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Viewing cable 07LAPAZ574, DEADLINES COME AND GO, MUTUN TALKS CONTINUE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07LAPAZ574 2007-03-01 19:36 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy La Paz
VZCZCXYZ0001
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHLP #0574/01 0601936
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 011936Z MAR 07
FM AMEMBASSY LA PAZ
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2679
INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 6592
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 3914
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 7802
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 5047
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 2281
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA 2381
RUEHMD/AMEMBASSY MADRID 3348
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 4448
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 0111
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 4922
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 9512
RUEHUB/USINT HAVANA 0182
RHMFIUU/HQ USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
RUMIAAA/USCINCSO MIAMI FL
RHEGGTN/DEPT OF ENERGY GERMANTOWN MD
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
RUEHC/DEPT OF INTERIOR WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS LA PAZ 000574 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR WHA/AND LPETRONI 
ENERGY FOR SDAY AND SLADISLAW 
COMMERCE FOR JANGLIN 
TREASURY FOR SGOOCH 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: EMIN EINV ECON PGOV BL
SUBJECT: DEADLINES COME AND GO, MUTUN TALKS CONTINUE 
 
REF: 05 LA PAZ 2598 
 
------- 
SUMMARY 
------- 
 
1. (U) Deadlines have come and gone, but Mutun contract 
negotiations continue.  The principal outstanding dispute 
centers on natural gas prices; as of February 28, the GOB and 
India's Jindal Steel and Power remained unable to reach 
agreement.  Gas supplies are apparently uncertain, and 
communities near the Mutun iron ore deposits have initiated 
road blockades to pressure the government to move forward. 
End summary. 
 
------------------------------- 
DID SOMEONE MENTION A DEADLINE? 
------------------------------- 
 
2. (U) GOB officials have announced and subsequently failed 
to meet no fewer than four negotiating deadlines since 
mid-January, each time disappointing expectations of a 
finished contract to say they needed more time.  The GOB and 
India's Jindal Steel and Power have been engaged in 
discussions since August 2006, when the two parties announced 
general agreement on the broad outlines of a joint venture 
contract allowing Jindal to develop Mutun, one of the world's 
largest iron ore deposits (reftel). 
 
3. (U) The principal outstanding dispute centers on natural 
gas prices.  Jindal has consistently demanded stiff 
concessions, initially proposing it pay just $2.10 per 
million British thermal units (BTU), or half the then-export 
price of $4.20 per million BTU.  The company later revised 
its offer, suggesting it pay full price for gas used in 
exploration and exploitation activities but insisting on a 
subsidized price for gas used in a proposed thermoelectric 
power plant; the firm based its position on existing 
hydrocarbons legislation, arguing that Hydrocarbons Law 3058 
obliges the government to cover 50 percent of the cost of gas 
used in industrialization projects.  When Jindal revised its 
offer a second time, offering to pay $3.20 per million BTU 
for all gas, the GOB offered an alternative, suggesting the 
firm pay $4 per million BTU for gas used in exploration 
activities and $2 per million BTU for gas used in the 
thermoelectric power plant.  As of February 28, the two sides 
remained deadlocked. 
 
---------------------- 
GAS SUPPLIES UNCERTAIN 
---------------------- 
 
4. (U) Vice Minister of Exploration and Production Guillermo 
Aruquipa announced, meanwhile, that domestic gas production 
may not meet Mutun's needs, as Bolivia currently produces 
only enough gas to supply domestic demand and fulfill export 
contracts with Brazil and Argentina.  Aruquipa noted that the 
government could push hydrocarbons companies to develop new 
gas fields but acknowledged that the strategy's success was 
uncertain.  He later implied that the problem was of little 
immediate concern, as Mutun would not begin production before 
2010. 
 
----------------------------- 
COMMUNITIES DEMAND RESOLUTION 
----------------------------- 
 
5. (U) Residents of Puerto Suarez and other communities near 
the Mutun iron ore deposits demanded quick resolution, 
initiating road blockades February 26 and vowing to maintain 
them until the GOB signs a contract.  Civic leaders disrupted 
road and rail transportation to Brazil and hinted at still 
tougher measures, including the taking of municipal 
buildings.  Residents have demanded for months that the GOB 
move the project forward and called on the government to 
protect the thousands of jobs at stake. 
 
------- 
COMMENT 
------- 
 
6. (SBU) India's honorary consul in Bolivia assured Econoff 
March 1 that contract negotiations were in their final 
stages, but this may be an overly optimistic assessment; 
despite the consul's statement, it remains impossible to 
predict either the timing or the terms of a final contract. 
If the two parties do reach agreement, uncertain gas supplies 
and lingering doubts about Jindal's technical expertise may 
mean the project will go nowhere fast. 
 
7. (SBU) Comment continued: It appears Jindal believed from 
the outset that it would receive subsidized gas, as estimates 
of relatively low gas prices played a key role in assuring 
the project's economic viability; indeed, the GOB faced 
opposition criticism of the original proposal's inclusion of 
gas subsidies.  The government's willingness to play hardball 
with Jindal now suggests that the political pay-off of the 
deal is not worth the economic cost, particularly given the 
beneficiaries' location in the department of Santa Cruz, an 
opposition stronghold.  End comment. 
GOLDBERG