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Viewing cable 07MEXICO571, SCENESETTER FOR UNDER SECRETARY KAREN HUGHES TRIP

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07MEXICO571 2007-02-07 21:14 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Mexico
VZCZCXRO1099
RR RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
DE RUEHME #0571/01 0382114
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 072114Z FEB 07
FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5233
INFO RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 000571 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
FOR WHA/MEX; WHA/PPD; R 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PREL PGOV KJUS MX
SUBJECT: SCENESETTER FOR UNDER SECRETARY KAREN HUGHES TRIP 
TO MEXICO, FEBRUARY 12-15, 2007 
 
1.  Summary:  Welcome to Mexico.  Your visit comes at an 
important time, with the Calderon administration in only its 
third month in office.  Notwithstanding the polarized 
political climate in Mexico, President Felipe Calderon is off 
to a strong start, demonstrating leadership at home and 
abroad in a manner much appreciated by Mexican citizens, and 
showing himself eager to build on an already strong U.S. - 
Mexico relationship.  Facing significant domestic challenges 
in pursuing his security, economic and social agendas, 
however, Calderon must also chip away at the historic Mexican 
ambivalence toward the U.S. that has slowed progress on many 
common fronts.  Your visit will be a high profile event here; 
you can advance bilateral relations by reinforcing in the 
public mind the image of the U.S. as a worthy, credible 
partner that is attentive to Mexico's interest and concerns. 
End Summary. 
 
2.  No two countries on earth share a more profound bilateral 
relationship than the United States and Mexico. We are tied 
together by history, geography, economics and personal 
relationships .  We form the second largest trading 
partnership in the world, doing close to half a trillion 
dollars in business in 2006.  We are bound by family ties as 
a result of vast migration flows north.  Even our problems 
increasingly bring us together: transnational crime and 
violence have engendered a common sense of menace as both 
Mexicans and Americans come to realize the corrosive and 
lethal effects of the trade in illegal drugs. 
 
3.  As Americans in the NAFTA era slowly adapt their view of 
Mexico as an unknown and dangerous territory, for their part, 
Mexicans continue to look at the U.S. with a traditional 
mixture of admiration and suspicion.  Polls repeatedly 
demonstrate that the Mexican public generally admires the 
United States, its relative economic stability and high 
standard of living, the sense of fair play that underpins its 
legal and economic systems and the opportunity it provides to 
citizens and immigrants alike. Surveys also show that, 
paradoxically, Mexicans are also uncomfortable with the 
U.S.'s large cultural footprint here, fear the potential for 
domination and believe that we treat their countrymen in the 
United States poorly.  These negative trends have been 
reinforced in recent months by the public debate in the 
United States over immigration and particularly by the 
decision to erect a 700 mile security fence along the 
southern U.S. border, which sparked strong public opposition. 
 
4.  Unfortunately, such ambivalence also has been reinforced 
by Mexico's governing elites and opinion leaders keen to 
demonstrate their independence from the United States even as 
economic and law enforcement cooperation has grown in recent 
years.  Rather than help lead public opinion in a direction 
that appropriately reflects the positive character of the 
bilateral relationship, Mexican leaders have all too often 
pandered to the sensitivities engendered by its most 
troublesome aspects. 
 
5.  The good news is that President Calderon seems set to 
break free of this mold.  In his first weeks in office, he 
has seized the initiative on several important issues, 
particularly on the law enforcement front, demonstrating his 
intent to forge an activist presidency.   He has also 
demonstrated pragmatism and maturity in his posture toward 
the United States.  His message to us, to his countrymen and 
to the world is that Mexico will get what it needs from us on 
the basis of equality and the close cooperation expected of 
neighbors who share a common border, as well as common 
problems. 
 
6.  Calderon has demonstrated particular acumen on the issue 
of migration.  President Fox led with his chin, raised 
expectations domestically and indirectly contributed to a 
sense of bitterness here that a bilateral accord could not be 
reached on his watch.  His successor has deliberately 
downplayed migration's importance in the bilateral 
relationship.  Although he strongly criticized the border 
security fence late last year, Calderon recognizes that 
immigration reform is a U.S. domestic matter largely out of 
his hands and has chosen to focus his public remarks on the 
need to spur economic growth in Mexico as one way to confront 
illegal migration to the U.S. 
 
7.  This issue is likely to come up frequently during your 
visit here.  You should acknowledge the controversy the 
border fence has provoked in Mexico while emphasizing that 
the initiative is just one element of a comprehensive package 
of border security measures and other reforms to which 
President Bush remains committed.  You can also recognize the 
contributions Mexicans make to the economies of both our 
countries. 
 
MEXICO 00000571  002 OF 002 
 
 
 
8.  How Calderon frames his expectations of the U.S. marks an 
even more positive change.    For example, he offers a frank 
assessment of the scope of the illegal narcotics problem in 
Mexico, calmly argues that the U.S., as the principal market 
for the drugs transiting or originating in Mexico, is jointly 
responsible for it, but freely acknowledges that Mexico 
cannot confront it without our help and cooperation.  He is 
equally frank about his desire to see expanded assistance and 
cooperation (although his government has yet to detail what 
it is seeking).  Such positive spin builds on former 
president Fox's efforts to expand cooperation and moves us 
further away from the often bitter bilateral blame-seeking 
that characterized the issue during previous administrations. 
 
 
9.  Calderon's deeds in this area say even more.  Major 
counter-narcotics thrusts into narco-transit zones in 
Michoacan, Guerrero, Baja California and other states have 
met with general public approval.  So too did the January 19 
extraditions to the U.S. of 15 major criminals.  While he 
bore some criticism, Calderon's move did not spark a major 
public debate; most accepted the extraditions as necessary. 
Calderon correctly sized up the Mexican public's acceptance 
of closer, more dynamic cooperation with the U.S. in an area 
of fundamental importance and was willing to lead rather than 
follow public opinion.  Such bold initiative merits our 
support, which you can reinforce through your public remarks 
here. 
 
10.  Aside from law enforcment issues, President Calderon 
faces a set of equally serious challenges in the economy, 
which also impact on the bilateral relationship.  He 
inherited a stable, growing economy that is becoming tightly 
linked our own as Mexico's exports to the U.S. continue to 
grow.  To ensure Mexico's ability to compete in a globalized 
market, particularly in the face of increased competition 
from Asia, however, Calderon will need to tackle a series of 
essential structural reforms in the energy sector, in 
finance, health and transportation and other key areas. A key 
test for Calderon is whether he will be able to build the 
political consensus to tackle the structural changes Mexico 
needs.  Many of his early initiatives will be focused on 
addressing Mexico's core social problems of poverty and 
inequality, while seeking to improve Mexico's competitiveness 
through improvements in education and infrastructure. 
 
11.  In meetings with Embassy officials, Calderon's cabinet 
has expressed its willingness to work closely with the United 
States to encourage greater competition in the domestic 
market and to address bilateral economic issues under the 
auspices of the Security and Prosperity Initiative.  Many in 
Mexico remain deeply suspicious of the reform agenda, 
however, and the U.S. role in setting it. Getting the optics 
of reform right in a divided society may prove to be an even 
more difficult undertaking than tackling crime and the new 
administration needs our help.  We need to recognize the need 
to balance efforts to alleviate poverty with what are likely 
to be painful structural reforms. 
 
12.  Your visit takes you to a wide range of cultural, 
educational and economic venues.  Your interest in reaching 
out to all of Mexico - including constituencies among 
indigenous and underclass Mexicans that President Calderon 
himself seeks to engage - is the mark of the respect and 
concern that Mexicans desire of their closest neighbor. 
 
13.  Calderon has a bold reform agenda intended to modernize 
the Mexican state and enhance Mexico's economic 
competitiveness.  It is very much in our interest that he 
succeeds.  Your visit helps us reach out to the hand Calderon 
has extended to the United States in the weeks since his 
inauguration; it will highlight our support for an important 
partner at a key juncture.  If there is anything I or my 
staff can do to make your trip to Mexico more productive and 
rewarding, do not hesitate to let me know. 
 
 
Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at 
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity 
GARZA