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Viewing cable 06TOKYO7166, U.S.-JAPAN CENTRAL ASIA DIALOGUE: PART THREE,

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06TOKYO7166 2006-12-28 02:07 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO5025
RR RUEHAST RUEHDBU RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #7166/01 3620207
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 280207Z DEC 06
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 9449
INFO RUEHAST/USO ALMATY 0390
RUEHAH/AMEMBASSY ASHGABAT 0137
RUEHTA/AMEMBASSY ASTANA 0010
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 5334
RUEHEK/AMEMBASSY BISHKEK 0178
RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE
RUEHNT/AMEMBASSY TASHKENT 0216
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 9359
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 8851
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 1842
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 2802
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 0383
RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 TOKYO 007166 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT PLEASE PASS TO SCA/DAS FEIGENBAUM 
PLEASE PASS TO USTR BEEMAN 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ENRG PREL PGOV JA
SUBJECT: U.S.-JAPAN CENTRAL ASIA DIALOGUE: PART THREE, 
JAPANESE VIEWS OF INVESTMENT CLIMATE IN CENTRAL ASIA 
 
 
1. (SBU)  Summary.  Ministry of Economy, Trade, and 
Industry's (METI) Trade Policy Bureau Central Asia 
division head and a Japanese trading company researcher met 
separately with SCA/DAS Evan Feigenbaum on December 8 to 
discuss the difficult business and political climate in 
Central Asia.  Political uncertainty, poor infrastructure, 
onerous regulation and other problems precluded most Japanese 
foreign direct investment (FDI); Japan's only investment in 
the region at the moment is through overseas development 
assistance (ODA).  Interest in natural resources remains 
high, however, particularly in uranium, which is abundant, 
and in hydrocarbons.  End Summary. 
 
--------------------------------------- 
METI VIEWS ON INVESTING IN CENTRAL ASIA 
--------------------------------------- 
 
2. (SBU)  METI Trade Policy Bureau's Europe, Middle East and 
Africa Division Director Toshikazu Masuyama and Agency for 
Natural Resources and Energy Nuclear Facilities Development 
and Nuclear Fuel Cycle Industry Division Deputy Director 
Hirobumi Kayama met with DAS Feigenbaum to discuss the 
Japanese government's role in investing in Central Asia. 
Masuyama told Feigenbaum that Japan is shifting from 
liquefied natural gas (LNG) toward uranium extraction and 
civil nuclear cooperation.  As the world's third largest 
consumer of uranium, Japan is specifically targeting 
Kazakhstan for its uranium, the deposits of which are the 
second largest in the world. 
 
3. (SBU)  Masuyama noted that Prime Minister Koizumi had 
traveled to Central Asia in August 2006 and that technical 
discussions culminated in the signing of a memorandum of 
understanding (MOU), which included a sentence declaring the 
importance of cooperation in nuclear energy.  Masuyama added 
that Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs had to change its 
stance on nuclear cooperation in order for that sentence to 
be allowed into the MOU.  This was an important symbolic 
result.  Still, more tangible Japanese investment would 
require a change in the region's business environment.  He 
suggested, however, that the MOU might lead to larger 
cooperation with both Kazakhstan and Russia in the civil 
nuclear area.  Japan is already involved in discussions over 
a joint venture with Kazakhstan to build a light water 
nuclear reactor as well as a mine and an enrichment facility. 
(Comment: Business sources have told the Embassy that 
Kazakhstan wants to increase its use of nuclear power and 
would like to build its own light water reactor.  Because 
Kazakhstan relies heavily on Russia for its technology, it 
views Japan as a welcome counter-balance.  The Japanese and 
Kazakh governments are still negotiating over the building of 
a light water reactor.  End comment.) 
 
4. (SBU)  Masuyama reiterated that Japan's involvement in the 
region has been entirely in the form of ODA, not FDI.  He 
stressed the need to improve the business environment for new 
projects to protect existing Japanese investment and bemoaned 
the authoritarian systems of government prevailing in the 
region, which largely ignored the complaints of foreign 
businesses.  In Uzbekistan, in particular, Masuyama stressed 
the negative political and business climate and the campaign 
against U.S. and Asian businesses, including Japanese 
business.  Feigenbaum noted that Newmont Mining, a major U.S. 
investment, had been driven from the country.  Masuyama 
complained about the lack of predictability and transparency 
and claimed that business environment data often was 
fabricated by the Uzbek government.  Feigenbaum raised USG 
support for WTO accession across the region.  He noted 
Kazakhstan,s bid to join the WTO, suggesting that Russia may 
accede before Kazakhstan, which would have interesting 
implications for Kazakhstan's own accession negotiations. 
 
5. (SBU)  Masuyama called for the rehabilitation of energy 
 
TOKYO 00007166  002 OF 002 
 
 
plants in Uzbekistan, noting that this is one way to earn 
Kyoto Protocol energy credits.  He also recommended that 
bilateral and multilateral treaties be used to protect 
investments.  Finally, he noted that the region's tourism 
industry could be expanded.  Encouraging Japanese investment, 
SCA Senior Advisor Robert Deutsch raised USG efforts, along 
with the World Bank and others, to promote infrastructure 
development linking Central to South Asia, including 
development of hydroelectric power for Afghanistan, Pakistan, 
and beyond.  He asked whether hydro-electric power might be a 
source of Kyoto Protocol credits.  Masuyama noted that 
Japanese power generation companies are very conservative by 
nature and, thus, would not likely be interested in 
international business opportunities, such as those Deutsch 
had described.  He added that Japanese trading companies have 
begun bilateral business dialogues in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, 
Turkmenistan and Azerbaijian, with each company dividing the 
labor and responsibility by focusing on one country each. 
 
----------------------------- 
A PRIVATE COMPANY PERSPECTIVE 
----------------------------- 
 
6.  (SBU) Marubeni Research Institute Senior Analyst Patrick 
Ryan told DAS Feigenbaum that none of Marubeni's investment 
in Central Asia is foreign direct investment (FDI) and that 
this basically is true for all of Japan's other trading 
companies (Mitsui, Sumitomo, Itochu and Mitsubishi).  The 
political and investment climate is such that no Japanese 
company is yet willing to risk direct investments in the 
region; the return ratio is simply too low.  Ryan added that 
the region's poor infrastructures contributes to Japanese 
reluctance.  Contracts to implement official development 
assistance (ODA) are a much safer vehicle for the trading 
companies because of government backing. 
 
7. (SBU) Ryan explained that Marubeni's primary goal in 
Central Asia has been to organize consortiums for projects in 
infrastructure development.  Marubeni's ODA projects have 
included building railways, roads, and airports, modernizing 
power plants, and installing gas pipelines.  Among the many 
difficulties the company faces in the region are import and 
export restrictions, parts and materials supply chain 
instability, anti-foreign sentiment, and the lack of suitable 
local partners. 
 
8.  (SBU) Ryan noted, however, that Japan is viewed as 
apolitical in Central Asia, allowing Japan to move into 
vacuums created by the lack of U.S. and other country 
investment.  He added that although Japan companies, as well 
as Korean mineral extraction firms, have done well, most 
non-Russian companies struggle in the region.  He added that 
Marubeni has offices in Tashkent and Almaty. 
 
9.  (U) SCA/DAS Feigenbaum has cleared on this cable. 
DONOVAN