Keep Us Strong WikiLeaks logo

Currently released so far... 97115 / 251,287

Articles

Browse latest releases

Browse by creation date

Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z

Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ETRD EAGR ETTC EAID ECON EFIN ECIN EINV ELAB EAIR ENRG EPET EWWT ECPS EIND EMIN ELTN EC ETMIN EUC EZ ET ELECTIONS ENVR EU EUN EG EINT ER ECONOMICS ES EMS ENIV EEB EN ECE ECOSOC EK ENVIRONMENT EFIS EI EWT ENGRD ECPSN EXIM EIAD ERIN ECPC EDEV ENGY ECTRD EPA ESTH ECCT EINVECON ENGR ERTD EUR EAP EWWC ELTD EL EXIMOPIC EXTERNAL ETRDEC ESCAP ECO EGAD ELNT ECONOMIC ENV ETRN EIAR EUMEM ENRGPARMOTRASENVKGHGPGOVECONTSPLEAID EREL ECOM ECONETRDEAGRJA ETCC ETRG ECONOMY EMED ETR ENERG EITC EFINOECD EURM EENG ERA EXPORT ENRD ECONEINVETRDEFINELABETRDKTDBPGOVOPIC EGEN EBRD EVIN ETRAD ECOWAS EFTA ECONETRDBESPAR EGOVSY EPIN EID ECONENRG EDRC ESENV ETT EB ENER ELTNSNAR ECHEVARRIA ETRC EPIT EDUC ESA EFI ENRGY ESCI EE EAIDXMXAXBXFFR EETC ECIP EIAID EIVN EBEXP ESTN EING EGOV ETRA EPETEIND ELAN ETRDGK EAIDRW ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS EPEC ENVI ELN EAG EPCS EPRT EPTED ETRB EUM EAIDS EFIC EFINECONEAIDUNGAGM EAIDAR ESF EIDN ELAM EDU EV EAIDAF ECN EDA EXBS EINTECPS ENRGTRGYETRDBEXPBTIOSZ EPREL EAC EINVEFIN ETA EAGER EINDIR ECA ECLAC ELAP EITI EUCOM ECONEFINETRDPGOVEAGRPTERKTFNKCRMEAID EARG ELDIN EINVKSCA ENNP EFINECONCS EFINTS ECCP ETC EAIRASECCASCID EINN ETRP EAIDNI EFQ ECOQKPKO EGPHUM EBUD ECONEINVEFINPGOVIZ ENERGY ELB EINDETRD EMI ECONEFIN EIB EURN ETRDEINVTINTCS EIN EFIM ETIO ELAINE EMN EATO EWTR EIPR EINVETC ETTD ETDR EIQ ECONCS EPPD ENRGIZ EISL ESPINOSA ELEC EAIG ESLCO EUREM ENTG ERD EINVECONSENVCSJA EEPET EUNCH ECINECONCS ETRO ETRDECONWTOCS ECUN EFND EPECO EAIRECONRP ERGR ETRDPGOV ECPN ENRGMO EPWR EET EAIS EAGRE EDUARDO EAGRRP EAIDPHUMPRELUG EICN ECONQH EVN EGHG ELBR EINF EAIDHO EENV ETEX ERNG ED
KMDR KPAO KPKO KJUS KCRM KGHG KFRD KWMN KDEM KTFN KHIV KGIC KIDE KSCA KNNP KHUM KIPR KSUM KISL KIRF KCOR KRCM KPAL KWBG KN KS KOMC KSEP KFLU KPWR KTIA KSEO KMPI KHLS KICC KSTH KMCA KVPR KPRM KE KU KZ KFLO KSAF KTIP KTEX KBCT KOCI KOLY KOR KAWC KACT KUNR KTDB KSTC KLIG KSKN KNN KCFE KCIP KGHA KHDP KPOW KUNC KDRL KV KPREL KCRS KPOL KRVC KRIM KGIT KWIR KT KIRC KOMO KRFD KUWAIT KG KFIN KSCI KTFIN KFTN KGOV KPRV KSAC KGIV KCRIM KPIR KSOC KBIO KW KGLB KMWN KPO KFSC KSEAO KSTCPL KSI KPRP KREC KFPC KUNH KCSA KMRS KNDP KR KICCPUR KPPAO KCSY KTBT KCIS KNEP KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KNNB KGCC KINR KPOP KMFO KENV KNAR KVIR KDRG KDMR KFCE KNAO KDEN KGCN KICA KIMMITT KMCC KLFU KMSG KSEC KUM KCUL KMNP KSMT KCOM KOMCSG KSPR KPMI KRAD KIND KCRP KAUST KWAWC KTER KCHG KRDP KPAS KITA KTSC KPAOPREL KWGB KIRP KJUST KMIG KLAB KTFR KSEI KSTT KAPO KSTS KLSO KWNN KPOA KHSA KNPP KPAONZ KBTS KWWW KY KJRE KPAOKMDRKE KCRCM KSCS KWMNCI KESO KWUN KPLS KIIP KEDEM KPAOY KRIF KGICKS KREF KTRD KFRDSOCIRO KTAO KJU KWMNPHUMPRELKPAOZW KEN KO KNEI KEMR KKIV KEAI KWAC KRCIM KWCI KFIU KWIC KCORR KOMS KNNO KPAI KBWG KTTB KTBD KTIALG KILS KFEM KTDM KESS KNUC KPA KOMCCO KCEM KRCS KWBGSY KNPPIS KNNPMNUC KWN KERG KLTN KALM KCCP KSUMPHUM KREL KGH KLIP KTLA KAWK KWMM KVRP KVRC KAID KSLG KDEMK KX KIF KNPR KCFC KFTFN KTFM KPDD KCERS KMOC KDEMAF KMEPI KEMS KDRM KEPREL KBTR KEDU KNP KIRL KNNR KMPT KISLPINR KTPN KA KJUSTH KPIN KDEV KTDD KAKA KFRP KWNM KTSD KINL KJUSKUNR KWWMN KECF KWBC KPRO KVBL KOM KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KEDM KFLD KLPM KRGY KNNF KICR KIFR KM KWMNCS KAWS KLAP KPAK KDDG KCGC KID KNSD KMPF KPFO KDP KCMR KRMS KNPT KNNNP KTIAPARM KDTB KNUP KPGOV KNAP KNNC KUK KSRE KREISLER KIVP KQ KTIAEUN KPALAOIS KRM KISLAO KWM KFLOA
PHUM PINR PTER PGOV PREL PREF PL PM PHSA PE PARM PINS PK PUNE PO PALESTINIAN PU PBTS PROP PTBS POL POLI PA PGOVZI POLMIL POLITICAL PARTIES POLM PD POLITICS POLICY PAS PMIL PINT PNAT PV PKO PPOL PERSONS PING PBIO PH PETR PARMS PRES PCON PETERS PRELBR PT PLAB PP PAK PDEM PKPA PSOCI PF PLO PTERM PJUS PSOE PELOSI PROPERTY PGOVPREL PARP PRL PNIR PHUMKPAL PG PREZ PGIC PBOV PAO PKK PROV PHSAK PHUMPREL PROTECTION PGOVBL PSI PRELPK PGOVENRG PUM PRELKPKO PATTY PSOC PRIVATIZATION PRELSP PGOVEAIDUKNOSWGMHUCANLLHFRSPITNZ PMIG PREC PAIGH PROG PSHA PARK PETER POG PHUS PPREL PS PTERPREL PRELPGOV POV PKPO PGOVECON POUS PGOVPRELPHUMPREFSMIGELABEAIDKCRMKWMN PWBG PMAR PREM PAR PNR PRELPGOVEAIDECONEINVBEXPSCULOIIPBTIO PARMIR PGOVGM PHUH PARTM PN PRE PTE PY POLUN PPEL PDOV PGOVSOCI PIRF PGOVPM PBST PRELEVU PGOR PBTSRU PRM PRELKPAOIZ PGVO PERL PGOC PAGR PMIN PHUMR PVIP PPD PGV PRAM PINL PKPAL PTERE PGOF PINO PHAS PODC PRHUM PHUMA PREO PPA PEPFAR PGO PRGOV PAC PRESL PORG PKFK PEPR PRELP PREFA PNG PGOVPHUMKPAO PRELECON PINOCHET PFOR PGOVLO PHUMBA PRELC PREK PHUME PHJM POLINT PGOVPZ PGOVKCRM PGOVE PHALANAGE PARTY PECON PEACE PROCESS PLN PRELSW PAHO PEDRO PRELA PASS PPAO PGPV PNUM PCUL PGGV PSA PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PGIV PRFE POGOV PEL PBT PAMQ PINF PSEPC POSTS PHUMPGOV PVOV PHSAPREL PROLIFERATION PENA PRELTBIOBA PIN PRELL PGOVPTER PHAM PHYTRP PTEL PTERPGOV PHARM PROTESTS PRELAF PKBL PRELKPAO PKNP PARMP PHUML PFOV PERM PUOS PRELGOV PHUMPTER PARAGRAPH PERURENA PBTSEWWT PCI PETROL PINSO PINSCE PQL PEREZ PBS

Browse by classification

Community resources

courage is contagious

Viewing cable 07WELLINGTON305, POTENTIAL FOR NZ FOREIGN MINISTER-GOVT SPLIT OVER NZ-CHINA

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs

Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #07WELLINGTON305.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07WELLINGTON305 2007-04-15 19:19 2011-04-28 00:00 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Wellington
VZCZCXYZ0001
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHWL #0305/01 1051919
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 151919Z APR 07
FM AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON
TO SECSTATE WASHDC 4145
C O N F I D E N T I A L WELLINGTON 000305 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
 
 
STATE FOR D (FRITZ), EAP/FO, AND EAP/ANP 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/13/2017 
TAGS: PGOV NZ
 
SUBJECT: POTENTIAL FOR NZ FOREIGN MINISTER-GOVT SPLIT OVER NZ-CHINA 
FTA 
Classified by DCM David J. Keegan, 
for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d). 
 
Summary 
------- 
 
1. (C) A source close to Foreign Minister Winston Peters, whose New 
Zealand First Party seriously lags in the polls, says Peters may 
openly voice his opposition to New Zealand's free trade deal with 
China in an effort to secure the loyalty of his voter base.  Although 
the dispute could strain the private constructive working 
relationship between Peters and PM Helen Clark, the Labour Party 
needs Peter's continued cooperation to retain control of the 
Government and PM Clark would  likely publicly play down Peters' 
objections.  Peters by all accounts relishes his position and would 
be loathe to jeopardize it. Even more importantly, as seasoned 
political veterans, Clark and Peters understand each other and will 
be able to minimize the impact of the issue on their cooperation. 
They could even work behind the scenes to limit the damage to the 
Government of their "disagreement."  End Summary. 
 
Playing to his Party's Support Base? 
------------------------------------ 
2. (C) As a NZ-China FTA comes ever closer to completion, an advisor 
to Foreign Minister Winston Peters tells us that Peters might feel 
compelled to speak out publicly against the agreement.  Peters' NZ 
First Party is in trouble, and he needs to secure his party's base. 
The latest 3News/TNS political poll showed NZ First's support at a 
meager 1.2 percent, well below the threshold needed to retain its 
presence in Parliament after the 2008 election. (Comment: Under New 
Zealand's electoral system, a party gets seats in parliament if its 
Party wins either 5% or more of the total Party votes cast or one of 
its candidates wins a local electorate seat.  Peters lost the only NZ 
First electorate seat at the 2005 election. It's not clear he could 
ever win it back. End Comment.) 
8. (C) A good part of NZ First's support base is made up of low wage 
workers and manufacturers, who admire the party's particular brand of 
economic nationalism and Peters' passionate defense of their sector 
from foreign interests. Throughout the 2005 campaign Peters asserted 
that a NZ-China FTA would cripple the local manufacturing sector and 
create widespread job losses.  Our source says Peters and his caucus 
remain committed to opposing to trade deals with low-wage economies. 
 
Schism would strain relationship with PM Clark and Goff 
--------------------------------------------- ---------- 
4. (C) Peters governing arrangement with PM Clark permits him to 
oppose the Government publicly on any issues that fall outside of his 
foreign affairs portfolio, including trade. He is likely to express 
any criticism as leader of NZ First and not Foreign Minister.  But 
regardless of his cover, going public over his opposition to the 
China trade deal would likely create at least the appearance of a 
schism with the Government and put a strain on his relations with 
Clark.  Most analysts assume the PM will use the conclusion of a 
China FTA to offset criticism that her government has failed to gain 
a free trade agreement with the United States.   Clark is a political 
pragmatist, and she relies heavily on Peters' continued support to 
retain her Government's slim majority in Parliament.  She will 
therefore likely publicly play down Peters' opposition to the China 
deal. Behind closed doors, however, she could resent Peters for 
causing the political and PR problems that would likely ensue, 
particularly if he chooses to announce his objection in the run up to 
the next election. 
5. (C) Peters' has thus far managed to avoid a public split with 
Trade Minister Phil Goff (who shares responsibility for the Ministry 
of Foreign Affairs and Trade, where he served as Foreign Minister in 
the previous Labour administration). Peters' decision to criticize a 
China FTA  success could initiate a public and potentially nasty 
feud. Despite his freedom to do so, Peters has resisted commenting on 
the Trade portfolio.  As Foreign Minister before Peters, Goff 
initially did steal some of Peters' foreign policy limelight 
immediately after the new Government was formed in late 2005, for 
example by being the first to reach areas in the Pacific affected by 
the Tsunami.  Of late, however, Goff has become quiet on foreign 
policy issues, focusing instead on his defense and trade portfolios. 
Possible timing of any public objection 
--------------------------------------- 
6. (C) Peters' advisor told us that the most likely timing of a 
public announcement of Peters' objection to the trade deal will come 
during the three months before the next election - which constitutes 
the official campaign period in NZ.  Post understands that during 
this time Peters will restrict his overseas travel to a bare minimum 
and concentrate on reviving New Zealand First's electoral prospects. 
7. (C) Comment:  Peters' opposition to the China FTA would embarrass 
Labour but it is unlikely he would bring down the Government.  Nor is 
it likely that he would lose his Foreign Affairs portfolio as a 
result.  A seasoned political veteran, Clark would understand his 
motivation.  (And as a seasoned veteran himself, Peters might even 
precook his "criticism" with the PM in advance.)  The main opposition 
party National might try to use Peters' criticisms to claim he is 
 
 
 
unfit for office, in an effort to drive a wedge between Peters and 
the Government as they unsuccessfully tried to do two years ago.  But 
as NZ businesses strongly favor the China FTA, the Nats are unlikely 
to want to see a prolonged debate over the agreement and will 
probably not push the issue too far. 
McCormick