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Viewing cable 07KAMPALA865, NRM WINS CONTROVERSIAL EASTERN REGION BY-ELECTIONS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07KAMPALA865 2007-05-21 09:15 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Kampala
VZCZCXRO1295
RR RUEHROV
DE RUEHKM #0865 1410915
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 210915Z MAY 07
FM AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8777
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS KAMPALA 000865 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPARTMENT PASS TO USAID 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PHUM UG
SUBJECT: NRM WINS CONTROVERSIAL EASTERN REGION BY-ELECTIONS 
 
 
1.  (U)  Summary.  The ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) 
party won two district seats in eastern Uganda but lost another in 
the first by-elections held under a multiparty system.   Despite 
President Museveni's active campaigning, there was a low voter 
turnout of less than 50 percent of registered voters in the hotly 
contested Kamuli district.  International and Ugandan election 
observers in Kamuli said there were anomalies which made the 
integrity of the results questionable.  FDC rejected the Kamuli 
results and vowed to petition the courts.  A total of 62 persons, 
alleged to be FDC supporters, were arrested and charged with 
conspiracy to incite violence and to disrupt the elections.   End 
Summary. 
 
----------------- 
Low Voter Turnout 
----------------- 
 
2.  (U)   On May 10, by-elections were held in the three eastern 
Ugandan districts of Kamuli, Bududa and Pallisa.  The NRM candidate 
in Kamuli, Stephen Mubiru narrowly defeated Proscovia Salama 
Musumba, the heavy favorite and FDC's Vice President.  Mubiru polled 
46,322 (47.3 percent) votes against FDC's Musumba who polled 44,444 
(45.4 percent) votes.  In the newly created district of Bududa, 
Wilson Watira, the NRM candidate, defeated two independent 
contenders, polling 18,471 (61.5 percent) votes.  The NRM suffered a 
setback in Pallisa District, where independent candidate Issa 
Bantalib Taligoola, polled 70,891 votes (70 percent) against NRM's 
Patrick Mutono, who polled 30,335 votes (30 percent) votes.  The 
voter turnout of registered voters in Kamuli was less than 50 
percent; in Pallisa 60 percent, while in the newly created Budada 
district turnout was 70 percent. 
 
--------------------------------------------- 
Monitors Cite Anomalies in Kamuli by-election 
--------------------------------------------- - 
 
3.  (U)  Election monitors from the Ugandan Democracy Monitoring 
Group (DEMGroup) said the elections in Kamuli were peaceful, but 
found anomalies which made the integrity of the results 
questionable. The DEMGroup report released on May 14 cited a number 
of anomalies including arbitrary arrests of FDC supporters, 
supervisors and monitors which caused unnecessary tension during the 
exercise and alteration of election results.  The report also noted 
that road blocks intended to weed out people who did not reside in 
Kamuli District infringed on the right of movement, and could have 
intimidated some voters not to vote. 
 
-------------------------- 
FDC Rejects Kamuli Results 
--------------------------- 
 
4.  (U)  The FDC disputed results from ten polling stations in 
Kamuli and vowed to petition the courts, citing malpractice and the 
involvement of President Museveni, who camped in the district for 10 
days prior to the elections.  The party also claimed the Electoral 
Commission set up non-gazetted polling stations. 
 
------- 
COMMENT 
------- 
 
5.  (U)  Busoga region in eastern Uganda has traditionally been a 
stronghold of the NRM, which explains why Museveni took a personal 
interest to campaign for NRM candidates.  FDC's Musumba was a 
"favorite" of the electorate because she stood above NRM's political 
divisions in the district's leadership.   Although she lost the 
race, Musumba remains a political force to be reckoned with in the 
district.  The outcome of the by-elections suggests that Busoga 
region is going be a hotly contested territory between NRM and FDC 
as we move towards the 2011 elections. 
CHRITTON 
 
 
 
 
3