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Viewing cable 07ABUJA847, NIGERIA: APRIL 28 MAKE-UP ELECTIONS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07ABUJA847 2007-05-02 10:02 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Abuja
VZCZCXRO2991
PP RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHUJA #0847/01 1221002
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 021002Z MAY 07
FM AMEMBASSY ABUJA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9373
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0300
RUEHCD/AMCONSUL CIUDAD JUAREZ 0296
RUEHOS/AMCONSUL LAGOS 6755
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ABUJA 000847 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED. NOT FOR INTERNET POSTING. 
DOE FOR CAROLYN GAY 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: APRIL 28 MAKE-UP ELECTIONS 
 
REF: ABUJA 807 
 
ABUJA 00000847  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
------- 
SUMMARY 
------- 
1.    (U) Summary:  The ruling People's Democratic Party 
(PDP) continued its near-sweep of state and national races 
after this weekend's rescheduled elections, which were held 
in select parts of 27 states.  Previous state or national 
elections in these locations were either not held on the 14th 
or 21st or were annulled due to lack of materials and/or 
irregularities.  Media reports indicate that the PDP was 
declared the winner of most races April 28.  The ruling party 
consolidated its power base everywhere except in Imo and 
Lagos states, where they lost governorships and National 
Assembly seats to the Peoples' Progressive Alliance (PPA) and 
the Action Congress (AC) respectively.  The conduct of the 
April 28 make-up polls showed little improvement on the 
elections of April 14 and 21.  Ballot boxes and papers were 
stolen in some places, while polling stations never opened in 
others.  Where voting did occur, the turnout was extremely 
low due to a combination of confusion and lack of information 
about the rescheduled elections and voter apathy based of 
experiences of the previous two weekends.  The make-up 
elections were relatively free of violence as most people 
ignored the process and went about their normal business. End 
Summary. 
 
--------------------------- 
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE ELECTIONS 
--------------------------- 
2.    (U) The major headline from the rescheduled elections 
was the victory of the PPA, Governor Orji Kalu's party, in 
the Imo state governorship race.  The PPA candidate, Chief 
Ikedi Ohakim, defeated the PDP candidate and incumbent 
senator Ifeanyi Araraume and APGA candidate Chief Agbaso.  In 
Enugu State, the PDP's Sullivan Chime was declared the 
governor-elect after polling was re-run in only four local 
government areas (LGAs), despite widespread views that 
polling never happened in most of the state on April 14.  All 
political parties except PDP and the Accord Party boycotted 
the April 28 Enugu gubernatorial polls after INEC proceeded 
with the four LGA only make-up election in defiance of an 
Enugu Federal High Court order.  Kaduna's governor Ahmed 
Makarfi, wife of Niger state governor Hajia Zainab Kure, and 
President Obasanjo's daughter Iyabo Obasanjo-Bello won 
senatorial seats in their respective states.  The wife of the 
PDP National Chairman, Mrs. Maryam Ali, whose candidacy had 
earlier created bad blood between the chairman and President 
Obasanjo, was not as lucky as she lost to incumbent Senator 
Patrick Osakwe.  Controversial Senator Uche Chukwumerije, who 
decamped to the PPA from the PDP to escape sanctions for his 
role in the defeat of the third term project, was returned to 
the Senate on the platform of his new party. 
 
-------- 
COMMENT 
-------- 
3.     (U) The make-up elections were characterized by low 
turnout and general voter apathy throughout the country. 
Nigerians interviewed by journalists on the day of the 
elections expressed disgust at the conduct and outcome of the 
April 14 and 21 elections and wondered why anyone would waste 
his/her time to show up on. April 28.  The conduct of the 
rescheduled elections was similar to the original polls, 
where malpractices and irregularities prevailed. 
 
4.    (SBU) As the May 29 handover date draws nearer, there 
are mixed reactions regarding the way forward.  While some 
people have called for outright cancellation of the elections 
and the formation of an interim government to conduct fresh 
elections in about three months, others have urged aggrieved 
politicians to seek redress at the election tribunals.  There 
are yet others who, despite acknowledging the elections were 
seriously flawed, have urged Nigerians to accept the outcome 
to ensure that President Obasanjo vacates office.  Civil 
society and some opposition parties have vowed to resist the 
outcome of the elections and claim to be mobilizing the 
citizenry for mass action.  However, neither civil society 
 
ABUJA 00000847  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
nor the opposition parties are very organized or united. 
Some minor opposition parties have already pledged support 
for Yar'Adua, while bureaucrats are already jostling for 
positions in the Yar'Adua government.  It would be difficult 
for Nigeria's impoverished citizenry to embark on any 
sustained mass action and most of the politicians calling for 
protests are viewed to have at one time or the other been 
products of previous flawed elections.  There is, however, a 
consensus amongst most Nigerians that the 2007 elections may 
have been the worst ever in the history of the country. 
CAMPBELL