PASS OPIC FOR ZHAN AND MSTUCKART 
DOE FOR CAROLYN GAY 
WARSAW FOR LISA PIASCIK 
CIUDAD JUAREZ FOR DONNA BLAIR 
ISTANBUL FOR TASHAWNA SMITH 
SAO PAOLO FOR ANDREW WITHERSPOON 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM NI
SUBJECT: SUPREME COURT UPENDS ANAMBRA STATE POLITICS BY 
GRANTING OBI FOUR YEARS IN OFFICE 
 
REF: LAGOS 227 
 
LAGOS 00000457  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
1.  (SBU) Summary: Peter Obi, the proverbial cat with nine 
lives, was granted yet another return to office when the 
Supreme Court ruled that he should remain the Governor of 
Anambra State until 2010, giving him a full four-year term 
and making null and void the state's April 2007 gubernatorial 
election.  Former Special Presidential Advisor Andy Uba, who 
had been declared the winner of the April 2007 election, 
vacated the office immediately as President Umaru Yar'Adua 
ordered compliance with the Supreme Court decision.  How 
Governor Obi will fare in the face of a hostile state 
assembly dominated by Uba supporters is uncertain. It is also 
uncertain whether this decision signals a mood of increased 
judicial independence that could spell trouble for the ruling 
People's Democratic Party (PDP) in other electoral 
challenges.  End summary. 
 
2.  (SBU) The Supreme Court on June 14 ruled that Governor 
Peter Obi, who waged a three-year court battle to claim his 
mandate, had the right to serve a full four year term.  The 
Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) originally 
declared PDP candidate Chris Ngige as the winner of the 2003 
gubernatorial election.  However, this was overturned by the 
electoral tribunal and Obi took over as Anambra governor in 
March 2006.  The Supreme Court ruling means that Obi will 
serve until March 2010 and makes the April 2007 gubernatorial 
election null and void, since the office was not vacant.  The 
Court ordered Andy Uba to immediately vacate the Anambra 
Government House and chided INEC for having ignored the court 
proceedings and holding the April 2007 gubernatorial election 
which brought Uba to power.  (Note: INEC Chairman Maurice Iwu 
earlier this year declared that Peter Obi and two of Uba's 
other main opponents were ineligible to contest the April 
gubernatorial election.  Many observers believe that Iwu owes 
his position as INEC Chairman to Andy Uba, who advocated for 
Iwu with former President Obasanjo.  End note) After the 
verdict, President Yar'Adua issued a press release 
instructing the Solicitor General and the Inspector General 
of Police to ensure the immediate reinstatement of Governor 
Obi in light of the court decision. 
 
3.  (U) In a separate decision, the Court denied former Oyo 
State Governor Rashidi Ladoja's petition to have his tenure 
extended by 11 months to make up for the time he was out of 
office due to an impeachment that was later overturned as 
unlawful.  The Court determined that Ladoja's tenure expired 
four years after he had been sworn in as Governor (May 2007). 
 
4.  (SBU) Anayo Okoni, correspondent for the Daily 
Independent, told Poloff that no one knew how the Supreme 
Court would decide, although the highest court had suggested 
that Uba should be prepared to vacate the government house at 
a moment's notice.  Anambra erupted in jubilation on news of 
Obi's court victory, Okoni said.  While Anambrans applauded 
Obi's triumph, they took particular pleasure in the unpopular 
Uba's quick and humiliating exit, Okoni commented.  In 
Anambra's largest city Onitsha, Okoni said people were 
particularly joyous because the extortionist hoodlums and 
gangs, which Obi had expelled, had returned after Uba's 
inauguration.  So far Anambra was quiet, Okoni added, and 
people did not foresee violence in connection with the 
handover. 
 
5.  (SBU) Comment: Anambra has long been a bellwether for 
politics in the Southeast, and Obi's victory was cheered by 
many both inside and outside the state.  The Court's decision 
was also widely praised as in accordance with the 
constitution.  The decision opens the door for staggered 
elections in Nigeria--a first.  It is unknown what, if any, 
effect the decision will have on the 2007 election tribunals. 
 Obi had a determination to win at court, but could also draw 
on his personal wealth to pay the high court fees required to 
pursue his mandate.  The Courts have so far decided on narrow 
 
LAGOS 00000457  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
issues of interpretation, but it would be another step to act 
decisively on issues of election rigging. 
 
6.  (SBU) As far as the consequences for Anambra, despite his 
personal popularity Obi's tenure had heretofore been 
disappointing.  The Uba family's interference in Anambra 
politics is likely to continue, and with the state assembly 
dominated by Uba supporters, Obi will likely find the 
navigating difficult.  Obi will need to somehow cultivate 
their support to make the remainder of his term fruitful for 
Anambra's citizens.  End comment. 
 
LATIMER