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Viewing cable 06KINSHASA1780, BEMBA ADVISER PREDICTS COURT LOSS, PROVINCIAL WINS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06KINSHASA1780 2006-11-24 09:46 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXRO7640
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #1780 3280946
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 240946Z NOV 06
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5204
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS KINSHASA 001780 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM CG ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: BEMBA ADVISER PREDICTS COURT LOSS, PROVINCIAL WINS 
 
REF: A. A. KINSHASA 1777 
     B. B. KINSHASA 1759 
     C. C. KINSHASA 1778 
 
1. (SBU) Summary:  Delly Sesanga, a key member of Vice 
President Jean-Pierre Bemba's Movement for the Liberation of 
the Congo (MLC), expects Bemba's Supreme Court challenge of 
the October 29 presidential vote will not succeed.  He 
claimed that early vote tallies indicated the MLC will 
control at least five of the eleven new provincial 
assemblies.  He expressed concern that allies of President 
Joseph Kabila are using their majority in the new National 
Assembly to eliminate any meaningful role for a future 
opposition.  End summary. 
 
2. (U) MLC insider Delly Sesanga reviewed Vice President 
Jean-Pierre Bemba's legal complaint seeking to overturn the 
results of the October 29 presidential election and 
challenges facing his party in a November 20 meeting with 
PolCouns and PolOff.  Sesanga, a lawyer, led the effort to 
assemble Bemba's legal case, and is one of 64 MLC members 
elected to the National Assembly.  The meeting took place in 
his office next door to the Supreme Court building which was 
burned and looted less than two hours later by Bemba 
partisans (ref A). 
 
3. (U) Sesanga confirmed that Bemba's case requests annulment 
of the presidential results rather than specific changes in 
the vote count.  It alleges a lack of transparency 
significant enough to invalidate the electoral process, based 
on five arguments:  a) high number of votes by special 
dispensation (ref B) and by b) voters on the "omitted" and 
"special" lists (ref C); c) failure by the Independent 
Electoral Commission (CEI) to adequately post lists of 
voters; d) denial of access to Bemba's witnesses to voting 
stations in the East; e) and "manipulation" of vote counts. 
 
4. (SBU) Sesanga said he did not expect the Court to uphold 
Bemba's suit.  He alleged that some of its judges were biased 
against Bemba and would not rule impartially.  He said he 
planned to be out of the country during the presidential 
installation, and would advise Bemba to do the same.  He 
stated that he would return from a Christmas vacation "after 
Kabila had appointed his government." 
 
5. (SBU) Sesanga noted that unofficial vote counts from the 
same October 29 election indicated that the MLC would win 
majorities in five or six of the eleven provincial 
assemblies.  The CEI had yet to release any tallies as of 
November 20, but Sesanga stated that the MLC would have 
majorities in Bas-Congo, Kinshasa, Equateur, Bandundu, and 
Western Kasai provinces, and possibly Eastern Kasai, with 
Kabila's party taking the rest.  He claimed the MLC planned 
to challenge these results as well, but could not do so until 
they were officially released. 
 
6. (SBU) Comment.  Sesanga represents a "moderate" faction of 
longtime Bemba advisers who have been working for several 
weeks to carve out roles for themselves.  He was clearly 
content with reported provincial results and it would be 
surprising if the party actually intends to dispute them. 
End comment. 
MEECE