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Viewing cable 06KINSHASA1670, DRC ELECTIONS SITREP 10/28, 1200

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06KINSHASA1670 2006-10-28 13:35 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXRO3084
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #1670/01 3011335
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 281335Z OCT 06
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5062
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 001670 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM CG ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: DRC ELECTIONS SITREP 10/28, 1200 
 
REF: KINSHASA 1664 
 
1. (U) Summary: The Democratic Republic of Congo remains calm 
on the eve of the October 29 presidential and provincial 
elections. Official campaigning ended at midnight October 27 
and there have been no reports since of serious incidents in 
Kinshasa or elsewhere. Voting will begin at 0600 local time 
October 29 and end at 1700, at which time poll workers will 
immediately begin hand-counting ballots. The Independent 
Electoral Commission (CEI) plans to announce provisional 
results of the presidential race no later than November 19. 
Provisional results for the provincial assemblies are not 
expected until December 5. End summary. 
 
2. (U) The October 29 DRC presidential contest is a run-off 
between President Joseph Kabila and Vice President 
Jean-Pierre Bemba, who won 44.8 percent and 20 percent, 
respectively, in the July 30 first round. Voters will also 
choose from among 14,637 candidates to fill 632 seats in the 
DRC's 11 new provincial assemblies. 
 
3. (U) Nearly 18 million voters participated in the July 30 
elections out of the 25.4 million registered voters. Many 
observers expect turnout to be slightly higher for the second 
round, although weather conditions could have an impact. Some 
two-thirds of the country is now in the rainy reason, unlike 
during the July vote. Heavy rains in many parts of the 
country could lower turnout and make roads impassable, 
creating significant delays in the collection and counting of 
ballots. 
 
4. (U) Kabila and Bemba each gave interviews to the national 
and international press during the last days of the campaign 
that laid out their post-election priorities. Kabila said 
that after the elections he would focus on five main areas: 
employment, infrastructure, water and electricity, education, 
and health. He promised that after October 29 he would meet 
with Bemba to urge the population to remain peaceful as 
results are announced. Kabila said a "government of national 
unity" would be ineffective, but stated he would extend his 
hand to the opposition, including Bemba's Movement for the 
Liberation of Congo (MLC) party to help bring the country 
together. 
 
5. (U) Bemba spoke October 26 with Radio France International 
to outline his vision of an MLC-led government. He said his 
first priorities would be to re-establish security throughout 
the country and to guarantee equitable distribution of the 
country's resources and wealth. Bemba promised that, if 
elected, he would ensure Kabila's personal security and 
invite his party to participate in governing. Bemba said if 
he were to lose he would accept the results and join the 
opposition so long as the elections were judged fair and 
transparent. 
 
6. (U) The International Committee to Accompany the 
Transition (CIAT) released a statement October 27 
congratulating the Congolese people for having chosen a 
peaceful path despite the difficulties of the transitional 
period. The CIAT ambassadors said the following days were the 
most important for the nation and emphasized that no one will 
accept a return to violence and destruction. The declaration 
called on all candidates, particularly Kabila and Bemba, to 
place the destiny of their country before personal or 
partisan interests. 
 
7. (U) The leaders of the DRC's largest religious groups also 
called on Congolese to remain peaceful in the coming weeks. 
Cheik Abdallah Mangala of the Congolese Islamic community 
urged voters to turn out in large numbers to choose their 
future leaders wisely. Mangala said the DRC's religious 
communities will be deploying some 50,000 observers to 
monitor the elections. 
 
--------------------------------- 
UPDATE ON PROVINCIAL DEVELOPMENTS 
--------------------------------- 
 
8. (U) Bandundu province has not witnessed any major violence 
during the campaign period. The region voted heavily for its 
native son, Antoine Gizenga of the Unified Lumumbist Party 
(PALU) July 30, giving him 80 percent. Bemba won nearly 10 
percent of the Bandundu vote, Kabila won less than three 
percent. Gizenga and PALU formed an alliance with Kabila and 
his Alliance for the Presidential Majority (AMP) for the 
second round. Bandundu has 2.9 million registered voters, 69 
percent of which turned out in the first round. 
 
KINSHASA 00001670  002 OF 002 
 
 
 
9. (U) Bas-Congo has also remained peaceful. Bemba won a 
first-round plurality of votes there with 36 percent. Kabila 
won nearly 14 percent. Justine Kasa-Vubu and Oscar Kashala, 
both of whom won approximately 7 percent, have joined Bemba's 
Union for the Nation alliance. Turnout was slightly higher 
than the national average with 76 percent. 
 
10. (U) Eastern Kasai, a stronghold of the Union for 
Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS), had the lowest turnout 
in the country, at 39 percent. Kabila won a plurality with 36 
percent. Bemba won just 15 percent, Kashala won 18 percent, 
and Joseph Olenghankoy, another new Bemba ally, slightly more 
than nine percent. Several voting stations in Mbuji-Mayi and 
Mwene Ditu were destroyed the day before the July 30 
election, although the situation since has been calm. In 
Lodja to the north, several clashes have occurred between 
Bemba and Kabila supporters, and tensions are high in the 
city. 
 
11. (U) Equateur, Bemba's home province, has seen several 
campaign-related acts of violence. Scattered clashes between 
Bemba and Kabila partisans took place during October in the 
provincial capital of Mbandaka. Kabila ally Nzanga Mobutu was 
trapped in a firefight in Gbadolite October 26 (reftel). 
Bemba won the majority of Equateur votes with 64 percent, 
while Nzanga won nearly 31 percent. Kabila won less than two 
percent. Turnout in Equateur was also relatively high at 74 
percent. 
 
12. (U) Katanga is one of Kabila's eastern strongholds. He 
won nearly 78 of the vote there, which had a 72 percent 
first-round turnout. Sporadic violence has taken place in the 
capital of Lubumbashi during the past two weeks. Bemba 
posters have been torn down and his supporters stoned by 
pro-Kabila crowds. Bemba won less than four percent of the 
Katanga vote in the last round. 
 
13. (U) Maniema has seen few acts of politically-related 
violence during the campaign; no major problems have been 
reported. The province overwhelmingly voted for Kabila in the 
first round, giving him 90 percent of the vote. Turnout was 
also high at 85 percent. Bemba received less than one-half of 
one percent of the province's vote. 
 
14. (U) North Kivu, another eastern province, has been 
generally calm, but many there remain worried about renegade 
General Laurent Nkunda, whose actions are a constant source 
of rumor and speculation. Turnout was well above the national 
average, with 81 percent voting in the first round. Kabila 
won the province with 78 percent of the vote. Bemba fared 
poorly in the province, winning less than one percent of the 
vote, but is now supported by Nkunda. 
 
15. (U) Orientale province in the northeast, where turnout 
was nearly 78 percent, strongly supported Kabila in the first 
round. He won 70 percent of the vote to Bemba's five percent. 
Nzanga Mobutu won five percent primarily from districts in 
the western part of the province bordering Equateur. Ituri 
District in the eastern part of the province has been 
generally calm, although several militia groups there have 
yet to disarm after signing a cease-fire accord in July. 
 
16. (U) South Kivu is another Kabila stronghold; he won 
nearly 95 percent of the votes there. Participation was the 
highest in the DRC at more than 90 percent. Bemba won less 
than one percent. The security situation has remained 
relatively calm, if tense due to the continued presence of 
the FDLR and undisciplined Congolese army troops. The region 
did not experience any security problems in the last round of 
elections. 
 
17. (U) Western Kasai has been largely peaceful except for 
isolated acts of vandalism and political intolerance in 
Mweka, where several voting centers had been burned during 
the first-round voting. The UDPS, which has boycotted 
elections, is popular in the province, which had only a 45 
percent turnout on July 30. Bemba won a plurality of Western 
Kasai votes with 32 percent, new ally Kashala won nearly 18 
percent. Kabila won approximately 11 percent of the vote, 
while Gizenga won 15 percent. 
MEECE