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Viewing cable 07USUNNEWYORK393, LEBANON TRIBUNAL: P-3 PERMREPS ENGAGE COUNCIL
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| Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07USUNNEWYORK393 | 2007-05-19 01:57 | 2011-08-24 16:30 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | USUN New York |
VZCZCXRO0362
OO RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHBC RUEHBZ RUEHDA RUEHDBU RUEHDE RUEHDF RUEHFL
RUEHIK RUEHKUK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR
RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUCNDT #0393/01 1390157
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 190157Z MAY 07
FM USMISSION USUN NEW YORK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1913
INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
RUEHEE/ARAB LEAGUE COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
RUEHGG/UN SECURITY COUNCIL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 USUN NEW YORK 000393
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
FOR IO AND NEA FRONT OFFICE
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PTER UNSC SY LE
SUBJECT: LEBANON TRIBUNAL: P-3 PERMREPS ENGAGE COUNCIL
MEMBERS ON DRAFT UNSCR
REF: A. USUN 384
¶B. USUN 389
¶1. (SBU) Summary. P-3 PermReps joined forces May 18 to
canvass their Council counterparts to explain the draft
Chapter VII resolution on the Special Tribunal for Lebanon
(ref A) and seek their support. Most delegations said they
had yet to receive instructions on the draft text and
conceded that their position would likely be determined at a
political level in capitals. While expressing concerns about
the consequences for political stability in Lebanon of
Council action, Indonesia and South Africa suggested that
they would wait for further consultations with the GOL before
adopting a position on the resolution. Panama and Peru
underlined strong legal concerns about the precedent of the
Council deciding to bring into force an agreement that a
country has failed to ratify. Qatar pushed for a delay in
Council action on the tribunal to give the Lebanese
parliamentary process one last chance. Ghana seemed inclined
to support the text. The British met bilaterally with Ghana
and reported a positive reaction. The Congolese Charge told
the French he was concern about the political impact in
Lebanon. At this stage the P-3 count only six firm votes:
the P-3, Belgium, Slovakia, and Ghana. End Summary.
P-3 PermReps Engage Counterparts
--------------------------------
¶2. (SBU) P-3 PermReps engaged with their Council counterparts
May 18 to explain the draft Chapter VII resolution on the
Special Tribunal for Lebanon (ref A) and press for support.
The P-3 diplomats drew a distinction between the "light"
approach in the P-3 text, which calls on the Council to
"decide" that the tribunal agreement and statute previously
agreed to by the government of Lebanon and the UN shall enter
into force, and the "heavy" alternative of asking the Council
to decide to establish an international tribunal as a
subsidiary body of the UNSC. In response to arguments about
the alleged negative effect of a Chapter VII resolution on
stability in Lebanon, P-3 PermReps argued instead that
Lebanon's stability would be undermined if the Council fails
to act. They explained that the UNIIIC criminal
investigation of the Hariri and other political
assassinations would benefit from the establishment of the
tribunal, and defended the timing of Council action by noting
that both PM Siniora and SYG Ban have declared the Lebanese
parliamentary process deadlocked. The Lebanese Government
and people have requested the Council's assistance, the P-3
concluded, and the Council cannot let them down.
Indonesia: Waiting for Siniora
------------------------------
¶3. (SBU) Pending instructions from her capital, Indonesian
DPR and Charge Asmady suggested to Ambassador Khalilzad and
French DPR Lacroix that her government would want to wait
until GOL PM Siniora visits Jakarta -- scheduled for May 24
-- before adopting a position on the draft resolution.
Noting that the Lebanese parliament "must have good reasons
not to ratify the agreement," she asked whether Council
action to establish the tribunal would help stabilize
Lebanon. Asmady contended that it might be better to wait
for Lebanese consensus rather than act now. Indonesia does
not want to take sides in an internal Lebanese dispute and
must balance the risk of stability and threats to UNIFIL --
to which Indonesia contributes forces -- with the need to
establish the tribunal.
South Africa: Siniora-Mbeki Contact Key
---------------------------------------
¶4. (SBU) South African PR Kumalo told Ambassadors Khalilzad
and UK DPR Pierce that PM Siniora had talked to SAG President
Mbeki about Council action on the tribunal. Kumalo said he
expected that the close relationship between the two leaders
would play an important role in deciding Pretoria's stance on
the resolution. In the meantime, Kumalo argued that the
Council should be in "no rush" to move forward on the
resolution. South Africa supports the need to establish the
tribunal and agrees that it would help the UNIIIC
investigation, but has the Council exhausted all other
options besides Chapter VII? The UNSC must also be wary not
to cause more trouble in Lebanon through its actions.
Specifically, the Council should be careful not to pre-empt
the role of the Lebanese parliament. The problem, Kumalo
opined, is that Lebanon asks the Council to do "everything"
USUN NEW Y 00000393 002 OF 003
for it. If the Council must act, though, he expressed
preference for the "light" approach on a resolution rather
than the "heavy" option. Kumalo also noted the letter from
President Lahoud, which he construed to mean that Lahoud does
not oppose establishment of the tribunal but objects to
Siniora's request for Council action.
Panama: Serious Legal Concerns
------------------------------
¶5. (SBU) Panamanian PR Arias told Ambassadors Khalilzad and
de la Sabliere that he has serious concerns about the legal
and political implications of the draft resolution. While
the draft text "might be a light option for Lebanon, it is a
heavy option for the rest of the world" because of the
"serious repercussions" of the precedent it would set of the
Council imposing an agreement on a country that had failed to
ratify it. Taking his argument to the "absurd," he wondered
if this action meant the Council could impose the
still-unratified Kyoto Treaty on the United States. Instead,
he suggested that the Council could either establish a
Special Tribunal for Lebanon as a subsidiary organ of the UN,
taking into account Lebanese law, or send the case to the
ICC. (Note: Arias conceded the case for ICC jurisdiction is
weak, but argued that the Hariri murder plus other attacks
could constitute a crime against humanity. End Note.)
¶6. (SBU) After much back and forth on his two alternatives,
Arias eventually proposed two other ideas. First, the UNSC
could consider a mission to Lebanon to better understand the
situation. (Note: Arias participated on the Council's recent
trip to Kosovo but has yet to commit to a position on that
draft resolution. End Note.) Second, similar to a proposal
he has offered to the text of the Kosovo resolution, Arias
suggested that the Council adopt a resolution that decides to
establish a tribunal four weeks from the date of the
resolution's adoption if the Lebanese have failed to ratify
the tribunal agreement by that point. Arias eventually
agreed to consult UN Legal Counsel Nicolas Michel on the
legal implications of the draft resolution, and to consider
the precedent of the UNSC Chapter VII resolution mandating
the transfer of Charles Taylor to the Hague.
Peru: Solidarity With Panama
----------------------------
¶7. (SBU) Noting that he had spoken with Lima about the draft
resolution on May 18 but did not yet have formal
instructions, Peruvian PR Voto-Bernales told Ambassador
Khalilzad that he had serious legal concerns about the
Council taking action to bring the agreement into effect. He
emphasized that Peru strongly supports the UNIIIC
investigation and wants the perpetrators of the Hariri
assassination brought to justice. While Peru also wants to
"untie the knot" of the Lebanese parliament's failure to
convene, the Council could consider other options besides
"breaking new ground" with this unprecedented legal approach.
Although he was careful not to endorse the idea of Council
action on the tribunal, Voto-Bernales offered establishment
of an international tribunal as a subsidiary organ of the
UNSC or referral to the ICC as two possible alternatives to
the approach taken in the draft P-3 text. In response to
Ambassador Khalilzad's point that the P-3 did not want to
re-open the agreement and statute in order to establish an
international tribunal as a subsidiary body of the UNSC (i.e.
the "heavy" option), Voto-Bernales argued that the agreement
and statute have "no legal standing" because they have not
yet been ratified. While at this point he could not promise
his support for the resolution, Voto-Bernales conceded Peru's
decision would likely be taken at a political level.
Qatar: Pushing for a Delay
--------------------------
¶8. (SBU) During a quick pull-aside with Ambassador Khalilzad,
Qatari PR al-Nasser initially suggested that PM Siniora on
May 17 had agreed in a phone conversation with Qatari Prime
Minister Hamid bin Jasim to a one or two week delay in
Council action to encourage a Lebanese solution. If bin
Jasim fails to secure a Lebanese solution in that time,
Nasser reported, Qatar would then support the draft
resolution. Embassy Beirut and the Lebanese Mission in New
York later clarified that PM Siniora had not agreed to any
such delay, but had instead welcomed bin Jasim to do whatever
he could to encourage Lebanese parliamentary ratification
while the Council continued to move forward on the draft P-3
USUN NEW Y 00000393 003 OF 003
resolution. In a subsequent phone conversation with
al-Nasser, Ambassador Khalilzad clarified that Qatar would
have only two to three days to secure a Lebanese solution
before the Council would have to act.
Ghana Seems Solid
-----------------
¶9. (SBU) The British expert on Lebanon reported that UK DPR
Pierce's meeting with Ghanaian Charge Christian went well.
Although Christian did not yet have instructions from Accra,
he reportedly did not expect to have any problems with the
draft resolution. He expressed appreciation for the P-3's
"light" approach to the resolution and noted that the draft
did not attempt to compel cooperation from third states or
overcome immunities.
Congo Nervous, But French Have Influence
----------------------------------------
¶10. (SBU) According to French Mission experts, French PR de
la Sabliere's meeting with Congolese PR Ikouebe was "not
encouraging." Although Ikouebe conceded that his
instructions are ten days old -- from around the time that
Michel briefed the Council -- he told de la Sabliere that
Congo has strong political concerns about Council action to
establish the tribunal and believes the UNSC should not take
sides in Lebanon. Ikouebe also conceded, though, that the
UNSC had now "entered a new phase" after receiving PM
Siniora's letter and SYG Ban's briefing. Ikouebe also
recalled President Lahoud's view and noted the importance of
the views of the Lebanese community in Congo-Brazzaville
(NFI).
Comment
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¶11. (SBU) Although most delegations have yet to receive
instructions on the draft resolution, we count only six solid
votes in favor -- U.S., France, UK, Belgium, Slovakia, and
Ghana. In order to ensure a positive dynamic in the Council
when the P-3 formally table the resolution, USUN recommends
that the Department demarche UNSC capitals again at a high
level before a second round of consultations in New York
on/around May 23. We understand France will do the same.
KHALILZAD