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Viewing cable 07KINSHASA66, KABILA ALLIES WITH APPARENT MAJORITY IN

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07KINSHASA66 2007-01-22 12:07 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXRO4307
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #0066/01 0221207
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 221207Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5447
INFO RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK PRIORITY
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 000066 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: GOV KDEM CG ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: KABILA ALLIES WITH APPARENT MAJORITY IN 
PRELIMINARY SENATE TALLY 
 
1.  (U) Summary.  Allies of President Joseph Kabila look to 
be able to form a majority in the DRC Senate elected by 
indirect vote January 19.  Transitional Vice Presidents Bemba 
and Yerodia won seats, as did several transitional ministers 
and a number of insiders from the Mobutu and Laurent Kabila 
eras.  Independents accounted for the largest number of seats 
with 26, followed by Kabila's PPRD with 22, and Bemba's MLC 
with 14.  Strong showings by the parties of ministerial 
hopefuls Nyamwisi, Endundo and Ruberwa strengthened their 
cases for positions in the as-yet-unannounced government. 
End summary. 
 
2.  (U) Parties aligned with President Joseph Kabila's 
electoral coalition appear to have won a majority in the DRC 
Senate voted by provincial assembly deputies January 19.  The 
108 senators, together with the 500 National Assembly 
deputies elected July 30, will constitute the DRC's first 
democratically-elected legislature in over 40 years.  The 
Independent Electoral Commission (CEI) announced preliminary 
results January 20 pending final review by the Supreme Court 
January 22.  The Senate is scheduled to commence work 
February 3. 
 
3.  (U) Early estimates indicate Kabila's AMP coalition won a 
slight paper majority of seats.  In fact, it should be able 
to count on close to 60 of the 108 seats after factoring in 
known supporters running as independents.  The totals should 
enable the governing coalition to choose the president of the 
Senate, who would be first in line of succession if President 
Kabila were unable to complete his term. 
 
4.  (U) Two Transitional Vice Presidents, Jean-Pierre Bemba 
and Abdoulaye Yerodia, were among those elected, from 
Kinshasa and Bas-Congo respectively.  The vote will provide 
Bemba an institutional platform to lead a political 
opposition.  Yerodia, comrade-in-arms of Laurent Kabila, is a 
leading candidate in early speculation regarding possible 
Senate presidents. 
 
5.  (U) Other prominent names include a number of ministers 
of the Transition, including Foreign Minister Raymond 
Ramazani, Economy Minister Moise Nyarugabu and Lands Minister 
Venant Tshipasa, former Finance Minister Andre-Philippe Futa, 
the heads of the transitional media and human rights 
oversight bodies, respectively Modeste Mutinga and Mwamus 
Mwamba Mushikonke, and the president of the transitional 
Senate, Monsignor Pierre Marini.  The vote will also return 
to government almost a dozen figures from Mobutu's inner 
circle, notably former prime minsisters Leon Kengo wa Dondo 
and Vincent Lunda Bululu, as well as "Mobutu's Foccart," 
Edouard Mokolo wa Mpombo, in company with a large handful of 
other senior intelligence and internal security officials 
from the Mobutu and Laurent Kabila eras. 
 
6.  (U) The Senate will include a number of former provincial 
governors, traditional chiefs, a Katanga journalist, at least 
two parastatal CEOs, and Francois Kaniki, the brother of 
Kisangani's influential Catholic Archbishop Monsignor Laurent 
Monsengwo.  Only five women were elected, two of them MLC 
candidates from Kinshasa:  former governor Bernadette Nkoy 
Mafuta, and Bemba coalition spokeswoman and unsuccessful 
National Assembly candidate Eve Bazaiba, an ex-UDPS militant 
who gained notoriety for incendiary rhetoric during the 
presidential campaign.  Kabila chief of staff Leonard She 
Okitundu, also rumored as a candidate for Senate president 
along with Marini and Futa, and the fathers of MLC leaders 
Bemba and Delly Sesanga, were also elected. 
 
7   (U) Two of the new senators have unusual American 
connections:  Bishop Pierre Ntambo Nkulu Ntanda, a leading 
international figure in the United Methodist Church from 
President Kabila's home region of North Katanga, who heads 
Africa University of Nashville, Tennessee, and Edouard 
Mwangachuchu, a one-time Tutsi refugee to the United States 
who has become a leading Congolese trader and exporter of 
coltan. 
 
8.  (U) Independents accounted for the largest number of 
seats with 26, followed by the PPRD with 22 and MLC with 14. 
PPRD candidates won seats in all provinces but South Kivu, 
while over two-thirds of MLC senators will come from just two 
provinces, Equateur and Kinshasa.  The Forces du Renouveau of 
ministerial hopeful Mbusa Nyamwisi won seven seats, former 
minister Jose Endundo's PDC took six, and Azarias Ruberwa's 
RCD picked up five.  No other party, including Antoine 
Gizenga's PALU and Mobutu Nzanga's UDEMO, won more than three 
 
KINSHASA 00000066  002 OF 002 
 
 
seats. 
 
9.  (U) Detailed reports to follow septel. 
 
10.  (U) Comment:  From all reports, the vote in the eleven 
provincial assemblies appears to have gone smoothly.  The 
Senate will have far less power than the National Assembly, 
but its members will bring a depth of experience to 
legislation that the Assembly currently lacks.  End comment. 
MEECE