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Viewing cable 07MEXICO2716, MEXICO ECONOMIC NOTES, MAY 19 - MAY 25

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07MEXICO2716 2007-05-25 17:26 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Mexico
VZCZCXRO7171
PP RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
DE RUEHME #2716/01 1451726
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 251726Z MAY 07
FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7171
INFO RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/CDR USNORTHCOM PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 002716 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR A/S SHANNON 
STATE FOR WHA/MEX, WHA/EPSC, EB/IFD/OMA 
STATE FOR EB/ESC MCMANUS AND IZZO 
USDOC FOR 4320/ITA/MAC/WH/ONAFTA/GWORD 
USDOC FOR ITS/TD/ENERGY DIVISION 
TREASURY FOR IA (ALICE FAIBISHENKO) 
DOE FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS KDEUTSCH AND ALOCKWOOD 
STATE PASS TO USTR (EISSENSTAT/MELLE) 
STATE PASS TO FEDERAL RESERVE (CARLOS ARTETA) 
NSC FOR DAN FISK 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ECON EFIN ELAB ENRG MX PGOV PREL
SUBJECT: MEXICO ECONOMIC NOTES, MAY 19 - MAY 25 
 
Summary 
------- 
 
1.  (SBU) Mexican inflation, though relatively high, fell in 
the first half of May.  PRI unions stood behind victorious 
Yucatan gubernatorial candidate Ivonne Ortega, contributing 
to her victory, despite unions' recent, less-than-active 
support for PRI candidates.  The U.S. and Mexican government 
began discussing opportunities for cooperation on research on 
Methane Hydrates, a potential future energy source.  Economy 
Secretary Sojo spoke enthusiastically about Mexico's 
 
SIPDIS 
potential for improving infrastructure.  End Summary. 
 
Inflation Slows 
--------------- 
 
2.  (U) Consumer price inflation fell 0.51% in the first half 
of May, exceeding the expectations of market analysts who had 
forecasted a drop of only 0.16%.  A Bank of Mexico (BOM) 
report said that the prices of electricity, onions, and limes 
dropped and thus resulted in overall lower consumer prices. 
According to BOM Governor Guillermo Ortiz, inflation 
expectations are well anchored despite the fact that 
inflation is at the upper end of the Bank's comfort range. 
Core inflation rose from 3.72% in April to 3.77%.  While 
analysts are split on whether the BOM will leave borrowing 
rates at 7.25% or hike rates by a quarter-percentage point on 
May 25, the new inflation figures will lessen expectations 
for the latter decision. 
 
PRI Unions Turn Out in Yucatan Elections 
---------------------------------------- 
 
3.  (U) The winning PRI candidate in the May 20, 
gubernatorial elections in Yucatan, Ivonne Ortega, received 
considerable support from organized labor unions affiliated 
with the party in her campaign.  Approximately one week 
before the election, post's Labor Counselor traveled to 
Merida, Yucatan to attend an event organized by the National 
Union of Railway Workers (STFRM).  The PRI candidate briefly 
attended the event and was escorted throughout by the 
national leader of the STFRM.  Also at the event and publicly 
supporting the PRI candidate was the Chief of Staff of the 
CROC, perhaps the third largest national union in Mexico. 
The day before the election Labor Counselor spoke with 
several senior officials of the Confederation of Mexican 
Workers (CTM - roughly equivalent to the AFL-CIO) and they 
indicated that their union was also putting all of their 
efforts into supporting the PRI candidate.  This united labor 
front on behalf of a PRI candidate may well have contributed 
to that party's victory. For the past year or so this type of 
labor unity in support of the PRI has been the exception and 
not the rule in Mexico's organized labor movement. 
 
U.S. and Mexico Discuss Methane Hydrates 
---------------------------------------- 
 
4.  (SBU) Representatives from the Department of Energy and 
the U.S. Geological Survey met with their Mexican Energy 
Secretariat and Pemex counterparts to discuss Mexico's 
 
SIPDIS 
participation in a combined U.S. and international, public 
and private research effort to commercialize production of 
Methane Hydrates, a potential large source of additional 
natural gas.  The group decided that Mexico would seek to 
host a conference on the topic in the fall of 2007 under the 
auspices of the North American Energy Working Group (NAEWG) 
and the SPP to determine how Mexican researchers could best 
participate.  While Mexican institutions have done work in 
this new field, the GOM is considering whether it can 
participate fully in the international research project given 
national sensitivity to working with private firms and 
foreigners on energy projects, as well as legal restrictions 
 
MEXICO 00002716  002 OF 002 
 
 
on sharing data in the field. 
 
Secretary Sojo Optimistic on Infrastructure Development 
 
SIPDIS 
--------------------------------------------- ---------- 
 
5.  (U) Secretary of Economy Eduardo Sojo, speaking at a 
round table on the future of North American border 
infrastructure, said that with current economic stability and 
recent steps toward fiscal responsibility, Mexico is poised 
to develop its infrastructure and foster further economic 
growth.  Conference participants agreed that continued lack 
of sufficient infrastructure development will hurt 
competitiveness in Mexico and the region as a whole.  The 
conference, which included public and private sector 
representatives from the U.S., Mexico, and Canada centered on 
the need for improved border infrastructure and solutions to 
insure increased regional competitiveness. 
 
 
Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at 
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity and the North American 
Partnership Blog at http://www.intelink.gov/communities/state/nap / 
BASSETT