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Viewing cable 07KINSHASA539, SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT ON NORTH KIVU'S IDP

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07KINSHASA539 2007-05-16 15:23 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXRO7275
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #0539/01 1361523
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 161523Z MAY 07
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 6139
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 000539 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREF PGOV KPKO MOPS CG
SUBJECT: SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT ON NORTH KIVU'S IDP 
SITUATION 
 
REF: A. KINSHASA 310 
     B. KINSHASA 201 
 
1. (SBU) Summary: Contrary to recent press reports, there 
have been no major displacement of civilians in North Kivu 
province following operations against the FDLR. Humanitarian 
and MONUC officials say, in fact, there have been relatively 
few new IDPs there since late April. Those displaced since 
January 2007 total some 113,000 and include those fleeing in 
expectation of an offensive against the FDLR, the deployment 
of "mixed" brigades in the province, and fighting between 
local Mayi-Mayi militia. Officials estimate there are 
approximately 190,000 who remain displaced since December 
2006. End summary. 
 
2. (SBU) Recent press reports have claimed a massive movement 
of as many as 600,000 civilians in North Kivu following the 
start of Congolese military (FARDC) operations against the 
FDLR. Humanitarian and MONUC officials on the ground say 
otherwise. In fact, there have been few new IDPs registered 
since the offensive began in late April. Patrick 
Lavand'homme, the OCHA director for North Kivu, told us May 9 
his agency had not seen any massive displacements in the 
previous three weeks. MONUC spokesman Kemal Saiki told us May 
15 there have been at most 30,000 displaced in the last month. 
 
3. (SBU) Lavand'homme and others said, though, that 
approximately 113,000 new persons were registered as 
displaced between January and April for several reasons. 
First, many fled in anticipation of military operations 
against the FDLR in the North Kivu territory of Rutshuru. 
Second, the deployment of several "mixed" brigades caused 
fear among some locals, who believed the forces loyal to 
dissident General Laurent Nkunda in these units -- who had 
recently been fighting government forces in these same 
regions -- would commit exactions against those who had 
opposed them. In fact, some displacement did occur because of 
violations committed by certain "mixed" brigade troops, 
notably Bravo Brigade in Rutshuru. Finally, fighting in March 
and April between opposing factions of the region's Mayi-Mayi 
(local defense forces) caused others to flee as well. All 
three factors contributed to North Kivu's IDP problem before 
the FARDC offensive against the FDLR began April 24. 
 
4. (SBU) In addition to those displaced between January and 
April, IDPs remain from fighting that occurred in Sake and 
Rutshuru territory in November and December 2006 between the 
FARDC and elements loyal to Nkunda. Some 130,000 were 
displaced during that fighting, although 80,000 had returned 
to their homes by the end of January; approximately 50,000 
are still displaced. This wave of IDPs, added to those from 
January-April, and those displaced after the late April 
offensive against the FDLR, creates a total number of around 
190,000 IDPs in the past six months. Lavand'homme and Saiki 
both told us this is the most accurate figure to use when 
discussing the most recent waves of IDPs. 
 
5. (SBU) The figure of 600,000 is technically accurate but 
misleading. As reported reftels, there remain several hundred 
thousand long-term IDPs in North Kivu who have been displaced 
for several years as a result of constant insecurity. Many 
are actually located in the northern part of the province, 
far from the current fighting against the FDLR. Humanitarian 
officials have said the total number of IDPs is closer to 
550,000, and they show no sign of crossing the borders into 
Uganda or Rwanda in massive numbers. 
 
6. (SBU) SRSG William Swing, on a visit to the province May 
12 to review the current environment, said no one could be 
satisfied with the situation in North Kivu. Noting the 
frustration of the local population, Swing said MONUC would 
continue to protect civilians and provide security, allowing 
humanitarian groups to reach those in need. Lavand'homme said 
he feared that continued operations against the FDLR could 
worsen the situation, making it even more difficult for 
relief workers to access affected areas. 
 
7. (SBU) Comment: Figures regarding the number of IDPs should 
be put in the context of North Kivu, which has for many years 
seen significant displacements of populations followed by 
their return several weeks or months later. The current 
situation is cause for some concern as humanitarian 
conditions worsen and security deteriorates. If military 
operations continue as expected, these displacements will 
continue, most likely in larger numbers and for longer 
 
KINSHASA 00000539  002 OF 002 
 
 
periods. Declarations of "hundreds of thousands" of IDPs 
should also be viewed in light of the tendency of donor 
conferences -- like the recent ones held by humanitarian 
agencies in Geneva -- to inflate the numbers. End comment. 
MEECE