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Viewing cable 07ABUJA256, MISSION NIGERIA LES VOTER REGISTRATION SURVEY

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07ABUJA256 2007-02-09 10:41 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Abuja
VZCZCXRO2951
PP RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHUJA #0256/01 0401041
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 091041Z FEB 07
FM AMEMBASSY ABUJA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8555
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0116
RUEHCD/AMCONSUL CIUDAD JUAREZ 0114
RUEHOS/AMCONSUL LAGOS 6103
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ABUJA 000256 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSFIED. NOT FOR INTERNET POSTING. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PHUM KDEM NI
SUBJECT: MISSION NIGERIA LES VOTER REGISTRATION SURVEY 
 
 
ABUJA 00000256  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
1.  (U) Nigeria's voter registration exercise got off to a 
rocky start in October and ended on February 2, 2007.  The 
political section sent a questionaire on voter registration 
via email to Embassy Abuja, Consulate Lagos and USAID Nigeria 
locally engaged staff (LES) during the first week of February 
2007.  We present the results not as a scientific study of 
voter registration, but rather as a useful snapshot of 
behavior among this group of the Nigerian electorate. 
Participation was voluntary and assurances of privacy were 
given.  Eighty-three LES employees returned the survey and 
results show that most (83%) successfully registered to vote. 
 
 
2.  (U) The informal survey consisted of five questions: 
 
            a.  Are you currently registered to vote? 
            b.  If yes, when did you register? 
            c.  How many times did you visit a registration 
site in order to register? 
            d.  How long did you wait in line before leaving 
the site? 
            e.  How confident are you in the registration 
process. 
 
Respondants were also encouraged to share any comments or 
interesting anecdotes about voter registration. 
 
3.  (U) Of the 83 Nigerian employees who returned the survey 
69 (83%) indicated that they had successfully registered to 
vote.  Of the 14 (17%) who said they were not registered, 13 
said they had attempted to register and one person had not 
tried because he or she was "too busy."  Several respondants 
told us that they did not receive a temporary voter 
identification card or reciept when they registered.  (Note: 
Each registrant was supposed to recieve a small piece of 
paper with his name, address, photo, and a bar code as proof 
of registration.  This slip of paper will be used to identify 
voters on polling day.)  Our survey did not explicitly ask 
about proof of registration, so we cannot be certain how many 
respondants did not receive it. 
 
4.  (U) Forty-two respondants said that they succesfully 
registered to vote on their first try.  One staff member told 
us that he was able to register on his first try because INEC 
officials agreed to reopen a registration center which had 
already closed for the day.  51% of all those returning 
surveys and 61% of all those who eventually registered were 
successful on their first attempt.  Most who were not 
successful on their first attempt were succesful on their 
second or third try, although several LES reported having to 
make 5-10 attempts before eventually registering to vote.  In 
a comment section of the survey, LES said that reasons for 
making multiple attempts to register included not finding a 
registration center in their local area, lack of electricty 
at the site,  wait for the registration machines too long, 
and slow lines at registration centers.  One employee 
reported that when he discovered that there was no power at 
his registration center, he handled the problem in a novel 
manner.  He went home to get his own generator, registered, 
and then stayed at the registration site for two hours so his 
generator could be used to power the computers and allow 
other voters to enroll. 
 
5.  (U) Of respondants who are not registered, the reasons 
given for not doing so included no registration center in 
their area, irregular hours, erratic power supply, and delays 
of several hours after arrival at the registration site.  One 
respondant said he was not allowed to register because he did 
not live where he attempted to register, although many other 
respondants reported that they were allowed to register out 
of area.  One person said that only one of six adults in her 
household had been able to register and that less than 35% of 
the people in her local area had registered. 
 
6.  (U) It appears that the registration experienced a late 
surge, which is consistent with numbers publically announced 
by INEC.  61 survey respondents indicated the month in which 
they registered, with 9 registering in November, 15 in 
December, 35 in January, and 2 in the first few days of 
February.  Of the 35 who registered in January, 21 registered 
in the last week of the month. 
 
7. (SBU)  COMMENT.  The results of this survey do not apply 
 
ABUJA 00000256  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
to the population at large - 100% of the sample set have 
regular, formal sector employment, a condition notably absent 
among the majority of Nigerians.  That said, it is 
encouraging that most LES in Mission Nigeria are registered 
to vote and that often they were able to do so on their first 
attempt with a minimal wait.  Their experience with 
insufficient electricty and somewhat arbitrary rules and 
procedures mirrors reports from the Nigerian public at large. 
 The flaw, though, remains that of follow-up.  As one 
employee put it, while the process was transparent, "my fear 
is that many registered voters will not have a registration 
slip that allows them to collect a voter's card and cast 
their vote on election day."  Nigeria's election commission 
could encounter further problems with registered, 
undocumented voters demanding their rights at the polling 
place. 
CAMPBELL