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Viewing cable 07ZAGREB292, RIGHT-WING COALITION WINS PLURALITY IN EARLY LOCAL

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07ZAGREB292 2007-03-27 11:23 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Zagreb
VZCZCXRO6350
RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDBU RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA
RUEHLN RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHVB #0292 0861123
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 271123Z MAR 07
FM AMEMBASSY ZAGREB
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 7461
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS ZAGREB 000292 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREL PGOV HR POLITICAL PARTIES
SUBJECT: RIGHT-WING COALITION WINS PLURALITY IN EARLY LOCAL 
ELECTIONS IN SLAVONSKI BROD 
 
 
1. (SBU) Summary and comment: A coalition of three parties ranging 
from the far-right Croatian Party of Rights (HSP) to the 
center-right Croatian Peasant Party (HSS) and the moderate Croatian 
Social-Liberal Party (HSLS) won 10 of 25 seats in local elections 
held March 18 in Slavonski Brod.  The group will need other partners 
to form a government.  While the center-right Croatian Democratic 
Union (HDZ), which holds power nationally, offered to combine its 
six seats with the four held by the Social Democrats (SDP), the main 
opposition party declined to "go against the voters' will." 
Although the election results in Slavonski Brod confirm a general 
trend of HSP growth in rural eastern Croatia, the political 
situation in that city is specific enough not to be taken as 
representative of the whole country.  End summary and comment. 
 
2. (U) Three months after the Slavonski Brod city government fell 
apart over land-sale disputes, Croatia's sixth largest city (with 
58,000 voters) held local elections on March 18.  The ticket led by 
former Mayor Mirko Duspara (initially elected in May 2005) of the 
far-right Croatian Party of Rights (HSP), won 10 of 25 seats in the 
City Council.  This time HSP ran in coalition with the center-right 
Croatian Peasant Party (HSS) and the moderate Croatian 
Social-Liberal Party (HSLS); the good result is partly due to the 
synergy of this coalition and the personalities involved.  The 
nationally ruling Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) won six seats, and 
the leading opposition Social Democratic Party (SDP) won four.  The 
remaining five seats were divided among smaller and/or regional 
parties. 
 
3. (U) The HSP-HSS-HSLS coalition can count on two more seats won by 
the regional HDSSB (Croatian Democratic Congress of Slavonia and 
Baranja) - founded and strongly influenced by war-crimes suspect 
Branimir Glavas - which already is HSP's ally in the city and county 
of Osijek in eastern Slavonia.  However, the group will need another 
vote in the City Council to be able to govern.  The HDZ meanwhile 
offered coalition to the SDP, its main rival at the national level, 
but the SDP rebuffed the offer.  Acting SDP president Zeljka 
Antunovic said the SDP would respect the voters' will and support 
the winning coalition, without joining it, in case they needed the 
thirteenth vote.  HSP President and Mayor of Osijek Anto Djapic 
promptly invited the SDP to topple the government in the 
Brod-Posavina County and thus provoke early elections at the county 
level, too.  In the county, the HSP is still technically in 
coalition with the HDZ, as it was in the city of Slavonski Brod 
before the removal of its mayor in December.  Early elections in the 
Brod-Posavina County would give the HSP another chance to assert its 
rise in the region and to distance itself from the HDZ at the 
national level as the country approaches parliamentary elections in 
November. 
 
4. (SBU) There clearly is a trend of HSP growth in parts of the 
country.  The party did extremely well in December 2006 
neighborhood-level elections in the city of Osijek where its 
President Anto Djapic is the mayor.  However, there is more to the 
good results in Slavonski Brod than HSP's growing popularity.  Its 
ally HSLS is traditionally rather strong in Slavonski Brod, while 
the other partner, HSS, enjoys support in the rural surroundings. 
Also, the HSP was perceived as victim of an HDZ-led plot, rather 
than the culprit for the early elections.  In general, the HSP is 
more radical than other parties, and as such more likely to attract 
protest voters.  The city and the county are among the least 
developed in Croatia - "our twilight zone" as the SDP's economic 
strategist Ljubo Jurcic recently described it.  Nationalism still 
plays an important role in this city, where many refugee Croats from 
Bosnia found a new home. "People here vote as sports fans, not as 
voters who pursue their own interests," SDP leader in Slavonski Brod 
Zeljko Racki told the Embassy in February.  The HSP still seeks to 
portray every election as a question of "to be or not to be" for the 
whole Croatian state. Prominent HSP member Pero Kovacevic described 
the party's success in Slavonski Brod as an outcome of the "people's 
wish to take care of themselves," without having to be "debtors and 
slaves to the EU" or part of a "policy of succumbing to foreign 
forces at the expense of our own country." 
BRADTKE