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Viewing cable 07DILI129, PRESIDENT GUSMAO ESTABLISHES NEW PARTY

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07DILI129 2007-03-29 10:39 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Dili
VZCZCXRO8681
PP RUEHPB
DE RUEHDT #0129/01 0881039
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 291039Z MAR 07
FM AMEMBASSY DILI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3412
INFO RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 0893
RUCNARF/ASEAN REGIONAL FORUM COLLECTIVE
RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
RHHMUNA/USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA PRIORITY 0952
RUEHLI/AMEMBASSY LISBON PRIORITY 0843
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 0649
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO PRIORITY 0694
RUEHWL/AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON PRIORITY 0778
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA PRIORITY 0498
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RUEHROV/AMEMBASSY VATICAN 0088
RUEHDT/AMEMBASSY DILI 2771
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DILI 000129 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
DEPT FOR EAP/MTS, DRL, IO 
USUN FOR RICHARD MCCURRY 
TOKYO FOR HANS KLEMM 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM UN TT
SUBJECT: PRESIDENT GUSMAO ESTABLISHES NEW PARTY 
 
DILI 00000129  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
1. (SBU) Summary: Following months of preparation accompanied by 
widespread speculation, President Xanana Gusmao formally 
announced the establishment of his new party, currently known as 
the National Congress for the Timorese Reconstruction (CNRT). 
Gusmao's hope is that with his name and reputation, the CNRT can 
defeat the ruling Fretilin party in the upcoming parliamentary 
elections.  However, it is unclear at this point how much 
support the CNRT will have.  Most opposition party leaders view 
the new CNRT with a mix of skepticism and anger, criticizing the 
enterprise as likely to further divide and undermine the 
opposition, while possibly risking Gusmao's standing as a 
national figure above party politics.  Further, Gusmao's status, 
while remaining remarkably resilient, has nonetheless diminished 
over the last year of crisis.  Regardless, the new CNRT will 
bring an added variable to both the presidential and 
parliamentary elections - the party's supporters have been 
actively supporting Prime Minister Jose Ramos-Horta's 
presidential bid and the possibility remains that the CNRT could 
be a major player in the parliamentary elections.  End summary. 
 
2. (U) President Xanana Gusmao March 26 formally announced the 
formation of a new party, the National Congress for the Timorese 
Reconstruction (CNRT), following the receipt of 6,500 signatures 
supporting the party's establishment under his leadership.  On 
March 30, the CNRT was expected to formally file its 
registration papers with the Ministry of Justice.  "After 
Releasing the Nation, Let's Release the People" is the motto of 
the new party.  Gusmao will remain technically outside of the 
party until he steps down from office; when receiving the 
signatures he stated, "after finishing my role as President I 
will join them to give a new direction to the country and to the 
people."  A national party congress to elect leadership and 
finalize the party platform and constitution is scheduled to 
take place sometime during the month of April.  Meanwhile, the 
party will be nominally led by Mau-Huno a former FALINTIL 
(pro-independence resistance) commandant and former member of 
Fretilin's Central Committee (CCF). 
 
A Fretilin alternative 
---------------------- 
 
3. (SBU) Sources close to Gusmao unequivocally agree that the 
main intention in establishing the party is to defeat the 
dominant "Mozambique clique" of the ruling Fretilin party, the 
group of Fretilin leaders such as Alkatiri who spent most of the 
occupation in Mozambique and have held the reins of power since 
independence.  The name of the new party is a deliberate 
reference to the former CNRT, a non-partisan umbrella resistance 
body that was led by Gusmao and represented the independence 
cause in 1999.  The CNRT symbol was the symbol on the 1999 
referendum ballot that represented the choice of independence 
from Indonesia.  Using the CNRT's history and Gusmao's 
historical importance as its leader, supporters hope they have a 
formula that can rival Fretilin's status as the party of the 
struggle.  Moreover, the party's platform will strongly 
emphasize the formation of a national unity government should 
they win, harkening back to the hopes many Timorese held during 
the first national elections.  Fretilin Secretary General Mari 
Alkatiri stated in a March 16 press release that Fretilin will 
launch a legal challenge against the use of the CNRT acronym in 
court, arguing that it is a deceptive and inappropriate use of a 
national unity symbol for partisan purposes. 
 
Strained relationship with the opposition 
----------------------------------------- 
 
4. (SBU) The new CNRT is regarded with a range of skepticism, 
ambivalence and anger among many opposition figures.  However, 
it nonetheless may prove a powerful drain on their support 
bases.  Gusmao likely decided to establish the CNRT because of 
his disappointment with the opposition. Gusmao has in the past 
been linked to the Democratic Party (PD); PD president and 
presidential candidate Fernando "Lasama" de Araujo founded the 
East Timorese Student Movement, RENETIL, in 1998 while attending 
the University of Bali and was jailed alongside Gusmao in 
 
DILI 00000129  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
Jakarta from 1992-99.  Moreover, some delegates at the PD party 
congress in October 2006 informally discussed asking Gusmao and 
Ramos-Horta to continue to serve in government if PD were to win 
election, so many in the party view Gusmao's decision to go it 
alone as tantamount to betrayal. This was further underscored 
when Gusmao turned to many of PD's coordinators for assistance 
in laying his new party's groundwork, though PD insiders claim 
only a few of their coordinators answered the President's call. 
Party leaders nevertheless have expressed concern that Gusmao's 
efforts could seriously undercut if not destroy their party. 
 
Election implications 
--------------------- 
 
5. (SBU) The same structure that is now founding CNRT is also 
active in supporting Ramos-Horta's presidential campaign.  Among 
delegates meeting this week, there was much confidence that 
Ramos-Horta would win the election.  Some of the delegates were 
getting ready to head to Manatuto on March 29 to join 
Ramos-Horta on a campaign event.  Vicente da Conceicao "Railos", 
who is strongly supporting the Ramos-Horta campaign in Liquica 
district is also a delegate at the CNRT national meeting. 
Gusmao is presenting CNRT as a national unity party which, if it 
wins the elections, would reach beyond the party to form a 
government.  Some sources close to Gusmao have said that one of 
his possible plans would be to name Mario Carrascalco, President 
of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), as Prime Minister with two 
deputies: Fernando "La Sama" Araujo, President of PD (and 
presidential candidate), and Josi Luis Guterres, leader of the 
Fretilin Mudansa (Reform) group.  Gusmao would then take the 
position of President of National Parliament. 
NAGY